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Libyan Unrest Triggers Oil Price Surge

LibyaLibyan unrest has triggered a surge in oil prices. Unlike Egypt, Libya exports 1.1 million barrels of oil per day. The turmoil drove Brent crude prices to a multiyear high of of $105.per barrel.

European equities fell 1% and gold powered above $1,400 per ounce. For weeks the Egyptian unrest did not affect the markets. In fact U.S. equities rallied to new two-year highs. Now, however, the situation is different. Libya has taken a hard line against protesters, throwing the country into a deep crisis.

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Dow 12,000 -- What's Next?

The Dow broke 12,000 today. What's next? Again we have those who say the glass is half full and those who say it is half empty.

Traders believe that the glass is half full. Dow 12,000 is only a number, although a psychological number. Round numbers catch the public's attention. There will be sellers screaming 'get me out' if they have recouped their losses. The market probably will absorb the half empty guys and march upward. That may not be a straight line, but the momentum is strong enough to push higher.

Continue reading Dow 12,000 -- What's Next?

Citigroup's Earnings Dragged Down by Bond Traders

Citigroup, Inc. (C) could have done better. Revenue from bond trading took a big hit. John Gerspach, Chief Financial Officer acknowledged that fixed income was weak and needs fixing.

Citi's profit was $1.3 billion compared with the year earlier loss of $7.6 billion. Revenue more than tripled to $18.4 billion from $5.4 billion a year ago. However it fell 11% from the third quarter. Citi has been aggressive in hiring more bankers causing expenses to rise. Earnings per share were four cents compared with a loss of 33 cents a year ago, as reported in the Wall Street Journal.

Continue reading Citigroup's Earnings Dragged Down by Bond Traders

Corn Prices Spike on Heat Wave in Argentina

corn pricesWhen we think corn, we think of the United States. True, the U.S. is the largest producer and exporter of corn. But next comes Argentina, the second largest exporter, and what happens in Argentina affects the price of corn worldwide.

There is an unusual heat wave in Argentina. Corn prices are sensitive to weather changes. The heat wave with temperatures above 90 degrees is causing worry over supplies and prices. On Monday, March corn futures jumped 12 cents per bushel to $6.07 per bushel. Today, corn prices are up another 5 cents.

Continue reading Corn Prices Spike on Heat Wave in Argentina

Chasing Value: How to Find Value Stocks -- Part 2

In Part 1 of this series I discussed starting with a good story and then examining the metrics, or first starting with the metrics via a stock screen and then look at the story behind the numbers.

A third possibility is to start with an idea that springs off the pages of a business journal. Some years ago, in the 25th anniversary edition of Money Magazine they listed a group of stocks that had gone up during this tenure. The one I liked the best that withstood closer scrutiny was Southern Company (SO), the electric utility.

The story and the metrics were great. It was located in one of the most desirable growth areas of the country. There was a favorable business climate, cheap housing, cheap land, good weather and an abundance of labor. The numbers were strong as well.

Continue reading Chasing Value: How to Find Value Stocks -- Part 2

Alaska Pipeline Closure Could Drive Oil Prices to $100 per Barrel

Alaska Pipeline Service, which operates the Trans Alaska Pipeline, on Saturday told BP (BP) and other producers to reduce their output by 95%. An extended shutdown could drive oil prices to $100 per barrel.

This is a nasty situation coming in the middle of winter. The Wall Street Journal quoted BP spokeman Steve Rinehart who said that this is a "significant event." He further added: that the latest shutdown means "a big reduction" in the middle of winter "when we have temperature and weather challenges."

Continue reading Alaska Pipeline Closure Could Drive Oil Prices to $100 per Barrel

Barron's Forecasts 10% Higher Stock Market in 2011

Barron's is forecasting a 10% rise in stock prices in 2011 led by big cap stocks. They argue that the big caps have lagged the market for the past decade and are now poised to take the lead, as reported by CNBC.com.

Here are their top ten picks for this year: Exxon Mobil (XOM), Walmart (WMT), Pfizer (PFE), JPMorgan Chase (JPM), General Motors (GM), Cisco Systems (CSCO), United Continental Holdings (UAL), Barrack Gold (ABX), Entergy (ETR), and PepsiCo (PEP).

Continue reading Barron's Forecasts 10% Higher Stock Market in 2011

Fed Loans During the Meltdown: A Story for the Record Books

It's a story for the record books. You could not have made this stuff up, it's so incredible.

The story deals with the behind the scenes activities of the Federal Reserve during the financial meltdown. The data revealed by the Fed and chronicled in the Wall Street Journal tell of the multi-trillion dollar loans the Fed made to financial institutions here in the US and abroad. In all, the Fed set up 10 different programs and lent some $3.3 trillion of credit.

