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Analyst downgrades: WB, AIG, BT, NOK, ERIC, ALU, TWTI, T

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Wachovia, American International Group and BT Group were today's noteworthy downgrades:
  • Oppenheimer downgraded shares of Wachovia (NYSE: WB) to Underperform from Perform as they believe the outlook is "bleak" for equity shareholders. The firm thinks Wachovia's expenses can't come down fast enough too offset earnings erosion.
  • Wachovia downgraded shares of American International Group (NYSE: AIG) to Market Perform from Outperform as they believe AIG's CDO valuations worsened in Q2, which could result in a $2B-$7B after tax "valuation adjustment." Wachovia expects the value of AIG's core insurance franchise to be obscured by its credit exposure.
  • Collins Stewart cut BT Group (NYSE: BT) to Hold from Buy on concerns surrounding the company's fiber network expansion.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:
  • Nokia (NYSE: NOK) was downgraded to Add from Buy at WestLB; the firm also lowered Ericsson (NASDAQ: ERIC) to Hold from Buy and Alcatel-Lucent (NYSE: ALU) to Sell from Hold.
  • Third Wave (NASDAQ: TWTI) was cut to Hold from Buy at Deutsche Bank.
  • AT&T (NYSE: T) was removed from Goldman's Conviction Buy List.

Analyst upgrades: NCR, MDVN, TEVA, MMC, RATE, ALU

MOST NOTEWORTHY: NCR Corp, Medivation and Teva Pharma were today's noteworthy upgrades:
  • Baird upgraded NCR Corp (NYSE: NCR) to Outperform from Neutral following its North American ATM managers survey that indicates a solid ATM environment and opportunity for margin improvement.
  • Rodman & Renshaw upgraded Medivation (NASDAQ: MDVN) to Outperform from Market Perform citing valuation of the firm's pipeline given recent catalyst of positive Phase II results in Huntington's disease with lead candidate, Dimebon.
  • Goldman added Teva Pharma (NASDAQ: TEVA) to its Conviction Buy List citing valuation, upcoming catalysts, and defensive characteristics.
OTHER UPGRADES:
  • Marsh & McLennan (NYSE: MMC) was raised to Buy from Hold at Citigroup.
  • RBC lifted Bankrate (NASDAQ: RATE) to Outperform from Sector Perform.
  • Alcatel-Lucent (NYSE: ALU) was upgraded at WestLB to Hold from Sell.

Analyst upgrades: SYMC, CFNL and BP

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Symantec, Cardinal Financial and BP Plc were today's noteworthy upgrades:
  • ThinkPanmure upgraded Symantec (NASDAQ:SYMC) to Buy from Accumulate based on improved execution, stable growth in core business, and ramping competitive position in some high-growth businesses.
  • Baird upgraded Cardinal Financial (NASDAQ:CFNL) to Outperform from Neutral based on valuation, the company's favorable credit risk profile in Northern Virginia, and its excess capital position.
  • Societe Generale raised BP Plc (NYSE: BP) to Hold from Sell as it believes the bad news is priced into shares and earnings could be better than expected.
OTHER UPGRADES:

Early analyst calls (ALU) (GOOG) (TWX)

Alcatel-Lucent (NYSE:ALU) was raised to "neutral" from "underperform" at Merrill Lynch, according to 24/7 Wall St. The financial website also reports that Whole Foods Market (NASDAQ:WFMI) was cut to "neutral" from "buy" at UBS.

Citigroup added Google (NASDAQ:GOOG) to its Top Picks Live list, according to Briefing.com. The news service reports that Time Warner (NYSE:TWX) was also added to the list.

Societe Generale raised its rating on BP (NYSE:BP) to "hold" from "sell" according to MarketWatch.

Douglas A. McIntyre

Closing Bell: PPI, banks, tanks

Any relief we would have been seen in financial stocks was knocked down by a solid PPI reading and by more worries about banking stocks. We also saw a report from The Federal Reserve reporting that industrial productions fell by -0.2% in May, and plants were running at the lowest capacity in almost three years at 79.4%. As you'd expect, we also saw a decline of -3.3% in new housing starts to an annual rate of 975,000, and that represented more than a 10-year low. These are the unofficial closing bell levels for major US index levels:
And the best news of all may be if you believe T. Boone Pickens comment that oil speculators aren't helping the increase in oil prices.

