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Chasing Value: 2011 Stock Picks Q1 Review -- A Platform for Success

It should surprise no one that oil stocks have taken the lead in the first quarter, while financial stocks -- after a good two-year run -- have been tamed. This is how things have shaped up through the first quarter for my 2011 stock picks. (For a look at my original picks, see here: part 1, part 2, and part 3.)

Normally, if I said a business was underwater, investors would think the worst. Actually, in the summer Noble Corp (NE) was underwater -- and investors were not impressed. However, this was a great buying opportunity, and although the company is still underwater, it is also a market leader among my stock picks and the overall market -- even among oil industry players. With its fleet of 69 offshore drilling rigs, Noble stands tall.

Continue reading Chasing Value: 2011 Stock Picks Q1 Review -- A Platform for Success

Anadarko's Acquisition of BP's Wattenberg Adds to Gas Assets

Recently Anadarko (APC) has agreed to buy BP's 93% interest in the Wattenberg Plant, located in the northeastern part of Colorado, for about $575 million. Anadarko already owns the remaining interest in the plant.

Anadarko is the largest producer of natural gas in the Wattenberg field and the deal will provide Anadarko with 100% ownership of the plant. The company relies heavily on natural gas, which we estimate accounts for nearly 40% of its stock value. It vies for business with established oil and gas producers like Exxon Mobil, (XOM) ConocoPhillips (COP), Chevron (CVX), BP (BP) and Duke (DUK).

Continue reading Anadarko's Acquisition of BP's Wattenberg Adds to Gas Assets

Closing Bell: When No Bears Can Be Found (AAPL, CCJ, CAT, CEPH, CVX, CLNE, DELL, UTA)

The market tried to hit a new two-plus-year high again today. Anything cautious for the markets is being discounted and valuation concerns are out the door. It seems the bulls are in charge -- regardless of what comes down the pipe in the Middle East, Japan, the PIIGS and elsewhere. Even a goal of only aiming to cut foreign energy dependence by one-third did not rattle markets. The TARP even made money. Maybe we can just convince Bernanke to go ahead and raise rates to get the pain over with, once and for all.

Here were today's unofficial closing bell levels:

Dow Jones: 12,350.61 +71.60 (0.58%)

S&P500: 1,328.26 +8.82 (0.67%)

Nasdaq: 2,776,78 +19.90 (0.72%)

Top Analyst Calls

Continue reading Closing Bell: When No Bears Can Be Found (AAPL, CCJ, CAT, CEPH, CVX, CLNE, DELL, UTA)

Closing Bell: From No Worries to Euphoria (ACN, CVX, CLH, EWJ, ORCL, RIMM, S)

The stock market saw another gainful day despite a reading that consumer sentiment hit a year low. Portugal default fears grew and Japan saw what made for two years of price drops for its consumers. It was pretty impressive to see that most global markets rose on the day. Bond yields were higher and gold failed to reach yesterday's highs.

Here were today's unofficial closing bell levels:

Dow Jones 12,220.59 +50.03 (0.41%)
S&P 500 1,313.80 +4.14 (0.32%)
Nasdaq 2,743.06 +6.64 (0.24%)

Continue reading Closing Bell: From No Worries to Euphoria (ACN, CVX, CLH, EWJ, ORCL, RIMM, S)

Analyst Calls: AON, CVX, HBI, MUR, NBL, NFLX, NVDA, SO, XOM ...

Analyst Upgrades

  • Exxon Mobil (XOM), Netflix (NFLX), Noble Corp. (NE), Pioneer Natural (PXD) and Noble Energy (NBL) to buy from neutral at Goldman.
  • Cenovus Energy (CVE) to conviction buy from neutral and Atwood Oceanics (ATW) to neutral from sell at Goldman as well.
  • Southern Company (SO) to buy from hold at Citigroup.
  • Chevron (CVX) to buy from neutral at BofA/Merrill.
  • Ryder (R), Entergy (ETR) and Seaspan (SSW) to buy from hold at Jefferies.
  • Gerdau (GGB), Crown Castle (CCI) and American Tower (AMT) to buy from neutral at UBS.
  • Aon (AON) and Willis Group (WSH) to buy from neutral at Janney Capital.
  • Ryland Group (RYL) to buy from neutral at Ticonderoga.

Continue reading Analyst Calls: AON, CVX, HBI, MUR, NBL, NFLX, NVDA, SO, XOM ...

Chasing Value: A Chinese Trade Deficit?

PetroChinaThe Chinese government released trade data that portrays a $7.3 billion deficit. Is that believable or just convenient amid the international pressure to raise the value of their currency? We can hardly believe what comes out of Washington, so data coming out of China has to be quite suspect.

I'm sure they retained qualified independent auditors to ascertain the validity of the figures -- yeah right ...

Continue reading Chasing Value: A Chinese Trade Deficit?

Stock Futures Lower Following Japan's Quake

U.S. stock futures are lower this morning, after a strong earthquake in the northeastern part of the Japan. Tsunami warnings were also issued for Hawaii, parts of the West Coast of the US and 19 other countries. Futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average dipped 50 points to 11,870.00 and futures on the S&P 500 index fell 4.40 points to 1,285.10. Nasdaq 100 futures dropped 10.25 points to 2,270.50.