Continue reading Fed Loans During the Meltdown: A Story for the Record Books

Korean Hostility Triggers Wall Street Sell Off

stock market sell offOn a quiet Tuesday two days before Thanksgiving, you wake up to find that North Korea has shelled an island off the coast of South Korea. You turn on your computer to find that the incident has triggered a sell off on Wall Street. The Dow dropped 120 points to 11,056. The Nasdaq Composite fell 1% to 2506, as reported in the Wall Street Journal.

You are probably wondering why this small confrontation between North and South Korea is causing all this turmoil. For one thing the market dislikes uncertainty, especially when international power balances are being breached. This is the first salvo in what could be a nasty situation. When something like this happens, traders simply bail out and wait to see what happens next.

Continue reading Korean Hostility Triggers Wall Street Sell Off

Chasing Value: Caterpillar Is Not Dirt Cheap

Companies on a shopping spree either feel their growth is confined or they are feeling flush. In the case of Caterpiller (CAT), which reported that it is going to buy Bucyrus for $8.6 billion, it is the latter. The company has had a terrific year in which it has seen a 76% increase in it's growth. This rapid increase in business has pushed the PEG ratio down to a low 0.86 with the stock trading near its 52- week high.

From what I can gather, the deal between CAT and Bucyrus has merit. Does that mean this is a good time to buy Caterpillar stock? I don't think so. More often than not, stocks trading near their highs will present better entry points with greater value to the more patient investor.

Continue reading Chasing Value: Caterpillar Is Not Dirt Cheap

Gold Shoots Past $1,400 to a Record High

Gold shot past $1,400 per ounce to $1,410.4 on the December contract. Triggering the move were worries about sovereign debt levels in Europe and uncertainty concerning the upcoming G-20 meeting, as the Wall Street Journal reports.

First to Europe. The cost of insuring against defaults in countries like Ireland, Portugal and Spain has increased. Ireland's debt, in particular, is causing concern. Interest rates on Irish bonds has risen to 7.8% against Germany's 2.5%.

Continue reading Gold Shoots Past $1,400 to a Record High

The Fed Decision: This is Not the End of Quantitative Easing!

The Federal Reserve Open Market Committee (FOMC) issued its statement indicating again that interest rates will remain low for an extended period of time and that proceeds of Treasury securities will continue to be re-invested into additional Treasury securities.

There will also be additional quantitative easing. This will take the form of the purchase of an additional "$600 billion of longer-term Treasury securities by the end of the second quarter of 2011, a pace of about $75 billion per month," according to the Fed's statement. This was well within the $500 billion to $1 trillion range expected by many economists and strategists. Thus, the current program appears to be largely discounted by the market.

Continue reading The Fed Decision: This is Not the End of Quantitative Easing!

Chasing Value: Confusing Signals from BAC, LINN, ORCL

Oracle (ORCL) logoA day does not pass that I do not think of John Maynard Keynes saying, "The market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent."

Two weeks have passed since I raised questions about the insider selling at Oracle (ORCL). Since that time, management continues to sell as the stock hovers around its 52-week high, and it has appeared in the top five of Barron's insider activity list sell side for both weeks. Add to this the concerns raised about Oracle's potential weakness in the world of cloud computing and there are major question marks looming.

Continue reading Chasing Value: Confusing Signals from BAC, LINN, ORCL

Texas Pushes the Tax Envelope at Amazon

Of the many things clouding the equities event horizon, one of the ugliest for investors may be internet retail taxation. A recent tax bill in the amount of $269 million, sent by the state of Texas to Amazon (AMZN) stands as testament to that looming ugliness.

Amazon claims that because technically its distribution activities are headquartered in Kentucky rather than Texas, it owes no retail sales tax to the armadillo state. So, the gauntlet has been thrown down and the challenge accepted.

Continue reading Texas Pushes the Tax Envelope at Amazon

How Robo Signing Intensifies the Mortgage Crisis

The mortgage foreclosure fiasco uncovered a morass of underlying issues that threaten bank procedures and raise questions concerning whether fraud is involved.

Let's trace the events that led up to the present crisis. First, we begin with persons buying a house and taking out a mortgage. The mortgage is called the note. That note is filed in the local County Clerk's office. So much for that segment.

Continue reading How Robo Signing Intensifies the Mortgage Crisis

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Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA+33.6012,529.75
NASDAQ-10.742,839.38
S&P 500+1.821,320.68

Last updated: May 24, 2012: 09:30 PM

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