The Home Depot (NYSE: HD) shares are trying to find their way today as investors digest Federal Reserve Chair Ben Bernanke's testimony on the state of the economy before the Senate Banking Committee. Investors are worried that inflation and weakness in credit markets will continue to drag down the economy and were less than impressed by this morning's PPI numbers. If you think this stock won't be rising too far in the coming months, then it could be a good time to look at a bearish hedged play on HD.
After hitting a one-year high of $40.75 last July, the stock has hit a new one-year low today. This morning, HD opened at $21.39. So far today the stock has hit a low of $20.76 and a high of $21.69. As of 12:10, HD is trading at $21.47, down $0.06 (-0.3%). The chart for HD looks bearish and steady, while S&P gives the stock a positive 4 STARS (out of 5) buy rating.
For a bearish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a November bear-call credit spread above the $27.50 range. A bear-call credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of call options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make an 11.1% return in four months as long as HD is below $27.50 at November expiration. Home Depot would have to rise by more than 26% before we would start to lose money. Learn more about this type of trade here.
Profit From the Fantastic Four Take a look at these 26 stocks, funds and exchange-traded funds that key in on the fast-growing BRIC nations -- Brazil, Russia, India and China. Profit From the Fantastic Four - Kiplinger.com
Southwest's Seven Secrets for Success By some estimates, the country's major carriers have consumed perhaps $100 billion in capital during the past decade, but Southwest Airlines continues to be profitable. It's been in the black for 33 consecutive years and, last week, for the 127th consecutive quarter. While its competitors are shrinking, Southwest will add a handful of flights this fall. What does Southwest know that no one else in airlines does? It keeps things simple and consistent, which drives costs down, maximizes productive assets, and helps manage customer expectations. Why Southwest Succeeds - Portfolio.com
Deutsche Telekom (NYSE:DT) was upgraded to "overweight" from "neutral" at JP Morgan, according toMarketWatch. The financial news site also reports that France Telecom (NYSE:FTE) was upped to "buy" from "neutral" at Merrill Lynch.
Stifel Nicolaus & Co reiterated its "hold" rating on Campbell Soup (NYSE:CPB) ahead of the company annual meeting according to the AP.
Merrill Lynch resumed coverage of Home Depot (NYSE:HD) with an "underperform" rating, according toBriefing.com. The news service also reports that JP Morgan initiated Comcast (NASDAQ:CMCSA) with an "overweight" rating.
Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.
Bed Bath & Beyond (NASDAQ: BBBY) reported Q1 earnings on Wednesday, and Trey Thoelcke highlighted the numbers in this earnings-recap piece. Shares rose substantially in the after-hours trading session yesterday, jumping over 8%, and as I reviewed various earnings reports last night, I found myself drawn to the retailer's stock performance. I haven't been a huge fan of Bed Bath & Beyond as of late, so I figured I should take a look at the earnings release to see if there's anything here that would change my opinion.
Unfortunately, there isn't. Sales may have grown 6%, and expectations may have been beaten by $0.03, but net income still dropped over 20% to $0.30 per diluted share. Cash flow from operations declined 44% to $65.8 million. And same-store sales were very anemic, rising only 0.8%.
I choose, in this case, to focus on those figures. I also consider the fact that Bed Bath & Beyond does not pay a dividend, and that we are in an awful economic environment, both from a consumer and stock-market standpoint. This is not the stock I'd want to face the recession with, and I don't necessarily find it to be a big value right now. When it comes to retail, I am more likely to look at Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT) and Target (NYSE: TGT). I'd even consider a Home Depot (NYSE: HD) or a Lowe's (NYSE: LOW). All of these stocks pay dividends and have better brand equities and more attractive prospects. Bed Bath & Beyond certainly didn't deliver an earnings bomb, but I'm still not inclined to put money here.
Disclosure: I don't own any company mentioned; positions can change at any time.
Yahoo Inc. (NASDAQ: YHOO) will soon be selling display advertising and even video advertising on the website of the world's largest retailer, www.walmart.com. The companies announced the partnership Wednesday, although terms of the multi-year deal weren't announced.
Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. (NYSE: WMT) indicated that advertisers would be able to buy ad space alongside walmart.com's product and information pages, which brings up the question: will Wal-Mart allow competitive ads to sit alongside its website pages? Display ads are graphic ads, unlike most Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG) ads that are text based.
Imagine this: a customer is looking at a Black & Decker weed trimmer at walmart.com and a full display ad from Target Corp. (NYSE: TGT) or The Home Depot (NYSE: HD) pops up with a competitive model and a link to where it can be purchased. This scenario sounds like it could easily happen here.
It will be quite interesting to see how this partnership is launched and how Yahoo!'s display ads are implemented into walmart.com's website -- and if any advertiser can buy ad space on one of the largest e-commerce sites on the web. Perhaps Yahoo! will financially make it worth Walmart.com's while.
Because a long, holiday weekend can be a great time to pause and reflect -- to take a step back and look at the bigger picture -- here are some highlights from BloggingStocks a year ago today: May 25, 2007.
BMC Software (NYSE: BMC) provides software used by large enterprises to manage computer systems and company services. Among the functions addressed are business process scheduling and integration, application and database performance, and recovery and storage management. Customers include Dell (NASDAQ: DELL), Home Depot (NYSE: HD) and Toyota Motor (NYSE: TM).
The company surprised investors last week, when it reported fiscal Q4 EPS of 63 cents and revenues of $466.9 million. Analysts had been looking for 51 cents and $460.3 million. In discussing the successful quarter, the CEO noted client interest in the unified architecture of the firm's suite. Management also guided FY09 EPS to $2.10-$2.20, versus consensus of $2.09. Oppenheimer and Lehman Brothers subsequently reiterated "buy" recommendations on the issue and boosted their price targets to $43.
In his Wall Street Strategies, the leading advisor -- and well-known panelist for Fox Business News -- explains, "The debate on which is a better investment, Home Depot or Lowe's, is now at a crossroads following the release of 1Q08 earnings results from each firm.
"As expected, both companies reported year on year earnings decreases as slowing home remodeling spend weighed on comparable store sales.
"Back in 2005-2007, Lowe's was hot the investment choice relative to Home Depot, with many citing its stronger operating margins and friendlier store shopping environment. Although Lowe's is still attracting higher income customers as a result of solid merchandise offerings and customer service, in our view one should crunch the numbers.
"When they do, it will become prevalent that Home Depot is the stronger investment in the niche at this time. The company has been ahead of the game with respect to Lowe's in drastically reducing capital expenditures and store operating outlays.
"Moreover, it has taken the fight back to its smaller rival in the area of customer service and product presentation. In our opinion, play the underdog card and look to invest in Home Depot in upcoming months given more attractive valuation."
Each day, Steven Halpern's TheStockAdvisors.com offers the latest market commentary and favorite investment ideas from the nation's leading financial newsletter advisors.
Reverse Mortgages: Beware the Come-Ons The loans can help you tap the equity in your house. Just don't get tripped up by greedy salespeople. Reverse mortgages: Beware the come-ons - MONEY
The markets saw a hard day, and you can thank oil and the Fed if you were bullish this morning. Oil magnate T. Boone Pickens issued a $150 oil prediction for 2008, and oil went over $129 for the first time today. The Federal Reserve governors are also getting the markets more and more used to no rate cuts ahead, and producer prices still showed excessive inflation on the wholesale side of the economy. These are unofficial closing prices:
Sometimes one company cannot be discussed without another entering the conversation. The Home Depot (NYSE: HD) reported a 66% drop in first-quarter profit Tuesday, largely due to a one-time charge and continued weakness in the housing market. Only a few days ago, Lowe's Co. (NYSE: LOW) reported sizable losses too.
"Weakness in the housing market" -- in many places that is a gross understatement, since there is no market and they are giving houses away. There are places where home sales have stabilized, and based on April figures it appears that home construction was up when including apartment development. But there are still millions of single family homes and condominiums available at fire sale prices.
