The folks in Detroit may be pleased to see Toyota Motor Corp. (NYSE: TM) cutting its sales forecasts, but the pleasure is sure to be short lived. Despite its more modest outlook, Toyota leads General Motors (NYSE: GM) in global vehicle sales -- and its lead is only getting bigger.

According to a report on Reuters, GM sold 4.54 million vehicles worldwide in the first two quarters of 2008. This represents a 3% drop from the same period last year. Although sales in Europe, Latin America and Asia actually rose, the General couldn't overcome a whopping 15% decline in North America.

Toyota, on the other hand, saw a 2.2% increase in global sales, to 4.8 million units. This gives Toyota a lead in the range of a quarter million vehicles or more. And with its global sales growing, the lead is likely to widen, especially as Toyota switches over to producing more efficient cars in North America and fewer of the wasteful trucks that Americans loved so much until just a few weeks ago.

As Autoblog points out, the sales crown is important to both companies, although neither will admit it publicly. GM was the global sales king for 77 years, and the loss of that title will certainly hurt. Last year, the sales race ended essentially in a tie. But with these results, it looks like Toyota will be the champ in 2008 and, in all likelihood, beyond.

Continental Airlines (NYSE: CAL) shares are trading higher today as oil futures are falling now that Hurricane Dolly looks like it will not hit key oil installations in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico. The recent slide in oil prices has been good news for most airline stocks, which were battered as investors acted like there was no stopping the rise in oil. If you think that the stock won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on CAL.

After hitting a one-year high of $37.79 in October, the stock hit a one-year low of $5.91 in July. CAL opened this morning at $13.46. So far today the stock has hit a low of $12.90 and a high of $15.20. As of 12:50, CAL is trading at $13.84, up $0.48 (4.4%). The chart for CAL looks bearish but improving slightly, while S&P gives the stock a neutral 3 STARS (out of 5) hold rating.

For a bullish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a December bull-put credit spread below the $5 range. A bull-put credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of put options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make a 19.0% return in just five months as long as CAL is above $5 at December expiration. Continental would have to fall by more than 64% before we would start to lose money. Learn more about this type of trade here.

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says these stocks will be killed today, and attentive investors can get them on the cheap.

Oh my, Costco (NASDAQ: COST) (Cramer's Take). I didn't expect that one. That's the best -- it's a shocker. I can't recall how many years it has been since I have seen the words "well below" and "Costco" together.

You can see how it happened: Costco held out. They didn't raise prices. Almost everyone else is raising prices and many are losing customers -- look at Safeway (NYSE: SWY) (Cramer's Take) or Supervalu (NYSE: SVU) (Cramer's Take). But two held out: Costco and Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT) (Cramer's Take).

When you lump in the ridiculous price hikes that Costco had to take in its gasoline business, you see that it simply wasn't making much money selling anything.

Sweden's Ericsson LM TEL Co. (NASDAQ: ERIC) said this morning that it saw a 70% nosedive in profits for its second quarter due to R&D costs as well as activity related to recent acquisitions. Ericsson also commented that its primary business -- mobile equipment and infrastructure -- will likely experience a "flattish" market in 2008.

That didn't sit well with investors, who sank the stock over 5% in Stockholm where the company's shares are traded. The company's ADS price as of this afternoon was hovering right over $11.06 per share, even though the company did see a smallish sales gain of 2% year-over-year. The problem is that its profit was down to $320 million for the quarter compared to over $1 billion during the year-ago quarter.

One of the more interesting twists came from Ericsson's joint partnership in Sony Ericsson, the mobile phone handset company that had a great comeback in the 2005 to 2007 time frame but has seen sales drop sharply in 2008. In fact, Sony Ericsson saw a 97% drop in its recent Q2 earnings due to the company's inability to ship lower-end handsets to the hot mobile phone markets. As a result, Nokia Corp. (NYSE: NOK), was in all the right places to take the market share Sony Ericsson missed by being absent in that space.

