FeedPosted Nov 17th 2009 11:00AM by Tom Johansmeyer (RSS feed)
Filed under: India, China, Brazil, Russia, Avon Products (AVP), Clorox Co (CLX), Colgate-Palmolive (CL), Procter and Gamble (PG), Kimberly-Clark (KMB)
The rest of the world is going to help U.S. consumer product manufacturers next year. Look for international growth to push the likes of Colgate-Palmolive (CL), Avon (AVP) and Clorox (CLX) higher in 2010, according to Fitch Ratings. In an interview with Reuters, a director gave the Fitch's outlook for consumer goods.
The household and personal care segments increased revenue every year from 2003 to 2008. So, 2009 was but a bump in the road. Even in a recession, you need toilet paper and shampoo, so expect the spending to come back.
Continue reading Consumer goods to gain 5% next year, according to Fitch
Posted Nov 16th 2009 5:00PM by Tom Johansmeyer (RSS feed)
Filed under: India, China, Brazil
Now that it's reached 10.2%, the unemployment rate is higher than it's been in 26 years. That puts plenty of people on the hunt for work, especially since the unemployment rate doesn't reflect everyone who's been affected by the recession, such as those who have been unemployed too long or who are underemployed. Lacking alternatives at home, more Americans are heading overseas to find their fortunes weather the storm.
The number of people looking for international work through Manpower Inc. (MAN), the largest staffing firm in the country, has increased over the past six months. Half a year ago, Jeff Joerres, the company CEO, said that only a few dozen were looking for work outside the U.S. Now, it's up to 500. He tells USA Today, "It is a phenomenon we haven't had before."
Continue reading New U.S. export: labor
Posted Nov 5th 2009 4:30PM by Connie Madon (RSS feed)
Filed under: India, China, Brazil, Russia, Market matters, Money and Finance Today, Federal Reserve
The US dollar is down 20% since 2002 on a trade weighted basis. Other world economies like China are dynamic, with growth rates of 8 and 9%. With that kind of clout, countries like China, India and Brazil, can choose where to place their reserves.
Slowly, developing countries are shifting their reserves away from the dollar into the euro and yen. Neil Mellor, strategist at Bank of New York Mellon Corp (NYSE: BK), which has some $20 trillion dollars in assets under custody said: "I don't think there will be an imminent move, but it is quite clear there's a plan to shift reserves to a more balanced portfolio."
Barclays Capital Research reported that central banks placed 63% of new cash in non US currencies between April and July.
Continue reading Central Banks lead a shift away from the dollar
Posted Nov 3rd 2009 11:00AM by Connie Madon (RSS feed)
Filed under: International markets, Forecasts, India, China, Brazil, Market matters, Commodities, Oil
Bloomberg News took a recent poll of its subscribers. Here are some highlights of the survey:
- Only 31% of investors saw investment opportunities in the stock market, down from 35% in the July survey.
- Worldwide, investors see the U.S. as the weakest link in the world economy. Twenty five percent of respondents see an unemployment rate of 11% in the U.S. next year.
- Respondents see China and India as the most promising markets and commodities are the asset of choice.
- Real Estate and bonds are out of favor, with 40% saying that bonds will have the worst returns over the next year.
Continue reading Are stocks about to get routed?
Posted Nov 2nd 2009 10:40AM by Steven Halpern (RSS feed)
Filed under: International markets, China, Brazil, Newsletters, Commodities, Oil, Stocks to Buy
"We're adding Brazil's Vale S.A. (NYSE: VALE), the world's leading iron ore producer, to our model growth portfolio," says growth stock expert Stephen Leeb.
In his The Complete Investor, he explains, "This outstanding company offers investors simultaneous stakes in two key areas: iron ore-a commodity essential to any and all infrastructure projects-and Brazil's appreciating currency, the real.
"When it comes to understanding the importance of a commodity such as iron ore, the tale starts with China. Even with China's GDP growth again approaching double digits, the Chinese government continues to aggressively promote growth, offering consumers incentives to buy cars and investing in infrastructure, from roads to bridges to sewers to energy plants.
Continue reading Vale S.A. (VALE): Mining for value in iron ore
Posted Oct 27th 2009 2:00PM by Steven Halpern (RSS feed)
Filed under: International markets, Brazil, Newsletters, ETF Investing, Commodities, Oil, Agriculture, Stocks to Buy
"Brazil has long been our favorite of the BRIC countries," says Carl Delfeld. In his Chartwell Global Wealth Letter, the advisor looks at two favored Brazilian equity ETFs.