Negative sentiment ruled the European markets today. While STOXX Europe 600 Index has dropped 0.83%, London's FTSE 100 Index moved down 0.48%.

Continue reading Stock Futures Lower Following Japan's Quake

Rising Costs and Political Tensions Could Weigh on Exxon Mobil

Exxon Mobil (XOM) is a leading independent oil and gas exploration and production company; it competes with other major oil companies like Anadarko (APC), BP (BP), Chevron (CVX) and ConocoPhillips (COP).

The recent political turmoil in Tunisia, Egypt, and Libya, which is slowly spreading to other Middle Eastern and North African countries is likely to have an impact on Exxon Mobil's production capacity. This is because the company derives the majority of its revenues from production of crude oil and natural gas liquids (NGLs), and the Middle East and North Africa regions account for a sizable portion of its portfolio.

Continue reading Rising Costs and Political Tensions Could Weigh on Exxon Mobil

Stock Futures Lower Following Asia and Europe Declines

U.S. stock futures are lower this morning, after the drop in Asian and European markets, due to worse-than-expected Chinese trade data. Futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 47 points to 12,127.00 and futures on the S&P 500 stock index fell 7 points to 1,308.40. Nasdaq 100 futures dropped 15 points to 2,295.50.

Overseas, negative sentiment ruled the European markets today. While STOXX Europe 600 Index has dropped 0.69%, London's FTSE 100 Index moved down 1.10%.

Continue reading Stock Futures Lower Following Asia and Europe Declines

Chevron's Move to Exit Coal Mining Makes Sense

Chevron Corporation (CVX) is one of the largest energy companies in the world, engaging in a variety of businesses like exploration & production of oil and natural gas as well as refining, transportation and trading. The company competes with other established oil producers like ExxonMobil Corporation (XOM), ConocoPhillips (COP), BP (BP) and Anadarko Petroleum Corporation (APC).

Our price estimate for Chevron stands at $104, which is in line with market price.

Continue reading Chevron's Move to Exit Coal Mining Makes Sense

Oil Price Outlook Adding Upside to Chevron Stock

Chevron (CVX) is one of the largest energy companies in the world and engages in several businesses like exploration and production of oil and natural gas, refining, transportation, trading and chemicals. The company competes with other established oil producers like Exxon Mobil (XOM), ConocoPhillips (COP), BP (BP) and Anadarko (APC). Our price estimate at Trefis for Chevron stands at $102, which is about 5% ahead of the market price.

Continue reading Oil Price Outlook Adding Upside to Chevron Stock

Chevron Is in an Uptrend

Chevron (CVX) logoIf you haven't already, now may be a good time to consider taking some profits of the table with Chevron Corp. (CVX). However, investors who can tolerate the risk can maintain their full position in CVX and go for an even bigger gain, as the company's shares are headed north.

I first discussed Chevron here on February 15, 2009, at a price of $66.18. Chevron's shares have raced through $90 resistance this winter and are set to test major psychological resistance at $100.

Continue reading Chevron Is in an Uptrend

Chasing Value: 2011 Picks Dust the S&P

We are only one month into the new year and there have not been many dull moments. Games are going on in the Middle East and they are not the friendly kind. In Egypt a million plus protesters are playing a game of chicken with the Mubarak government demanding he step down from his 32-year-old reign as perpetual president.

This is not radical Islam fundamentalists; it is even more fundamental. The people want to improve their daily lives in a meaningful way. Education, infrastructure, clean water and clean streets. Speaking of infrastructure and getting back to the less dramatic but still important great stock picks Telefonica (TEF) and General Electric (GE) were the big winners so far bouncing over 10% in January.

Continue reading Chasing Value: 2011 Picks Dust the S&P

Brent Crude Oil Holds Above $100 per Barrel

A little over a week ago the chart players took short positions in the oil sector. Since then the world has changed dramatically.

Egypt is engulfed in a civil uprising and protesters are clamoring for President Hosni Mubarak to step down. Uncertainty is the new state of affairs. Uncertainty breeds fear and fear has taken over the energy sector.

The chart guys quickly covered their shorts and now the bulls have the market. This is fundamental. Three million barrels of oil a day pass through the Suez Canal and the Sumed pipeline. You can throw the charts out the window.

Continue reading Brent Crude Oil Holds Above $100 per Barrel

Chasing Value: Profiting from Ixtapa -- Buffett, Gold, Oil, Options and More

The market is getting gently hammered today, but that only presents more opportunities from my perspective.

I am in Ixtapa, Mexico, nearing the conclusion of my first ever week long rest during a 35 year working career ... and counting. In some ways I am hoping to mold my future working environment from seashore to shining seashore -- all around the world -- taking advantage of modern technology. I am thinking of it as "have beach (+Internet), will travel."

Continue reading Chasing Value: Profiting from Ixtapa -- Buffett, Gold, Oil, Options and More

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Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA+52.3015,387.58
NASDAQ+5.693,502.12
S&P 500+2.871,669.16

Last updated: May 21, 2013: 05:39 PM

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