BloggingStocks http://www.bloggingstocks.com BloggingStocks http://www.blogsmithmedia.com/www.bloggingstocks.com/media/feedlogo.gif BloggingStocks http://www.bloggingstocks.com en-us Copyright 2009 Weblogs, Inc. The contents of this feed are available for non-commercial use only. Blogsmith http://www.blogsmith.com/<![CDATA[Beware of BioSolar: I would never play 'the pump' in this penny stock]]>http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2008/01/14/beware-of-biosolar-i-would-never-play-the-pump-in-this-penny/http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2008/01/14/beware-of-biosolar-i-would-never-play-the-pump-in-this-penny/http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2008/01/14/beware-of-biosolar-i-would-never-play-the-pump-in-this-penny/#commentsFiled under: ,

In a recent post on his personal blog, trader Timothy Sykes told investors to "respect the hype" in six particular penny stocks. This perspective runs in-line with Tim's philosophy that investing in penny stocks is a probability game technical analysis is the best way to play. Although I'm sure money can be made by playing the greater fool theory, after looking at some of Tim's picks, I have concluded that the risks surrounding one of them -- BioSolar (OTC BB: BSRC) -- are enormous.

BSRC BioSolar is currently being "pumped" by Beacon Research according to Sykes, and we should all "respect the pump," he argues. While I understand short-term traders try to profit from quick share price moves in these sort of companies, this situation seems way too risky for the average trader or investor.

My main concerns: 1) Beacon Equity's report makes several outlandish assumptions, 2) the company's CEO appears to have ties to other penny stocks (he did not deny those claims via my recent email exchange with him), and 3) I'm highly skeptical of BioSolar's ability to create new technologies for a variety of reasons.

The purpose of this piece is to raise important issues any potential investor should see before investing in BioSolar. I have no position (long or short) in this company, I am not accusing BioSolar or its executives of perpetrating a fraud, and I am not personally aware of any short sellers involved in this stock.

Continue reading Beware of BioSolar: I would never play 'the pump' in this penny stock

Beware of BioSolar: I would never play 'the pump' in this penny stock originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 14 Jan 2008 17:01:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Permalink | Email this | Comments]]>beacon equity researchBeaconEquityResearchbiosolarbsrcdavid altouniandavid leeDavidAltounianDavidLeeexpert groupExpertGroupexptfeaturedmachine talkerMachineTalkermammoth energyMammothEnergysanta clarita, californiaSantaClarita,Californiasolar technologySolarTechnologystar consultingStarConsultingtim sykesTimSykestwin traderTwinTradervictor sulaVictorSulaxsunxMon, 14 Jan 2008 17:01:00 EST<![CDATA[Concerns surround 2008]]>http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2008/01/05/concerns-surround-2008/http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2008/01/05/concerns-surround-2008/http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2008/01/05/concerns-surround-2008/#commentsFiled under: , ,

Anyone with any money invested in U.S. stocks must check out a recent Financial Times (UK) piece about the United States economy.

"At the heart of the problems is the bursting of the housing bubble that helped to power American growth since this economic cycle started six years ago. The end of the bubble has brought a brutal slide in home construction, house price falls that threaten to undermine household wealth and consumer spending, and turmoil in the credit markets that are used to finance housing."

Indeed, the housing market's collapse had serious ramifications outside of the weakening homebuilders. Subprime mortgages have shaken the credit markets into almost complete fear of providing credit, especially to real estate loans. Consumer spending has been suffering as a result of adjustable rate mortgages (ARMs) and an inability to cash out of real estate.

Continue reading Concerns surround 2008

Concerns surround 2008 originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Sat, 05 Jan 2008 12:40:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Permalink | Email this | Comments]]>bearishconsumer spendinghousing marketrecessionretail marketU.S. economySat, 05 Jan 2008 12:40:00 EST<![CDATA[Exchanges receiving a beating, is it time to buy?]]>http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2008/01/05/exchanges-receiving-a-beating-is-it-time-to-buy/http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2008/01/05/exchanges-receiving-a-beating-is-it-time-to-buy/http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2008/01/05/exchanges-receiving-a-beating-is-it-time-to-buy/#commentsFiled under: , ,

The exchange stocks have been hot issues in the past few quarters as investors have been betting on increased trading activity from hedge funds, higher volatility, and so on.

