But when Sprint reports its first-quarter results tomorrow, analysts polled by Thomson Financial expect the company to report earnings of a mere penny per share, down from the same period in 2007 when it earned 18 cents per share, and from the previous quarter's 21 cents per share. The company has beat quarterly estimates over the past year -- by 17.3% in the fourth quarter -- and it certainly has plenty of room to best analysts' low expectations for this past quarter.
Overland Park, Kansas-based Sprint Nextel operates a nationwide digital wireless network with more than 50 million subscribers. In the past year, Sprint's revenues were $40.1 billion. The company's long-term EPS growth forecast is 8.22%, which is less than the 8.67% of rival Verizon (NYSE: VZ) and the S&P 500. The consensus recommendation of analysts continues to be to hold Sprint.
Shares closed Friday at $9.39, up from a 52-week low of $5.48 in March, but still well off the 52-week high of 23.42 last June.
For news that could influence these results, see BloggingStocks' Sprint coverage.
The earnings party of last week was full of fun and frolic. For the most part, if you followed my list of recommendations, you would have had your very own "Fiesta de Finance." (See Week in Preview – May 5)
The earnings season is still in full swing and should provide a great deal of action for the companies that will be reporting. But these companies will have to fight through a few new economic barriers. With oil pushing past historic levels and questions beginning to surface concerning the ability of the investor to continue to support a market that has so many headwinds, the mood is likely to shift moving forward. It is time for discipline, short and simple. Now, more than ever investors need a plan. I cover this strategy in my book, The Disciplined Investor.
In the last installment of The Week in Preview, I was looking for party opportunities in honor of Cinco de Mayo. This week, Misery is the theme. That is the only word that comes to mind with oil at a level that you would have never expected, a massive and unrelenting credit and housing crisis and a banking system that is defunct.
Monday - May 12
We start the week with a report from IndyMac Bancorp (NYSE: IMB). This bank is smack in the middle of the housing problem. It is primarily a lending company that facilitates loans for single-family homes. It's also involved in the origination and trading of mortgages. How does that sound to you as an investment? Shares have slid from $23 in October 2007 to an unbelievable level of $3.50 recently. Ouch... If you are a shareholder still holding on with hope and a prayer for something...anything, keep on dreaming. The good news is that the stock is sporting a yield of 29%. But, if you think that yield is going to be maintained, I have a bridge for sale. Estimates are for a loss of $1.92 per share for the quarter.
Analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial expect Sirius Satellite Radio (NASDAQ: SIRI) and XM Satellite Radio Holdings (NASDAQ: XMSR) to report narrower losses for the first quarter. Both companies are scheduled to report Monday morning.
Sirius is expected to report a loss of 7 cents per share, compared to the same period in 2007 when it lost 10 cents per share, and the previous quarter when it lost 11 cents per share. The company has provided positive surprises in the past few quarters.
New York-based Sirius boasts 8.3 million subscribers and is the radio home of Howard Stern and Martha Stewart. In 2007 the company agreed to acquire rival XM Satellite Radio. In the past year, Sirius's revenues were $922 million. Its EPS growth forecast for the year is 19.47%, which is much better than its industry average. The consensus recommendation of analysts remains to buy Sirius.
The stock has fallen 3.87% in the past year and closed Friday at $2.73.
The earnings season continues to roll on, and next week's results offer a peek at the state of fashion retailing, as a variety of companies -- from the discount to the upscale, from the hip to the pedestrian -- are scheduled to report earnings.
Analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial expect earnings growth, compared to the same period in the previous year, from Urban Outfitters (NASDAQ: URBN) to be 22.7% to 22 cents per share, from Wal-Mart Stores (NYSE: WMT) to be 9.3% to 75 cents per share, and from TJX Companies (NYSE: TJX) to be 7.5% to 40 cents per share.
Analysts expect earnings declines from the previous year from JC Penney (NYSE: JCP) by 52.9% to 49 cents per share, from Kohl's (NYSE: KSS) by 34.4% to 42 cents per share, and from Nordstrom (NYSE: JWN) by 18.3% to 49 cents per share.
