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Before the bell: Stocks to rally; FNM, MO, LEH, BA, WM, AAPL...

Stock futures jumped higher, signaling a stock markets could have a significant rally when they open this morning Monday morning. Investors were relieved the government bailed out Fannie Mae (NYSE: FNM) and Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE), taking over the mortgage financiers giants, perhaps triggering a bottom of the credit crisis as trillions of dollars in mortgage-backed securities won't default now.

Still, Merrill Lynch analysts said Monday they believe it's still too early for investors to be overweight in financial stocks. Instead, rallies in the sector should still be used as opportunities to sell, Merrill said. The Fannie/Freddie bailout is solution to a one-off problem rather than solution of a systemic problem, it added. Indeed, it was only Friday that regulators shut down the 11th bank this year, Silver State Bank. There is no pre-market trading on FNM and FRE stocks. Analyst calls at the end.

Meanwhile, adding to positive sentiment, Altria (NYSE: MO) closed the deal talked about Friday to buy smokeless tobacco maker UST (NYSE: UST) for $11.7 billion, including the assumption of $1.3 billion in assumed debt. That's $69.50 per share in cash, which is a 29% premium to its three-month average stock price. Altria expects the acquisition to increase adjusted diluted earnings per share within twelve months of closing. Altria stock is trading 1.3% higher in pre-market trading.

And another deal is in the works as ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP) has agreed to pay up to $8 billion for a half-share in the coal seam gas assets of Australia's Origin Energy Ltd. Origin will handle the coal seam gas production while ConocoPhillips will operate the downstream refinery.

Continue reading Before the bell: Stocks to rally; FNM, MO, LEH, BA, WM, AAPL...

Before the bell: Further declines; MER downgraded, SNDK may be bought, BA, DELL, MO ...

U.S. stock futures are pointing to further declines following a rough session where the Dow plunged 344 points and ahead of the jobs report mostly feared to show weakness in the labor market. Non-farm payroll is expected to show a job loss of 75,000 but the unemployment remain unchanged. Meanwhile, international markets sank following U.S. markets. Also affecting mood this morning is Goldman's call to sell Merrill Lynch.

Goldman Sachs downgraded Merrill Lynch & Co. (NYSE: MER) to Sell from Neutral and added the firm to its conviction sell list. MER stock is plunging 6.6% in pre-market trading. Goldman said valuation and the likelihood of further write-downs are the reasons. Goldman also lowered its third-quarter EPS forecast to a loss of $5.75 a share.

SanDisk (NASDAQ: SNDK) shares are shooting up 26% in pre-market trading after Samsung Electronics said it may buy the flash memory maker. There are no concrete announcements or details as to price yet.

And at Boeing (NYSE: BA), the company continues to negotiate with labor leaders to avert an expensive strike it cannot afford. Negotiators and mediators are trying to work to avert the strike voted for by the union during the 48 hour extension.

Continue reading Before the bell: Further declines; MER downgraded, SNDK may be bought, BA, DELL, MO ...

Short sellers flee Intel (INTC)

Very few companies had a decrease in the size of their shares sold short as Intel (NASDAQ: INTC) had. The numbers compare data from July 31 with figures from August 15.

The change is a bit odd because Intel's shares trade in the middle of their 52-week price range, changing hands at $23.15. So far this year, the company's stock price is down almost 15%.

There is evidence that PC sales are growing. Hewlett Packard (NYSE: HP) recently announced earnings. Its computer business did well, especially in Asia. Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) cannot build enough Macs. All of that may mean that the market undervalues Intel's potential earnings over the next few quarters.

Intel is also picking up market share from smaller rival AMD (NYSE: AMD), which is struggling with a large debt load. If the AMD situation worsens, Intel is likely to get a significant benefit.

Some investors may also be willing to bet that Intel's move into chips for small portable devices, little computers slightly larger and more powerful than cellphones, will pay off.

Whatever the reason, the gambles that Intel's stock will fall are falling themselves.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Before the bell: Stocks mixed; AIG, RTP, AMD, FRE, LEH ...

Stock futures were mixed Monday morning, indicating stock would start on a down note a week full of economic data. This morning, investors are focusing on rising oil prices and existing home sales data to be released at 10:00 a.m. EDT. Also, over the weekend, Federal Reserve Chairman Bernanke commented from the Fed's yearly retreat, saying that problems in credit markets not yet over and are a threat to economy. Meanwhile, economists are saying inflation is catching up to the credit crisis as the major concern for the economy.