But just this week, exchange stocks have received a beating harder than the markets as a whole. I believe that if a snapback rally occurs next week, these stocks should bounce back harder than the overall market. Two particular exchange stocks have appealing charts: CME Group (NYSE: CME) and NYSE Euronext (NYSE: NYX). Both of these charts display similar characteristics, as you can see below:

Continue reading Exchanges receiving a beating, is it time to buy?

Exchanges receiving a beating, is it time to buy? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Sat, 05 Jan 2008 10:40:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Permalink | Email this | Comments]]>cmecme groupCmeGroupexchangesnyse euronextNyseEuronextnyxtechnical analysisTechnicalAnalysisSat, 05 Jan 2008 10:40:00 EST<![CDATA[Don't be shocked when DayStar falls into the night]]>http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2008/01/04/dont-be-shocked-when-daystar-falls-into-the-night/http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2008/01/04/dont-be-shocked-when-daystar-falls-into-the-night/http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2008/01/04/dont-be-shocked-when-daystar-falls-into-the-night/#commentsFiled under: ,

Shares of DayStar Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ: DSTI) were down almost 7% on the day. I'm here to warn you of one thing: this is not the time to be calling the bottom in this stock.

Momentum stocks, by nature, quickly become falling knives when share price strength weakens. DayStar Technology, a solar panel stock that traded up with its peer group, is no different. Although I don't know much about the particular economics of the company, I'm well-aware of how 'pumped' stocks soon fade into oblivion.

As you can see from the chart below, DayStar was recently unable to hold the crucial $7 per share resistance level. Additionally, the stock has soon retraced its recent gains each time it has become overbought on the RSI indicator (red circles on the chart).

As I said before, the stock is down today. Although this might appear to be a 'rest' from recent strength, I believe the stock is prime for a roll over. Be careful and protect your profits.

Don't be shocked when DayStar falls into the night originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 04 Jan 2008 20:14:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Permalink | Email this | Comments]]>daystardstioverbought stocksOverboughtStockspumped up stocksPumpedUpStockstechnical analysisTechnicalAnalysisFri, 04 Jan 2008 20:14:00 EST<![CDATA[Don't touch Garmin until the momentum returns]]>http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2008/01/03/dont-touch-garmin-until-the-mo-returns/http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2008/01/03/dont-touch-garmin-until-the-mo-returns/http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2008/01/03/dont-touch-garmin-until-the-mo-returns/#commentsFiled under: ,

Recently, the Motley Fool ran an article that argued GPS maker Garmin Ltd. (NASDAQ: GRMN) is the "Best Stock for 2008." While I'm not the biggest Garmin believer around, I'd like to use this post to explain the best entry point (in my opinion) for investors interested in initiating a position in this stock.

There are several risks surrounding Garmin at the present time. The most important risk to consider, in my opinion, is the potential for a weakening 'momentum story' in the stock. As Priya Ganapati outlined for TheStreet.com, weakening margins and slowing revenue growth are two potential risks facing the company. If the company does in fact report either of these circumstances has 'come to fruit,' I expect the stock to get a haircut.

However, there are still many bullish arguments behind the stock. The most rational of these, in my opinion, is the very reasonable multiple currently attached to the stock. As of now, the stock trades for roughly 21x forward analyst earnings. If the company does in fact deliver solid earnings results in coming quarters, I believe the stock is prime to rally.