In the case of Abercrombie & Fitch (NYSE: ANF), analysts expect earnings to remain flat, year over year, at 65 cents per share.
And then there's Macy's (NYSE: M), which is expected to swing to a loss of 2 cents per share, compared to a profit of 16 cents a year ago.
The sample size may be too small to define any significant trends, but the numbers do suggest that analysts expect profit declines to be deeper than profit growth, and that consumers may be more likely, given the current state of the economy, to buy clothes at Wal-Mart or TJ Maxx than at Nordstrom or Abercrombie.
The coming results will reveal if those expectations are correct.
Internet Brands, Inc. (Nasdaq: INET) is essentially a holding company for a myriad of diverse websites. Some of the categories include travel, autos, and finance. Although, there are some commonalities: consumer focus, community, high engagement and compelling content.
The company went public last year and, for the most part, the stock performance has been lackluster.
However, with the report of its Q1 results, investors pushed the stock up 7% to $6.75 in yesterday's trading. Revenues increased 30% to $24.9 million and net income was $3 million or $0.07 per share. Moreover, adjusted EBITDA came to $7.9 million, up 35% over the past year.
While ecommerce revenues were light – primarily because of the slowing economy – there was still much strength from advertisers. Besides, Internet Brands has been quite active with M&A. Since the start of April, the company has purchased MySummerCamps.com and CreditorWeb.com.
As a result, the web properties of Internet Brands continue to rack up lots of traffic. For March, the total monthly unique visitors spiked 68% to 34 million and page views surged 89% to 458 million.
On the conference call, Internet Brands indicated that the M&A pipeline looks strong. In fact, with the soft environment, sellers may be more motivated to do deals. And, with $76.9 million in the bank, Internet Brands still has some firepower for transactions.
eResearchTechnology (NASDAQ: ERES) provides technology and services to the pharmaceutical, biotechnology and medical device industries. The company streamlines the clinical trials process by enabling customers to automate the collection, analysis and distribution of data in all phases of clinical development. The firm's flagship product, EXPeRT, processes and interprets electrocardiogram data collected during trials, to insure cardiac safety. eResearchTechnology operates in the US and the UK.
The firm pleased investors earlier in the week, when it reported Q1 EPS of 11 cents and revenues of $33.7 million. Wall Street analysts had been looking for nine cents and $31.6 million. Management also guided Q2 EPS to 10-12 cents (ten cent Street), Q2 revenues to $34-$36 million ($32.95M Street), FY08 EPS to 44-49 cents (44 cent Street) and FY08 revenues to $133-$140 million ($134.99M Street). Friedman Billings subsequently reiterated its "outperform" rating on the shares and boosted its price target to $18.
NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA) shares are trading higher today after the company reported a first-quarter profit of $176.8 million, or 30 cents per share. Although the adjusted profit of 36 cents per share missed analyst estimates of 38 cents per share, a few analysts upgraded NVDA saying margin growth and new products should improve NVDA's prospects through the year. If you think that the stock won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on NVDA.
After hitting a one-year high of $39.67 in October, the stock hit a one-year low of $17.31 in March. NVDA opened this morning at $22.01. So far today the stock has hit a low of $21.97 and a high of $23.39. As of 12:00, NVDA is trading at $23.38, up 1.43 (6.5%). The chart for NVDA looks bullish but deteriorating slightly, while S&P gives the stock a neutral 3 STARS (out of 5) hold rating.
For a bullish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a September bull-put credit spread below the $17.50 range. A bull-put credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of put options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make a 9.9% return in just five and a half months as long as NVDA is above $17.50 at September expiration. NVIDIA would have to fall by more than 25% before we would start to lose money. Learn more about this type of trade here.
NVDA hasn't been below $17.50 by more than a few cents at all in the past year and has shown support around $22 recently. This trade could be risky if the company's next earnings (due out in mid-August) disappoint, but even if that happens, this position could be protected by the support the stock might find from its 50-day moving average, which is currently around $20.
DISCLOSURE: Mr. Archer owns and/or controls diversified portfolios of long and short stock and option positions that may include holdings in companies he writes about. At publication time, Brent neither owns nor controls positions in NVDA.