American International Group's (NYSE: AIG) credit ratings may be downgraded by Fitch due to uncertainties over AIG's exposure to mortgage backed securities. AIG was down 1.5% in after-hours Friday.

The Australian government approved Chinalco 14.99% stake in Rio Tinto's (NYSE: RTP) but warned the Chinese firm against buying more shares without prior approval. Alcoa (NYSE: AA) backed the purchase. RTP shares were up over 1% in Australian trading.

Broadcom Corp. (NASDAQ: BRCM) will pay around $192.8 million in cash to acquire chipmaker Advanced Micro Devices Inc.'s (NYSE: AMD) digital TV business, the companies announced Monday.

Continue reading Before the bell: Stocks mixed; AIG, RTP, AMD, FRE, LEH ...

Before the bell: Stocks to start lower; SPLS drops; HD higher; TGT, HPQ on tap

U.S. stock futures were lower Tuesday morning, indicating stocks would likely start the same. Investors' concerns about the financial sector dampened sentiment, but oil prices continued to decline and could offset some of the negative mood. Still, housing and inflation data are on tap before the market opens today. And of course earnings with The Home Depot already beating investors' expectations this morning but with Staples issuing a warning.

A day after smaller Lowe's (NYSE: LOW) reported a profit drop, The Home Depot (NYSE: HD) followed suit, reporting a 24% profit decline for the second quarter. It held onto its earnings outlook as second-quarter net fell 24% to $1.2 billion, or 71 cents per share. Sales declined 5.4% to $21 billion. Analysts had projected earnings per share of 61 cents on revenue of $20.58 billion. Home Depot shares rose 2% in premarket trading.

Other retailers scheduled to release earnings include discounter Target (NYSE: TGT) -- could it follow Wal-Mart's results? -- while Hewlett-Packard (NYSE: HPQ) is to report after the close -- AP preview.

Meanwhile, Staples, Inc. (NASDAQ: SPLS) issued a profit warning, saying that "Challenging market conditions continued during the company's second quarter, resulting in weaker than anticipated results in Staples' pre-acquisition business." Staples said sales increased approximately 3% and earnings per share decreased approximately 15% yoy. Shares of Staples declined nearly 6.5% in premarket trading.

Continue reading Before the bell: Stocks to start lower; SPLS drops; HD higher; TGT, HPQ on tap

Nvidia, finally a stock buyback that works

Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) turned in putrid earnings. It also announced that it would buy back a ton of its own shares.

The graphics chip company took a charge of nearly $200 million in its last quarter for product problems. Nvidia also admitted it did not see strong competition coming from rival AMD (NYSE: AMD). Nvidia lost $120 million in the quarter and revenue dropped slightly. Under most circumstances, especially in a weak market, the company's shares would be punished.

But according to The Wall Street Journal, "On a positive note, Nvidia announced a $1 billion increase to its stock-buyback program." For a company with a market cap of only $6 billion that is a big deal.

Share buybacks often do not do much for a company's stock price, but in a market where earnings are having a rough time in most sectors, the idea that EPS can be pushed up by a falling number of shares in the float could become more attractive. It is a form of "reverse dilution," which could find a new place in a bear market.

Nvidia share shares rose 10% after hours [shares are rising 6% in premarket as of 8:10 a.m.]. It may be a signal to management at other companies that buybacks are a sign that a firm thinks its shares are undervalued. The market cares more about that than it used to.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Intel (INTC) looks toward new markets

Intel (NASDAQ: INTC) knows that the market for basic server and PC chips will not grow as fast over the next five years as it did over the last five. The economy plus high market penetration will see to that.

So, Intel is looking to new markets to save its bacon. It has already entered the segment for relatively low-powered chips for handheld "computers." Whether that business will ultimately be large is anyone's guess.

According to The Wall Street Journal, the world's largest chip company "is providing the first details of a chip technology that is designed to help break into new markets, starting with high-end graphics used for computer games and animation." This technology will help higher end PCs run games and video content.

With Intel's balance sheet and big share of the current PC market, the announcement could spell gigantic trouble for AMD (NYSE: AMD) and Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA). A little over two years ago AMD bought graphics chip company ATI. So far, the deal has been a bust.

Concerns that the graphics chip market could get crowded and that margins could be under pressure have already driven AMD and Nvidia to recent 52-week lows. Over the last year, Intel shares are off about 5%. Shares in the other two companies are down over 60%. With Intel coming into the market, that could actually get worse.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com

Spokesperson fiasco #4: Michael Vick and Nike

This post is part of a series on celebrity spokespeople who ended up doing serious harm to the brands they were hired to promote, or vice versa. See how we rank the 20 top spokesperson fiascos.

