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Before the bell: Big plunge expected; WB, WFC, C, BUD, IMCL, CC, AAPL ...

Stock futures dropped sharply Monday morning after the bailout plan was revealed Sunday and several banks in Europe were bailed out. U.S. investors are expected to react similar to stock markets around the word, which tumbled Monday following Washington's $700 billion bank bailout deal. The bailout may not be enough, and it will take a while to clean up the mess and restore confidence to financial markets. The economic reading due to be released today, August personal income and spending is not expected to affect markets much.

Three major banking bailouts were announced in Europe. 1) The Dutch-Belgian bank and insurance giant Fortis failed and was provided with a $16.4 billion lifeline by the governments of Belgium, the Netherlands and Luxembourg. 2) The British government nationalized mortgage lender Bradford & Bingley -- the second British bank to be taken under government control this year. 3) A consortium of German banks and regulators bailed out Hypo Real Estate Holding AG, in a deal worth billions of dollars.

Wachovia Corp. (NYSE: WB) - after WaMu's failure, the focus has shifted to Wachovia and at least two major banks, Citigroup Inc. (NYSE: C) and Wells Fargo & Co. (NYSE: WFC), were reportedly in talks Sunday to buy it. Wachovia shares are trading down 60% to $4 in pre-market action. C and WFC shares are down over 6.5% and 3.5% respectively in pre-market trade.

Continue reading Before the bell: Big plunge expected; WB, WFC, C, BUD, IMCL, CC, AAPL ...

Wal-Mart makes me thin, queen of reality TV & lions, tigers & lawsuits, oh my - Today in Money 9/11

In the News:
Wal-Mart Makes Me Thin
A new study notes that the existence of a big box retailer in an area seems to actually decrease weight slightly.
The Wal-Mart Diet - Portfolio.com

Meet the Queen of Reality TV
Cecile Frot-Coutaz is a force behind American Idol and America's Got Talent. Can her brand of schlock save network TV? The 42-year-old Los Angeles-based French expatriate has an instinct for high-performance reality television and as the CEO of FremantleMedia North America she is behind some of television's biggest blockbusters - and a few bombs.
Fearless Cecile Frot-Coutaz has an instinct for reality TV - FORTUNE

Continue reading Wal-Mart makes me thin, queen of reality TV & lions, tigers & lawsuits, oh my - Today in Money 9/11

Banks booze up on InBev debt

A friend of mine was part of the team that worked on an acquisition for InBev, which is the mega Belgian beer company. He was impressed with the company's merger skills and had little doubt the transaction would work.

Well, global investors are impressed too (which is no easy feat in this tough global economic environment). In fact, according to a piece in the Wall Street Journal (subscription required), it looks like InBev is effectively managing the $45 billion in debt financing for the acquisition of Anheuser-Busch (NYSE: BUD).

No doubt, this is a complicated process. After all, InBev has organized a syndicate of top banks, which include Deutsche Bank, JP Morgan (NYSE: JPM), Barclays Capital, Royal Bank of Scotland, ING Bank, Banco Santander, BNP Paribas, Fortis, Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi and Mizuho Corporate Bank.

For the most part, the senior management team at InBev understands the global financial world (keep in mind that there is a deep bench of former investment bankers). Besides, the company has been diligent with maintaining a strong credit rating, which helps to minimize the financing risk.

In other words, to get a big deal completed nowadays, the quality needs to be top-notch. And, for the most part, InBev fits the bill.

Tom Taulli is the author of various books, including The Complete M&A Handbook and The Edgar Online Guide to Decoding Financial Statements. He also operates MergerBook.com.

August: A cruel month for M&A

For financial markets, August is always a slow time as Wall Streeters head for their vacations. But this year, there was more than just seasonality. Simply put, it was a very tough month for M&A operators.

In fact, according to Reuters, August was the worst month since 1992.