Nokia (NYSE: NOK) shares are falling today after international wireless carrier Vodafone (NYSE: VOD) warned that FY2008 sales will likely fall below the company's forecast between 39.8 billion pounds ($79.7 billion) and 40.7 billion pounds. VOD blamed widespread economic weakness for the lagging sales, and if the wireless provider isn't doing well, then it could be a bad sign for NOK too. If you think this stock won't be rising too far in the coming months, then it could be a good time to look at a bearish hedged play on NOK.

After hitting a one-year high of $42.22 in November, the stock hit a one-year low of $23.58 earlier this month. This morning, NOK opened at $26.36. So far today the stock has hit a low of $26.26 and a high of $26.72. As of 1:10, NOK is trading at $26.41, down $0.91 (-3.3%). The chart for NOK looks neutral and improving, while S&P gives the stock a 4 STARS (out of 5) buy rating.

For a bearish hedged play on this stock, I would consider an October bear-call credit spread above the $31 range. A bear-call credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of call options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make a 14.3% return in three months as long as NOK is below $31 at October expiration. Nokia would have to rise by more than 17% before we would start to lose money. Learn more about this type of trade here.

To no one's surprise, Ford (NYSE: F) will detail its plans to dive into the small car market when it announces earnings on Thursday. It is a lot late to get religion.

According to The New York Times, "as part of the huge bet it is placing on the future direction of the troubled American auto industry, Ford will realign factories to manufacture more fuel-efficient engines." The bet is a smart one, but it may not matter.

Ford is now close to a decade behind the curve. Companies such as Toyota (NYSE: TM) have produced small cars for the US market since the days they began to open dealerships in America as Ford chased immediate profits in pick-ups and SUVs. The margins in these products were outstanding, but their success relied on gas staying at $2 a gallon forever. Things did not work out that way.

Ford will now go through a process of more cost cutting, firings, and expensive retooling of its plants. To make all of this work, the car company will have to borrow money or sell more stock. In either case, current shareholders are likely to be diluted.

Ford has been so slow to move into the market for fuel-efficient vehicles that it may have trouble staying solvent if the US car market stays very soft for the next two years.

That means Ford's future as an independent company could be in jeopardy.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Wachovia (NYSE: WB) shares are trading higher with most other banks after rival Bank of America (NYSE: BAC) posted a second-quarter profit that beat analysts' expectations. WB reports earnings tomorrow morning before the open and is pretty much in the same boat as BAC, so this, along with other positive earnings from financial stocks last week could imply that Wachovia will see a good reaction to their release. If you think that the stock won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on WB.

After hitting a one-year high of $53.10 in September, the stock hit a one-year low of $7.80 last week. WB opened this morning at $13.52. So far today the stock has hit a low of $12.98 and a high of $14.66. As of 12:55, WB is trading at $13.61, up 64 cents (4.9%). The chart for WB looks bearish and steady, while S&P gives the stock its lowest 1 STARS (out of 5) strong sell rating.

For a bullish hedged play on this stock, I would consider an August bull-put credit spread below the $7.50 range. A bull-put credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of put options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make a 4.2% return in just four weeks as long as WB is above $7.50 at October expiration. Wachovia would have to fall by more than 44% before we would start to lose money.

WB hasn't been below $7.50 at all in the past year and has shown support just below $10 recently. This trade could be risky if the company's earnings (due out tomorrow morning) disappoint, but even if that happens, this position could be protected by the support the stock might find at its year low at $7.80.

Brent Archer is an options analyst and writer at Investors Observer. At publication time, Brent neither owns nor controls positions in WB or BAC.

Although Ford Motor Co. (NYSE: F) has fallen on hard times -- like much of the auto industry -- the company will eventually come back around. Its success, like that of competitor General Motors Corp. (NYSE: GM), will be on its ability to be flexible enough to build the vehicles customers want as needs change.

That's a large order, though. Ford CEO Alan Mulally recently stated that his Way Forward plan was behind schedule, and the automaker wasn't expected to post an annual profit until 2010. Ford knows it needs to be more globally flexible or it won't even make that extended target. Profit centers like SUVs are so 1999.

