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Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: HOT, GOOG, WPI, LYG ...

Analyst upgrades:
  • Baird upgraded Starwood Hotels (NYSE: HOT), Host Hotels (NYSE: HST) and Marriott (NYSE: MAR) to Outperform from Neutral based on valuation and indications that negative sentiment has reached a bottom.
  • Citigroup upgraded Torchmark (NYSE: TMK) to Buy from Hold as they find the valuation attractive and think management can grow earnings and book value in 2009/2010. Despite upgrading, the firm lowered their target price to $37 from $45.
  • ASM International (NASDAQ: ASMI) was added to Goldman's Conviction Buy List.
  • Credit Suisse (NYSE: CS) was raised to Overweight from Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley.
  • Live Nation (NYSE: LYV) was upgraded at Natixis to Buy from Hold.

Continue reading Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: HOT, GOOG, WPI, LYG ...

Lions put the cherry on top of an awful year for Detroit

With the Detroit auto industry on the brink of extinction in 2008, the city's football team couldn't be counted on to give residents something to get excited about.

Instead, they gave the city another dubious record to go along with the auto bailout: On Sunday, the Detroit Lions lost to the Green Bay Packers to become the first team in history to go lose 16 games and win zero in an NFL season. The 75th season in the team's history goes down as arguably the worst campaign in the history of professional sports.

Perhaps Congress could get together and authorize $50 million in subsidies to help the Lions build a winning team next year. In case you missed it on Dec. 26th, General Motors (NYSE: GM) shares rose 13% to $3.66 on news that GMAC would be able to tap some bailout funds. Shares of Ford Motor Co. (NYSE: F) closed at $2.29 on Dec. 26 after an 8% gain . Today in pre-market trading, Ford is up another 7% to $2.45. General Motors, however is down 7 cents in early trading to $3.59.

It's bad enough that the industry that provides the city's major source of employment is in sharp decline. They should at least have a football team that isn't an embarrassment.

Cramer on BloggingStocks: Bucyrus is a buy on China's resurgence

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says the near term is muddy, but this mining-equipment maker is a long-term win.

Bucyrus International (NASDAQ: BUCY) (Cramer's Take) really captures this moment. When I was speaking last night to its terrific CEO, Tim Sullivan, I was conscious that his company's stock is at the fulcrum of everything that is going wrong and everything that is going right in this market.

Bucyrus, if you recall, makes mining equipment. It's really the only game in town other than Joy Global (NASDAQ: JOYG) (Cramer's Take), as the mining machinery business was annihilated by years of underinvestment.

The company became the quintessential play on mining as orders, particularly from China, for new coal mining equipment soared each year. China's opening a new coal-fired energy plant every week, so you know that there's demand.

The hedge funds glommed on to this one big-time. Like in so many that we are familiar with -- MasterCard (NYSE: MA) (Cramer's Take), Trinity (NYSE: TRN) (Cramer's Take), Foster Wheeler (NASDAQ: FWLT) (Cramer's Take), NYSE Euronext (NYSE: NYX) (Cramer's Take) and Freeport-McMoRan (NYSE: FCX) (Cramer's Take) -- they took concentrated positions in this and Joy Global and intended to ride the commodity boom for years.

Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: Bucyrus is a buy on China's resurgence

Analyst calls: NOK, NHP, PCR, RIO, DT, UPS, BLK, ADSK, DAI, UNT ...

Analyst upgrades:
  • Goldman upgraded Nokia (NYSE: NOK) to Neutral from Sell on valuation and believes the company's guidance is realistic.
  • SMH Capital upgraded GMX Resources (NASDAQ: GMXR) to Accumulate from Neutral and is positive on the company's capex reduction.
  • Wachovia raised Nationwide Health Services (NYSE: NHP) to Outperform from Market Perform to reflect the company's diversified portfolio and "solid" capital position.
  • Portugal Telecom (NYSE: PT) was upgraded to Equal Weight from Underweight at Morgan Stanley.
  • Omnicare (NYSE: OCR) was upgraded to Buy from Hold at Soleil.
  • SKF AB (OTC: SKFRY) was upgraded at JP Morgan to Neutral from Underweight.
Analyst downgrades:

Continue reading Analyst calls: NOK, NHP, PCR, RIO, DT, UPS, BLK, ADSK, DAI, UNT ...

Analyst calls: CBY, MRX, EMC, WSM, TSRA, DAI, PALM, RTP, INTU, BHP, RGC ...

