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Avon Products: An Overcorrection Creates an Opportunity

Avon Products (AVP), which I first wrote about on May 6, 2009, at a price of $23.12, has pulled-back with the market's retreat, but I still like the company and the stock. Here's why:

Avon remains the world leader in direct-marketed cosmetics, toiletries, fashion jewelry, and fragrances, with ample growth opportunities in Latin America, China, and Central/Eastern Europe.

Continue reading Avon Products: An Overcorrection Creates an Opportunity

Earnings Highlights: Aflac, Cisco, Exxon, MasterCard, Shell, Time Warner ...

Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage on BloggingStocks:

  • Aflac Inc. (AFL) posted better-than-expected Q4 earnings, though revenue fell short, and offered rosy guidance.
  • Avon Products Inc. (AVP) posted Q4 earnings growth that met analysts' expectations but shares sold off.
  • Cisco Systems inc. (CSCO) higher Q2 earnings topped the consensus estimate but cash flow fell.
  • CME Group Inc. (CME) fell short of analysts' Q4 profit expectations, resulting in price-target cuts.
  • ExxonMobil Corp. (XOM) posted better-than-expected Q4 earnings and revenue that boosted shares.

Continue reading Earnings Highlights: Aflac, Cisco, Exxon, MasterCard, Shell, Time Warner ...

Avon Grows Q4 Profit, but Stock Selling Off

Avon (AVP) issued Q4 numbers on Thursday. The stock reacted negatively to the news. A day later, the stock is still selling off. According to Reuters, adjusted earnings of 68 cents per share basically met expectations. Sales were apparently a little off the mark. Besides the lack of going beyond Wall Street's wishes, currency issues in the Venezuela market is a problem.

If you look at the growth rates, however, things don't appear to be so bad. According to the actual corporate press release, diluted earnings per share increased 15% on a reported basis. Sales shot up 13% (or 8% in terms of local currency). Gross margin also expanded.

Continue reading Avon Grows Q4 Profit, but Stock Selling Off

Tupperware Reports Strong Q4

Tupperware (TUP) issued Q4 numbers after the bell on Monday. Sales were higher by 10% once benefits from currency exchange were eliminated. Adjusted earnings per share increased 16% to $1.22. According to Earnings.com, net income came in 18 cents better than the average estimate.

Bravo! Tupperware, which counts Newell Rubbermaid (NWL) and Avon Products (AVP) as colleagues, is also doing well with cash flow. In fact, you'll notice from the release that management is increasing its stock buyback by $200 million.

Continue reading Tupperware Reports Strong Q4

Avon is still calling

Avon Products (AVP) has broken through key resistance at $33, hence I'm removing my hold on the company's shares, first recommended on May 6, 2009 at a price of $23.12. If you bought in May, you're up about 50%.

Still, it should be noted that this is probably the last opportunity to buy Avon shares and earn an outsized gain during the current economic expansion, as a $50-55 top for AVP is seen.

Continue reading Avon is still calling

Consumer goods to gain 5% next year, according to Fitch

The rest of the world is going to help U.S. consumer product manufacturers next year. Look for international growth to push the likes of Colgate-Palmolive (CL), Avon (AVP) and Clorox (CLX) higher in 2010, according to Fitch Ratings. In an interview with Reuters, a director gave the Fitch's outlook for consumer goods.

The household and personal care segments increased revenue every year from 2003 to 2008. So, 2009 was but a bump in the road. Even in a recession, you need toilet paper and shampoo, so expect the spending to come back.

Continue reading Consumer goods to gain 5% next year, according to Fitch

Estee Lauder's earnings explode to the upside in Q1

Stocks suffered a scary drop on Friday. It was fitting, in a sense, since it was the day before Halloween. In fact, as this Closing Bell piece noted, there were more tricks than treats to be had on Wall Street.

There are always equities bucking the trend, however. The Estee Lauder Companies (NYSE: EL) was one of them. Bullish buyers loved the beauty company's fiscal Q1 earnings release. As has been the case with many reports, the top line wasn't the fun part of the document: Estee Lauder saw a decrease of 2.7% for adjusted revenues. Here's the item of interest: net income after charges was 85 cents per share, more than three times what was made in the comparable frame.

Continue reading Estee Lauder's earnings explode to the upside in Q1

Earnings highlights: Aflac, Avon, BP, Hershey, Kellogg, Nintendo, P&G, Sprint ...

