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Fed's QE2 is a Bridge to Normal Credit Markets

To say that the financial crisis era has been riddled with half-truths, distortions, and outright falsehoods regarding the unprecedented public policies designed to maintain stable, liquid credit markets and help stimulate the U.S. economy, would be an understatement. Moreover, investors need to disabuse themselves of them if they hope to make informed, balanced, and prudent investment decisions.

One such misnomer concerns the categorization of quantitative easing.

As U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke took pains to clarify Sunday, during his CBS '60 Minutes' interview, the Fed is most certainly not 'printing money.'

A monetary policy of printing money would involve adding money to the financial system that chases the same amount of goods. That can and typically does lead to higher inflation.

Continue reading Fed's QE2 is a Bridge to Normal Credit Markets

JPMorgan and GE Got Massive Fed Loans While Their CEOs Sat on NY Fed Board

Slowly, piece by piece, the inside details of what happened during the financial meltdown are coming to light. The latest disclosure is that JPMorgan Chase (JPM) CEO Jamie Dimon and General Electric (GE) CEO Jeffrey Immelt were on the New York Federal Reserve Board in 2008, when their institutions got enormous loans, as reported by the New York Times.

This little story tells you just how the insiders do their wheeling and dealing. On Sept. 15, JPMorgan Chase received a $3 billion loan from the Fed. On 12 occasions in October and November 2008, GE issued short term IOUs. The Fed purchased $16 billion of them.

Continue reading JPMorgan and GE Got Massive Fed Loans While Their CEOs Sat on NY Fed Board

Bernanke on 60 Minutes: We Could Have QE3

Ben BernankeFederal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke will appear on 60 Minutes this Sunday to defend his controversial stimulus package, dubbed QE2, of buying $600 billion of Treasury securities.

In the CBS interview, Bernanke explains his intentions with QE2 and defends the notion that this stimulus will not lead to inflation. He also told CBS that he is not ruling out the purchase of more securities.

Continue reading Bernanke on 60 Minutes: We Could Have QE3

Unemployment Data Is Disturbing, Underemployment Numbers Are Staggering

This morning, my colleague Connie Madon reported that initial jobless claims showed a disappointing gain of just 39,000 jobs and an unemployment rate at a seven-month high of 9.8%. Remember that the Street expected job growth of 144,000. This disappointing data has helped push the Dow Jones as we head through the lunch hour. I wanted to take a look at a couple tidbits of news from the report, one that I find especially disturbing.

Continue reading Unemployment Data Is Disturbing, Underemployment Numbers Are Staggering

Chasing Value: Time to Redial Telefonica

The economic news out of Europe has strengthened the dollar and recast doubt on the euro. The demise of the Irish "domino" after the bailout of the Greek domino has formed clouds over the Portuguese and Spanish dominoes.

As fear grows, the European Bank is trying to build a buttress to hold up the dominoes. However, from the perspective of the Greek and Irish people the prescribed austerity measures employed is just foreign oppression and will not help their employment levels.

What this means to most investors is to run for the hills. What it means to this investor is watch closely for buying opportunities because bargains will be created by the fear -- for sure!

Continue reading Chasing Value: Time to Redial Telefonica

Banks Flooded the Fed with Junk in Exchange for Loans

The U.S. Federal Reserve was forced to disclose its transactions during the financial meltdown. Some 23,000 transactions were published.

During the crisis, the Fed set up 10 different programs to funnel money to governments, banks, financial institutions, hedge funds and private corporations. One such program was called the Primary Dealer Credit Facility (PDCF). Under the program, dealers could pledge securities or bonds in exchange for Fed loans.

Continue reading Banks Flooded the Fed with Junk in Exchange for Loans

Flashback to the Crash: Banks Borrow $155.8 Billion

Wall StreetFear gripped Wall Street on September 29, 2008, when the U.S. House of Representatives failed to pass the bailout package. On that day alone, banks borrowed a record $155.8 billion.

The Fed had set up a lending facility called the Primary Dealer Credit Facility (PDCF) to lend money to banks. As the crisis spread, borrowing increased almost daily. The Wall Street Journal (subscription required) lists day-by-day borrowings:

Continue reading Flashback to the Crash: Banks Borrow $155.8 Billion

Fed Loans During the Meltdown: A Story for the Record Books

It's a story for the record books. You could not have made this stuff up, it's so incredible.

The story deals with the behind the scenes activities of the Federal Reserve during the financial meltdown. The data revealed by the Fed and chronicled in the Wall Street Journal tell of the multi-trillion dollar loans the Fed made to financial institutions here in the US and abroad. In all, the Fed set up 10 different programs and lent some $3.3 trillion of credit.

Continue reading Fed Loans During the Meltdown: A Story for the Record Books

Serious Money: Does BAC Have Anything to Fear from Wikileaks?

