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Tax Policy Center findings: TIF, WMT could gain, KSS, JCP hurt

The following is a Q&A with Director of Zacks Equity Research Dirk van Dijk, CFA.

We're doing a rather last-minute interview here for publication Thursday morning (the 28th). What is on your mind to talk about?

Well, with the Democratic National Convention underway and therefore political season in full swing, lots of claims and counter claims will be made about taxes. Amid all the spin, careful analysis often gets lost. The Tax Policy Center (TPC), a non-partisan group, sat down with the top economic advisors for both campaigns and attempted to sort out just what the implications are from the proposals of each side would be.

And what is the verdict?

Well first of all, I strongly urge all readers who care about the long-term fiscal health of the U.S. Government to read the report.

But to my mind, given the massive size of the deficit this year and projected for next year, both McCain and Obama are being too "generous." Still, the charge of "tax and spend" is absurd if applied to either candidate, while the charge of "borrow and spend" is valid for both of them.

Continue reading Tax Policy Center findings: TIF, WMT could gain, KSS, JCP hurt

Energy stocks vs. financial stocks

By Michael Vodicka, Zack's Investment Research.

In spite of the recent selloff in the energy sector, most of these stocks are still trading with big gains on the year. This stands in sharp contrast to stocks from the financial sector, which have suffered steep losses as big banks have been forced to liquidate assets and raise capital to support their balance sheets.

Because these two groups of stocks have functioned as polar opposites during this stretch, it has provoked many conversations about which is currently the more attractive investment destination; high-flying energy stocks or beaten down financial stocks.

Its All About Earnings

When you take a look at the earnings picture, this argument becomes very one-sided.

Crude prices have recently dipped lower, but they are still very high when compared to historical norms, and this will translate into big earnings for energy companies. We can see this dynamic expressed through analyst estimates.

Encore Acquisition Co. (NYSE: EAC) shares are still trading up sharply on the year in spite of the stocks recent sell off, but estimates have risen in tandem with the stock price, with the current-year estimate advancing to $5.07 per share per share from $3.63 per share 90 days ago. This kind of earnings power provides plenty of fundamental strength for more share appreciation.

Continue reading Energy stocks vs. financial stocks

Global Q & A: Conserve your resources

Eoin Treacy of Fullermoney says that as commodities prices weaken, you need to look carefully before investing.

Q. Eoin, I've read that China's annual consumption of copper has declined from a 28.66% growth rate to 2.4%. What does that mean for continued growth in China and also for the global copper market?

A. China and indeed much of Asia and the Middle East are in a generational-long period where they have to build infrastructure from the ground up. The push for educating, housing, transporting and employing large young populations requires massive investment, fueling demand for commodities across the boards.

The supply side was completely taken unawares by this demand following the 20-year crushing bear market that cut exploration budgets to the bone. That is now changing, as major mining groups compete for the best resources, particularly in politically stable parts of the world.

China continues to lead the world in terms of GDP growth, although it has recently manufactured a slowdown to combat rising inflation, generally positive for the economy.

Continue reading Global Q & A: Conserve your resources

Growth & Income: United States Steel Corporation

By Alex Kolb, Zack's Investment Research

United States Steel Corporation (NYSE: X) has seen 8 out of 10 covering analysts boost full-year earnings estimates since we featured this Growth and Income pick back in mid-July. Forecasts of $20.50 per share are above last month's $16.00. The most accurate projection is more bullish at $21.46 per share.

Robust Growth with Record Numbers

The company recently announced second-quarter results and upped its dividend. Net income of $668 million soared past the previous year's $302 million. During the past 5 consecutive quarters, earnings per share were on average about 9% ahead of analyst expectations, with the most recent results coming in at an impressive 49.5% above expectations.

Commenting on results, U. S. Steel Chairman and CEO John P. Surma said, "We recorded the highest quarterly sales and net income in U. S. Steel's history during the second quarter as all three reportable segments posted record results, reflecting strong operating performance and favorable global pricing dynamics."

Higher Income

U.S. Steel declared a dividend of 30 cents per share, which is an increase of 5 cents per share. The company noted that the dividend is payable September 10, 2008, to stockholders of record at the close of business August 13, 2008. Read our July 17 analysis.

Global Digest: ETFs that help you go global

Carlton Delfeld reveals his latest global ETF picks and warns of leveraged funds.

Q. Carlton, in your last newsletter, you commented on the low valuations of several global markets, including Ireland, Singapore, UK, and Sweden, among others. Have you since added any ETFs from these regions to your portfolios?

A. Yes, I have added iShares MSCI South Africa Index (NYSEArca: EZA), iShares MSCI Singapore Index (NYSEArca: EWS), and the iShares MSCI United Kingdom (NYSEArca: EWU). South Africa is in part a currency and commodity play. The United Kingdom is very much predicated on global financial recovery, and Singapore will likely be a core holding.

Q. Each of these regions seems to have its own stress points right now. Do you think that South Africa is particularly vulnerable to a global slowdown? Hasn't Singapore been hit hard by the bear market in China? And isn't the UK just moving into a housing decline that may rival that of the US?

A. South Africa, China and the UK are all trading at attractive valuations. They all have challenges. The South Africa Rand has been a strong currency and will come back with higher gold prices, the UK is already moving through the housing issue and its financial-oriented market has already been hammered. Lastly, Singapore is a very high-quality China play.

