FeedPosted Jan 26th 2011 4:30PM by Connie Madon (RSS feed)
Filed under: Good news, Personal Finance, Headline News, DJIA, Federal Reserve
The Dow broke 12,000 today. What's next? Again we have those who say the glass is half full and those who say it is half empty.
Traders believe that the glass is half full. Dow 12,000 is only a number, although a psychological number. Round numbers catch the public's attention. There will be sellers screaming 'get me out' if they have recouped their losses. The market probably will absorb the half empty guys and march upward. That may not be a straight line, but the momentum is strong enough to push higher.
Continue reading Dow 12,000 -- What's Next?
Posted Jan 11th 2011 11:30AM by Connie Madon (RSS feed)
Filed under: International Markets, Commodities, Headline News, Agriculture

When we think corn, we think of the United States. True, the U.S. is the largest producer and exporter of corn. But next comes Argentina, the second largest exporter, and what happens in Argentina affects the price of corn worldwide.
There is an unusual heat wave in Argentina. Corn prices are sensitive to weather changes. The heat wave with temperatures above 90 degrees is causing worry over supplies and prices. On Monday, March corn futures jumped 12 cents per bushel to $6.07 per bushel. Today, corn prices are up another 5 cents.
Continue reading Corn Prices Spike on Heat Wave in Argentina
Posted Jan 10th 2011 3:30PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: Getting Started, BP p.l.c. ADS (BP), Bargain Stocks, Chasing Value™, Headline News, Intuitive Surgical Inc (ISRG), Southern Company (SO), Noble Corporation (NE)

In Part 1 of
this series I discussed starting with a good story and then examining the metrics, or first starting with the metrics via a stock screen and then look at the story behind the numbers.
A third possibility is to start with an idea that springs off the pages of a business journal. Some years ago, in the 25th anniversary edition of Money Magazine they listed a group of stocks that had gone up during this tenure. The one I liked the best that withstood closer scrutiny was Southern Company (
SO), the electric utility.
The story and the metrics were great. It was located in one of the most desirable growth areas of the country. There was a favorable business climate, cheap housing, cheap land, good weather and an abundance of labor. The numbers were strong as well.
Continue reading Chasing Value: How to Find Value Stocks -- Part 2
Posted Jan 3rd 2011 4:30PM by Connie Madon (RSS feed)
Filed under: Analyst Reports, Forecasts, From the Boards, Indices, Market Matters, Headline News, DJIA
Barron's is forecasting a 10% rise in stock prices in 2011 led by big cap stocks. They argue that the big caps have lagged the market for the past decade and are now poised to take the lead, as reported by CNBC.com.
Here are their top ten picks for this year: Exxon Mobil (XOM), Walmart (WMT), Pfizer (PFE), JPMorgan Chase (JPM), General Motors (GM), Cisco Systems (CSCO), United Continental Holdings (UAL), Barrack Gold (ABX), Entergy (ETR), and PepsiCo (PEP).
Continue reading Barron's Forecasts 10% Higher Stock Market in 2011
Posted Nov 23rd 2010 11:30AM by Connie Madon (RSS feed)
Filed under: Market Matters, Headline News, DJIA
On a quiet Tuesday two days before Thanksgiving, you wake up to find that North Korea has shelled an island off the coast of South Korea. You turn on your computer to find that the incident has triggered a sell off on Wall Street. The Dow dropped 120 points to 11,056. The Nasdaq Composite fell 1% to 2506, as reported in the Wall Street Journal.
You are probably wondering why this small confrontation between North and South Korea is causing all this turmoil. For one thing the market dislikes uncertainty, especially when international power balances are being breached. This is the first salvo in what could be a nasty situation. When something like this happens, traders simply bail out and wait to see what happens next.
Continue reading Korean Hostility Triggers Wall Street Sell Off
Posted Nov 15th 2010 3:00PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: Major Movement, Deals, Good news, Caterpillar (CAT), Deere and Co (DE), BHP Billiton Ltd ADR (BHP), Chasing Value™, Commodities, Headline News, Anglo American (AAUKY)

Companies on a shopping spree either feel their growth is confined or they are feeling flush. In the case of Caterpiller (
CAT), which reported that it is
going to buy Bucyrus for $8.6 billion, it is the latter. The company has had a terrific year in which it has seen a 76% increase in it's growth. This rapid increase in business has pushed the PEG ratio down to a low 0.86 with the stock trading near its 52- week high.
From what I can gather, the deal between CAT and Bucyrus has merit. Does that mean this is a good time to buy Caterpillar stock? I don't think so. More often than not, stocks trading near their highs will present better entry points with greater value to the more patient investor.
Continue reading Chasing Value: Caterpillar Is Not Dirt Cheap
Posted Nov 8th 2010 4:30PM by Connie Madon (RSS feed)
Filed under: International Markets, Market Matters, Commodities, Headline News, Financial Crisis, Currency
Gold shot past $1,400 per ounce to $1,410.4 on the December contract. Triggering the move were worries about sovereign debt levels in Europe and uncertainty concerning the upcoming G-20 meeting, as the Wall Street Journal reports.
First to Europe. The cost of insuring against defaults in countries like Ireland, Portugal and Spain has increased. Ireland's debt, in particular, is causing concern. Interest rates on Irish bonds has risen to 7.8% against Germany's 2.5%.
Continue reading Gold Shoots Past $1,400 to a Record High
Posted Nov 4th 2010 9:30AM by Douglas S. Roberts (RSS feed)
Filed under: Economic Data, Headline News, Federal Reserve, Recession
The Federal Reserve Open Market Committee (FOMC) issued its statement indicating again that interest rates will remain low for an extended period of time and that proceeds of Treasury securities will continue to be re-invested into additional Treasury securities.
There will also be additional quantitative easing. This will take the form of the purchase of an additional "$600 billion of longer-term Treasury securities by the end of the second quarter of 2011, a pace of about $75 billion per month," according to the Fed's statement. This was well within the $500 billion to $1 trillion range expected by many economists and strategists. Thus, the current program appears to be largely discounted by the market.
Continue reading The Fed Decision: This is Not the End of Quantitative Easing!
Posted Nov 2nd 2010 1:00PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: Analyst Upgrades and Downgrades, Rants and Raves, Market Matters, Bank of America (BAC), Goldman Sachs Group (GS), Oracle Corp (ORCL), Chasing Value™, Headline News, Stocks to Buy
A day does not pass that I do not think of John Maynard Keynes saying, "The market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent."
Two weeks have passed since I raised questions about the insider selling at Oracle (ORCL). Since that time, management continues to sell as the stock hovers around its 52-week high, and it has appeared in the top five of Barron's insider activity list sell side for both weeks. Add to this the concerns raised about Oracle's potential weakness in the world of cloud computing and there are major question marks looming.
Continue reading Chasing Value: Confusing Signals from BAC, LINN, ORCL
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