It's been about a year since the credit crunch started, and it looks like things aren't getting better. If anything, it's a good bet we'll continue to see volatility and layoffs in the financial services space.

In August, the M&A volume in the U.S. came to about $28.5 billion, which is 53% off from the same period a year ago.

Ironically, while private equity funds have a huge amount of capital to put to work, there is not much bank financing. As a result, most of the private equity deals have been fairly small (below $2 billion or so).

Also, some of the recent mega deals – such as InBev's $45 billion acquisition for Anheuser-Busch Cos. (NASDAQ: BUD) – are crowding out the financing market.

In other words, investment bankers may need to wait until next year for things to warm up again.

Tom Taulli is the author of various books, including The Complete M&A Handbook and The Edgar Online Guide to Decoding Financial Statements. He also operates MergerBook.com.

Serious Money: How safe were BRK, BUD, PG, SO, & UPS?

The stock market was down yesterday and it is down again today. Bearish sentiment is roaming through Wall Street right now, so I thought I would look back on another occasion when the market was going through similar turmoil and I wrote about the following eight stocks, which I thought would be "safe havens" in such a storm.

Six of the eight did well and two did not, and of course one of those two was a disaster. Among the losers, I do not think anyone is fretting about UPS, which is still one of the few triple-A rated companies along with Berkshire Hathaway. It has been well reported that the slowing economy and higher fuel prices have been the major culprits affecting UPS's earnings. In the case of WaMu, it's demise has also been well reported, but at the time I recommended it WaMu had a stellar reputation of growth and high yield for over two decades. There is no hiding, it turned out to be a lousy pick and an ANTI-SAFE Haven

NOT SAFE:

United Parcel Service (NYSE: UPS) closed Monday at $65.30 down from $78.40; a 16.71% loss

Washington Mutual (NYSE: WM) closed Monday at $4.21 down from $45.50; a 98% loss.

Fortunately the remaining six picks have done very, very well. If you had bought the pool, the average gain over the last two years would have been 7.14%. Adding the dividends over the two years would have raised this to 13.14%.

Continue reading Serious Money: How safe were BRK, BUD, PG, SO, & UPS?

InBev-Anheuser-Busch transaction will create an M&A hangover?

For hungry Wall Street investment bankers, the $45 billion merger of InBev and Anheuser-Busch Cos. (NASDAQ: BUD) is a nice relief. Yes, it means lots of juicy fees.

Another big winner is Busch IV (the CEO of Anheuser). Apparently, he is negotiating a consulting agreement that may exceed $10 million (there will be a $120,000 monthly retainer through December 31, 2013).

But according to a piece in Reuters, the transaction may have a dark side. Simply put, it hasn't been easy to raise the debt financing. As a result, this may crowd out some of the financing of other M&A deals.

The high rates on the InBev financing is likely to push up other debt costs on other pending transactions. What's more, there will be a flood of bond issuances on the market, which will put further pressure on the debt markets.

In other words, we may see a slowdown in M&A activity for the rest of the year -- except for those buyers that have substantial balance sheets.

Tom Taulli is the author of various books, including The Complete M&A Handbook and The Edgar Online Guide to Decoding Financial Statements. He also operates MergerBook.com.

Lazard finds opportunities in this market

The credit crunch should be bad news for investment banks, right? Not necessarily. After all, strategic buyers have been aggressive lately, perhaps because there's not much competition from private equity operators.

One of the beneficiaries is Lazard (NYSE: LAZ), which reported its Q2 numbers. Eearnings came to $64.6 million, or 54 cents per share, which compares to $61.5 million, or 53 cents per share in the same period a year ago.

Simply put, Lazard has been snagging some choice client engagements. For example, Q2's revenues on merger assignments spiked 37% to $225.1 million.

In fact, the firm is an advisor on InBev's $52 billion deal to purchase Anheuser-Busch Cos. (NYSE: BUD). Another high-profile assignment is Gaz de France's 44.6 billion euro deal with Suez.

