The first quarter of 2010 is closed and the results are in. My picks surpassed the primary indices by a large margin. The original story, Chasing Value: 10 Stock Picks for 2010 , was the culmination of a process presented to our readers and finally narrowed down to the select group using final prices from Monday, December 28, 2009.
Chasing Value: 2010 Picks Triple Market Returns
Continue reading Chasing Value: 2010 Picks Triple Market Returns
E*Trade Financial Hits a Snag in CEO Search
On Wednesday afternoon, interim CEO Robert Druskin confessed that E*Trade Financial (ETFC) is headed back to the drawing board in its search for a permanent new leader. At an investor conference, Druskin explained that the online broker's preferred candidate for the position was no longer in the running. (He didn't identify the erstwhile candidate, but we can safely assume it was not Lindsay Lohan.)
Druskin's announcement yesterday confirmed a recent report in The Wall Street Journal's Deal Blog. In a post published March 2, a trio of reporters explained that "E*Trade directors were concerned that the [top candidate] might become distracted by a pending divorce, according to people with knowledge of the discussions."
Continue reading E*Trade Financial Hits a Snag in CEO Search
TD Ameritrade's Q1 Worthy of a Trade?
TD Ameritrade Holding Corporation (AMTD) didn't experience a spectacular start to its new fiscal year. The broker, which competes with Charles Schwab (SCHW) and E*Trade Financial Corporation (ETFC), was hampered by a decline in trading activities.
According to the press release, revenues increased a modest 2% from the year-ago period. On a sequential basis, the top line actually contracted. Net income decreased 26% to 23 cents per share. Earnings.com indicates an expectation of 26 cents per share. Margins and profitability metrics unfortunately were down across the board.
Chasing Value: 2010 Dividends for Ten Stock Picks
During my tenure at BloggingStocks I have expressed my opinion often about the contribution that dividends make to your overall return. Most shrewd investors, and especially "my pal Warren," know this and understand why I re-emphasize the point when I make my annual selections.
By now I hope you have had a chance to peruse my picks for 2010. If not the links below will give you another opportunity.
Continue reading Chasing Value: 2010 Dividends for Ten Stock Picks
Chasing Value: 2010 -- #10 E-Trade 'Naked Put'
For the first time my annual picks will include a stock option. I have written numerous blogs this year about something called "naked puts" -- that is a sell to open put position -- committing me to buy a certain number of shares by a certain date if the closing price is less than the strike price.
In this case I have selected the E*TRADE (ETFC) January 2011, $2.50 puts last traded on December 28, 2009 at $0.97 for a 39% return. If it expires, as I am betting it will, by the third Friday of that month I have no further obligation.
This type of option transaction is not available to most investors. It is marginable, but you pay no interest.
Continue reading Chasing Value: 2010 -- #10 E-Trade 'Naked Put'
Chasing Value: 10 Stock Picks for 2010
To arrive at this years ten picks I scoured business journals and editorials, online and off. I also ran through a series of stock screens repeatedly over the last few months filtering for five primary value metrics identifying stocks worthy of further consideration.
The 5 data points were price-to-sales (P/S), price-to-book (P/B), price-to-cash flow (P/CF), dividend yield and return-on-equity (ROE). I did look at other things but these were the subject of my initial focus.
Closing Bell: Decoupling of inverse dollar and stock relationship (POT, CHTT, ETFC, ATHX, V, BIIB)
Stocks had effectively no real market moving economic data to trade off of. We also saw a break-away from the inverse relationship between stocks and the US Dollar, as both were up on the day. Here were today's unofficial closing bell levels:
Dow 10,414.07 +85.18 (0.82%)
S&P 500 1,114.05 +11.58 (1.05%)
Nasdaq 2,237.66 +25.97 (1.17%)
Top Day Trader Alerts
Top 10 Analyst Calls
Chasing Value: Ten stocks for 2010 -- Part 9 + Apple
Is it time to take a bite out of Apple, Inc (AAPL) or leave it on the vine? After reviewing the current list by examining the stock yields and price-to-cash flow (P/CF) we will take a look at Apple for 2010.Yesterday I dropped two stocks, but the list is still too long. In the coming weeks there will be more cuts and if I find anything of more value perhaps there will be something new.
Continue reading Chasing Value: Ten stocks for 2010 -- Part 9 + Apple
Chasing Value: E-Trade, a word of caution
Look before you leap! All year long rumors have been swirling around that E*TRADE (ETFC) was on the auction block being prepared for an acquisition by a bigger fish interested in its customers and superior trading platform. I have not used E-TRADE so I do not have first hand experience. However, this has been acknowledged broadly and I have received very positive comments from regular users when I have written about it.The leading suitor seems to be TD AmeriTrade Holding (AMTD), with Charles Schwab Corp (SCHW) mentioned as perhaps having similar but less conspicuous interest. For Schwab it may be as much about keeping E-TRADE out of a competitors hands as chasing the business.
