FeedPosted Feb 5th 2010 1:30PM by Brent Archer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Major Movement, Forecasts, Bad News, Corning Inc (GLW), Options, Technical Analysis
Corning (GLW - option chain) stock is trading lower today after the company said it expects to see modest growth in sales and earnings in 2010, but did not offer specific forecasts. Analysts are expecting the company to earn $1.75 per share in 2010 on revenue of $6.28 billion, up from $1.28 per share and $5.4 billion, respectively. If you think this stock won't be rising too far in the coming months, then it could be a good time to look at a bearish hedged play on GLW.
This morning, GLW opened at $18.10. So far today the stock has hit a high of $18.24 and a low of $16.96. As of 12:10, GLW is trading at $17.65, down 60 cents (-3.3%). The chart for GLW looks bullish and S&P gives GLW a positive 4 STARS (out of 5) buy ranking.
Continue reading Corning Dips on Modest 2010 Outlook
Posted Feb 1st 2010 2:10PM by Brent Archer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Bad News, Law, Johnson and Johnson (JNJ), Boston Scientific (BSX), Options, Technical Analysis

Boston Scientific (
BSX -
option chain) stock is trading lower today
the company reached an agreement with Johnson & Johnson (
JNJ) to
settle three patent disputes. Under the deal, BSX will pay JNJ $1.725 billion. If you think this stock won't be rising too far in the coming months, then it could be a good time to look at a bearish hedged play on BSX.
This morning, BSX opened at $8.48. So far today the stock has hit a high of $8.83 and a low of $8.24. As of 11:50, BSX is trading at $8.47, down 16 cents (-1.8%). The chart for BSX looks bullish and
S&P gives BSX a positive 4 STARS (out of 5) buy ranking.
Continue reading Boston Scientific to Pay Johnson & Johnson $1.7B Settlement
Posted Feb 1st 2010 11:10AM by Brian White (RSS feed)
Filed under: Bad News, AOL (AOL)