Continue reading Don't touch Garmin until the momentum returns

Don't touch Garmin until the momentum returns originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 03 Jan 2008 19:09:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Permalink | Email this | Comments]]>garminGRMNmomentum stockMomentumStockThu, 03 Jan 2008 19:09:00 EST<![CDATA[How to play gold in 2008]]>http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2008/01/03/how-to-play-gold-in-2008/http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2008/01/03/how-to-play-gold-in-2008/http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2008/01/03/how-to-play-gold-in-2008/#commentsFiled under: ,

A popular play for 2008 is the precious metal Gold. Simply put, investors flee to gold in times of uncertainty. With doubts about the U.S. Dollar, the U.S. economy, and many other fears, gold is becoming a popular idea amongst many fund managers.

The momentum is certainly behind gold. As you can see from the chart on the right, gold just hit a fresh high and has been in an uptrend since late 2006. The commodity began it's strong move with a perfect breakout in mid-2007 during which the metal has run more than 100 points.

The future of gold is certainly hard to call but I believe the commodity should show a positive return in 2008 as the U.S. economy should weaken and doubts about the dollar (and other currencies) remain.

Continue reading How to play gold in 2008

How to play gold in 2008 originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 03 Jan 2008 18:31:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Permalink | Email this | Comments]]>barrick goldBarrickGoldgoldrecessionThu, 03 Jan 2008 18:31:00 EST<![CDATA[An interesting perspective on 2008: Don't buy real estate dips, financials, look at commodities, some foreign currencies]]>http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2008/01/03/an-interesting-perspective-on-2008/http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2008/01/03/an-interesting-perspective-on-2008/http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2008/01/03/an-interesting-perspective-on-2008/#commentsFiled under:

Motley Fool member NICKDAWG had a very interesting and opinionated post on the site's popular message board, the Liquid Lounge. The post, which can be found here, listed the member's 10 predictions for 2008. In my opinion, many of his thoughts are very logical and worthwhile. I'd like to focus on a couple of his points (bold-face) in specific, though:

Do not buy any "dips" in houses or real estate

I think that for most retail investors, avoiding real estate (especially in the first half of this year) is a very smart decision. Don't be a hero and try and catch the bottom in these stocks. It's simply not worth the risk.

Sell consumer oriented issues. Don't "bottom fish" in the financials. Favor high quality, special situations with strong balance sheets.

In my opinion, bottom-fishing financials in the late first half of this year should prove to be a low risk, market-beating opportunity. Many of the financials that have been marked down in the most recent downturn have almost no risk of going bankrupt. I think buying many of these stocks now will prove to be a smart decision several years from now but I do believe that many of them haven't yet bottomed. I am going to post about this in coming weeks.

Continue reading An interesting perspective on 2008: Don't buy real estate dips, financials, look at commodities, some foreign currencies

An interesting perspective on 2008: Don't buy real estate dips, financials, look at commodities, some foreign currencies originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 03 Jan 2008 17:27:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Permalink | Email this | Comments]]>2008 outlook2008Outlookmotley foolMotleyFoolThu, 03 Jan 2008 17:27:00 EST<![CDATA[Now is the time to play LDK Solar]]>http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/12/26/now-is-the-time-to-play-ldk-solar/http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/12/26/now-is-the-time-to-play-ldk-solar/http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/12/26/now-is-the-time-to-play-ldk-solar/#commentsFiled under: , ,

Prior to LDK Solar (NASDAQ: LDK)'s earnings report, I told investors to stay away from the stock because I thought it was highly susceptible to a momentum stock breakdown. Although I made one factual error in the post (I said there was a 12:1 long/short ratio while the real number is around 5:1 because of the CEO's restricted shares), this call turned out to be spot-on and the stock got hammered after several company statements and warnings during the conference call.

But I think now could be an interesting time to become involved in LDK for a short-term trade.

First off, the stock is again-lagging other solar stocks on the market. For example, Solarfun Power (NASDAQ: SOLF) is up 35% in the last five days and First Solar (NASDAQ: FSLR) is up 12%. Comparably, LDK is down about 30% since the day the company reported earnings. Considering this, I think the stock is ripe for a bounce-back trade.