On top of all that, a Volkswagen (OTC: VLKAY) executive recently said that the German automaker intends to surpass Ford to become the third-largest seller of vehicles in the world. That's quite a bold prediction and it puts Ford under even more pressure to get automobiles delivered to customers with increasing manufacturing and selling flexibility. As of last year, Volkswagen sold 6.19 million vehicles to Ford's 8.55 million. Is one year enough of a background to declare VW a future winner over Ford? Possibly.

Then again, Japanese automakers Honda Motor Corp. (NYSE: HMC) and Nissan Motor Co. (NASDAQ: NSANY) are not going anywhere and will continue to put up a great fight. Toyota Motor Co. (NYSE: TM) is currently the king of the Japanese automakers, right behind GM globally. If Volkswagen really believes it can charge into the third spot, it better have the global vehicle finesse to know what its regions' customers want before they want it -- and then, make those sales.

South Korean consumer electronics behemoth LG Electronics Inc. saw an 84% rise in profit in its second quarter ended June 30. The electronics company reported a $694.8 million profit on strong sales of flat-panel televisions and wireless handsets. That figure was an 84% increase over the year-ago quarter.

In what seems like a copycat model of larger rival Samsung Electronics' success, LG is now making more and more flat-panel television sets for off-brand and private-label customers as well as selling some very svelte and design-focused 3G handsets used by wireless carriers worldwide.

The electronics company warned, however, about its third quarter results, downplaying it as attributable to a global economic downturn. According to reports, analysts speculated that the company's results have peaked this year as its business momentum would weaken in future quarters.

LG continued to make huge strides in the global wireless handset market, overtaking rival Sony Ericsson as the world's fourth-largest in the second quarter. Sony Ericsson, which had a disappointing quarter, is finding it harder to sell its mid- to high-end handsets, as sales of entry-level handsets continue to be the market for sell-in. Sony Ericsson's entry-level product portfolio is extremely weak. On the flip side, LG said that it plans to sell 100 million handsets this year alone, compared with just over 80 million in 2007.

Those who cannot drive are going online. Cruising to the mall, if it is 20 or 30 miles away, is no longer a cheap trip. With gas at $4 a gallon, some potential shoppers may not go to the mall at all.

Thank goodness for the internet. More and more people are getting online to buy the things they need. In an economy where many people feel poor, the average online shopper may not be spending big, but he is spending.

According to The New York Times, retailers "are experiencing double-digit sales growth at their shopping Web sites, creating a surprising bright spot during an otherwise gloomy time for sales in brick-and-mortar stores." The paper adds that Gap (NYSE: GPS) "had an 11 percent decline in same-store sales in the first quarter, but a 21 percent increase in online sales."

While the news is a silver lining, it probably does little to save the earnings of large retailers. Internet sales are still a relatively small portion of total revenue for companies that have to support the real estate and personnel costs at significant numbers of large stores. E-commerce traffic may lift numbers a bit, but they do not bring down the expense base that represents most of the problem for retail profitability.

Until the internet sales are 15% or 20% of total sales for a company like Gap, investors should not look at online revenue as a reason to buy retail stocks.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Oracle (NASDAQ: ORCL) shares are trading higher today after competitor IBM (NYSE: IBM) posted a strong second-quarter profit that beat analysts' estimates. IBM said its sales were strongest in its information technology services division, which could be a good sign for ORCL. If you think that the stock won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on ORCL.

After hitting a one-year low of $18.18 in February, the stock hit a one-year high of $23.57 in June. ORCL opened this morning at $20.89. So far today the stock has hit a low of $20.65 and a high of $21.20. As of 1:15, ORCL is trading at $21.14, up 37 cents(1.8%). The chart for ORCL looks bearish and steady, while S&P gives the stock its highest 5 Stars (out of 5) strong buy rating.