After Apple (
AAPL) reported its best quarter ever last week, one would think shares in the iconic gadget maker would have started rising to new highs. Not to mention that after last Tuesday's record quarter announcement, Apple also unleashed a brand-new product after months of salivating hype from the tech press. Instead, AAPL shares have been on a
downward trajectory ever since. Doesn't this defy the laws of physics? Not at all.
Apple, who loves taking ideas, refining them to an ultra-high sheen and releasing them as something "magical," mostly underwhelmed the world with its iPad device last Wednesday. Like anything in Apple's history, all the buildup to its announcement was cheekily detrimental. Continue reading Apple Shares Plunge After Best-Ever Quarter, iPad Announcement
Posted Jan 31st 2010 11:00AM by Michael Shulman (RSS feed)
Filed under: Bad News, Goldman Sachs Group (GS), Morgan Stanley (MS)
Banks are the kink between the financial markets and the Main Street economy. They are also the lubricant -- when they are lending -- of a growing economy.
Using time-honored but now discarded accounting standards, U.S. banks, as a group, are insolvent. They are hoarding cash because deep in the recesses of little offices, they know they will be exposed as insolvent if they have to dump toxic assets on the market. They are also looking at reduced activity due to the economy and new taxes and regulations, and therefore lower profits. And when the Fed raises interest rates, their spreads will contract, also hitting profits.
Continue reading Reason #4 to Short the U.S.: The Banks
Posted Jan 31st 2010 9:00AM by Michael Shulman (RSS feed)
Filed under: Bad News
With reduced national income due to unemployment, reduced spending power due to tightened credit, reduced wealth due to falling home and stock market values and reduced confidence due to all of the above, we are seeing consumers take on new attitudes toward spending.
This "New Frugal" will not be a fad that passes quickly. U.S. consumers will continue to keep their purse strings tightened.
Continue reading Reason #3 to Short the U.S.: The 'New Frugal'
Posted Jan 30th 2010 1:00PM by Michael Shulman (RSS feed)
Filed under: Bad News, Housing
The optimism on Wall Street about housing is surreal given all the public data on housing values, mortgage defaults, foreclosures and new home starts.
Housing prices are going to fall nationally for another couple of years as foreclosures hit 6-7 million in the next 30 months, and the 600,00 to 800,000 homes foreclosed but not yet listed are added to housing inventory. The headwinds created by this will last until foreclosures peak and those homes hit the market in late 2011 to mid-2012. Foreclosures will not hit historical norms until a year or two from that peak.
Continue reading Reason #2 to Short the U.S.: The Housing Market Isn't Recovering
Posted Jan 30th 2010 11:00AM by Michael Shulman (RSS feed)
Filed under: Bad News, ETF Investing
Large and rapidly growing deficits and public debt at the federal and state level will eventually lead to a rise in interest rates and to the crowding out of other spending as governments service debt. This will likely start near the end of this year or early in 2011.
And please don't blame the Democrats, the party of fiscal rectitude. The Republicans doubled the debt while they controlled the White House and Congress, financing a war off balance sheet, led by a cheerleader in chief who told people to go shopping rather than tighten their belts after 9/11. And historically, red-staters spend more on their key constituents than the Dems, so if they grab power, nothing will change.
Continue reading Reason #1 to Short the U.S.: Public Debt
Posted Jan 30th 2010 9:00AM by Michael Shulman (RSS feed)
Filed under: Bad News, Goldman Sachs Group (GS), Morgan Stanley (MS), ETF Investing, Housing
I love my country: the chaos, the hurly-burly of democracy, the hard work of quiet people and the great, big heart as shown by our private donations to Haiti at a time of near 20% unemployment and underemployment. We forgive wayward politicians and athletes, let our children make more decisions than virtually any people on Earth and we stand for something -- a true city on a hill. But right now, that city is in political chaos ... and pretty broke.
Although, I don't like to say it, it is time to short the United States.
Continue reading Five Reasons to Short the U.S.
Posted Jan 26th 2010 1:20PM by Brent Archer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Major Movement, Earnings Reports, Forecasts, Bad News, U.S. Steel (X), Options, Technical Analysis
U.S. Steel (X - option chain) stock is trading lower today after the company reported a fourth-quarter loss of $267 million, or $1.86 per share, on revenue of $3.35 billion. Analysts were expecting a loss of $1.44 per share on revenue of $3.09 billion. The company also forecast a first-quarter loss in line with fourth quarter results, whereas analysts are forecasting a loss of 44 cents per share. If you think this stock won't be rising too far in the coming months, then it could be a good time to look at a bearish hedged play on GE.
This morning, X opened at $52.66. So far today the stock has hit a high of $53.40 and a low of $50.37. As of 12:00, X is trading at $51.11, down $5.12 (-9.1%). The chart for X looks bearish and S&P gives X a negative 2 STARS (out of 5) sell ranking.
Continue reading U.S. Steel Dives on Q4 Loss, Q1 Outlook
Posted Jan 25th 2010 8:20AM by Melly Alazraki (RSS feed)
Filed under: International Markets, Bad News, Apple Inc (AAPL), Market Matters, Halliburton (HAL), Amgen Inc (AMGN), Texas Instruments (TXN), Economic Data, Eaton Corp (ETN), DJIA

U.S. stock futures moved firmly higher Monday morning, pointing to a rebound after a sharp three-day selloff last week. This morning, it seems, bargain hunters moved. Meanwhile, as earnings season kicks into high gear, investors also await housing data due out after the market open.
U.S. stocks skidded on Friday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average pulling back 2.1%. For the week, the Dow lost 4.1% -- the worst week on a percentage basis since March. Fears that the White House plan to curb bank risk-taking would cut profits helped sour sentiment, as did several earnings report that didn't live up to expectations. The situation in China, with its bank tightening policy, didn't help either.
Continue reading Before the Bell: Stocks Set to Rebound as Earnings Season Heats Up
Posted Jan 22nd 2010 2:00PM by Brent Archer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Major Movement, Earnings Reports, Forecasts, Bad News, Options, Technical Analysis
Synaptics (SYNA - option chain) stock is trading lower today after the company reported earnings last night, posting an adjusted second-quarter profit of 62 cents per share on revenue of $133 million. Analysts had forecast a profit of 56 cents per share on revenue of $131 million. However, shares of the stock are falling this morning after the company forecast third-quarter revenues of $110 to $115 million, below analysts' projections of $119 million. If you think this stock won't be rising too far in the coming months, then it could be a good time to look at a bearish hedged play on SYNA.
This morning, SYNA opened at $26.70. So far today the stock has hit a high of $28.30 and a low of $26.60. As of 11:40, SYNA is trading at $27.92, down $2.43 (-8.0%). The chart for SYNA looks bullish.
Continue reading Synaptics Q3 Forecast Disappoints
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