Continue reading Now is the time to play LDK Solar

Now is the time to play LDK Solar originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 26 Dec 2007 08:20:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Permalink | Email this | Comments]]>ldk solarLdkSolartechnical analysisTechnicalAnalysisWed, 26 Dec 2007 08:20:00 EST<![CDATA[Now is the time to buy American Apparel]]>http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/12/21/now-is-the-time-to-buy-american-apparel/http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/12/21/now-is-the-time-to-buy-american-apparel/http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/12/21/now-is-the-time-to-buy-american-apparel/#commentsFiled under: ,

Fellow writer Zac Bissonnette highlighted the interesting (but somewhat controversial) story in American Apparel (AMEX: APP) about a week ago. He did a good job of explaining the company itself as well as the perverted CEO.

Although I think the questions surrounding the CEO's "lifestyle" are pertinent, I think they should be overlooked in favor of getting a piece of this high growth name at such an opportunistic time to buy. In short, I think the stock makes sense after a recent pullback.

Fundamentally, American Apparel appears very confusing at first. The older generation of readers is probably very baffled as to why a company that sells light-colored, tight fitting clothes is in the middle of a humongous growth cycle, understandably so. However, I'm more aiming this post towards those members of the younger generation who know just how powerful this concept is.

Continue reading Now is the time to buy American Apparel

Now is the time to buy American Apparel originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 21 Dec 2007 15:13:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Permalink | Email this | Comments]]>american apparelAmericanApparelappfeaturedgrowthlululululemonFri, 21 Dec 2007 15:13:00 EST<![CDATA[Does it make sense to buy Research in Motion now?]]>http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/12/20/does-it-make-sense-to-buy-research-in-motion/http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/12/20/does-it-make-sense-to-buy-research-in-motion/http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/12/20/does-it-make-sense-to-buy-research-in-motion/#commentsFiled under: , ,

Shares of Research in Motion (NASDAQ: RIMM) have been on fire, leaving the stock up about 150% on the year, outperforming stocks like Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) and Google (NASDAQ: GOOG)! But during the last few months, the stock has stagnated. Given the current market conditions, the fundamental perspective and the price action, I believe that buying Research in Motion around these levels makes very good sense.

The company reports earnings after the bell on Thursday and, in my opinion, is going to deliver results that are above Wall Street's estimates as well as guidance that is slightly above the forecasts. If this isn't going to be a 'blowout quarter,' then why would buying the stock into earnings make sense? The answer is simple: I'm convinced that many fund managers are simply not willing to risk owning a big momentum stock like RIM into an earnings report this late in the year. Their yearly performance figures are simply too important for fund marketing to take such a speculative risk. But this creates opportunity for small investors if they are willing to take the risk. If the company does deliver solid numbers, confirming many analyst forecasts and nullifying any doubts surrounding the stock, I think the stock will make a quick move to $115 following the release.

Considering that most BloggingStocks readers shouldn't be taking this position, I'd like to explain why this stock is a buy even after a strong move following the release of earnings. First, I think the stock is going to 'catch-up' to other momentum names and, more importantly, I think fund managers are going to increase their exposure to this name after they receive confirmation that RIM is the smartphone play for 2008 -- a theme that certainly worked in 2007.

Continue reading Does it make sense to buy Research in Motion now?

Does it make sense to buy Research in Motion now? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 20 Dec 2007 12:24:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Permalink | Email this | Comments]]>featuredmomentum stockMomentumStockresearch in motionResearchInMotionrimmThu, 20 Dec 2007 12:24:00 EST<![CDATA[Don't be the cutting board for Tuesday Morning!]]>http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/12/19/dont-be-the-cutting-board-for-tuesday-morning/http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/12/19/dont-be-the-cutting-board-for-tuesday-morning/http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/12/19/dont-be-the-cutting-board-for-tuesday-morning/#commentsFiled under:

Tuesday Morning Corporation (NASDAQ: TUES) is a closeout retailer of home items in the United States. With the stock down nearly 70% year-to-date, I'd bet that value investors are starting to do their due diligence on this company. I, too, have done my due diligence and I've come to a conclusion rather quickly: stay away, at least for the time being.

