FeedPosted Nov 5th 2009 10:30AM by Steven Halpern (RSS feed)
Filed under: International markets, Newsletters, Canada, Commodities, Stocks to Buy
"We have very few buy recommendations currently; one exception is Franco-Nevada (Toronto: FNV.CA)," says resource expert Adrian Day.
In his The Global Analyst, the advisor explains, "Franco Nevada is one of our all-time favorites; it has top management, a solid balance sheet, and risk-averse business plan.
He continues, "The company previously merged with Newmont, and was reborn in a spin off nearly two years ago. Although the stock has nearly doubled since the IPO, it still represents good value.
Continue reading Franco Nevada (FNV): A core holding in gold
Posted Nov 3rd 2009 4:45PM by Connie Madon (RSS feed)
Filed under: Commodities

Global wheat output
rose 12% to a record 682.3 million metric tons in the year through May.
According to Emmanuel Jayet of Agricultural Commodities Research at Societe Generale in Paris, wheat prices are expected to drop 13% by the end of December. The last big drop was during 2002 when prices fell by 19%.
Stockpiles of wheat will jump 12% by next May. Investors predict a further decline due to an overabundance. On October 30, there were 6.265 put options at $4.50 per bushel, more than any other grain contract ( a put option is an option to sell.)
Continue reading Is it time to sell wheat?
Posted Nov 3rd 2009 11:00AM by Connie Madon (RSS feed)
Filed under: International markets, Forecasts, India, China, Brazil, Market matters, Commodities, Oil
Bloomberg News took a recent poll of its subscribers. Here are some highlights of the survey:
- Only 31% of investors saw investment opportunities in the stock market, down from 35% in the July survey.
- Worldwide, investors see the U.S. as the weakest link in the world economy. Twenty five percent of respondents see an unemployment rate of 11% in the U.S. next year.
- Respondents see China and India as the most promising markets and commodities are the asset of choice.
- Real Estate and bonds are out of favor, with 40% saying that bonds will have the worst returns over the next year.
Continue reading Are stocks about to get routed?
Posted Nov 2nd 2009 10:40AM by Steven Halpern (RSS feed)
Filed under: International markets, China, Brazil, Newsletters, Commodities, Oil, Stocks to Buy
"We're adding Brazil's Vale S.A. (NYSE: VALE), the world's leading iron ore producer, to our model growth portfolio," says growth stock expert Stephen Leeb.
In his The Complete Investor, he explains, "This outstanding company offers investors simultaneous stakes in two key areas: iron ore-a commodity essential to any and all infrastructure projects-and Brazil's appreciating currency, the real.
"When it comes to understanding the importance of a commodity such as iron ore, the tale starts with China. Even with China's GDP growth again approaching double digits, the Chinese government continues to aggressively promote growth, offering consumers incentives to buy cars and investing in infrastructure, from roads to bridges to sewers to energy plants.
Continue reading Vale S.A. (VALE): Mining for value in iron ore
Posted Nov 1st 2009 1:40PM by Connie Madon (RSS feed)
Filed under: International markets, Competitive strategy, Indices, Commodities, Oil
Now here's a real important story. If you are an oil trader, chances are you traded the New York Mercantile Exchange West Texas Intermediate (WTI) contract. World pricing of oil by the biggest exporters was based on the WTI contract.
Now, suddenly, Saudi Arabia has decided to drop the WTI contract as the benchmark pricing unit for its oil. It is substituting a contract called the Argus Sour Crude Index, which will track the price in the physical market of a basket of U.S. gulf coast crudes, including Mars, Poseidon, and Southern Green Canyon.
Continue reading Why did the Saudis abandon the NYMEX oil futures contracts?
Posted Oct 30th 2009 11:00AM by Steven Halpern (RSS feed)
Filed under: Newsletters, Commodities, Oil, Stocks to Buy, Green Stocks, Obama Picks
"The U.S. Energy Department is sponsoring a race to develop an obscure industrial process -- carbon capture and sequestration (CCS) -- and the winners of the race will receive $1.4 billion -- yes, billion, with a B," says Andy Obermueller.
In Government-Driven Investing, he says, "My pick to profit from among the 12 companies selected to compete in this scientific 'Olympiad' is Praxair (NYSE: PX)."
"This industrial-gas company owns hundreds of CCS patents, technology that could turn a coal-fired power plant -- about the dirtiest thing in the world, emissions-wise -- into one of the cleanest.
Continue reading Praxair (PX): The 'race' for carbon capture
Posted Oct 29th 2009 1:10PM by Steven Halpern (RSS feed)
Filed under: Newsletters, ETF Investing, Commodities, Oil, Stocks to Buy
"There is a very interesting situation developing in the oil and gas industry," says Mike Turner. In the Trade of the Week advisory, he looks at the Oil & Gas Ultra ProShares (NYSE: DIG).
"Even though global economies are not rapidly recovering (although they do seem to be on a positive upslope), and even though there seems to be a bit more supply than demand in the energy markets, oil and gas stocks continue to move higher. What's behind this move?
"Oil has become the inverse proxy to the U.S. dollar. As the dollar weakens, the price of oil is moving higher. With the burgeoning debt piling up in the U.S., the dollar looks to be under pressure to move lower for the foreseeable future.
Continue reading DIG this oil and gas ETF
Posted Oct 27th 2009 2:00PM by Steven Halpern (RSS feed)
Filed under: International markets, Brazil, Newsletters, ETF Investing, Commodities, Oil, Agriculture, Stocks to Buy
"Brazil has long been our favorite of the BRIC countries," says Carl Delfeld. In his Chartwell Global Wealth Letter, the advisor looks at two favored Brazilian equity ETFs.
"Brazil seems to have confounded its critics, who view it as a boom and bust economy; the country has been upgraded to investment grade status by Moody's.
"The US ratings agency cited the resilience of the Brazilian economy to the financial crisis for the upgrade of its sovereign debt ratings one notch to Baa3, its lowest investment grade rating.
"This elevation of quality is well earned after years of reform in the country that led to lower inflation and a stronger currency as well as lower levels of government debt.
Continue reading ETF expert bets on Brazil
Posted Oct 27th 2009 10:40AM by Connie Madon (RSS feed)
Filed under: India, Brazil, Commodities
Last year's bull run in commodities was led mainly by oil, grains and gold. This year we've had spectacular bull runs in the "soft" commodities, which include mainly, coffee, tea, cocoa, sugar and orange juice.
Tea is at an all-time high; cocoa is at a 30-year high; and sugar is at a 28.5-year high. Orange juice reached its highest price in 15 months. Tea prices for the best quality broken pekoe, or BP1, surged to a record $5.02 a kilogram, up 70% since January.
Continue reading Bull markets in 'soft' commodities to hike coffee, orange juice prices
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