Analyst upgrades:
  • Citigroup upgraded shares of Cadbury (NYSE: CBY) to Hold from Sell on the company's pricing initiatives and their expectations for margin expansion.
  • Jefferies upgraded shares of Medicis (NYSE: MRX) to Buy from Hold and raised its target to $16 from $12.50 as they believe the company's settlement with Impax should lift valuation and drive higher earnings.
  • Cowen upgraded Williams-Sonoma (NYSE: WSM) to Neutral from Underperform on valuation. Shares were also upgraded at Merrill Lynch to Buy from Underperform.
  • Signet Group (NYSE: SIG) was raised to Neutral from Sell at Goldman.
  • EMC Corp (NYSE: EMC) was upgraded to Buy from Accumulate at ThinkPanmure.
  • DSP Group (NASDAQ: DSPG) was upgraded at RBC Capital to Sector Perform from Underperform.
Analyst downgrades:

Continue reading Analyst calls: CBY, MRX, EMC, WSM, TSRA, DAI, PALM, RTP, INTU, BHP, RGC ...

Comfort Zone Investing: Government has a limited role in free enterprise

Ted Allrich is the founder of The Online Investor and author of the book: Comfort Zone Investing: Build Wealth and Sleep Well at Night. In this weekly column, he'll offer advice to investors who are just getting started.

There must be something in the Treasury, Federal Reserve, Senate, and Congressional water bottles that's causing brain damage.

While the initial idea of saving the banking industry to avoid a crisis of confidence made sense because capitalism depends on trust in the banking world, there's a new fever going around that's much more dangerous.

Continue reading Comfort Zone Investing: Government has a limited role in free enterprise

Options Update: Auto makers' volatility at record highs on lower shares prices

Ford (NYSE: F) closed at $2.13 Monday. F is expected to report Q3 EPS on November 7. Deutsche Bank says: "there is no recent history of a decline of such ferocity makes us cautious about proclaiming a bottom." F overall option implied volatility of 155 is above its 26-week average of 100 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.

General Motors (NYSE: GM) closed at $5.65 Monday. GM is expected to report Q3 EPS on November 7. Deutsche Bank says: "There are relatively few near term catalysts that could help stimulate an auto demand recovery." GM November 5 straddle is priced at $2.05, December is at $3.25. GM December option implied volatility of 192 is above its 26-week average of 102 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price fluctuations.

Daimler AG (NYSE: DAI) closed at $33.92 Monday. DAI December option implied volatility of 89 is above its 26-week average of 42 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.

Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com

Analyst calls: AMAT, CSCO, PFE, DAI, INTC, COP, MNST, SGP ...

Analyst upgrades:
  • Goldman upgraded Applied Materials (NASDAQ: AMAT) to Buy from Sell and added shares to its Conviction Buy List citing valuation. The firm also upgraded the Semiconductor Capital Equipment Sector to Attractive.
  • Morgan Keegan believes Cisco Systems (NASDAQ: CSCO) will emerge from the slowdown as a stronger company with greater market share and expansion into adjacent markets. Shares were upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform.
  • Pfizer (NYSE: PFE) was upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Barclays.
  • Daimler (NYSE: DAI) was upgraded at UBS to Neutral from Sell.
  • Friedman Billings upgraded Mariner Energy (NYSE: ME) to Market Perform from Underperform on valuation and the company's upcoming catalysts in the deepwater GOM.
  • Swiss Reinsurance (OTC: SWCEY) was raised to Buy from Hold at Citigroup.
Analyst downgrades:
  • Intel (NASDAQ: INTC) was downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Goldman.
  • Deutsche Bank cut Hess Corp (NYSE: HES) and Marathon Oil (NYSE: MRO) to Hold from Buy and Suncor (NYSE: SU) and ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP) to Sell from Hold after cutting their oil price forecast for 2009 to $60/bbl and 2010 to $58/bbl.
  • Merrill downgraded Akzo Nobel (OTC: AKZOY) to Neutral from Buy on expectations the company's coatings end markets will worsen and chemicals division will see pressure next year.
  • Monster (NASDAQ: MNST) was lowered at Citigroup to Hold from Buy.

Continue reading Analyst calls: AMAT, CSCO, PFE, DAI, INTC, COP, MNST, SGP ...

Daimler to kill Sterling truck brand, cut 3,500 jobs

Though our attention has been on the hair-raising problems in the financial sector over the last few weeks, the important (and ultimately deeply related) story about job loss in the American industrial sector needs at least as much attention.