There's an old saying on Wall Street: don't try and catch a falling knife. This simply means don't try to buy a stock making new lows before it begins showing some strength. I've tried to catch a falling knife before in The Bon-Ton Stores, Inc. (NASDAQ: BONT) here and it ended up humbling me, to say the least. I think that Tuesday Morning is a falling knife and you, the investor, should avoid being the cutting board into which this knife stabs.

Tuesday Morning revised its outlook yesterday and it wasn't pretty. Before this cut, analysts and management were expecting roughly 85 cents per share in earnings for the year; however, management brought its expectations down to about 60 cents per share on greatly-reduced sales estimations.

Continue reading Don't be the cutting board for Tuesday Morning!

Don't be the cutting board for Tuesday Morning! originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 19 Dec 2007 17:46:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Permalink | Email this | Comments]]>falling knifeFallingKnifetuestuesday morningTuesdayMorningWed, 19 Dec 2007 17:46:00 EST<![CDATA[Stay away from LDK Solar]]>http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/12/19/stay-away-from-ldk-solar/http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/12/19/stay-away-from-ldk-solar/http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/12/19/stay-away-from-ldk-solar/#commentsFiled under: , ,

I often find myself in agreement with my friend Tim Sykes. When I'm looking to make a trade, I often look at the chart and attempt to gauge the sentiment, just as he does. However, when I saw Sykes proclaim that LDK Solar (NYSE: LDK) had "further upside," I had to give the opposite view.

I'm not going to try and concoct an argument against solar stocks. In fact, I'm sure solar technology will do huge things for the American energy crisis in years to come, but I know one thing after watching the market for several years -- any sector or stock that gains a stubborn, cult-like following is probably going to end up suffering at some point in the future. The most cult-like stocks, in my opinion, are momentum stocks.

Don't get me wrong, I play momentum stocks. However, I admit I'm just playing the greater fool game when I'm trading these stocks. In other words, I admit I'm just trying to be another person trying to pull money out of the market by buying an irrationally-priced asset and hoping to sell it at an even more irrational price. The problem comes when investors and traders come along and try to justify the valuation the stock is currently receiving. I've learned a lesson I'd like to share with momentum traders: don't try to rationalize your buys by claiming the stock is 'undervalued' and looks long term, especially if that is way different from your normal decision making process that takes advantage of certain strengths you have cultivated over time.

Continue reading Stay away from LDK Solar

Stay away from LDK Solar originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 19 Dec 2007 15:37:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Permalink | Email this | Comments]]>ldkldk solarLdkSolartim sykesTimSykesWed, 19 Dec 2007 15:37:00 EST<![CDATA[The other side of the Barron's Jim Cramer coverage]]>http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/08/22/the-other-side-of-the-barrons-jim-cramer-coverage/http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/08/22/the-other-side-of-the-barrons-jim-cramer-coverage/http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/08/22/the-other-side-of-the-barrons-jim-cramer-coverage/#commentsFiled under: , ,

Barron's featured a cover story (subscription required) on the performance of Jim Cramer's stock picks essentially classified Cramer as one big short opportunity. Understandably, the brains at TheStreet.com (NASDAQ: TSCM) were offended and came back strong.

James Altucher wrote a powerful article which appeared on TheStreet.com Wednesday. This article managed to destroy Barron's anti-Cramer arguments, in my opinion. Through legitimate backtesting (following Cramer's recommendations -- wait 5-10 days, etc.), Altucher found that Cramer actually managed to outperform the market.

However, I had one issue with Altucher's article. While he was perfectly justified in disputing their use of the Friday close in their performance tracking, I think the one month holding period is way too short for many of Barron's ideas to materialize. Unlike Cramer, they are a much more long-term oriented crowd focused primarily on valuation. As a result, I'd argue a one-year holding period makes much more sense for creating their track record.

What should you do? Don't get involved in these disputes! You should read Barron's and watch Cramer! Anything you can do to help bring more ideas to your radar screen for further research is a worthwhile use of time in this game.

