RBC Capital upgraded Sciele Pharma (NASDAQ: SCRX) to Sector Perform from Underperform following the acquisition by Shionogi.
Merrill believes Alcoa (NYSE: AA) may pursue an acquisition of Alumina Ltd (NYSE: AWC) following recent share weakness. Shares of Alumina were upgraded to Buy from Underperform.
Stanford upgraded shares of Google (NASDAQ: GOOG) to Buy from Hold after channel checks indicated U.S. search market trends have stabilized as they believe GOOG's market share gains are broadening, Q3 expectations are modest and the valuation is near lows. The firm has a $550 target on the stock.
Lowe's (NYSE: LOW) was raised to Buy from Neutral at Goldman.
Analyst downgrades:
WestLB downgraded shares of Ericsson (NASDAQ: ERIC) to Reduce from Hold as they believe the company's Q3 earnings could miss expectations.
Lehman downgraded Intersil (NASDAQ: ISIL) to Equal Weight from Overweight based PC exposure and market share loss in notebook power. The company's target was lowered to $24 from $29.
Dean Foods (NYSE: DF) was lowered to Equal Weight from Overweight at Morgan Stanley.
Gilead Sciences (NASDAQ: GILD) was cut to Neutral from Buy at Banc of America.
Citigroup initiated Eastman Kodak (NYSE: EK) with a Sell rating and $13 target. The firm believes 2008 consensus estimates and guidance are too high given the company's headwinds.
GT Solar (NASDAQ: SOLR) was assumed with a Neutral rating and $16 target at Banc of America. The firm believes the risk/reward is balanced at current levels with no significant new polysilicon opportunity. Shares were also initiated at Thomas Weisel with an Overweight rating and $18 target and at UBS with a Buy rating and $19 target.
Citigroup initiated Xerox (NYSE: XRX) with a Buy rating and $20 target and Electronics for Imaging (NASDAQ: EFII) with a Hold rating and $18 target.
U.S. stock futures were higher Tuesday morning as oil dropped $8 a barrel following little damage to oil rigs in the Gulf of Mexico from Gustav. Tuesday marks the return of many from the holiday weekend and the beginning of the school year. While oil will undoubtedly be the focus today, construction spending and ISM Index numbers are also due.
Korea Development Bank is in talks to buy a stake in Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. (NYSE: LEH), Bloomberg reports. LEH shares are climbing over 5.5% in pre-market trading after CEO of the Korean bank confirmed the discussions. According to the Sunday Telegraph, KDB could inject as much as $6 billion of additional capital into Lehman. No doubt, this is something Fuld has been hoping for following the massive writedowns Lehman took. But is it something Americans wants as more foreign government-backed firms buy into Wall Street companies.
Meanwhile, the internet is abuzz over Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG)'s introduction Tuesday of its own internet browser, Chrome, as it further butts heads with Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ: MSFT). While Microsoft has its Internet Explorer, other browsers exist, including the popular Mozilla's Firefox. Google claims its browser is designed better to show web applications and provide higher protection. GOOG shares are climbing over 1.5% in pre-market trading on the news.
Meanwhile, Alcatel-Lucent (NYSE: ALU) revamped its top management on Tuesday and named a former BT boss Ben Verwaayen as its new chief executive and Lagardere executive Philippe Camus as its new chairman. ALU shares are down about 1.5% in pre-market trading.
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Genzyme, Dean Foods and Key Energy Services were today's noteworthy upgrades:
Citigroup upgraded shares of Genzyme (NASDAQ: GENZ) to Buy from Hold as it sees EPS upside in 2008 and 2009 from the company's three upcoming product launches and improving operating margins. Citigroup raised its target to $91 from $80.
JP Morgan upgraded Dean Foods (NYSE: DF) to Overweight from Neutral citing valuation and expectations for dairy costs to decline.
Banc of America upgraded shares of Key Energy Services (NYSE: KEG) to Buy from Neutral to reflect the company's increasing pricing power and projected margin expansion for well services and growth opportunities in the shale plays. The firm raised its target price to $22 from $18.
OTHER UPGRADES:
Domtar (NYSE: UFS) was raised to Outperform from Sector Perform at RBC Capital.
