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Aflac's recent stock price rise is no accident

The market's flight-to-safety in late 2008/early 2009 spared few sectors, and it did not exempt the insurance sector, the upside of which is an insurance value or two for investors, and Aflac is one.

Aflac Incorporated (NYSE: AFL) is another one of those insurers that was rudely treated by Wall Street during the panic and paranoia that gripped markets with the onset of the global financial crisis. And it was rude: the Street took AFL's shares from a high of $68 to about $11, basically on the fear that Alfac would incur major losses from European bank hybrid bonds, including the threat of bank nationalization. To be sure, given the opaqueness surrounding much of the financial crisis, an AFL hair-cut was in order, but an 80% price drop? Please.

Continue reading Aflac's recent stock price rise is no accident

The week in preview: High hopes for MasterCard, Avon, Aflac, Northrop Grumman

If you've been watching earnings this past week, or if you read last week's Week in Preview, then this coming week may leave you feeling a bit like Bill Murray in Groundhog's Day. That is, again analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters expect earnings declines to be more frequent and deeper than earnings gains.

Motorola Inc. (NYSE: MOT), Dow Chemical Co. (NYSE: DOW), Anadarko Petroleum Corp. (NYSE: APC), IAC Interactivecorp (NASDAQ: IACI), Moody's Corp. (NYSE: MCO), Elizabeth Arden Inc. (NASDAQ: RDEN), Devon Energy Corp. (NYSE: DVN), Diebold Inc. (NYSE: DBD), Tyco International Ltd. (NYSE: TYC), United Parcel Service (NYSE: UPS), Cisco Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: CSCO), Polo Ralph Lauren Corp. (NYSE: RL), ITT Corp. (NYSE: ITT), and Walt Disney Co. (NYSE: DIS) are scheduled to report quarterly results this week, and they're all expected to report double-digit declines in earnings.

But again this week, let's take a look who Wall Street feels may have done well in the past quarter.

Continue reading The week in preview: High hopes for MasterCard, Avon, Aflac, Northrop Grumman

Dividend stocks; the S&P elite, when will tax changes come?, and Obama mementos a good investment? - Today in Money 11/7

In the News:

Dividend Stocks: The S&P Elite
These 28 companies have boosted their payouts in each of the past 25 years with top S&P STARS rankings. They include Abbott Labs, Aflac, Coca-Cola, ExxonMobil, Family Dollar, J&J, Kimberly-Clark, McDonalds, Pepsi, P&G, 3M, Wal-Mart and more.
http://www.businessweek.com/investor/content/nov2008/pi2008116_893947.htm

Tax Changes Coming, But When?

Taxpayers' bills will very likely change under President-elect Barack Obama's administration, but don't hold your breath for major tax changes as soon as he takes office. Here is what you can expect and when.
http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/Obamas-plans-may-delayed-your/story.aspx?guid=%7B06D020A6%2D9797%2D4B89%2DB48C%2D6037BDA934FD%7D

Continue reading Dividend stocks; the S&P elite, when will tax changes come?, and Obama mementos a good investment? - Today in Money 11/7

Cramer on BloggingStocks: Buy Procter, General Mills all the way down

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says the safety theme will come back if only because these companies' earnings will be good in six months.

Editor's note: Jim Cramer will present his 2009 stock outlook for the first time at TheStreet.com Investment Conference on Saturday, Oct. 25. Click for details.

Now they come after the Procter & Gambles (NYSE: PG) (Cramer's Take) and the General Mills (NYSE: GIS) (Cramer's Take) and the like, betting that the action will be better in the cyclicals with all of this money being printed worldwide.

Commodities are also coming back because of reflation. And we have to feel that many of the infra and ag names are finally sold out by the hedge fund redemptions.

Here I am speaking of a Freeport McMoRan (NYSE: FCX) (Cramer's Take), with its good yield and a belief that the hedge funds are at last done.

I don't buy it. I like a balanced portfolio, but I want to buy the GIS/PG all the way down because we are going into a recession, not going out of one. These companies pay dividends, raise dividends and have great commodity tailwinds.

Colgate's (NYSE: CL) (Cramer's Take) down a lot too, and I am liking that one.

Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: Buy Procter, General Mills all the way down

Forbes expert 'quacks' for Aflac (AFL)

Aflac (NYSE: AFL) is a new addition to the "Borderless Portfolio" maintained by global expert John Christy. Here's the latest from his industry-leading Forbes International Investment Report.