Today, another producer of actual things (rather than just inflationary paper) announced the elimination of thousands of jobs. Daimler AG (NYSE: DAI) said that it will terminate Sterling Trucks, which accounts for 15% of Daimler's truck sales in North America. Daimler is the world's largest producer of heavy vehicles.

Sterling is a subsidiary of Freightliner, the largest heavy truck manufacturer in the U.S., which Daimler has owned since 1981. Originally Ford Motor's (NYSE: F) heavy truck division, Ford/Sterling was bought and re-branded as Sterling in 1997.

Daimler stated that Sterling had never met expectations, and that the ongoing recession made it clear that the division needed to be put out of its misery. Plants in Portland, Oregon and St. Thomas, Ontario will be closed, resulting in the loss of 3,500 manufacturing jobs. Daimler stated that it will proceed with the planned opening of new Freightliner plant in Mexico.

While there's no doubt that there is excess capacity in the truck-making industry and that the elimination of manufacturing plants is economically rational, Daimler's move raises once again the larger question of the health of the manufacturing sector in the U.S. As many critics have argued, the ongoing loss of high-paying manufacturing jobs -- a process that has been going on for years -- will make it that much harder for the American economy to recover.

Before the bell: Stocks to drop; GOOG. GM, F, AAPL, BHP ...

U.S. stock futures were lower Wednesday morning after two volatile sessions that recorded a 777 point drop in the Dow, then a remarkable 485 point recovery. No doubt, investors are jittery ahead of the vote in the Senate today on the controversial $700 billion bailout package. Will it pass in the Senate after failing in the House? The two plans are slightly different. Some data might also affect the mood today with the Institute of Supply Management's manufacturing index for September and the September ADP employment estimate on tap. For now, the indication calls for a selloff in stocks at the start of trade today.

Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG) - the Nasdaq Stock Market canceled a few trades in Google late Tuesday following an inexplicable slide in price the exchange blames on mistaken routing from other exchanges. Google shares, which were trading up about 8% for most of the session, fell between 10%-16% in the final minutes, bringing its closing price to $341.39. The Nasdaq also reset the stock's closing price at $400.52. Google shares are up in pre-market trading to about $409.

Automakers also are due to report monthly auto sales for September. Sales for GM (NYSE: GM) and Ford (NYSE: F) are expected to be weak, perhaps the worst in several years. Shares of Ford decline over 5% in after-hours Tuesday.

Daimler (NYSE: DAI) shares declined nearly 8% in pre-market trade after some rumors, denied by the company by now, suggested DAI would issue a profit warning.

Continue reading Before the bell: Stocks to drop; GOOG. GM, F, AAPL, BHP ...

Option Update: GM & Ford volatility elevated; Honda, Daimler & Toyota flat

Daimler AG (NYSE: DAI) closed at $59.55 Monday. DAI overall option implied volatility of 35 is near its 26-week average of 33 according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional price movement.

Ford (NYSE: F) closed at $4.89 Monday. F overall option implied volatility of 78 is above its 26-week average of 69 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.

General Motors (NYSE: GM) closed at $10.36 Monday. GM September call option implied volatility is at 87, puts are at 103; above its 26-week average of 72, suggesting larger price fluctuations.

Honda (NYSE: HMC) closed at $33.42 Monday. HMC over all option implied volatility of 33 is near its 26-week average, suggesting non-directional risk.

Toyota Motor (NYSE: TM) closed at $90.75 Monday. TM overall option implied volatility of 29 is near its 26-week average, suggesting non-directional price movement.

Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com

Cramer on BloggingStocks: KKR takes advantage

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says KKR will join the list of buyout firms that fleece the small investor by going public.

Just what we need, a private-equity firm to go public. That worked just great with Fortress Investment (NYSE: FIG) (Cramer's Take), and it was terrific with Blackstone (NYSE: BX) (Cramer's Take). At least this one is some sort of reverse merger that might not inflict too much pain on the public.

Of course, folks in this business are displaying their usual lack of shame. It would be an excellent time for them to have a good reason beyond employee retention; I mean if you are making all of that money, what's the issue with retention? It would also be terrific if they were doing well, but there hasn't been a deal in so long that it would be a bit of an oddity if they were doing anything other than making a lot of fees.

But Kohlberg Kravis Roberts is a storied lot, so I figure the public will lap it up and all will be well until the losses start.

Or maybe this will be the one that's in the blue moon and the public will not be pants'd by the really smart bankers.

Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: KKR takes advantage

Before the bell: AMZN, F, DOW, DAI, QCOM, MMM, LLY, COST ...

