FeedPosted Feb 9th 2010 5:20PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: General Electric (GE), Eaton Corp (ETN), Bargain Stocks, Chasing Value

This morning one of my colleagues,
Joseph Lazzaro, who heavily uses technical analysis, posted an article titled
General Cable Corp.: Stopped-Out. I have never used technical analysis to make investment decisions, but I have used charts for general long term trends examining a stock from a historical perspective. I think in the case of General Cable Corp. (
BGC) it may prove untimely to bail out now based on just technical analysis.
Continue reading Chasing Value: General Cable -- Can Something Be Too Cheap?
Posted Feb 9th 2010 2:30PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: Management, Hewlett-Packard (HPQ), Wal-Mart (WMT), JPMorgan Chase (JPM), AFLAC Inc (AFL), Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM), Campbell Soup (CPB), Chevron Corp (CVX), Chubb Corp (CB), ConocoPhillips (COP), CVS Corp (CVS), Darden Restaurants (DRI), Goldman Sachs Group (GS), Verizon Communications (VZ), duPont(E.I.)deNemours (DD), Kimberly-Clark (KMB), Lockheed Martin (LMT), Hasbro Inc (HAS), Entrepreneurs, Serious Money, Stock Screen, Raytheon Company (RTN), Xcel Energy (XEL), EZCORP (EZPW), Travelers Companies Inc. (TRV)

While most investors are fretting the markets recent contraction, you can be quite confident that "my pal Warren" has a smile on his face, as does Peter Lynch, Ken Heebner, Bill Miller, Bruce Berkowitz, and any number of fellow value investors that know now may be a time of opportunity. That is because they have the experience and understanding to pounce when they have a chance to buy things cheap.
This is the fourth installment of my series to discover just that: cheap stocks. If you would like to get on board from the beginning then review the initial post which screened for stocks with lower than market average P/E ratios, see
Serious Money: Market Looks Cheap to Me -- 35 Stocks. In the second installment, I looked at yield and PEG ratios:
Serious Money: Still Cheap Market -- 35 Stocks + Yields & Growth. Then I moved on to the the P/S and P/CF metrics in
Serious Money: Cheapest Stocks Yet -- From 35 to 26, cutting nine stocks.
Continue reading Serious Money: Cheapest Stocks List Shrinks from 26 to 21
Posted Feb 9th 2010 1:20PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: Major Movement, Earnings Reports, Good news, Money and Finance Today, Hasbro Inc (HAS), Chasing Value, Stock Screen, Stock Picks

Yesterday Hasbro, Inc. (
HAS) r
eported 2009 fourth quarter and full-year results.
For the fourth quarter 2009, the Company reported net revenues of $1.38 billion, an increase of $144.1 million or 12%, compared to $1.23 billion a year ago. 2009 fourth quarter revenues grew 7% excluding a $55.4 million positive impact of foreign exchange. The Company reported net earnings for the quarter of $165.6 million or $1.09 per diluted share,
an increase of $72.0 million or 77%, compared to $93.6 million or $0.62 per diluted share in 2008.
The strong results in a bad year support my contention that today's stock market, even in these uncertain times, does have plenty of bargains.
Continue reading Chasing Value: Hasbro Earnings Makes My Point
Posted Feb 4th 2010 3:20PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: Major Movement, Rants and Raves, General Motors (GM), Toyota Motor Corp. (TM), Market Matters, Headline News


All swans were thought to be white until someone happened to come across a black one. All Toyota's were thought to be well made until someone discovered, oh, say, maybe two million cars that might not be -- part of a cautionary vehicle recall.
If you are a shareholder of Toyota Motor Corp. (
TM) which past GM as the largest automobile manufacturer last year -- oddly, the same year it reported its first losses (along with everyone else) -- then you now have a first hand experience of the inherent problems or uselessness in trying to predict where trouble may arise.
Continue reading Toyota Shareholders Encounter the Black Swan
Posted Feb 3rd 2010 4:40PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: International Markets, Other Issues, Products and Services, Launches, Rants and Raves, Competitive Strategy, Microsoft (MSFT), Apple Inc (AAPL), Exxon Mobil (XOM), Market Matters, Next Big Thing, Technology
Shortly after the introduction of Apple, Inc.'s (AAPL) long anticipated iPad tablet computer I was quite surprised to receive an email from one of our more astute readers boldly stating "Game, set and match. See you at $300"
My immediate reaction was that this overly zealous stock trader and Apple enthusiast had let all reason escape his cranium. For me it reinforced how irrational investors are and how little they understand numbers. Apple stock will not reach $300 this year. Continue reading Apple $300 -- Not This Year!
Posted Feb 3rd 2010 10:40AM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: eBay (EBAY), Pfizer (PFE), Wal-Mart (WMT), International Business Machines (IBM), Johnson and Johnson (JNJ), JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Abbott Laboratories (ABT), AFLAC Inc (AFL), Altria Group (MO), Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM), AutoZone Inc (AZO), Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY), Campbell Soup (CPB), Chevron Corp (CVX), Chubb Corp (CB), ConocoPhillips (COP), CVS Corp (CVS), Darden Restaurants (DRI), Goldman Sachs Group (GS), General Mills (GIS), Verizon Communications (VZ), duPont(E.I.)deNemours (DD), Kimberly-Clark (KMB), Merck and Co (MRK), Lockheed Martin (LMT), Hasbro Inc (HAS), Serious Money, Stock Screen, Raytheon Company (RTN), Xcel Energy (XEL), EZCORP (EZPW), Travelers Companies Inc. (TRV)