Continue reading Closing Bell: PPI, banks, tanks

Pre-market movers (BCS) (ALU)

Barclays (NYSE:BCS) is up about 5% on news that interest rates are unlikely to rise in the UK.

Alcatel-Lucent (NYSE:ALU) is up about 4% on news it has gotten a $1 billion contract from China Mobile (NYSE:CHL).

Infinera (NASDAQ:INFN) is down 25% after revising its growth forecast down.

La-Z-Boy (NYSE:LZB) is down over 12% on a report of a quarterly loss.

Stocks may trade differently in the pre-market than they do in the regular session.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Pre-market movers: CMGI, ALU

CMGI (NASDAQ: CMGI) is off almost 15% after posting poor earnings.

ArcelorMittal (NYSE: MT) is down about 4% after news that it will open new mining operations.

Alcatel-Lucent (NYSE: ALU) is off 2% without any obvious news.

Petro-Hawk (NYSE: HK) is up almost 3% after positive comments from Jim Cramer.

Stocks may trade differently in the pre-market than they do in the regular session.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Alcatel-Lucent's deal from Hell

When Alcatel and Lucent agreed to merge in April 2006, there were the typical phrases in the press release: "new growth opportunities," "cost synergies," "global convergence," "increased scale," "global capabilities" and so on. Oh, and yes, it would "create enhanced value for shareholders."

Yet, there was something that was curious. The CEO of the new entity, Patricia Russo, said she would not learn French, even though Alcatel was based in France. Might this be a sign that there would be some cultural issues?

Alas, the fact remains that the benefits of the deal haven't materialized as Alcatel-Lucent's (NYSE: ALU) stock price has gone from $14.50 to $7.50.

Well, this week, Alcatel-Lucent had its annual meeting. No doubt, it wasn't fun as shareholders provided an earful. After all, the company had to write down $4.55 billion in asset value because of the merger (there were also thousands of layoffs).

Interestingly enough, shareholders passed a resolution that allows Alcatel-Lucent's board to rid its chairman/CEO with a majority vote instead of a two-thirds of a vote.

Unfortunately, I don't see this amounting to much. Keep in mind that -- with consolidation of wireless carriers -- its tough for equipment providers to get any leverage. Plus, the competition is still intense.

By the way, Russo apparently is learning to speak French now. And she even spoke some words at the meeting. However, she will need to learn a more important language: profits.

Tom Taulli is the author of various books, including The Complete M&A Handbook and The Edgar Online Guide to Decoding Financial Statements. He also operates MergerBook.com.

Analyst upgrades: ALU, OPXT and AXL

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Alcatel-Lucent, Opnext and American Axle were today's noteworthy upgrades:
  • Goldman upgraded shares of Alcatel-Lucent (NYSE:ALU) to Neutral from Sell to reflect the recovery of U.S. corporate bond yields which they believe is positive for the company's long-term pension liability. Goldman also thinks analyst estimates may have bottomed.
  • Thomas Weisel raised Opnext (NASDAQ:OPXT) to Overweight from Market Weight after their research indicated an acceleration in optical communications component industry revenue growth.
  • Deutsche Bank upgraded American Axle (NYSE:AXL) to Buy from Hold to reflect the cost savings from the UAW contract.
OTHER UPGRADES:

Earnings highlights: Verizon, Comcast, CBS, DreamWorks, IAC, Kodak and others

Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

Continue reading Earnings highlights: Verizon, Comcast, CBS, DreamWorks, IAC, Kodak and others

Recovery? Not these stocks, getting double-digit returns at home & retiring in a recession - Today in Money 4/30

In the News

Recovery? Not These Stocks
Not all stocks in battered sectors will bounce back in a second-half economic upturn. Here are some that could be left behind.
Recovery? Not for These Stocks - BusinessWeek

Egypt's Bread Lines Highlight Dangers of Food Crisis
Well before 8 o'clock on a late April morning, a line of about 30 eager customers forms at a modest bakery in this working-class neighborhood. With a global food crisis roiling countries from Asia to the edge of Europe, at least 11 people have been killed recently in such lines here, struggling to get their daily bread.
Tension in Egypt shows potency of food crisis - USATODAY.com