Atlanta-based Home Depot said it earned $356 million, or 21 cents a share, in the three months ending May 4, compared to a profit of $1.05 billion, or 53 cents a share, a year earlier. It announced earlier this month that it was putting the brakes on some of its expansion plans and said it would do what was previously unthinkable -- close 15 of its flagship stores. The move, to be completed by July, affects 1,300 employees
Lowe's (NYSE: LOW) reported Q1 earnings on Monday, and I'm sure a lot of investors looked to this report to see if it indicated how the economy was doing. I hope not too many people were looking to link the economy with the company's numbers, however, because they weren't the greatest.
Top-line sales declined about 1% to $12 billion. Net income dropped 15% to 41 cents per share. Perhaps worst of all, same-store sales plummeted 8.4%. So, with flat revenues and a declining bottom line, was there anything positive about the earnings release? Yes. According to Briefing.com, Lowe's beat expectations by a penny (it did miss on the net-sales number, though). Also, the cash-flow statement shows that the retailer is doing fine in terms of the green. Lowe's generated $2.5 billion from operations this quarter versus $2.1 billion in last year's comparable period. So all is not lost.
But make no mistake, this is a tough environment for Lowe's and its enemy, Home Depot (NYSE: HD). However, if you think you want to get in Lowe's at some point, now could be the time, assuming you are a long-term thinker. The company's shares have bounced off their lows of the year and are still off from their highs. As we all know, the economy will get better at some point, and Lowe's will ultimately benefit. Both Lowe's and Home Depot are not that expensive, in my opinion, and both are probably worth some due diligence.
Disclosure: I don't own shares in any of the companies mentioned here; positions can change at any time.
America's Most Expensive Homes A little over two years ago, when Donald Trump listed Maison de L'Amitié in Palm Beach, Fla., for $125 million, it was a sign of the times. Real estate prices were on the rise, and even though it was $50 million more than the next-highest listing, there was a sense that Trump would get his price. After all, everyone else in America was getting his. Once again, Maison de L'Amitié points to the state of the housing market. In March, Trump knocked $25 million off the price, the biggest discount ever for a single residence. Topping the list as most expensive home this year is William Randolph Hearst's estate in Beverly Hills at $165 million. America's Most Expensive Homes - Forbes.com In Pictures: Most Expensive Homes
Stock futures fell early Tuesday morning, ahead of an inflation reading at the wholesale level. It is rising prices, as well as the worse housing slump in over a century that caused Home Depot's profit to decline 66% when it reported this morning. Other retailers are scheduled to report earnings today, and the concern is many will show they face similar problems.
U.S. stocks ended mixed on Monday despite rising quite steadily until 1:30 p.m. EDT. While leading economic indicators alleviated some concerns over the economy, record crude oil prices, once again, dampened the mood on the Street and the Dow industrials rose 41 points, or 0.32%, the S&P 500 added a point, or 0.09%, but the Nasdaq Composite dropped 12 points, or 0.50%.
Producer price index, a gauge of inflation at the wholesale level, is due out in about an hour, at 8:30 a.m. EDT. The data is expected to show a 0.4% rise in April. Excluding food and energy, core-PPI is expected to show a rise of 0.2% in April.
The Home Depot (NYSE: HD) shares are trying to find their way today as investors digest Federal Reserve Chair Ben Bernanke's testimony on the state of the economy before the Senate Banking Committee. Investors are worried that inflation and weakness in credit markets will continue to drag down the economy and were less than impressed by this morning's PPI numbers. If you think this stock won't be rising too far in the coming months, then it could be a good time to look at a bearish hedged play on HD.
"Which is the better buy among the leading home retailing stocks -- 
Sometimes one company cannot be discussed without another entering the conversation. 
Stock futures fell early Tuesday morning, ahead of an inflation reading at the wholesale level. It is rising prices, as well as the worse housing slump in over a century that caused Home Depot's profit to decline 66% when it reported this morning. Other retailers are scheduled to report earnings today, and the concern is many will show they face similar problems.
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