Keep in mind that Lazard has worked on about $100 billion in announced deals in July alone. This is certainly a nice momentum boost.

Besides, Lazard has a strong restructuring division. While the business is still fairly small – at $32.7 million – there should be lots of potential for growth. Just look at some of the major bankruptcies lately, such as Mervyn's, Steve & Barry's, Linen 'n Things and so on.

Tom Taulli is the author of various books, including The Complete M&A Handbook and The Edgar Online Guide to Decoding Financial Statements. He also operates MergerBook.com.

Before the bell: COST, YHOO, WM, BA, PEP, PFE, GOOG ...

Stock futures were higher this morning, indicating stocks could have a positive start to the session as oil prices continued to decline, sinking below $127 a barrel. Weekly inventories numbers reported later today could have an impact on oil prices. Then there is continued optimism in the financial sector, which caused the rally Tuesday. Also, a bill aimed at helping the housing market will reach the House floor. But once again earnings will likely have investors' attention with Costco already giving a profit warning.

Costco Wholesale Corp. (NASDAQ: COST)
shares are plunging over 8% in premarket trading after the wholesale retailer warned its August-ending quarter's profit would miss analyst estimates. This is most surprising as Costco had been one of the retailer that seemed to have benefited from consumers trying to save and buy lower-cost items. But Costco blamed the lower profit on rising energy costs, saying it will earn less than $1 per share.

Washington Mutual Inc. (NYSE: WM) late Tuesday reported second-quarter results, posting a loss of $3.3 billion, was worse than analysts had anticipated. Excluding one-time items, WaMu lost $3.34 per share, much wider than the expected loss of $1.05 per share. Piper Jaffray downgraded WM shares from Neutral to Sell and Friedman Billings halved its target price on the shares from $8 to $4. Shares are off nearly 3% in premarket trading.

Yahoo Inc. (NASDAQ: YHOO) also reported profits and sales that came up short of estimates. Second-quarter profit fell 18% to $131 million, or 9 cents per share. Analysts had projected earnings of 11 cents per share in the most recent quarter, according to Thomson Financial. Revenue grew 6% to $1.8 billion, or $1.35 billion after subtracting commissions, also below estimates. Yahoo! shares, however, are up about 3% in premarket trading since investors were relieved the performance wasn't as bad as many had feared after Google (NASDAQ: GOOG) reported last week and disappointed investors. Also, Yahoo didn't dramatically lower its revenue outlook for the remainder of the year.

Continue reading Before the bell: COST, YHOO, WM, BA, PEP, PFE, GOOG ...

Cramer on BloggingStocks: Genentech bid confirms the trend

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says the biotechs look sweet in a bank-led slowdown.

Thank you, New York Times. Remember just a couple of weeks ago, when The New York Times wrote about how Genentech's (NYSE: DNA) (Cramer's Take) Avastin was too expensive and the stock got cracked down to $77? I know Roche did. I bet that was the last draw. The dramatic decline in the dollar plus a sentiment that has spawned a thousand articles -- that life-saving drugs cost too much -- gave the Swiss giant a chance to bolster its own anemic pipeline by buying what may be the greatest wonder drug of all time in its $43 billion bid, no doubt the beginning price for what will ultimately be a deal close to $100 a share. (I pushed DNA hard here and on "Mad Money" because I have been a huge believer in Avastin and I'm confident that people will pay anything -- or family members will pay anything -- for the hope of three or four months or more of life, or the chance of beating cancer altogether.)

I don't even know where to begin about the positives of this deal. First, it confirms the general trend: the dollar is so weak that it is worth buying anything that's name-brand if you are from Europe, including Anheuser-Busch (NYSE: BUD) (Cramer's Take), a total creature of the weak dollar.

Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: Genentech bid confirms the trend

Spokesperson fiasco #10: Ludacris for Pepsi

This post is part of a series on celebrity spokespeople who ended up doing serious harm to the brands they were hired to promote, or vice versa. See how we rank the 20 top spokesperson fiascos.

In a confrontation between bombast and street cred, Fox mouth Bill O'Reilly managed to rip the Pepsi (NYSE:PEP) bottle from rapper Ludacris's live, warm fingers. In August of 2002, O'Reilly, upset with the musician's street language and what he perceived as glorification of crime and misogyny, called for a boycott of Pepsi. At the time, Ludacris was a featured representative of Pepsi, no doubt part of the companies attempt to reach out to the 18-34 demographic.

After the company dumped Ludacris in response to the boycott, Pepsi immediately stepped back into a pile of controversy by signing the rock and brain-damage icon Ozzy Osbourne, he of bat-head biting-off fame. (Nothing goes better with bat than an ice-cold Pepsi.)

O'Reilly's diatribe helped call attention to the brutality of Lucacris's lyrics, not atypical for the genre but fear-inspiring to the Fox nation. For example:

"Hollow laid hollow sprayed I'm the hollow man
I get to my hollow point wit my hollow plan
Hollow bullets I pull it I'm about to live in vain
And then I drill em refill em make sure they feel the pain"

(BTW- Is this a shout-out to T.S. Eliot's The Hollow Men?)

While the controversy cost Ludacris his Pepsi deal, O'Reilly was to swallow his tongue for a second time two years later when the rapper was signed by Anheuser-Busch (NYSE:BUD).

I don't see Bill O'Reilly pulling in big endorsement contracts these days. So who's your daddy now, Bill?

Read the entire series

Before the bell: Futures tumble on financials, ahead of data, earnings

Who is next to fail/fall? That seems to be the only question on investors' minds these days, and this morning is not different as concern about the health of the financial sector grows. With global markets plunging overnight, the dollar falling to yet another record low against the euro and ahead of a day full of economic data releases and earnings, as well as a testimony from Fed chairman Bernanke, U.S. stock futures dropped this morning, indicating the market is poised for a lower open.

On Monday, what seemed like might be a promising day with the government plan to bail out Fannie Mae (NYSE: FNM) and Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE) and several large deals including the mega beer deal between Anheuser-Busch (NYSE: BUD) and InBev. But once again financials took front stage and after IndyMac was seized by federal regulators over the weekend Wall Street tumbled. The Dow industrials fell 45 points, or 0.41%, the S&P 500 dropped 11 points, or 0.9%, and the Nasdaq Composite lost 26 points, or 1.17%.

As the day go on, investors will have more to chew on though as several economic reports are due out today. June Producer Price Index, a measure of inflation at the wholesale level, is due before the market open, at 8:30 a.m. EDT. While economists expect a smaller increase in prices in June, an increase is expected for both PPI and core-PPI, which excludes food and energy prices.
At the same time, June retail sales will be released, and may show a nice increase due to the government checks.
July NY Empire State Index will also be released at that time and it's likely we'll see it decline further.
Then, 10:00 a.m., a reading on business inventories for May is due.

Continue reading Before the bell: Futures tumble on financials, ahead of data, earnings

Closing Bell: Bulls and GSE Bailout Plans succumb to 'Sell, Sell, Sell"

Today would be described as being choppy disappointment at best. The markets started out strong on a government bailout proposal for GSE's but traders went right back to shorting financials on big gap ups. After today, we'll get major earnings reports coming on a non-stop basis and tomorrow we'll also start to see some key data around producer prices tomorrow morning. Here are today's unofficial closing bell levels:
DJIA 11,052.10 (-48.44)
S&P500 1,228.02 (-11.46)
NASDAQ 2,212.87 (-26.21)
10YR T-Note 3.88% (-0.06%)
52-WEEK LOWS
TOP ANALYST UPGRADES
TOP ANALYST DOWNGRADES

Anheuser-Busch Companies, Inc. (NYSE: BUD) saw a gain as the company finally capitulated and agreed to be acquired now that InBev boosted its buyout offer price to $70.00 from $65.00.