Stock futures were mixed Thursday morning, indicating a similar start to U.S. stocks. While the S&P 500 showed weakness ahead of housing data to be released at 10:00 a.m. EDT, the Nasdaq composite was slightly positive after Amazon.com reported strong earnings Wednesday. Investors also braced for Ford's earnings, which indeed posted double the estimated loss. The earnings wave continues. Meanwhile, oil prices edged a little higher, but remained around $124 a barrel.

Starting with Ford (NYSE: F) then, the world's third largest automaker posted (after items) a loss of $1.38 billion, or 62 cents. Analysts surveyed by Bloomberg expected Ford to report a loss of 28 cents a share. The headlines scream of a loss of $8.7 billion though, which includes $8 billion in pretax writedowns of North American plants and assets of Ford Motor Credit Co. Ford also said it will convert three truck factories to produce small cars as rising gasoline prices sap U.S. truck sales.

Dow Chemical (NYSE: DOW)
couldn't manage to offset higher costs of energy and raw materials with the recent price increases it announced, and posted a 27% decrease in profit for the period. Net income was $762 million, or 81 cents a share. Revenue is up 23% to $16.38 billion. Earnings were below analyst expectation according to Thomson Financial of 85 cents per share, but better than the sales estimates of $14.9 billion. DOW shares are dropping some 9.5% in premarket trading as the company said it expects the economy to weaken.

Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ: AMZN) posted strong earnings Wednesday after the close, proving its growth days aren't over in this weakened economy hurt by high gas prices. Not only did it beat estimates -- with a 41% climb in revenue to $4.06 billion compared to $3.96 expected, and EPS of 37 cents compared to expectations of 26 cents -- but it also raised its full-year revenue projections. AMZN shares are climbing about 6.5% in premarket trading.

Continue reading Before the bell: AMZN, F, DOW, DAI, QCOM, MMM, LLY, COST ...

Analyst initiations: MGRM, IPG and BCSI

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Monogram Biosciences, Interpublic Group and Blue Coat Systems were today's noteworthy initiations:
  • JMP Securities said Monogram Biosciences (NASDAQ: MGRM) has a broad platform enabling it to develop multiple personalized medicine product offerings and has significant growth prospects from its HIV diagnostic business and its diagnostic test in oncology. Shares were initiated with an Outperform rating and $3.50 target.
  • Jefferies assumed Interpublic Group (NYSE: IPG) with a Buy rating and $11 target. The firm believes the current valuation does not reflect the company's turnaround, which they believe is gaining traction.
  • Friedman Billings initiated Blue Coat Systems (NASDAQ: BCSI) with a Market Perform rating and $18 target. The firm prefers to wait on the sidelines given the near-term headwinds from a difficult spending environment in North America and integration risks from the Packeteer acquisition.
OTHER INITIATIONS:
  • American Capital (NASDAQ: AGNC) was initiated at Merrill with a Buy rating and at RBC Capital with an Outperform rating and $32 target.
  • UBS assumed Quality Systems (NASDAQ: QSII) with a Buy rating and $39 target.
  • HSBC initiated Daimler AG (NYSE: DAI) with an Overweight rating.

Ford Focus success shows change is happening at Ford, but it's still too little and too late

Sometimes it takes a sledgehammer to the head to get a company to change direction.

Fuel costs are soaring, profits are dwindling and companies are desperate. Yet, nimble as they would like to be, U.S. auto manufacturers have been unable to provide any significant benefit to consumers in terms of meaningful fuel efficiency. Up until last year, SUV sales were still the dominant component of sales for the Big 3. It wasn't until the pain of a significant drop in SUV sales was realized and reports showed U.S. auto sales to be the lowest since 1993 that our old friend Mr. Hammer was able to wake up a sleeping (or it it dying?) U.S. auto industry.

Now Ford (NYSE: F) is trumpeting a dramatic increase in demand for its economical Ford Focus and boosting output by 30%. But I think the change is too little too late.

The truth is that U.S. vehicle sales are expected to drop by 15 million units in 2008. An increase of 30% of the Ford Focus would still mean a paltry benefit as these lower cost models also have a lower profit margin for Ford. So, as consumers buy more lower margin cars, Ford makes less money.

Continue reading Ford Focus success shows change is happening at Ford, but it's still too little and too late

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Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA+33.6012,529.75
NASDAQ-10.742,839.38
S&P 500+1.821,320.68

Last updated: May 24, 2012: 08:46 PM

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