"If you own a television, chances are you're quite familiar with the infamous squawking duck in Aflac's commercials. Aflac has also been in the news lately as the first American company to give shareholders a 'say on pay', or the ability to vote on executive compensation.

"Less well known, however, is Aflac's huge presence in the Japanese insurance market. In 2007, roughly
75% of the company's pre-tax operating earnings were generated in Japan.

"Alfac has been doing business in Japan for more than 30 years, and one in four Japanese households has an Aflac insurance policy. In Japan, Aflac sells healthcare policies for certain things that aren't covered by the national healthcare system, as well as life insurance. And, yes, they have a talking duck in their ads over there too.

"At a time when many financial companies are reporting massive write-offs, Aflac reiterated its target of 15% earnings growth this year, and double-digit growth in 2009. Aflac Japan is doing its part to help drive this growth with 19% operating earnings growth in the first quarter of 2008."

Each day, Steven Halpern's TheStockAdvisors.com offers the latest market commentary and favorite investment ideas from the nation's leading financial newsletter advisors.

Analyst initiations: DSCM, SCMR and AFL

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Drugstore.com, Sycamore and Aflac were today's noteworthy initiations:
  • Kaufman Bros. believes Drugstore.com (NASDAQ: DSCM) is well-positioned for long-term growth and significant margin expansion, led by share gains in the OTC and prestige beauty verticals. The firm started shares with a Buy rating and $3.25 target.
  • Merriman initiated Sycamore (NASDAQ: SCMR) with a Neutral rating and prefers to be on the sidelines given the company's concentrated customer base and lack of clarity on strategic priorities and ongoing business operations.
  • SunTrust Robinson expects the Aflac's (NYSE: AFL) cancer insurance policies in Japan to benefit from concerns about the national health system. Shares were assumed with a Buy rating and $79 target.
OTHER INITIATIONS:
  • Caris initiated Mylan (NYSE: MYL) with a Buy rating and $18 target.
  • NetSuite (NYSE: N) was assumed with a Hold rating and $22 target at Deutsche Bank.
  • Stanford initiated Time Warner (NYSE: TWX) with a Buy rating and $20 target.

Berkshire Hathaway, Aflac and RBC among best financials, says CNNMoney

Over the past year, we have been hearing a lot of bad news about investment banks and insurers. The slumping housing market, credit crunch and subprime mortgage troubles have been leading the headlines, so many of you are probably shying away from financial stocks as almost all the banks have been getting only bad publicity lately.

In the light of those worries about safe investments, CNNMoney is asking us to reconsider our opinions, claiming that there really are some quality stocks in these challenging financial times.

Berkshire Hathaway tops the list, mainly because of its CEO Warren Buffett, who has the experience of surviving previous recessions. While some investors may have impression that the company has a lot of tough times ahead, CNNMoney sees Berkshire with a lot of capital, which could be enough to steer it through the current economic storm. To support this argument, CNNMoney cites Keppler Asset management CIO Michael Keppler, who is convinced that Berkshire will be able to beat the difficult market.

Continue reading Berkshire Hathaway, Aflac and RBC among best financials, says CNNMoney

Aflac is first US company to give shareholders a say on pay

So shareholders of Aflac (NYSE: AFL) had a really cool idea: wouldn't it be cool if the owners of the company got to have some say in how the top employees at the company were compensated?

I know: blasphemy. But on Monday the company best known for a duck voiced by Gilbert Gottfried became the first company to give its shareholders a say on pay. The result? A big fat nothing. More than 93% of shareholders approved of the $11.96 million compensation package that CEO Daniel P. Amos received for 2007. During Mr. Amos' 18-years at the helm, the stock has appreciated more than 3,000%. So here's a guy who deserves his big payday.

Amazingly, most shareholder resolutions suggesting say-on-pay proposals have been opposed by management and voted down by large institutional shareholders. It's hard to understand given that the votes are simply advisory. Why shouldn't the board hear how shareholders feel about the work of the compensation committee?

But with 93% of voters approving the CEO's package, the say on pay deal at Aflac changes nothing, which is not surprising. Companies that have strong enough corporate governance and shareholders awake enough to demand a say on pay are not likely to suffer from egregious pay problems. The executive compensation outhouses like Countrywide Financial (NYSE: CFC) would never have votes like this.