Gladstone (NASDAQ: GOOD) was upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Baird.
JP Morgan upgraded Macy's (NYSE: M) to Neutral from Underweight.
Goldman upgraded Rexam (OTC: REXMY) to Buy from Neutral.
MOST NOTEWORTHY: MedicNova, Transocean and Lennox were today's noteworthy initiations:
Rodman & Renshaw is positive on MedicNova's (NASDAQ:MNOV) two primary products in development: MN-221, for the treatment of severe asthma and MN-166, an oral treatment for multiple sclerosis. The firm is also positive on MNOV's valuation; shares were initiated with an Outperform rating and $9 target.
Transocean (NYSE:RIG) is UBS's Top Pick as they believe it is the primary beneficiary of rising deepwater dayrates. Shares were assumed with a Buy rating and $201 target.
Suntrust initiated Lennox (NYSE:LII) with a Neutral rating and cites near-term visibility.
OTHER INITIATIONS:
Dean Foods (NYSE:DF) was initiated with an Outperform rating and $29 target.
Goldman started Parker-Hannifin (NYSE:PH) with a Neutral rating and $92 target.
Dean Foods Co. (NYSE: DF) stock is falling this morning after the company posted an adjusted fourth-quarter profit of 27 cents per share, below analysts' expectations of 30 cents per share. Although DF reported an increase in sales, the company's profit suffered from rising commodity costs and lower gross profit margins. If you think this stock won't be rising too far in the coming months, then it could be a good time to look at a bearish hedged play on DF.
After hitting a one-year high of $50.50 in March, the stock hit a one-year low of $24.11 in September. This morning, DF opened at $24.37. So far today the stock has hit a low of $24.23 and a high of $26.08. As of 10:55, DF is trading at $24.82, down $2.11 (-7.8%). The chart for DF looks bullish and steady, while S&P gives the stock a neutral 3 STARS (out of 5) hold rating.
There is an outfit in Columbia, Maryland that makes nutritional substances from microbes. It sounds odd, but the stuff must be good. It is found in almost ninety percent of all U.S. infant formulas.
Martek Biosciences Corporation (NASDAQ: MATK) provides natural products derived from microalgae, fungi and other microbes. These include nutritional oils, which are used by makers of infant formula, nutritional supplements, and food and beverage fortification products. Martek also offers contract manufacturing services for the production of enzymes, specialty chemicals, vitamins and agricultural specialty products. Further, it provides fluorescent detection products, used by researchers in drug discovery and diagnostics. Customers include Dean Foods (NYSE: DF), General Mills (NYSE: GIS) and Kellogg (NYSE: K).
The firm pleased investors last week, when it reported Q4 EPS of 23 cents and revenues of $82 million. Analysts had been expecting 20 cents and $78.4 million. Management also guided Q1 EPS to 21-23 cents (17 cent consensus) and Q1 revenues to $79-83 million ($77.30M consensus). For FY08, the company expects year over year growth in both revenues and profitability.
Hershey (NYSE: HSY) is recently up $0.51 to $43.01 on renewed & unconfirmed takeover chatter. HSY call option volume of 10,491 contracts compares to put volume of 570 contracts. HSY November option implied volatility of 45 is above its 26-week average of 24 according to Track Data, suggesting traders buying calls for an upside move.
Dean Foods (NYSE: DF) is recently trading up $0.45 to $27.41 on renewed takeover chatter. DF, a leading food & beverage company, reduced 3Q & full-year earnings expectations on 10/2. DF is expected to announce full 3Q EPS on 11/8. DF November 30 calls have traded 108 times on transaction volume of 3,888 contracts above its open interest of 874 contracts. DF November option implied volatility is at 57 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price risk.
Daily options Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.
The news just continues to be "decidedly less than stellar," (to put it diplomatically), regarding Dean Foods Co.'s (NYSE: DF) business execution.
Dean Foods cut its full-year EPS estimate to about $1.25 versus the Reuters consensus estimate of $1.47 -- citing a consumer pull-back prompted by rising dairy prices at the retail level.
