Sugar is one of the most basic commodities. Countries throughout the world are wanting sugar. Supplies of sugar are reaching a 20 year low this year. The shortage may become especially acute in the third quarter.

Here some supply/demand statistics:

• India the biggest importer may need an extra 2.5 to 3 million tons to meet a 7 million ton deficit.
• China, the biggest consumer after India may have a deficit of 3.3 million tons.

Vulcan Materials Company (VMC), a producer of construction aggregates, released Q4 earnings on Monday after the bell. Today, the market is weighing in on the numbers. It doesn't like them. At the time of this writing, shares of the company were down over 3% in afternoon trading, backed by strong volume.

Total revenues dropped 26%. Vulcan booked a loss of 10 cents per share from continuing operations. According to Earnings.com, a loss of 2 cents per share was expected.

Taiwan's Acer Inc. hasn't become the world's second-largest personal computer manufacturer for nothing. In its most recent quarter, the company announced that it attained its highest profit in almost three years, mostly at the expense of the company it recently displaced from the number two spot, Dell (DELL). It is still behind global computer leader Hewlett-Packard (HPQ).

At the same time it has grown shipments, it has kept an eye on profits, which is impressive. In general, rapid market share gains means margin cuts, but not here. Acer, which just four years ago seemed in disarray as it tried to find out why it was being beaten in the PC game, has apparently figured it out.

The Commerce Department reported that factory orders for December rose more than expected. Here are the numbers:

• Orders for durable goods rose 1%. The government had estimated a rise of 0.3% for December. Durables last for several years.
• Bookings for capital goods, a measure of future business investment, rose 2.2%, after a rise of 3.2%.
• Shipments of those goods rose 2.1%. These shipments are used to calculate GDP.
• The economy expanded 5.7% in the fourth quarter, the fastest pace in six years.
• Purchases of equipment and software increased 13%, the highest since 2006.
• On the negative side, new claims for unemployment rose to 480,000.
• The Institute for Supply Management report showed manufacturing in January expanded at the fastest pace in five years.
• Greater demand for notebooks and desktop computers fueled record sales for hard drives.

While these numbers are tame, the fact that we have slow, steady progress increases business and consumer confidence.

Much of the change in the economy is psychological. As we see steady improvement quarter over quarter, confidence gets restored, business replenishes inventories and consumers are buying again.

Do you believe that we are on the road to recovery?

Royal Dutch Shell's (RDS.A) profit fell a whopping 75% in the fourth quarter. Earnings came in at $1.18 billion.

Shell's profit margins were hit by slower fuel demand caused by the worldwide recession. There were also increased costs from refinery start ups in the Middle East and Asia.

The securities business is highly competitive, probably the most competitive. The pressure to secure big clients and to bring the greatest trading profits is enormous.

Right now, Goldman Sachs (GS) and JPMorgan Chase (JPM) lead the industry in trading. Goldman has high-speed trading, which generates the largest profits per trade on Wall Street. Naturally, clients are attracted to Goldman because they can give them the best executions and generate the biggest profits in their managed accounts.

Medtronic (MDT) announced Monday morning that it has agreed to acquire Invatec and two of its affiliated companies.

Medtronic will issue an initial payment of roughly $350 million. Invatec develops medical technologies that are used for the "interventional treatment" of cardiovascular disease. In addition to Invatec, Medtronic will acquire Fogazzi (which provides polymer technology to Invatec) and Krauth Cardiovascular (which distributes Invatec's products in Germany)

The FDIC said this week that it expects distressed loans tied to mortgages and commercial real estate failures to result in many more bank failures this year. Last year 140 U.S. banks failed, the highest annual level since 1992. The FDIC has said the total bill for bank failures for the period of 2009 through 2013 could reach $100 billion.

Five more banks were seized by regulators on Friday, bringing this year's total to nine. The five failed banks are:

General Electric Company (GE) is not a stock beloved by its shareholders. I'm one of them, and I can tell you that I sometimes find myself still unable to process the fall the once mighty icon of Wall Street has taken because of too much financial exposure. I look to every earnings report for signs of a true recovery in the conglomerate, a restoration to its former glory. The latest Q4 report doesn't necessarily do anything to point me in such direction, but I keep trying to tell myself it's going to be a while, and to hang in there.

According to the company press release, GE, whose colleagues include Citigroup, Inc. (C) and United Technologies (UTX), experienced a 10% drop in total sales and a 22% decline in per-share profit, the latter coming in at 28 cents from continuing operations. Thankfully, 28 cents was a couple pennies above the estimate given at Earnings.com.

Conan O'Brien is to receive $40 million dollars to walk away from NBC. O'Brien's agreement would bar him from bad mouthing his NBC bosses.

There has been a two week battle between NBC and O'Brien over the network's plan to move the comedian to a later 12:00 am time slot. Part of the plan is to reinstate Jay Leno in his old time slot at 11:30 p.m. which he has held for 17 years.

As background information, Japan Airlines Corp. has been bailed out four times by the Japanese government in the past ten years. JAL's 2.3 trillion yen bankruptcy is the fourth largest in Japan and the largest non financial bankruptcy.

The fact that JAL has been allowed to fail, marks a shift in government policy. The four month old Democratic Party led by Prime Minister Yuko Hatoyama, has refused to bail out JAL. However, Hatoyama's government said it would provide the necessary support for JAL.

Now here's an eye opener. Warren Buffet's Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A) has decided to split its shares 50 for 1. This would drop the price of the company's cheapest stock down from about $3,247.00 per share to $65. The class A shares, never split, still trade at about $97,500.

We have been hovering around 10% unemployment nationally for a while now. That's about double what we experienced prior to the housing bubble burst and banking nightmare. In many places, unemployment is more severe, such as Detroit, where unemployment is more than twice the national average. Yet the stock market has been rising as if this doesn't matter at all.

Perhaps on some level it actually doesn't matter. What if it actually makes things better?

I was checking out one of my favorite blogs yesterday (UniWatchBlog.com - operated by the obsessive Paul Lukas) and I found myself with a subject for this week's JockStocks. Is the NFL a monopoly? Should the league be exempt from the Sherman Antitrust Act?

This all stems from a suit by a company known as American Needle, which sued the NFL in 2000 when the league selected Reebok to be the exclusive provider of licensed NFL apparel. American Needle sued the NFL, stating that the Reebok deal violated antitrust statutes becasue the league and Reebok "conspired to stifle competition and inflate prices."

Movie Gallery (MVGR), which plunged into bankruptcy following its ill-conceived acquisition of Hollywood Video, is working on its second restructuring effort in two years, and could close 1,000 of its 2,700 locations as part of an effort to return to profitability.

To recap: this is a company with $600 million in debt in a business that is in a permanent state of decline. The Wall Street Journal reports (subscription required) that the company could be headed back into bankruptcy: "The expected closings are part of broader discussions between Movie Gallery and its lenders, said a person familiar with the matter. The discussions are in the early stages and no decisions have been made. One possibility is that Movie Gallery could file for Chapter 11 bankruptcy reorganization in coming months, said the people familiar with the situation."