Is the market overpriced? Maybe it is cheap, or perhaps it is fairly valued. This is the third in a series examining the issue. Still, it has been my contention that it does not make any difference because no matter how the market is valued as a whole, there are plenty of cheap stocks out there to accommodate a large amount of capital allocation even this deep into a bull run.
If you would like to follow along from the beginning, the initial post screened stocks for lower than market average P/E ratios:
Serious Money: Market Looks Cheap to Me -- 35 Stocks. In the second installment, I looked at yield and PEG ratios:
Serious Money: Still Cheap Market -- 35 Stocks + Yields & Growth.
Continue reading Serious Money: Cheapest Stocks Yet -- From 35 to 26
Posted Feb 1st 2010 2:50PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: Hewlett-Packard (HPQ), eBay (EBAY), Pfizer (PFE), Wal-Mart (WMT), International Business Machines (IBM), Johnson and Johnson (JNJ), JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Abbott Laboratories (ABT), AFLAC Inc (AFL), Altria Group (MO), Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM), AutoZone Inc (AZO), Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY), Campbell Soup (CPB), Chevron Corp (CVX), Chubb Corp (CB), ConocoPhillips (COP), CVS Corp (CVS), Darden Restaurants (DRI), Goldman Sachs Group (GS), General Mills (GIS), Verizon Communications (VZ), duPont(E.I.)deNemours (DD), Kimberly-Clark (KMB), Merck and Co (MRK), Lockheed Martin (LMT), Hasbro Inc (HAS), Serious Money, Stock Screen, Stocks to Buy, Raytheon Company (RTN), EZCORP (EZPW), Travelers Companies Inc. (TRV)

Let's try and reduce the gambling by examining the facts and ignoring what the bulls and bears are chatting up at the moment. We started the process by screening for lower than market average P/E ratios, see:
Serious Money: Market Looks Cheap to Me -- 35 Stocks.
Two more important criteria influence today's review: the yield, a favorite of
"my pal Warren"; and the price-to-earnings-to-growth (PEG) a focus of Peter Lynch, the retired fund manager extraordinaire of Fidelity's Magellan Fund.
Continue reading Serious Money: Still Cheap Market -- 35 Stocks + Yields & Growth
Posted Jan 28th 2010 3:00PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: Hewlett-Packard (HPQ), eBay (EBAY), Pfizer (PFE), Wal-Mart (WMT), International Business Machines (IBM), Johnson and Johnson (JNJ), JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Abbott Laboratories (ABT), AFLAC Inc (AFL), Altria Group (MO), Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM), Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY), Campbell Soup (CPB), Chevron Corp (CVX), Chubb Corp (CB), ConocoPhillips (COP), CVS Corp (CVS), Darden Restaurants (DRI), Goldman Sachs Group (GS), General Mills (GIS), duPont(E.I.)deNemours (DD), Kimberly-Clark (KMB), Merck and Co (MRK), Lockheed Martin (LMT), Hasbro Inc (HAS), Serious Money, Stock Screen, S and P 500, Xcel Energy (XEL), Travelers Companies Inc. (TRV)

We frequently receive comments that the market is overpriced. Recently one of our active readers commented that the market P/E was 30, which it's not. The
actual rate (S&P forecast) has been even higher at times due to the volatile market.
The average should trend closer to the long term P/E of 15.7 in the next few years. However, I have reviewed companies often covered on our site and come up with a list of 35 stocks that have price-to-earning ratios below the long-term average already. I think there are dozens of bargains regardless of the status of the overall market.
Continue reading Serious Money: Market Looks Cheap to Me -- 35 Stocks
Posted Jan 27th 2010 3:20PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: Management, Wal-Mart (WMT), Sears Holdings (SHLD), Wells Fargo (WFC), Chasing Value, Stocks to Buy, AOL (AOL)