Financial stocks to love, Best drugstores in U.S. and Big Mac's local flavor - Today in Money 5/6

In the News:

Financial Stocks to Love
The subprime mortgage meltdown and resulting credit crisis have slammed financial stocks recently. But there are still some diamonds in the rough. They include Berkshire Hathaway, RBS, AFLAC, Raymond James and BOK.
Financial stocks we love - CNNMoney.com

Big Mac's Local Flavor
Once vilified for pushing America on the world, McDonald's lets countries invent their own buns, bags, and business practices. Now some ideas are making their way back home.
Big Mac's local flavor - FORTUNE

Continue reading Financial stocks to love, Best drugstores in U.S. and Big Mac's local flavor - Today in Money 5/6

Aflac shareholders can quack on executive pay

Aflac (NYSE: AFL), which is a major insurer, has an off-beat message – at least, according to its commercials (which involve a noisy duck).

Well, the company has made some history this week. That is, the shareholders can vote "yes" or "no" on executive compensation.

While it is non-binding, it is still important. If anything, its recognition from Aflac that its shareholders have a say on things.

Funny enough, the company really doesn't need this in terms of pacifying shareholders. After all, Aflac has been a solid performer.

However, does this mean we'll see other firms join in the trend? Perhaps some. But, when it comes to giving up a little power, you're likely to see lots of resistance in the boardroom.

Tom Taulli is the author of various books, including The Complete M&A Handbook and The Edgar Online Guide to Decoding Financial Statements. He also operates MergerBook.com.

Earnings highlights: Bank of America, Merck, Mattel, Phillip Morris, AFLAC and others

Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

Continue reading Earnings highlights: Bank of America, Merck, Mattel, Phillip Morris, AFLAC and others

Aflac (AFL) rises as Q1 earnings beat estimates

AFL logoAFLAC Inc. (NYSE: AFL) shares are trading higher after the company posted a first-quarter profit of $474 million, or 98 cents per share, above analysts' estimates of 96 cents per share. If you think that the stock won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on AFL.

After hitting a one-year low of $48.79 last April, the stock hit a one-year high of $68.81 last week. AFL opened this morning at $66.26. So far today the stock has hit a low of $66.23 and a high of $67.85. As of 10:15, AFL is trading at $67.42, up $2.34 (3.6%). The chart for AFL looks bullish and steady, while S&P gives the stock its highest 5 STARS (out of 5) strong buy rating.

For a bullish hedged play on this stock, I would consider an August bull-put credit spread below the $55 range. A bull-put credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of put options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make a 6.4% return in just four months as long as AFL is above $55 at August expiration. Evergreen would have to fall by more than 18% before we would start to lose money. Learn more about this type of trade here.

AFL hasn't been below $55 since October and has shown support around $61 recently. This trade could be risky if the slumping economy continues, but even if that happens, this position could be protected by the support the stock might find from its 200-day moving average, which is currently around $60 and rising.

Brent Archer is an options analyst and writer at Investors Observer.

DISCLOSURE: Mr. Archer owns and/or controls diversified portfolios of long and short stock and option positions that may include holdings in companies he writes about. At publication time, Brent neither owns nor controls positions in AFL.

Analyst downgrades: RAM Holdings, State Street, Ericsson

MOST NOTEWORTHY: RAM Holdings, State Street and Ericsson were today's noteworthy downgrades:

  • Banc of America downgraded shares of RAM Holdings (NASDAQ: RAMR) to Neutral from Buy as they believe the company could have increasing loss provisions related to RMBS and CDO exposure over the next several quarters.
  • State Street (NYSE: STT) was cut to Market Perform from Outperform at Keefe Bruyette on valuation and difficult comparisons in the second half of 2008.
  • HSBC downgraded Ericsson (NASDAQ: ERIC) to Neutral from Overweight and prefers Nokia (NYSE: NOK) at current levels.

OTHER DOWNGRADES:

Early analyst calls: CHL, CROX

UBS cut Aflac (NYSE: AFL) to "neutral," according to MartketWatch.

Deutsche Bank upgraded China Mobile (NYSE: CHL) to "buy" from "hold," according to Briefing.com. The financial site also reports that JP Morgan downgraded Crocs (NASDAQ: CROX) from "overweight" to "neutral."

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

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Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA-223.328,280.74
NASDAQ-49.201,796.52
S&P 500-26.91896.42

Last updated: July 06, 2009: 08:33 AM

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