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Central Banks lead a shift away from the dollar

The US dollar is down 20% since 2002 on a trade weighted basis. Other world economies like China are dynamic, with growth rates of 8 and 9%. With that kind of clout, countries like China, India and Brazil, can choose where to place their reserves.

Slowly, developing countries are shifting their reserves away from the dollar into the euro and yen. Neil Mellor, strategist at Bank of New York Mellon Corp (NYSE: BK), which has some $20 trillion dollars in assets under custody said: "I don't think there will be an imminent move, but it is quite clear there's a plan to shift reserves to a more balanced portfolio."

Barclays Capital Research reported that central banks placed 63% of new cash in non US currencies between April and July.

Continue reading Central Banks lead a shift away from the dollar

Are low interest rates hurting the U.S. dollar?

Ben Bernanke and the Federal Reserve have kept interest rates low for some time. Interest rates lie somewhere below a quarter point and a zero, giving people very little reason to save. Why should you save money when inflation could work against you and the money will not grow?

Low interest rates also work to reduce the cost of borrowing. This could help businesses that want to expand, or the federal government that has trillions of dollars of debt that it needs to finance.

Continue reading Are low interest rates hurting the U.S. dollar?

Are stocks about to get routed?

Bloomberg News took a recent poll of its subscribers. Here are some highlights of the survey:

  • Only 31% of investors saw investment opportunities in the stock market, down from 35% in the July survey.
  • Worldwide, investors see the U.S. as the weakest link in the world economy. Twenty five percent of respondents see an unemployment rate of 11% in the U.S. next year.
  • Respondents see China and India as the most promising markets and commodities are the asset of choice.
  • Real Estate and bonds are out of favor, with 40% saying that bonds will have the worst returns over the next year.

Continue reading Are stocks about to get routed?

Consumer confidence up around the world, a first since 2007

Consumer confidence ticked upward for the first time since 2007. Around the world, consumers are becoming more comfortable with the prospect of shelling out some cash, even if they're still approaching the notion with caution.

According to a survey conducted by The Nielsen Company between September 28 and October 16, 2009, consumer confidence was highest in India, with Indonesia and Norway following. Japan, Latvia, Portugal, and South Korea were at the other end of the spectrum, though South Korea did show a significant quarterly improvement.

Continue reading Consumer confidence up around the world, a first since 2007

Bull markets in 'soft' commodities to hike coffee, orange juice prices

Last year's bull run in commodities was led mainly by oil, grains and gold. This year we've had spectacular bull runs in the "soft" commodities, which include mainly, coffee, tea, cocoa, sugar and orange juice.

Tea is at an all-time high; cocoa is at a 30-year high; and sugar is at a 28.5-year high. Orange juice reached its highest price in 15 months. Tea prices for the best quality broken pekoe, or BP1, surged to a record $5.02 a kilogram, up 70% since January.

Continue reading Bull markets in 'soft' commodities to hike coffee, orange juice prices

Coca-Cola (KO) beats earnings estimates, but revenues fall short

coca-cola third quarter earningsSoft drink giant Coca-Cola Co. (NYSE: KO) reported its third quarter numbers this morning, and managed to beat out analyst estimates, but shares are still selling off in early morning trading.

The reason why the market is punishing the stock is because its revenues were softer than analysts had been expecting to see. For the quarter, revenues came in at $8.04 billion, which was shy of the $8.11 billion that Wall Street was expecting to see from the company.

Continue reading Coca-Cola (KO) beats earnings estimates, but revenues fall short

Wipro (WIT) and offshoring: Controvery and opportunity

"The 'offshoring' of IT development, customer service and back office operations has always been controversial in the U.S. (because of the jobs lost)," observes Paul Goodwin.

In The Cabot China & Emerging Markets Report, he explains, "However, these outsourcing services have also been cost-effective. And outsourcing pioneer Wipro (NYSE: WIT) is very good at it.

"Wipro, the Indian megacap company, has been holding earnings steady as a rock despite the global recession that has ripped the heart out of so many companies.

Continue reading Wipro (WIT) and offshoring: Controvery and opportunity

Soros to put $1 billion into clean-tech companies

The clean technology wave just got a little bigger. This tends to be a side-effect of interest from billionaire investor George Soros. And, as usual, it's more than just money; it's more than just a return. Soros, yet again, is trying to save the world. Interestingly, the bold move was announced at a meeting on climate change sponsored by Project Syndicate – an international association consisting of 430 newspapers from 150 countries (and thus with clear ties to the past, rather than future).