The other side of the Barron's Jim Cramer coverage originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 22 Aug 2007 19:15:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Permalink | Email this | Comments]]>barron'sjames altucherJamesAltucherjim cramerJimCramerthestreet.comtscmWed, 22 Aug 2007 19:15:00 EST<![CDATA[Gymboree (GYMB) beats and raises]]>http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/08/22/gymboree-beats-and-raises/http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/08/22/gymboree-beats-and-raises/http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/08/22/gymboree-beats-and-raises/#commentsFiled under: ,

Despite the stock's lackluster after-hours performance, children's apparel and toy company Gymboree (NASDAQ: GYMB) reported earnings that beat Street estimates and raised its full year guidance after the bell.

For the quarter, Gymboree earned 19 cents per share on $182.4 million in revenues. These results, which demonstrated huge year-over-year growth, managed to beat the consensus estimate, which was looking for 15 cents per share on $180 million sales.

Additionally, the company increased its third quarter and full year outlook. Gymboree now expects to earn 84-87 cents per share in the third quarter, leading me to believe the company will be able to beat the current consensus estimate of 88 cents per share. For the year, the company expects to earn $2.50-$2.53 per share, an increase from its previous guidance of $2.42-$2.46 per share. Again, I think the full year consensus estimate of $2,55 per share should be rather easy to beat.

While it seems surprising at first that the stock sold off on this news, this seems like a classic "buy the rumor, sell the news" reaction. The stock rose nearly 5% during the day, presumably on whispers of a solid quarter, and the earnings report didn't bring in enough buyers to offset those who were closing their pre-earnings trades.

Gymboree (GYMB) beats and raises originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 22 Aug 2007 19:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Permalink | Email this | Comments]]>gymbgymboreeinthenewsWed, 22 Aug 2007 19:00:00 EST<![CDATA[Ackman's target position has 'limited downside']]>http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/08/22/ackmans-target-position-has-limited-downside/http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/08/22/ackmans-target-position-has-limited-downside/http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/08/22/ackmans-target-position-has-limited-downside/#commentsFiled under: ,

Even if Bill Ackman is unable to make humongous strategic changes or value-extracting deals for Target (NYSE: TGT), his investment in the retailer has limited downside, according to breakingviews. Although Ackman could potentially "push for a sale of Target's credit card business, a reengineering of its real estate portfolio, or more aggressive share buybacks," none of these seem very likely at present.

Target probably wouldn't sell its credit card business because its becoming a more and more important contibutor to earnings. Moreover, reengineering the real estate portfolio or increasing the already-aggressive buyback would probably require borrowing. At the present time, borrowing at attractive rates is difficult.

Despite Target's rise in the last few years, the stock remains cheap. As breakingviews noted, the stock trades for just 14x earnings -- the same price as Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT) -- despite growing much faster than Wal-Mart and possessing much more favorable growth prospects than Wal-Mart.

After soaring nearly 15% when Ackman's $2 billion investment in the company was rumored and revealed, the stock has come back to earth and retraced all of those gains. At these levels, Target is an appealing investment opportunity. The stock is undervalued vs. its peers and possessing loads of free options, most importantly the potential for Ackman to unlock value.

Target looks like an incredible long-term investment and I've been contemplating adding it to my long term buy and hold portfolio for the last month.

Ackman's target position has 'limited downside' originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 22 Aug 2007 18:45:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Read | Permalink | Email this | Comments]]>ackmaninthenewspershing squarePershingSquaretargettgtWed, 22 Aug 2007 18:45:00 EST<![CDATA[IndyMac (IMB) resumes jumbo loans]]>http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/08/22/indymac-resumes-jumbo-loans/http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/08/22/indymac-resumes-jumbo-loans/http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/08/22/indymac-resumes-jumbo-loans/#commentsFiled under: , , ,

Thrift and mortgage bank IndyMac (NYSE: IMB) recently announced that it will return to the jumbo mortgage space after briefly halting its lending operations due to the chaos in the lending space over the last month. For those who aren't familiar with the term "jumbo loan," these are mortgages that are greater than $417,000 in size. They are recategorized because the government mortgage companies Fannie Mae (NYSE: FNM) and Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE) can't buy mortgages above this level

This re-entrance to the space symbolizes confidence on from the executives and brass at IndyMac. This move also makes great strategic sense for the company because prime borrowers are facing huge rate increases in the jumbo mortgage space, allowing IndyMac to demand a higher yearly payment for these loans.