If I was making my
2010 picks list today, I might have found a spot for Ross Stores (
ROST), the holding company for Ross Dress for Less. Analysts have a hold or market perform rating on the stock, but that is meaningless to me. What does have meaning is 20% sales growth in a dismal year, contributing to a PEG ratio of .75 and an under market P/E of 12.66 (averaging trailing and future figures).
These are very good numbers, however, in reviewing some of the data points with Raphael P., a helpful broker in the Pleasant Hill, CA Wells Fargo (
WFC) office, I was reminded that different financial sites have varying numbers. They usually vary by small fractions, as did the Wells data compared to the Aol (
AOL) Money and Finance site, so I would encourage investors to check multiple sources.
Continue reading Chasing Value: Ross Stores Discounting More Than Fashion
Posted Jan 26th 2010 2:30PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: Good news, Products and Services, Launches, Consumer Experience, Rants and Raves, Apple Inc (AAPL), Amazon.com (AMZN), Comic Relief

Tomorrow we are not going to see people landing on Mars, or North and South Korea unite, or the end of poverty and disease. However, the long awaited Apple (
AAPL) tablet computer will be unveiled and from all the excitement it has generated it might even be bigger news than that.
It seems every
one is anticipating that Apple's latest device will have the ability to balance the federal budget and eliminate the deficit. After all the hype anything less may disappoint.
Continue reading Rumored Apple Tablet Is Wowing Them Again
Posted Jan 18th 2010 2:00PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: Management, Industry, Competitive Strategy, Employees, Recession
We have been hovering around 10% unemployment nationally for a while now. That's about double what we experienced prior to the housing bubble burst and banking nightmare. In many places, unemployment is more severe, such as Detroit, where unemployment is more than twice the national average. Yet the stock market has been rising as if this doesn't matter at all.
Perhaps on some level it actually doesn't matter. What if it actually makes things better?
Continue reading High Unemployment Is Good for Stocks?
Posted Jan 3rd 2010 5:40PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: Forecasts, Rants and Raves, Competitive Strategy, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A), Indices, Getting Started, Sunday Funnies
A new year is upon us and like the beginnings of any year, and even more so, a decade, the predictions are flying fast and furious.
The start of 2010 is bringing out every analyst, talking head, business journalist, periodical and newsletter propagator, sportscaster, palm reader, taro card interpreter, astrologist, medium and madam making predictions to garner attention, entertain and even profit. Apologies to anyone I left out.
Continue reading Sunday Funnies: Predicting Nothing
Posted Dec 31st 2009 4:30PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: Forecasts, Competitive Strategy, General Electric (GE), Home Depot (HD), Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A), Getting Started, Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM), Options, Bargain Stocks, Chasing Value, Raytheon Company (RTN), E*TRADE (ETFC), EZCORP (EZPW), Williams Companies (WMB), Brasil Telecom (BTM) , Grubb and Ellis Co (GBE)
During my tenure at BloggingStocks I have expressed my opinion often about the contribution that dividends make to your overall return. Most shrewd investors, and especially "my pal Warren," know this and understand why I re-emphasize the point when I make my annual selections.
By now I hope you have had a chance to peruse my picks for 2010. If not the links below will give you another opportunity.
Continue reading Chasing Value: 2010 Dividends for Ten Stock Picks
Posted Dec 31st 2009 2:00PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: Competitive Strategy, Options, Chasing Value, E*TRADE (ETFC)
For the first time my annual picks will include a stock option. I have written numerous blogs this year about something called "naked puts" -- that is a sell to open put position -- committing me to buy a certain number of shares by a certain date if the closing price is less than the strike price.
In this case I have selected the E*TRADE (ETFC) January 2011, $2.50 puts last traded on December 28, 2009 at $0.97 for a 39% return. If it expires, as I am betting it will, by the third Friday of that month I have no further obligation.
This type of option transaction is not available to most investors. It is marginable, but you pay no interest.
Continue reading Chasing Value: 2010 -- #10 E-Trade 'Naked Put'
Posted Dec 31st 2009 1:20PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: International Markets, Brazil, Bargain Stocks, Chasing Value, Stocks to Buy, Brasil Telecom (BTM)
The Olympics are coming! The Olympics are coming to Brasil Telecom (BTM) -- well actually to Rio de Janeiro, where BTM is headquartered, in the summer of 2016.
This company came to my attention while screening mid-caps for yield, currently a healthy 7.81% (not distributed quarterly) and a very low price-to-sales ratio of 0.52. This first glance was followed by more scrutiny with an interest in Brazilian companies for potential growth and diversification.
Continue reading Chasing Value: 2010 -- #9 Brasil Telecom
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