Continue reading Recovery? Not these stocks, getting double-digit returns at home & retiring in a recession - Today in Money 4/30

Before the bell: GM, ALU, T, AAPL, KFT, MSFT, YHOO, AMR

Before the bell: Futures lower ahead of Fed, data; flurry of earnings on its way

General Motors Corp. (NYSE: GM) reported a staggering $3.3 billion loss in its first-quarter, due in part to a weak U.S. market, a strike at a major supplier and plummeting sales of sport utility vehicles and pickups. While the loss amounted to $5.74 per share, GM's adjusted results are a loss of $350 million, or 62 cents per share, handily beating analysts' expectations of a $1.60 loss per share. Still, compared to last year, when the automaker had earned $62 million, or 11 cents a share, the results are far from stellar especially when considering that GM's revenue slipped despite being up 20% outside North America. GM shares are up about 3.5% in premarket trading.

Alcatel-Lucent (NYSE: ALU) also reported a loss Wednesday morning, its fifth straight quarterly loss and said it expected annual revenues to fall while scaling back its market forecast for 2008. Shares of ALU are down nearly 8% in premarket trading.

According to Fortune, AT&T (NYSE: T) is planning to cut the price by as much as $200 on Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) iPhone when the new 3G model comes out this summer. Subsidizing the phone by that much will cut the price to $199 to for customers who sign two-year contracts, the Fortune source says.

Continue reading Before the bell: GM, ALU, T, AAPL, KFT, MSFT, YHOO, AMR

Pre-market movers (GM) (ALU) (GRMN)

GM (NYSE:GM) is up 4% on strong earnings.

Panera Bread (NASDAQ:PNRA) is trading up over 7% on good numbers.

Alcatel-Lucent (NYSE:ALU) is off 8% on a weaker-than-expected forecast.

Garmin (NASDAQ:GRMN) is down over 5% on news that it had missed earnings estimates.

Stocks may trade differently in the pre-market than they do the regular session.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Big rally opens Europe, Barclays (BCS) up 10%

Markets in Europe rose sharply at 4:40 AM New York time.

The FTSE was up 3.3% to 5,678. Barclays (NYSE: BCS) was up 10.2% to 472.75. Lloyds was up 7.1% to 465.

The DAXX rose 3.2% to 6,519. Deustche Bank (NYSE: DB) was up 5% to 73.78 marks. Siemens (NYSE: SI) was up 2.5% to 58.7.

The CAC 40 traded up 3.2% to 4,680. Alcatel-Lucent (NYSE: ALU) was up 4.7% to 3.54 francs. AXA (NYSE: AXA) was up 4.6% to 22.05.

Data from Reuters.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Don't invest in what you know: a dozen disaster blue chips

I'm glad all these "blue chip stocks" are blowing up. No, I don't enjoy seeing investors suffer, but as I've written about here, here and here, investors need to learn not trust any company or anybody in this business. Investors don't even have to remain invested all the time! Contrary to the advice of fee-earnings-professionals, the majority of whom continually fail to match the S&P 500's returns, you don't have to manage your money like a $500 million mutual fund. Diversification is for widows and orphans!

While it'll probably take me a few years to truly get through to all of you, if you've been invested for any length of time in any company listed below-considering what you've been through-you're probably more likely to believe me:

Merrill Lynch & Co. Inc (NYSE: MER)
The Bear Stearns Companies (NYSE: BSC)
Citigroup Inc (NYSE: C)
MF Global Ltd (NYSE: MF)
E*Trade Financial Corp (NASDAQ: ETFC)
Sirius Satellite Radio Inc (NASDAQ: SIRI)
Bank of America (NYSE: BAC)
Washington Mutual Inc (NYSE: WM)
Thornburg Mortgage Inc. (NYSE: TMA)
Alcatel-Lucent (NYSE: ALU)
Sprint Nextel Corp. (NYSE: S)
Intel Corp. (NASDAQ: INTC)

Continue reading Don't invest in what you know: a dozen disaster blue chips

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DJIA+49.9111,496.57
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S&P 500+0.361,260.68

Last updated: July 20, 2008: 07:10 AM

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