The investor and founder of Soros Fund Management LLC is planning to put $1 billion into clean-tech opportunities using what he calls "rather stringent criteria," which involves being "profitable but should also actually make a contribution to solving the problem [i.e., of clean technology adoption and proliferation]." Soros didn't provide any other details on the nature or scope of his investments.

Continue reading Soros to put $1 billion into clean-tech companies

Ten views of unemployment around the world

The United States is not alone. We just saw the unemployment rate creep higher to 9.8% for September, and the rest of the world is coming with us.

The worldwide recession is still circling the globe, it seems, leaving slashed jobs in its wake. While the rise in unemployment is essentially a fact of life, how countries are responding to it differs widely. Some are spending aggressively to protect jobs; for example, by chipping in some extra cash to pay for shorter work weeks.

In the 30 countries comprising the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), unemployment is as low as 3.2% in the Netherlands and as high as 17.6% in Spain, as of July 2009.

Continue reading Ten views of unemployment around the world

Cleantech VC funding up in Q3

Venture capital investment in clean technology grew 10% from the second quarter to the third this year. According to a report by the Cleantech Group and Deloitte, 134 companies received investments of $1.59 billion – up from $1.2 billion in the second quarter. The sector's upward trajectory continues, with last quarter marking the second in a row of double-digit growth. In the first quarter of 2009, venture capital investment in cleantech companies hit a low of $1 billion.

The strong third quarter has made the cleantech sector the largest in the venture capital business, according to the Cleantech Group, pulling ahead of biotech. Twenty-seven percent of venture capital funds invested in the second quarter of 2009 went to cleantech companies – up from 3% at the beginning of 2004.


Continue reading Cleantech VC funding up in Q3

Can you cut your health care costs 90% and get a free vacation?

President Obama started an intense debate in recent months about national health care. People are concerned about how to pay for the high cost of health care in America and feel it is just too expensive. There has to be a better way!

I like oranges and I grew up in Wisconsin, but in January oranges do not grow very well in Wisconsin. I don't know why -- I am not a horticulturalist -- but maybe it's the lack of sunlight, hard frozen tundra, blowing snow or temperatures of 25 below zero. We could spend a long time pointlessly debating the actual reason.

Continue reading Can you cut your health care costs 90% and get a free vacation?

The G-20 meets in Pittsburgh, and expectations are low

The G-20 is meeting again, this time in Pittsburgh, and as is so often the case when the world's industrial powers gather, the operative phrase is 'lower your expectations.'

What can investors look for? Well, one thing investors should not look for is any G-20 type of action on banker compensation/bonuses, other than a call for each nation, 'to do more to ensure that constructive incentives are in place' to prevent a repeat of the lending practices/perverse incentives that helped trigger the global financial crisis. There is support for compensation caps in Europe (except Germany); however, the United States and United Kingdom oppose them, so the issue is a non-starter.

Continue reading The G-20 meets in Pittsburgh, and expectations are low

Ford Motor forecasts rebound in U.S. auto sales

Alan Mulally, president and CEO of Ford Motor Co. (NYSE: F), said Wednesday that he expects U.S. auto sales to rise during the next two years. Vehicle sales in 2009 are expected to range between 10.5 million and 11 million units, and Mulally predicts that number will increase to 12.5 million in 2010 and 14.5 million in 2011.

"It has started to pick up right now because we have had the stimulus packages," said Mulally, speaking before reporters in India. "So, it will be up a little now, then will go down. But overall in the long term, the sales will grow with the GDP number." The CEO added that Ford expects to be profitable by 2011.

Continue reading Ford Motor forecasts rebound in U.S. auto sales

Skilled immigrants becoming skilled emigrants

Immigrants to the United States with unique or valuable skills are starting to complete the roundtrip. Economic pressures and a difficult job market here have led many to return to their native countries to pursue new opportunities. This is particularly the case with immigrants from India and China, whose economies are growing this year. Meanwhile, unemployment is 9.7% in the United States right now – and likely to hit 10.3% early next year.

China's gross domestic product is poised to increase by 7.5% by the end of 2009, with India's up 5.4%. In the United States, on the other hand, GDP is forecasted to drop 2.6%.

Continue reading Skilled immigrants becoming skilled emigrants

G20 leaders agree to continue stimulus efforts and limit bank bonuses

Finance ministers and bankers of the G20 nations agreed on two key proposals: 1. to keep the stimulus packages in place and 2. to limit bank bonuses.

Concerning the stimulus packages, a draft copy obtained by Reuters said: "We will continue to implement decisively our necessary financial support measures and expansionary monetary and fiscal policies consistent with price stability and a recovery is firmly secured."

Continue reading G20 leaders agree to continue stimulus efforts and limit bank bonuses

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Last updated: November 08, 2009: 06:15 AM

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