Here are some highlights from last week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

Continue reading Earnings highlights: Aflac, Avon, BP, Hershey, Kellogg, Nintendo, P&G, Sprint ...

Avon sold on Q3 news, but think long term

Avon Products (NYSE: AVP) had a difficult third quarter. Currency translations helped to drive a 4% decrease in net revenue. Excluding that effect, sales were up 7%. Net income decreased a big 31% to 36 cents per share.

However, according to Reuters, adjusted earnings of 42 cents per share beat analyst projections by two pennies. Such news didn't seem to matter to the market. At the time of this writing, Avon was down 1.9% on significant volume.

Continue reading Avon sold on Q3 news, but think long term

Avon encounters resistance near $33

Tech talk: Avon Product, Inc.'s (NYSE: AVP) restructuring is paying-off, but the stock has run into technical resistance at/near $33, so I'm not recommending the purchase of additional shares at this time.

Those investors who purchased AVP when first recommended on May 6, 2009 at a price of $23.12 should hold their shares.

Continue reading Avon encounters resistance near $33

Earnings highlights: Viacom, Sprint, Revlon, DreamWorks, Conoco, Avon ...

Here are some highlights from last week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

Continue reading Earnings highlights: Viacom, Sprint, Revlon, DreamWorks, Conoco, Avon ...

Revlon up on second-quarter news -- am I wrong about the company?

Revlon, Inc. (NYSE: REV) is, simply put, not one of my favorite investment ideas. However, the market seems to think that the company's second-quarter report is nothing less than beautiful. As I write this, shares are rallying almost 8% (although volume isn't that great, to be honest).

I don't know, I just don't see it. Sales declined over 12%. What's that, you want to strip out currency effects? Okay: sales went down over 7% on that basis. Net income on a reported basis was nothing, 0 cents per share. There were, however, 36 cents of charges on the books. According to Earnings.com, Revlon was expected to lose around 8 cents per share. Another source says that 25 cents before special items was the number to hit. No matter how you slice it, I think we can say that management delivered a significant beat today.

Continue reading Revlon up on second-quarter news -- am I wrong about the company?

Avon (AVP) beats Q2 estimates

AVP logoAvon Products (NYSE: AVP - option chain) shares are rising today after the company reported a second-quarter profit this morning of $82.9 million, or 19 cents per share. Excluding one-time items, AVP earned 38 cents per share, beating analysts' expectations of 34 cents per share. If you think that the stock won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on AVP.

AVP opened this morning at $30.31. So far today the stock has hit a low of $14.40 and a high of $32.77. As of 11:40, AVP is trading at $32.36 up $2.62 (8.8%). The chart for AVP looks neutral and S&P gives AVP a neutral 3 STARS (out of 5) hold ranking.

Continue reading Avon (AVP) beats Q2 estimates

Avon, Mary Kay see an employment boom

In order to keep income trickling in, companies the likes of Avon (NYSE: AVP), Mary Kay, and Tupperware are seeing a flux of salespeople -- including professionals forced to take a second job thanks to the recession.

Becke Alexander, the sales manager for Avon, noted that she hears from laid-off bankers and stay-at-home moms every week, but the company is seeing a recent boon from "gainfully employed people worried how long they'll stay that way." In fact, Alexander said, "There are no hobby seekers coming in here. It's people with a legitimate need." This pop in makeup peddlers stems directly from the current economic crisis, but not just from unemployment. A common complaint is that bonuses have disappeared, as have hours, which have forced people to turn to direct sales to make up some cash.

Continue reading Avon, Mary Kay see an employment boom

It's time to call on Avon

Avon Products' (NYSE: AVP) restructuring is starting to pay-off: cost savings (including a switch to global-based manufacturing and increased supply chain efficiencies) enacted in F2008 should continue to pay impressive returns in F2009 and F2010.

The world leader in direct-marketed cosmetics, toiletries, fashion jewelry, and fragrances, the global recession should weigh on Avon's results in Latin America and China, but there are recent signs that F2009 revenue will not drop the generally-forecast 7-10%. And that's helped send institutional investors back into shares recently, taking shares from about $14 to roughly $21-23. The First Call F2009 / F2010 EPS estimates for AVP are $1.64 / $1.89.

Continue reading It's time to call on Avon

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Last updated: February 09, 2010: 07:26 PM

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