Despite their large size, this lending is a rather low-risk activity when compared to the much-publicized subprime mortgages. They are typically made to high-earners with very strong credit and income history. With the ability to charge higher rates in the current market, lending in the prime jumbo mortgage space should be a very attractive line of business for IndyMac. However, I'd still wait for the dust to fully settle before getting involved with any of these mortgage companies.

IndyMac (IMB) resumes jumbo loans originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 22 Aug 2007 18:15:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Read | Permalink | Email this | Comments]]>fannie maeFannieMaefreddie macFreddieMacimbindymac bancorpIndymacBancorpWed, 22 Aug 2007 18:15:00 EST<![CDATA[Should you buy TD Ameritrade (AMTD) on the rumors?]]>http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/08/22/should-you-buy-td-ameritrade-amtd-on-the-rumors/http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/08/22/should-you-buy-td-ameritrade-amtd-on-the-rumors/http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/08/22/should-you-buy-td-ameritrade-amtd-on-the-rumors/#commentsFiled under: , , , ,

Shares of TD Ameritrade (NASDAQ: AMTD) are up roughly 3% today on higher-than-average volume as merger rumors are surrounding the company. The Wall Street Journal reported [subscription required] reported that the company is in talks with E*Trade Financial (NASDAQ: ETFC), supposedly considering a merger.

Should you buy into these rumors? In my opinion, I don't think it makes sense to ever buy a stock simply because the media is circulating buyout, merger, or any other rumors. When considering these situations, you need to step back, study the company, and make sure you're not overpaying for the prospects of the rumor.

Shares of TD Ameritrade sold off hard when the financial sector (as a whole) got hit on rate concerns during the last two months. This trade-off has put the stock at slightly less than 18x earnings. With Charles Schwab (NASDAQ: SCHW) fetching more than 19x earnings, there seems to be a small valuation discrepancy suggesting TD Ameritrade is undervalued. Why? TD Ameritrade is more profitable, expected to grow faster than Schwab in the next year, and grew more quickly than Schwab in the last several years.

More interestingly, TD Ameritrade is currently trading for less than 16x its earnings guidance for this year and less than 13x estimates for next year's earnings! Shares of Charles Schwab, on the other hand, are fetching more than 17x next year's earnings estimates. This huge forward discount makes no sense, in my opinion, and leads me to believe TD Ameritrade is undervalued, merger or no merger.

Continue reading Should you buy TD Ameritrade (AMTD) on the rumors?

Should you buy TD Ameritrade (AMTD) on the rumors? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 22 Aug 2007 15:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Read | Permalink | Email this | Comments]]>ameritradeamtdcharles schwabCharlesSchwabetetraderumorschwWed, 22 Aug 2007 15:30:00 EST<![CDATA[Investors underestimating the potential of Apple (AAPL) computers?]]>http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/08/22/investors-underestimating-the-potential-of-apple-computers/http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/08/22/investors-underestimating-the-potential-of-apple-computers/http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/08/22/investors-underestimating-the-potential-of-apple-computers/#commentsFiled under: ,

Investors following Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) are well-aware of the huge potential in the iPhone and the breathtaking success of the iPod, but are they underestimating the humongous potential of the company's computer segment? Fortune's editor-at-large seems to think so and, speaking from personal experience, I agree wholeheartedly that the company's computer business has done incredibly well in recent times and should continue to do so. Mac computers are gaining market share, visibility, and trust in the difficult U.S. computer market.