Closing Bell: The grinch comes early (INTC, HOTT, MVIS, ETFC, SHLD)
Today's jobs data was not bad, relatively any way, but the housing delinquencies and foreclosure rates was just awful and not representative of anything good. The overseas selling had the markets soft this morning and despite a recovery off lows the 'positive green line' was never really in the cards at the end of the trading day. The retailers are also running soft because of excessive discounting and promotions before the holiday season even starts. Here are the unofficial closing bell levels:
Dow 10,341.44 -84.87 (-0.81%)
S&P 500 1,094.90 -14.90 (-1.34%)
Nasdaq 2,156.82 -36.32 (-1.66%)
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Top Stock/Market Rumors
Continue reading Closing Bell: The grinch comes early (INTC, HOTT, MVIS, ETFC, SHLD)
Chasing Value: Ten stocks for 2010 -- Part 4
Fourteen stocks have been reviewed so far with eight of them potential contenders for 2010. These include some picks from 2009, some old dependables and a few more on the speculative side.During the year I have written on occasion about selling put options (naked puts) because the premiums offered were very generous and from my perspective assumed market collapse. This was reflected in my July post Serious Money: The world's dumbest market
Today I am considering four naked puts and two more stocks. The options are all based on stocks now in review.
Continue reading Chasing Value: Ten stocks for 2010 -- Part 4
Closing Bell: An almost recovery (AMD, AXP, DRYS, ETFC, FTNT, VVUS)
The markets were higher before the economic data came to ruin the party. CPI came in higher than PPI on the inflation front, but there was a real disappointment in housing starts considering that many were expecting gains there. Oil inventory contractions across the board failed to boost that market considerably. A late day rally looked like a positive close was in the cards, but the buying action was only so much. Here were today's closing levels:
Dow 10,426.31 -11.11 (-0.11%)
S&P 500 1,109.79 -0.53 (-0.05%)
Nasdaq 2,193.14 -10.64 (-0.48%)
Top Analyst Calls
Top Day Trader Alerts
Top Stock & Market Rumors
Continue reading Closing Bell: An almost recovery (AMD, AXP, DRYS, ETFC, FTNT, VVUS)
Chasing Value: Ten stocks for 2010 -- Part 3
In this installment of our search for the ten picks for 2010, I will risk my reputation (and money) as I head in a more speculative direction. In Part 1 of this series, I discussed breaking up my potential picks into three categories: "Contender", "On the Fence", and "Out of the Running", until the 10 stocks have been identified. The following lists the first ten stocks I discussed and the current standing after Part 2 of this series, plus four new stocks reviewed today.
Continue reading Chasing Value: Ten stocks for 2010 -- Part 3
Earnings highlights: Aetna, Allergan, E*Trade, Goodyear, RadioShack, SAP, Visa ...
Here are some highlights from last week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:
- Aetna Inc. (NYSE: AET) reported better-than-expected Q3 earnings and revenue, sending shares higher.
- Allergan Inc. (NYSE: AGN) reported better-than-expected Q3 numbers, sending shares higher.
- Bare Escentuals Inc. (NASDAQ: BARE) Q3 profit easily topped analysts' estimates, and shares surged.
- Cabot Oil & Gas Corp. (NYSE: COG) received an upgrade following the release of its Q3 numbers.
- Estee Lauder Companies Inc. (NYSE: EL) reported strong Q1 results, sending shares higher.
- E*Trade Financial Corp. (NASDAQ: ETFC) reported a smaller-than-expected net loss for Q3.
- Goodyear Tire & Rubber Co. (NYSE: GT) Q3 earnings topped estimates and revenue was up sequentially.
Continue reading Earnings highlights: Aetna, Allergan, E*Trade, Goodyear, RadioShack, SAP, Visa ...
E*Trade loses less than expected in third quarter -- is this a victory?
E*Trade (NASDAQ: ETFC) is a well-known brand in the broker space. It competes vigorously with the other giants, TD Ameritrade (NASDAQ: AMTD) and Charles Schwab (NASDAQ: SCHW). To be honest, if I were looking for investment ideas in this sector, I would probably begin my search with the latter two. It's difficult to put E*Trade on the list. The company got in trouble during the financial crisis because it was exposed to the mortgage industry. It has now become, in my opinion, a speculative play on a return to glory.
The latest earnings report shows what I'm talking about. For the third quarter, E*Trade lost, on a GAAP basis, 66 cents per share from continuing operations, wider than the year-ago loss of 60 cents per share from continuing operations. After adjusting for an item related to debt extinguishment, the current red ink is equal to 5 cents per share.
Continue reading E*Trade loses less than expected in third quarter -- is this a victory?

