FeedPosted Dec 7th 2010 4:00PM by Joseph Lazzaro (RSS feed)
Filed under: Federal Reserve, Financial Crisis

To say that the financial crisis era has been riddled with half-truths, distortions, and outright falsehoods regarding the unprecedented public policies designed to maintain stable, liquid credit markets and help stimulate the U.S. economy, would be an understatement. Moreover, investors need to disabuse themselves of them if they hope to make informed, balanced, and prudent investment decisions.
One such misnomer concerns the categorization of quantitative easing.
As U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke took pains to clarify Sunday, during his CBS
'60 Minutes' interview, the Fed is most certainly not 'printing money.'
A monetary policy of printing money would involve adding money to the financial system that chases the same amount of goods. That can and typically does lead to higher inflation.
Continue reading Fed's QE2 is a Bridge to Normal Credit Markets
Posted Dec 6th 2010 9:30AM by Connie Madon (RSS feed)
Filed under: Insiders, General Electric (GE), JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Politics, Federal Reserve, Financial Crisis
Slowly, piece by piece, the inside details of what happened during the financial meltdown are coming to light. The latest disclosure is that JPMorgan Chase (JPM) CEO Jamie Dimon and General Electric (GE) CEO Jeffrey Immelt were on the New York Federal Reserve Board in 2008, when their institutions got enormous loans, as reported by the New York Times.
This little story tells you just how the insiders do their wheeling and dealing. On Sept. 15, JPMorgan Chase received a $3 billion loan from the Fed. On 12 occasions in October and November 2008, GE issued short term IOUs. The Fed purchased $16 billion of them.
Continue reading JPMorgan and GE Got Massive Fed Loans While Their CEOs Sat on NY Fed Board
Posted Dec 3rd 2010 2:30PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: International Markets, Options, Bargain Stocks, Chasing Value™, Recession, Financial Crisis, Telefonica SA (TEF)

The economic news out of Europe has strengthened the dollar and recast doubt on the euro. The demise of the Irish "domino" after the bailout of the Greek domino has formed clouds over the Portuguese and Spanish dominoes.
As fear grows, the European Bank is trying to build a buttress to hold up the dominoes. However, from the perspective of the Greek and Irish people the prescribed austerity measures employed is just foreign oppression and will not help their employment levels.
What this means to most investors is to run for the hills. What it means to this investor is watch closely for buying opportunities because bargains will be created by the fear -- for sure!
Continue reading Chasing Value: Time to Redial Telefonica
Posted Dec 3rd 2010 11:30AM by Connie Madon (RSS feed)
Filed under: Citigroup Inc. (C), Bank of America (BAC), Goldman Sachs Group (GS), Morgan Stanley (MS), Barclays plc ADS (BCS), Politics, Federal Reserve, Financial Crisis
Fear gripped Wall Street on September 29, 2008, when the U.S. House of Representatives failed to pass the bailout package. On that day alone, banks borrowed a record $155.8 billion.
The Fed had set up a lending facility called the Primary Dealer Credit Facility (PDCF) to lend money to banks. As the crisis spread, borrowing increased almost daily. The Wall Street Journal (subscription required) lists day-by-day borrowings:
Continue reading Flashback to the Crash: Banks Borrow $155.8 Billion
Posted Dec 1st 2010 11:00AM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: Rumors, Press Releases, Management, Scandals, JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Bank of America (BAC), CIT Group (CIT), Goldman Sachs Group (GS), Politics, Serious Money, Financial Crisis
Forgive me if I stray slightly, but I could not help thinking about how ironic it would be if someone leaked information as to the whereabouts of Wikileaks founder and "fearless leader" Julian Assange -- who is in hiding!
It would be even more ironic if a CIA operative who had his cover blown by Wikileaks decides what goes around comes around. Let's face it, in its own way Wikileaks has become a rogue nation, so why wouldn't the CIA get involved?
In the mean time, this has probably helped world markets as it has overtaken everything else as the big story of the past 48 hours. In a bizarre way, Assange may have achieved one of his goals by bringing the world closer together, sort of.
Continue reading Serious Money: Does BAC Have Anything to Fear from Wikileaks?
Posted Nov 29th 2010 3:30PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: International Markets, International Business Machines (IBM), Chasing Value™, Financial Crisis

This past weekend the
European Union cast a bailout plan for Ireland that should be noted as another highlight reflecting not just the problems in Ireland but more broadly the lackluster potential for anything but a meager increase in the world economy over the next few years. Some will be affected more the others and today Ireland just happens to be the attention grabber, with passions running deep:
- "This is not a rescue plan. It is the longest ransom note in history: Do what we tell you and you may, in time, get your country back," said Fintan O'Toole, a commentator and author who led a weekend protest by labor-union activists in central Dublin against the imminent bailout. He called the average interest rate being demanded "viciously extortionate."
Despite all the government printing presses running overtime, inflation does not appear to be on the horizon. Wages are going nowhere, rents are stagnant, and pricing power is modest except for the very few. The biggest inflationary pressure has come from oil prices over the past decade, and that is still the most likely commodity to wreak havoc going forward if there is inflationary pressure. Though the clouds over the global economy are thick, there still will be rays of sunshine in the stock market.
Continue reading Chasing Value: Stocks and Irish Bailout -- ACN & IBM
Posted Nov 24th 2010 9:30AM by Connie Madon (RSS feed)
Filed under: India, China, Economic Data, Recession, Financial Crisis

Our economy has all the earmarks of schizophrenia. We have unemployment at 9.6% with little chance of a turnaround any time soon. But at the same time, corporate profits set a record in the third quarter at $1.659 trillion, on a non-inflation adjusted basis, according to the Commerce Department, as reported in the
New York Times.
Corporate profits reached a cyclical low in the fourth quarter of 2008. Since then they have grown for seven consecutive quarters. As a share of GDP, corporate profits account for 11.2% of total output.
How did corporations manage to do so well? One reason is productivity growth -- being able to do more with less. Another reason is that multi-nationals are benefiting from expanded sales from emerging markets like China and India.
Continue reading Corporate Profits Set a Record in the Third Quarter
Posted Nov 13th 2010 11:40AM by Gary Shilling (RSS feed)
Filed under: Housing, Recession, Financial Crisis
With mortgage refinancing applications up recently and house prices on the rise in recent months, some might believe there is reason to be optimistic about the struggling housing sector. I don't subscribe to this belief. Instead, I look for delinquencies and foreclosures to spike in the slow economic growth, high unemployment quarters that probably lie ahead.
Already, real estate owned (REO) by lenders due to foreclosures -- perhaps the most hated term among bankers -- is climbing. Estimates are that a major share of the 7 million houses that have delinquent mortgages or are in some stage of foreclosure, as well as those yet to come, will be dumped on the market, adding to the already huge excessive inventory glut. Some 4.5 million loans are now in foreclosure or at least 90 days delinquent.
Continue reading Housing Woes Not Nearing an End
Posted Nov 11th 2010 6:30PM by Gary Shilling (RSS feed)
Filed under: Housing, Financial Crisis

Last spring, many believed that not only was the housing collapse over but that a robust rebound was underway. Investors were crowding into foreclosed house sales and bidding up prices in California, often the bellwether state for new trends. The tax credit of up to $8,000 for new homebuyers that expired in April spurred buyers and promised to kick-start housing activity nationwide.
The Home Affordable Modification Program was trumpeted by the Administration to help 3 million to 4 million homeowners with underwater mortgages by paying lenders to reduce monthly payments to manageable size and then paying homeowners to continue to make those payments.
Continue reading Hopes for Housing -- Squashed
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