Bank of America (BAC) logoForgive me if I stray slightly, but I could not help thinking about how ironic it would be if someone leaked information as to the whereabouts of Wikileaks founder and "fearless leader" Julian Assange -- who is in hiding!

It would be even more ironic if a CIA operative who had his cover blown by Wikileaks decides what goes around comes around. Let's face it, in its own way Wikileaks has become a rogue nation, so why wouldn't the CIA get involved?

In the mean time, this has probably helped world markets as it has overtaken everything else as the big story of the past 48 hours. In a bizarre way, Assange may have achieved one of his goals by bringing the world closer together, sort of.

Continue reading Serious Money: Does BAC Have Anything to Fear from Wikileaks?

Euro Falls as the Eurozone Debt Crisis Worsens

The eurozone debt crisis is spreading across Europe. The latest Irish bailout is not quelling the fear factor. Now, all eyes are turned to Spain, Portugal and Italy.

What has happened is that banking systems are freezing up, the Financial Times explains. One Spanish banker told the paper, "The bond and credit markets are completely closed."

Continue reading Euro Falls as the Eurozone Debt Crisis Worsens

Chasing Value: Stocks and Irish Bailout -- ACN & IBM

This past weekend the European Union cast a bailout plan for Ireland that should be noted as another highlight reflecting not just the problems in Ireland but more broadly the lackluster potential for anything but a meager increase in the world economy over the next few years. Some will be affected more the others and today Ireland just happens to be the attention grabber, with passions running deep:

  • "This is not a rescue plan. It is the longest ransom note in history: Do what we tell you and you may, in time, get your country back," said Fintan O'Toole, a commentator and author who led a weekend protest by labor-union activists in central Dublin against the imminent bailout. He called the average interest rate being demanded "viciously extortionate."

Despite all the government printing presses running overtime, inflation does not appear to be on the horizon. Wages are going nowhere, rents are stagnant, and pricing power is modest except for the very few. The biggest inflationary pressure has come from oil prices over the past decade, and that is still the most likely commodity to wreak havoc going forward if there is inflationary pressure. Though the clouds over the global economy are thick, there still will be rays of sunshine in the stock market.

Continue reading Chasing Value: Stocks and Irish Bailout -- ACN & IBM

Corporate Profits Set a Record in the Third Quarter

money bagsOur economy has all the earmarks of schizophrenia. We have unemployment at 9.6% with little chance of a turnaround any time soon. But at the same time, corporate profits set a record in the third quarter at $1.659 trillion, on a non-inflation adjusted basis, according to the Commerce Department, as reported in the New York Times.

Corporate profits reached a cyclical low in the fourth quarter of 2008. Since then they have grown for seven consecutive quarters. As a share of GDP, corporate profits account for 11.2% of total output.

How did corporations manage to do so well? One reason is productivity growth -- being able to do more with less. Another reason is that multi-nationals are benefiting from expanded sales from emerging markets like China and India.

Continue reading Corporate Profits Set a Record in the Third Quarter

German Chancellor Merkel's Comment Triggers Euro Sell Off

In Europe, German Chancellor Merkel stated that the euro is facing "An extraordinarily serious situation" in the wake of Ireland's debt problems, as quoted in the Wall Street Journal.

Her words sparked a sharp sell off in the euro. It traded at $1.34, down from $1.3624 on Monday. Analyst Ian Stannard with BNP Paribas in London said: "This is likely to be the start of a bigger move lower for the euro."

Continue reading German Chancellor Merkel's Comment Triggers Euro Sell Off

Housing Woes Not Nearing an End

With mortgage refinancing applications up recently and house prices on the rise in recent months, some might believe there is reason to be optimistic about the struggling housing sector. I don't subscribe to this belief. Instead, I look for delinquencies and foreclosures to spike in the slow economic growth, high unemployment quarters that probably lie ahead.

Already, real estate owned (REO) by lenders due to foreclosures -- perhaps the most hated term among bankers -- is climbing. Estimates are that a major share of the 7 million houses that have delinquent mortgages or are in some stage of foreclosure, as well as those yet to come, will be dumped on the market, adding to the already huge excessive inventory glut. Some 4.5 million loans are now in foreclosure or at least 90 days delinquent.

Continue reading Housing Woes Not Nearing an End

Hopes for Housing -- Squashed

Last spring, many believed that not only was the housing collapse over but that a robust rebound was underway. Investors were crowding into foreclosed house sales and bidding up prices in California, often the bellwether state for new trends. The tax credit of up to $8,000 for new homebuyers that expired in April spurred buyers and promised to kick-start housing activity nationwide.

The Home Affordable Modification Program was trumpeted by the Administration to help 3 million to 4 million homeowners with underwater mortgages by paying lenders to reduce monthly payments to manageable size and then paying homeowners to continue to make those payments.

Continue reading Hopes for Housing -- Squashed

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DJIA+33.6012,529.75
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Last updated: May 24, 2012: 09:15 PM

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