Before Michael Vick, quarterbacks were (mostly) tall, slow white men who passed the football, handed it off or got creamed by pass rushers. Vick changed the game by combining the strength, speed and agility of a running back with the arm and savvy of a quarterback. With it, he turned the traditional also-ran Atlanta Falcons into a contender. How could any company in the sporting goods field not sign such a sure-fire hall-of-famer as a spokesperson?

And sign him they did. Nike (NYSE:NKE) created a "Michael Vick Experience" ad campaign. He appeared on the cover of the 2004 version of Electronic Arts' (NASDAQ:ERTS) Madden football. The sponsor money rolled in, and when the Falcons signed Vick to a 10-year, $130 million contract, he had reached the pinnacle of sports success.

Then came the expose. News reports tying Vick to a dog fighting ring, then naming him as the pivotal figure in a horrendous gang who raised killer dogs in a kennel on Vick's property and buried the losers nearby. By the time Vick was taken into custody, his brand was so fouled that companies couldn't back away from him fast enough. The only sales of equipment with his name on it was to dog owners who used them as chew toys.

In a fiasco, everyone involved suffers. I just wish the everybody here hadn't included innocent dogs.

Read the entire series

EU finally brings antitrust charges against Intel

It has been widely anticipated that the EU would bring new antitrust charges against Intel (NASDAQ: INTC). The FTC and other US authorities are chasing the largest chip company in the world for similar reasons. South Korea has already fined Intel for anti-competitive behavior.

The theory behind the charges is that Intel induced PC companies and their retailers to use its chips and not those from rival AMD (NYSE: AMD). According to The Wall Street Journal, "The European Union launched new antitrust charges against Intel Corp., saying the chip giant paid rebates to a major retailer to encourage it not to carry computers using chips from smaller rival Advanced Micro Devices Inc ."

If the charges are true, it shows the extent to which a company of real size, like Intel, can be its own worst enemy. Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) ran into similar problems a decade ago for being too aggressive killing off competition in the browser and media player markets.

The irony of Intel's legal bind is that it almost certainly did not need to pressure or give incentives to keep AMD in a distant second place. It had the balance sheet to keep margin pressure on AMD and the engineering prowess to offer better chips.

Arrogance and carelessness often go with being in first place. This time it appears that it has caught up to Intel.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Bank secrets, save thousands on medical bills & states help battle foreclosure - Today in Money 7/18

Continue reading Bank secrets, save thousands on medical bills & states help battle foreclosure - Today in Money 7/18

Pre-market movers (MER) (C) (AMD) (UAUA) (MSFT)

Merrill Lynch (NASDAQ:MER) is down over 5% on poor earnings.

Google (NASDAQ:GOOG) is down 8% on disappointing earnings.

AMD (NYSE:AMD) is down 7% on poor earnings.

UAL (NASDAQ:UAUA) is up over 8% on an anlyst upgrade.

Micrososft (NASDAQ:MSFT) is down over 5% on poor earnings.

Stocks may trade differently in the pre-market than they do the regular session.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Before the bell: MAT, FRE, AMD, TEVA, HON, SLB, SIRI

Before the bell: Citi earnings push futures higher despite MER, GOOG, MSFT disappointments

Advanced Micro Devices (NYSE: AMD) stock is down 6.6% in premarket trading after the company posted its seventh consecutive quarterly loss of $1.19 billion, or $1.96 per share, missing Wall Street estimates. The operating loss would have been 60 cents a share, heftier than the loss of 52 cents a share from analysts polled by Reuters Estimates. Following the report, AMD also announced that CEO Hector Ruiz would be replaced by COO Dirk Meyer. Ruiz will stay on as executive chairman.

The Wall Street Journal reports that Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE) is considering raising capital by selling as much as $10 billion in new shares to investors. FRE stock is down again this morning after the recent wild swings in share price. This morning FRE shares are trading over 5.7% lower in premarket action.

Mattel Inc. (NYSE: MAT) shares rose nearly 4% in after-hours trading following second-quarter financial results. The toy maker's profit fell by nearly half, but results still beat Wall Street expectations. Global Barbie sales dropped off 6%.