Continue reading Closing Bell: Bulls and GSE Bailout Plans succumb to 'Sell, Sell, Sell"

If the dollar was stronger would BUD buy InBev?

We have posted numerous articles about the acquisition of Anheuser-Busch (NYSE: BUD) by InBev (NV) and it now looks like the deal has been done at a price of $70 per share. However, what made this deal work for InBev might have been that the dollar has fallen so far.

The exchange rate between the dollar and Euro gives InBev a 30% to 35% discount making the acquisition price seem like a great deal for BUD shareholders but an even better one for InBev shareholders. And if the the currency exchange rates shift back over time then all the shareholders win.

This means that Americans will be answering to the Dutch Belgians. If the dollar had gained against the Euro instead of becoming weaker is it possible that Anheuser-Busch (BUD) would have bought out InBev (NV)? If the dollar stays down or drifts lower as seems likely right now look for more M&A activity from abroad.

In the mean time, since 'my pal Warren', is the largest shareholder of BUD through Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.A) and supports the deal, will he remain a shareholder of the new company? No doubt this increases the value of Berkshire, but does this set the stage for Buffett to enter the European market in a big way?

Sheldon Liber is the CEO of a small private investment company and the principal for design and research at an architecture & planning firm. He writes the columns Chasing Value and Serious Money. Disclosure: I own shares of BRK.B.

The resilience of strategic deals

The credit crunch is not going away, and as a result, there has been a sharp fall-off in leveraged buyouts (LBOs). Basically, only relatively small LBOs -- between $1 billion to $2 billion -- are getting done.

But there is a bright spot: strategic acquisitions. If anything, we are seeing a variety of mega deals in this category. A survey from Dealogic shows that – as of June 25 – there were $597 billion in strategic M&A transactions, only 2% down from last year's total.

Some of the notable deals include: InBev's $49.9 billion play for Anheuser-Busch Cos. (NYSE: BUD), Mars' $23 billion deal for Wm. Wrigley Jr. Co. (NYSE: WWY) and Dow Chemical Co's (NYSE: DOW) $18.8 billion cash purchase of Rohm & Haas Co. (NYSE: ROH). The last two have involved financing from Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.A).

Why the resilience with strategic deals? Well, there are several key reasons.

Continue reading The resilience of strategic deals

Most overvalued & undervalued tech stocks, best places to live 2008 & banks at risk - Today in Money 7/14

In the News:

Most Overvalued & Undervalued Tech Stocks
Foreign revenues and other factors that once offered safety are now threats, and investors are doubting the growth prospects of Internet giants. See if Amazon, Cisco, Dell, eBay, EMC, Google, HP, Microsoft, Intel, Yahoo are undervalued, fairly valued or overvalued.
What's Hurting Tech Stocks Overvalued or Undervalued? - BusinessWeek

Best Places to Live 2008
Topnotch schools, good jobs, affordable housing, low crime, an active outdoor culture help Plymouth, Minnesota to replace Middleton, Wisconsin on top of Money Magazine's annual list of the Best Places to Live in America. Other places in the top 10 include Ft. Collins, Colorado, Naperville, Illinois, Irvine, California, Franklin Township, NJ, Norman, Oklahoma, Round Rock, Texas, Columbia/Ellicott City, Maryland, Overland Park, Kansas and Fishers, Indiana.
Best places to live 2008 - from MONEY Magazine
Also: Texas is Home to Most Cities on Best Places List

Continue reading Most overvalued & undervalued tech stocks, best places to live 2008 & banks at risk - Today in Money 7/14

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Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA+33.6012,529.75
NASDAQ-10.742,839.38
S&P 500+1.821,320.68

Last updated: May 24, 2012: 08:15 PM

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