Apple computers are much easier to use and much more appealing to the eye than other mainstream computers (Dell, HP, etc.). Their size, seemingly fail-proof Airport Wireless programming and ease of use are especially appealing to students. As a result, Mac computers are quickly becoming the computer to have for high school and college students.

Mac users have much more loyalty than most computer brands. I don't know one person who has ever permanently switched away from their Mac. In fact, I bought a Mac laptop about six months ago and couldn't be more pleased with its performance. I guess the saying should go, "Once you go Mac you'll never go back!"

Mac computers are becoming incredibly popular where it matters -- consumers who are going to be buying the products for many years to come. College students, Generation Y, and hipsters are a very attractive market and Apple has captured them in the MP3 player, computer, and cell phone market.

Investors underestimating the potential of Apple (AAPL) computers? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 22 Aug 2007 14:53:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Read | Permalink | Email this | Comments]]>aaplappleinthenewsmacmac computerMacComputerWed, 22 Aug 2007 14:53:00 EST<![CDATA[Harvard endowment surges to nearly $35 billion]]>http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/08/22/harvard-endowment-surges-to-nearly-35-billion/http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/08/22/harvard-endowment-surges-to-nearly-35-billion/http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/08/22/harvard-endowment-surges-to-nearly-35-billion/#commentsFiled under:

From June 30, 2006 to June 30, 2007, Harvard's endowment returned 23%. With the market up less than 20% and the median institutional fund up 17.7%, these returns would be impressive for any hedge fund. But Harvard's endowment isn't a hedge fund. It's a diversified pool of investments totaling nearly $35 billion. This type of outperformance on $35 billion is unbelievable.

Huge outperformance at Harvard's endowment has allowed its size to surge above Yale's endowment, which amounts to just $18 billion. Harvard has become increasingly reliant on its endowment to cover costs related to running the school, according to the AP.

Interestingly, Yale's endowment manager David Swenson recently wrote a book, Unconventional Success: A Fundamental Approach to Personal Investment, in which he essentially advocated a diversified portfolio of index funds for the average investor.

Continue reading Harvard endowment surges to nearly $35 billion

Harvard endowment surges to nearly $35 billion originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 22 Aug 2007 14:27:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Read | Permalink | Email this | Comments]]>david swensonDavidSwensonendowment fundEndowmentFundHarvardharvard endowmentHarvardEndowmentYaleyale endowmentYaleEndowmentWed, 22 Aug 2007 14:27:00 EST<![CDATA[DryShips (DRYS) beats -- stock moves higher]]>http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/08/22/dryships-beats-stock-moves-higher/http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/08/22/dryships-beats-stock-moves-higher/http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/08/22/dryships-beats-stock-moves-higher/#commentsFiled under: , ,

About a month ago I wrote a post about DryShips (NASDAQ: DRYS), the drybulk shipping company that's been on fire during the last year. I argued that the stock was undervalued compared to its peer Teekay Shipping (NYSE: TK) and that the stock remained a buy at those levels. Since this post, the stock has had its up and downs but has managed to outperform both Teekay and the S&P 500.

After the bell Wednesday DryShips reported very strong earnings. For the quarter, excluding a one-time sale, the company earned $1.59 per share vs. analyst estimates of $1.34 per share. DryShips also reported notably strong revenues of $112.5 million vs. estimates of $98.7 million.

The company's CEO and chairman also said that "the outlook for 2008 remains positive with fewer vessels being delivered from the shipyards and Chinese demand projected to remain strong." This seems to confirm my original opinions of continued pricing power for the drybulk industry.

If DryShips can continue its beat-and-raise pattern I believe the stock will trade towards $75 per share in the next 2-3 quarters. However, the company's leverage is a double-edged sword and when times turn bad this stock stands to crash which is why it's imperative to keep a stop loss in place as I advocated in my first post.

The stock finished the day up nearly $2 per share then added $3.75 in gains in after hours trading. When times are good times, times are great for these momentum stocks.

DryShips (DRYS) beats -- stock moves higher originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 22 Aug 2007 08:15:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

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