Continue reading Before the bell: MAT, FRE, AMD, TEVA, HON, SLB, SIRI

AMD moves aside awful CEO

Hector Ruiz, the CEO who almost ruined AMD (NYSE: AMD), is gone, moved up to the chairman's role. and replaced by the company's COO Dirk Meyer. According to The New York Times, "Mr. Meyer, president and chief operating officer, is widely respected and admired by other A.M.D. technical employees and also has the confidence of Wall Street analysts." AMD lost another $1.2 billion in the latest quarter making the move almost essential to the firm's survival.

During the time Ruiz has been CEO, AMD has fallen behind Intel (NASDAQ: INTC) in the power and efficiency of its chips. While Intel made it to market with dual and quad-core processors, the AMD "Barcelona", meant to be their dog in the fight, was delayed.

Ruiz's colossal mistake was buying graphics chip company ATI and pushing his company's debt up to $5 billion. AMD now struggles to make its debt service.

Shareholders have been calling for Ruiz to step down for over a year. The AMD share price was above $40 just over two years ago. Now, it often trades below $7.

Ruiz will be remembered as a poor strategist who pulled his company into a precarious position. He is best gone. And, wont be missed.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Before the bell: NOK, CAL, YUM, AAPL, GM, F, UTX, AMD, SBUX, WFC

Before the bell: Futures higher ahead of housing data and a wave of earnings; JPM, KO already reported

Nokia Corp. (NYSE: NOK) shares are up over 7.4% in premarket trading after the world's largest maker of handsets said second-quarter profit fell 61% to $1.75 billion, or 46 cents per share, while sales rose 4% to $20.87 billion. Excluding items, Nokia's profit rose 8% to $2.18 billion. Nokia beat estimates of earnings of 56 cents per share on $20.05 billion in revenue, according to Thomson Financial. The mobile phone maker slightly raised its forecast for the mobile phone industry, saying volume would grow 10% or more in 2008.

Continental Airlines (NYSE: CAL) are up again this morning after climbing 38% Wednesday with the rest of the airline stocks. Continental swung to a second-quarter loss, hurt by record high fuel prices and weakening economic conditions. Still the losses of $3 million, or 3 cents per share, or excluding one-time items totaled $25 million, or 25 cents per share, beat expectations of a loss of 49 cents per share.

Yum Brands (NYSE: YUM) shares are down 4.3% in premarket trading after it reported a second-quarter profit of $224 million, or 45 cents a share. Revenue rose to $2.65 billion from $2.37 billion a year ago. While this beat estimates, and while the company raised its earnings growth forecast for the full year to 12% from 11%, investors were concerned about rising food costs which hurt profit margins in the second quarter.

It seems that Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL)'s new 3G iPhone was sold out in Germany after less than a week. Deutsche Telekom AG's T-Mobile division sold 15,000 iPhones and it's not clear when Apple will be able to deliver more iPhones for the German market, Financial Times Deutschland reported.

Continue reading Before the bell: NOK, CAL, YUM, AAPL, GM, F, UTX, AMD, SBUX, WFC

AMD lifted into earnings by Intel results, EU news

AMD logoAdvanced Micro Devices (NYSE: AMD) shares are trading higher today after rival Intel Corp. (NASADQ: INTC) posted a second-quarter profit of $1.6 billion, or 28 cents per share, ahead of analysts' estimates of 25 cents per share, reflecting strong demand for processors. AMD is also getting a boost into its earnings tomorrow from news that INTC may face new charges from European antitrust regulators, according to a report in The Wall Street Journal. If you think that the stock won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on AMD.

After hitting a one-year high of $16.19 last July, the stock hit a one-year low of $4.53 yesterday. AMD opened this morning at $4.90. So far today the stock has hit a low of $4.68 and a high of $4.95. As of 1:55, AMD is trading at $4.93, up 21 cents (4.4%). The chart for AMD looks bearish and steady, while S&P gives the stock a neutral 3 STARS (out of 5) hold rating.

For a bullish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a January covered call at the $5 level. A covered call is an options position that combines the purchase of stock with the sale of call options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make a 30% return in just 6 months if AMD is above $5 at January expiration. AMD would have to fall by more than 21% before we would start to lose money.

AMD hasn't been below $3.90, which would be the break-even point, at all in the past year and has shown support around $4.50 recently. This trade could be risky if today's encouraging Intel results are a result of them taking even more market share from AMD, but even if that happens, this position could be protected by the 30% downside protection on this trade.

Brent Archer is an options analyst and writer at Investors Observer. At publication time, Brent neither owns nor controls positions in AMD. He does control bullish hedged positions in INTC.

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Last updated: October 07, 2008: 06:36 AM

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