Continue reading Global Digest: ETFs that help you go global

Actel's (ACTL) Flash looking to spark

By Ken Nagy, CFA, Zacks Investment Research.

June quarter revenue for Actel Corporation (NASDAQ: ACTL) fell short of consensus expectations, as the company was short of Flash product. However, the EPS was in-line. Although Flash product growth was lower than expected, the product line is expected to remain strong for the next few years. Actel continues to enjoy a high margin in select markets, although the quicker ramp of new products is likely to exert some negative pressure.

The exposure to the consumer market is also increasing, so working capital requirements are likely to increase. The stock looks attractive at these price levels, but we are reiterating our Hold rating in view of the broader market uncertainties.

Actel's expertise, the limited competition, and its embedded customer base have enabled the firm to emerge as the leading supplier of HiRel FPGAs to the military, avionics and space industries. Actel's Flash products are beginning to take off. The company has introduced seven product families to date, with varying success. Flash products generated 24% of revenue in Q2 of 2008. The management also expects significantly lower cost of production within the 1Q09-2Q09 timeframe, as the company proceeds on the learning curve and also ships higher volumes.

Continue reading Actel's (ACTL) Flash looking to spark

Forecasts are higher for a strong Qualcomm


By Alex Kolb, analyst, Zacks Investment Research

Shares of QUALCOMM Inc.
(NASDAQ:QCOM) are trading about 15% higher than earlier this month, when the company was previously featured. Also, as was the case when previously featured, QCOM continues to trade close to a 52-week high. Wall Street forecasts are also higher now. Current earnings estimates of $1.95 per share for the year ending September 2008 are last month's $1.91.

The company posted a strong fiscal third quarter, noting that it delivered record revenues that were up by 19 % year-over-year. QCOM's third-quarter (GAAP) net income also increased year-over-year.

The Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) company continues to offer a ROE of 20%, squashing the industry average of 2%. Its yield of 1.2% stands out as the company operates in an industry that virtually pays no dividend. QCOM's earnings per share are expected to grow by 19% over the next 3 – 5 years, versus the industry average of 17%. Read our Jul 10, 2008 analysis.

Nucor beats earnings estimates

By Alex Kolb, Zack's Investment Research

Nucor Corporation (NYSE: NUE) recently reported record second-quarter earnings of $1.94 per share, beating the consensus estimate by nearly 8% and topping the year-prior $1.14. Consolidated net sales of $7.09 billion also reached a record level, exceeding last year's $4.17 billion. For income, the company is yielding 2.3%, which well ahead of the industry average.

Company Description

Nucor and its affiliates, which make the most steel in America, manufacture steel products. The company's operating facilities are primarily in the U.S. and Canada. Nucor also brokers ferrous and nonferrous metals, pig iron and HBI/DRI; supplies ferro-alloys; and processes ferrous and nonferrous scrap. The company is also North America's largest recycler.

Continue reading Nucor beats earnings estimates

Consulting stocks stay strong

By Michael Vodicka, analyst, Zacks Investment Research.

It has been exceptionally challenging this year for many companies to grow their earnings, as a number of factors continue to wreak havoc on normally profitable business models.

Higher energy costs have been squeezing almost every company's margins, none more significantly than the airline and auto industries. Raw materials costs continue to climb as large, developing nations like India and China compete for a limited supply of natural resources.

To make matters worse, the credit markets have locked up, making it very difficult for companies to secure the funding and capital so desperately needed to drive growth.

Help On The Way

But when the going gets tough, these companies know they can call upon a trusted ally to provide shelter from the storm. And that help comes in the form of consultants.

With substantial amounts of financial and reputational stress circulating through the economy, consultants are increasingly being called upon to provide a steady hand. These companies have seen a direct up tick in their business volumes as distressed companies search for methods to cut costs and save face.

Continue reading Consulting stocks stay strong

Unilever washes away dirty laundry

Unilever (NYSE: UN, UL), the Anglo-Dutch consumer products giant, said Monday it was selling its laundry business in the U.S., Canada and Puerto Rico to private equity firm Vestar Capital for $1.45 billion. Included in the deal are the All, Wisk, Sunlight, Surf and Snuggle brands.

Selling mature or non-core businesses to focus on fast-growing units has been part of Unilever's recent strategy. Interestingly enough, though, the European laundry business has not been sold. Patrick Cescau, Unilever's CEO said that "Laundry remains an important category for Unilever outside North America." The sale will allow Unilever to concentrate on a "leading position" in Europe, Asia, Africa and Latin America, Cescau said.

Only last week, Unilever sold its Bertolli olive oil and vinegar business for $998 million to Grupo SOS SA and before that it sold its Turkish olive oil business. All part of a strategy to dispose of non-strategic brands, with collectively more than €2 billion ($3.14 billion) in turnover. It has made 19 divestments so far. The other parts of the plan include job cuts and other cost cutting measures. Unilever wants to concentrate on higher-priced products to boost profit, attempting to catch up to Procter & Gamble Co. (NYSE: PG).

Continue reading Unilever washes away dirty laundry

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA+203.5210,226.94
NASDAQ+41.622,154.06
S&P 500+23.781,093.08

Last updated: November 10, 2009: 12:32 AM

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