"Brazil seems to have confounded its critics, who view it as a boom and bust economy; the country has been upgraded to investment grade status by Moody's.
"The US ratings agency cited the resilience of the Brazilian economy to the financial crisis for the upgrade of its sovereign debt ratings one notch to Baa3, its lowest investment grade rating.
"This elevation of quality is well earned after years of reform in the country that led to lower inflation and a stronger currency as well as lower levels of government debt.
Continue reading ETF expert bets on Brazil
Posted Oct 27th 2009 10:40AM by Connie Madon (RSS feed)
Filed under: India, Brazil, Commodities
Last year's bull run in commodities was led mainly by oil, grains and gold. This year we've had spectacular bull runs in the "soft" commodities, which include mainly, coffee, tea, cocoa, sugar and orange juice.
Tea is at an all-time high; cocoa is at a 30-year high; and sugar is at a 28.5-year high. Orange juice reached its highest price in 15 months. Tea prices for the best quality broken pekoe, or BP1, surged to a record $5.02 a kilogram, up 70% since January.
Continue reading Bull markets in 'soft' commodities to hike coffee, orange juice prices
Posted Oct 12th 2009 8:30AM by Tom Johansmeyer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Good news, India, China, Brazil, Private equity, Eastern Europe, Technology, Green Stocks
The clean technology wave just got a little bigger. This tends to be a side-effect of interest from billionaire investor George Soros. And, as usual, it's more than just money; it's more than just a return. Soros, yet again, is trying to save the world. Interestingly, the bold move was announced at a meeting on climate change sponsored by Project Syndicate – an international association consisting of 430 newspapers from 150 countries (and thus with clear ties to the past, rather than future).
The investor and founder of Soros Fund Management LLC is planning to put $1 billion into clean-tech opportunities using what he calls "rather stringent criteria," which involves being "profitable but should also actually make a contribution to solving the problem [i.e., of clean technology adoption and proliferation]." Soros didn't provide any other details on the nature or scope of his investments.
Continue reading Soros to put $1 billion into clean-tech companies
Posted Sep 24th 2009 4:40PM by Joseph Lazzaro (RSS feed)
Filed under: International markets, India, China, Brazil, Russia, Mexico, Canada, Japan, Recession, Financial Crisis
The
G-20 is meeting again, this time in Pittsburgh, and as is so often the case when the world's industrial powers gather, the operative phrase is 'lower your expectations.'
What can investors look for? Well, one thing investors should not look for is any G-20 type of action on banker compensation/bonuses, other than a call for each nation, 'to do more to ensure that constructive incentives are in place' to prevent a repeat of the lending practices/perverse incentives that helped trigger the global financial crisis. There is support for compensation caps in Europe (except Germany); however, the United States and United Kingdom oppose them, so the issue is a non-starter.
Continue reading The G-20 meets in Pittsburgh, and expectations are low
Posted Sep 9th 2009 12:40PM by Tom Taulli (RSS feed)
Filed under: Deals, General Electric (GE), Brazil
In the emerging markets, a key to growth is mobile. And, this is revving up M&A activity for the major operators, who are trying to grab marketshare.
This is certainly the case with Vivendi. Recently, the company's chief -- Jean-Bernard Levy -- said he has a credit line of close to $9 billion to do deals.
Well, he hasn't wasted much time. Late yesterday, Vivendi announced a buyout bid for GVT SA, which is a fixed-line phone company in Brazil. The transaction comes to about $3 billion (or a 16% premium to the current stock price).
Continue reading Vivendi calls up a deal in Brazil
Posted Aug 24th 2009 2:40PM by Steven Halpern (RSS feed)
Filed under: China, Brazil, Newsletters, ETF Investing, DJIA, Stocks to Buy
"Our latest pick combines two highly profitable asset classes, small caps and emerging markets," says Nicholas Vardy. In The Global Bull Market Alert, he an emerging markets ETF.
"The SPDR S&P Emerging Markets Small Cap ETF (NYSE: EWX) offers you access to small caps in emerging markets that otherwise would be off limits.
"While some of the larger emerging market stocks trade in the United States, these smaller players never will.
"In addition, it's well known that U.S. small caps tend to outperform large caps over the long run. Their small size makes them nimble and quicker to react to changing market conditions.
Continue reading Vardy's view: Bet on emerging markets small caps
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