If was the second time this year that Dean Foods had cut full-year earnings estimates. In a statement, CFO Jack Callahan said the company expects an oversupply of organic milk to continue to affect results for the balance of this year and into at least the first half of 2008. In addition, overall sales have softened as consumers adjusted their consumption habits to cope with record-high food prices, Callahan said.
Dean Foods Co. (NYSE: DF) stumbled in early trading after announcing job cuts and a lower profit forecast due to higher costs and slowing sales. A Stifel Nicolaus analyst also cut his price target on the stock by $3 to $31 and lowered his earnings estimates for the stock. However, the analyst did maintain a buy rating on the company, as he expects cost pressures to ease. If you think this stock won't be rising too far in the coming months, then it could be a good time to look at a bearish hedged play on DF.
After hitting a one-year high of $50.50 in March, the stock fell to a one-year low of $24.11 in late September. This morning, DF opened at $24.66. So far today the stock has hit a low of $24.56 and a high of $26.77. As of 10:45, DF is trading at $26.12, down $0.17 (-0.6%). The chart for DF looks bearish but improving slightly, while S&P gives the stock a neutral 3 STARS (out of 5) hold rating.
For a bearish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a December bear-call credit spread above the $30 range. A bear-call credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of call options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make a 4.2% return in 3 months as long as DF is below $30 at December expiration. Dena Foods would have to rise by more than 14% before we would start to lose money.
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Cadbury Schweppes, the food sector, Marsh & McLennan, Broadcom and Danone were today's noteworthy downgrades:
Bear Stearns downgraded Cadbury Schweppes Plc (NYSE: CSG) shares to Underperform from Peer Perform as they are less confident the company will achieve its objective of divesting its beverage business at a reasonable price before the end of 2008.
Bear downgraded the food group to Market Weight from Overweight based on valuations and macro economic trends. The firm downgraded Dean Foods Company (NYSE: DF) and Kellogg Company (NYSE: K) to Peer Perform from Outperform.
JP Morgan downgraded shares of Marsh & McLennan Companies Inc (NYSE: MMC) to Neutral from Overweight citing management turnover which will impact the company's operating turnovers.
JMP Securities downgraded Broadcom Corporation (NASDAQ: BRCM) to Market Perform from Outperform on valuation.
Bear Stearns downgraded Groupe Danone (OTC: GDNNY) to Peer Perform from Outperform due to near-term headwinds; the firm prefers Nestle SA (OTC: NSRGY).
OTHER DOWNGRADES:
Morgan Stanley downgraded the U.S. mortgage finance stocks to In Line from Attractive.
Keefe Bruyette downgraded Legg Mason Inc (NYSE: LM) to Market Perform from Outperform.
MercadoLibre Inc (NASDAQ: MELI) was downgraded at Merrill Lynch to Neutral from Buy.
On Wednesday, Dean Foods Company (NYSE: DF), the country's largest processor and distributor of milk and soy products, accepted the resignation of Alan Bernon, the president of the company's Dairy Group, in what may be the beginning of a large-scale reorganization to stave off further losses as the company moves into its 3Q earnings period. Dean Foods is losing its own milk money. The company is facing bottom-line difficulty, some if it self-caused. Earlier in the year, Dean Foods reported that net income, earnings from continuing operations and diluted EPS were all on the increase. Unfortunately, so were prices for raw milk, a significant expense for the company. Supply of organic milk far exceeded demand for the product, driving down prices. For reasons that remain unclear, at the end of 1Q 2007, Dean Foods recapitalized its balance sheet and increased its debt load to $5.3 billion. Senior management then paid out more than $1.9 billion, $15 per share, for a one-time dividend. This drove the stock up to $37.48. Immediately thereafter, the company began having finance problems that have continued into the second quarter.
Dean Foods posted 2Q earnings well off last year's numbers. Diluted EPS was $0.30, way down from one year ago EPS of $0.55. Adjusted net income dropped by almost half to $41.6 million. At the same time, interest expense doubled to $88.9 million for the quarter. Sales continue to increase while operating income continues to decline. Capital expenditures were down by $10 million. Unfortunately cash flow was down by almost 10X that amount, $95 million.