Airgas Inc. (NYSE: ARG) is the largest U.S. distributor of industrial gases, medical gases, specialty gases and welding equipment. The firm is also one of the largest U.S. distributors of safety products, the largest U.S. producer of nitrous oxide and dry ice, the largest liquid carbon dioxide producer in the Southeast, and a leading distributor of process chemicals, refrigerants, and ammonia products. More than 14,000 employees work at over 1,100 locations, including branches, retail stores, gas fill plants, specialty gas labs, production facilities and distribution centers.
The firm surprised investors earlier in the week, when it reported fiscal Q4 EPS of 78 cents and revenues of $1.09 billion. Analysts had been looking for 73 cents and $1.07 billion. The CEO noted that strategic product categories (healthcare, research, environmental, food & beverage) posted 11% organic growth in the quarter. The EPS figure was a company record. Management also guided Q1 EPS to 79-81 cents (74 cent consensus) and FY09 EPS to $3.24-$3.40 ($3.10 consensus).
Shares of radio broadcaster Clear Channel Communications Inc. (NYSE: CCU) were slightly up in early trading after the company posted higher first-quarter profit boosted in part by gains in its outdoor advertising unit. Though, the company was not able to beat analysts' predictions as the weak economy put pressure on the overall advertising market.
Clear Channel Communications announced that its quarterly profit surged to $799.7 million, or $1.61 per share. The income figures were definitely something to cheer about. During its first quarter last year, the company had net income of $102.2 million or 21 cents per share. Excluding one-time items, earnings for the quarter would have been $0.19 per share. Analysts' forecast (which typically exclude one-time items) was for $0.21 per share, according to Thomson Reuters.
The media and advertising display company also said that quarterly revenue rose 3.9% to $1.56 billion, compared with $1.51 billion reported in the same period a year ago, helped by favorable foreign exchange rates; excluding the effect of the week dollar, revenue rose only 1%. Analysts had been expecting to see slower sales of $1.53 billion.
AIG reported a $7.81 billion first-quarter loss and announced plans to raise $12.5 billion.
Bank of America says: "1Q: The downside of high leverage and risk taking."
AIG May option implied volatility is at 63; June is at 48; above its 26-week average of 44 according to Track Data, suggesting larger near term price movement.
Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com
Activision (NASDAQ: ATVI) late Thursday reported a fourth-quarter profit that handily beat expectations as video games sales nearly doubled with strong demand for Guitar Hero 3 and Call of Duty 4 games. ATVI shares are up over 4.5% in premarket trading.
Bristol-Myers Squibb (NYSE: BMY) and Sanofi-Aventis (NYSE: SNY) are about to face a generic threat from Swiss drug firm, Schweizerhall Holding, that said it's going to soon launch a generic version in Germany of Plavix blood-thinning drug.
Clear Channel (NYSE: CCU) reported its profit soared to $799.7 million or $1.61 per share in the first quarter while revenues rose 4% to $1.56 billion. The results beat expectation even when taken excluding one-time items that have earnings rising 70% to $161.4 million or 32 cents a share.
Despite Sprint Nextel Corp.'s (NYSE: S) share price being down more than 50% in the past year, shares were up 7.5% last week -- up 46.5% in the past montyh -- on all the buzz surrounding Sprint lately. There are rumors that Deutsche Telekom (NYSE: DT) may buyout Sprint and merge it into T Mobile. Then there were rumors that Sprint may spin off Nextel (i.e., undo its troubled merger). And there's the excitment around a joint venture with Clearwire Corp. (NASDAQ: CLWR) to create a high-speed wireless internet network that covers most of the U.S.
The earnings party of last week was full of fun and frolic. For the most part, if you followed my list of recommendations, you would have had your very own "Fiesta de Finance." (
Sirius is expected to report a loss of 7 cents per share, compared to the same period in 2007 when it lost 10 cents per share, and the previous quarter when it lost 11 cents per share. The company has provided 
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The Wal-Mart Weekly: Examining shareholder resolutions, Part 2
Earnings expectations for JC Penney, Nordstrom, Macy's, Abercrombie and others
Comfort Zone Investing: Financial stocks: Is the worst over yet?