Dean Foods Co. (NYSE: DF) opened at $31.83. So far today the stock has hit a low of $31.79 and a high of $32.20. As of 10:40 this morning, DF is trading at $31.87, up $0.28 (0.9%).
After hitting a one year high of $50.50 in March, the stock slumped to a year low of $30.50 in June. As Kevin Shult noted earlier, Merrill Lynch & Co. Inc. (NYSE: MER) upgraded Dean Foods from sell to neutral this morning, giving shares a lift to start the day. We can leverage this information into an options trade that will hopefully make a nice return for us. Technical indicators for DF are bearish and steady, while S&P gives the stock a negative 2 STARS (out of 5) sell rating.
For a bullish hedged play on this stock, I would consider an August bull-put credit spread below the $30 range. A bull-put credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of put options to hedge risk and leverage returns. For this particular trade, we will make a 13.6% return in less than 6 weeks as long as DF is above $30 at August expiration. DF would have to fall by more than 5% before we would start to lose money.
DF hasn't been below $30 except for a few days since January and has shown support around $31 recently. This trade could be risky if the company's earnings (due out August 2) disappoint, but even if that happens, it looks like this position could be protected by the strong support the stock found just around $31 where it has bounced twice in the past month. Plus, its 200 day moving average is right at $31 and that could also provide some support.
Brent Archer is an options analyst and writer at Investors Observer. DISCLOSURE: At publication time, Brent neither owns nor controls positions in DF.
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Motorola (MOT), SanDisk (SNDK), Time Warner (TWX), Schering-Plough (SGP), GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) and Openwave Systems (OPWV) were some of today's noteworthy upgrades:
Deutsche Bank believes the worst is over for Motorola (NYSE: MOT) and expects an improvement in growth over the next several quarters, upgrading shares to Buy from Hold.
CIBC upgraded shares of SanDisk (NASDAQ: SNDK) to Sector Outperformer from Sector Performer following checks that indicate NAND supply is being allocated, visibility is improving, and SanDisk positioning is strengthening.
Pali Capital raised Time Warner (NYSE: TWX) shares to Buy from Neutral as they believe the "valuation has become too attractive to ignore."
CIBC upgraded Openwave Systems (NASDAQ: OPWV) to Sector Performer from Sector Underperformer believing the Street's expectations are now in line with expectations, limiting downside potential at these levels...
OTHER UPGRADES:
Merrill upgraded BT Group (NYSE: BT) to Buy from Sell.
JP Morgan assumed coverage of Arkansas Best (NASDAQ: ABFS) with a Neutral rating, up from an Underweight rating.
Dairy product marketers such as Dean Foods (NYSE: DF) and Kraft Foods (NYSE: KFT) are continuing to warn consumers, economists and investors of the pressures that rising corn prices will soon be placing upon our economy. The pursuit of an unfettered increase in corn based ethanol production is raising inflationary pressures on consumer pocketbooks by increasing the feed costs for dairy, beef , pork and poultry farmers. When coupling the feed cost increases with the higher prices for fuel and fertilizer, we have a recipe for inflationary spikes in consumer food prices which will most probably reach well into the double digits over the next three years.
National Milk Producers Federation spokesman Chris Galen said ethanol usage has led to higher costs for corn and wheat products, which in turn affects the cost of other products, as reported by UPI. Twice within the last six months Dean Foods has faced analyst downgrades as a result of the pressures that rising fuel and feed costs are putting on dairy producers large and small. One downgrade occurred in March and another occurred just this month. Those companies such as Dean Foods, which have their primary focus in dairy products, will be harder hit than companies which have broader focus similar to Kraft.
The opinion is expressed that investors who wish to play the ethanol game should be focusing their intentions on cellulosic ethanol interests rather than ethanol operations based on corn and sugars. While the profitability of cellulosic ethanol does not reach the same levels as ethanol from corn, in the long run the vastly lowered degree of raw material price volatility and the greatly reduced level of controversy will have cellulosic ethanol investors sleeping much more peacefully than their corn-fed brothers.
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Analyst upgrades:
U.S. stock futures were higher Tuesday morning as 
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