For a bullish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a September bull-put credit spread below the $18 range. A bull-put credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of put options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make a 7.1% return in just two months as long as ORCL is above $18 at September expiration. Oracle would have to fall by more than 15% before we would start to lose money. Learn more about this type of trade here.

ORCL hasn't been below $18 at all in the past year and has shown support around $20 recently. This trade could be risky if the company's earnings (due out in mid September) come out before expiration and disappoint, but even if that happens, this position could be protected by the support the stock might find at its year low, which is just above $18.

Brent Archer is an options analyst and writer at Investors Observer.

DISCLOSURE: Mr. Archer owns and/or controls diversified portfolios of long and short stock and option positions that may include holdings in companies he writes about. At publication time, Brent owns and controls positions in ORCL and IBM.

Park Falls Wisconsin is just like any of the hundreds of other bustling small towns across America. At least, it was until Monday July 14, 2008. That was the day when it was announced that the Department of Energy had awarded a $30 million grant for the construction and operation of a bio-refinery at the existing Flambeau River Papers, pulp and paper mill. The project shall be a show piece, and the first of it's kind.

The Park Falls Herald reported that, when in full operation, the bio-refinery is expected to produce a minimum of six million gallons of sulfur-free diesel fuel annually from nonfood-based, timber and agricultural waste materials. Additionally, the bio-refinery is expected to generate at least one trillion BTUs of process heat annually, which will be sold directly to the paper mill. That exchange is expected to make Flambeau River Papers the first integrated pulp and paper mill in North America essentially free of fossil fuel usage.

The project is expected to reach operational status by 2010, and is also expected to garner the close attention of alternative energy investors and governments world wide. The project is, in part, a response to the current presidential administration's nationwide call for increased energy independence without additional pressure being placed upon the food supply. It is widely hoped that these types of refinery operations shall soon be considered for development in other suitable locations across the country.

It has been widely anticipated that the EU would bring new antitrust charges against Intel (NASDAQ: INTC). The FTC and other US authorities are chasing the largest chip company in the world for similar reasons. South Korea has already fined Intel for anti-competitive behavior.

The theory behind the charges is that Intel induced PC companies and their retailers to use its chips and not those from rival AMD (NYSE: AMD). According to The Wall Street Journal, "The European Union launched new antitrust charges against Intel Corp., saying the chip giant paid rebates to a major retailer to encourage it not to carry computers using chips from smaller rival Advanced Micro Devices Inc ."

If the charges are true, it shows the extent to which a company of real size, like Intel, can be its own worst enemy. Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) ran into similar problems a decade ago for being too aggressive killing off competition in the browser and media player markets.

The irony of Intel's legal bind is that it almost certainly did not need to pressure or give incentives to keep AMD in a distant second place. It had the balance sheet to keep margin pressure on AMD and the engineering prowess to offer better chips.

Arrogance and carelessness often go with being in first place. This time it appears that it has caught up to Intel.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Wall Street analysts have said that Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE) would not be able to get by without raising money. Its losses from the current mortgage crisis have simply been too great. At one point it looked like the Fed would open its doors to provide the company loans and Treasury would buy stock in the company.

According to The Wall Street Journal, Freddie "is considering raising capital by selling as much as $10 billion in new shares to investors."

After a sharp sell-off in its stock, Freddie has watched its shares move up over 50% in two days because investors believed the government help would keep the firm from becoming insolvent. Now that the value of the stock is somewhat higher, it may turn out to be a good time to get some cash in the barn.

But, the company's shareholders are likely to take a brutal beating. Freddie's market cap is only $6 billion, so the dilution of bringing in $10 billion would be stupendous. The move could certainly push the stock down to the $4 level over time, unless the company can post results well above what analysts expect and push the current share price way up.

Of course, the shareholders are not to blame, but they will be left holding the bag. Freddie management bet that it could get better returns on its portfolio by getting into risky investments and were burned like most banks and brokerage houses.

No matter how poor their judgment was, management will probably keep their jobs. Maybe they will even get a fat bonus for raising the new capital.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Regions Financial (NYSE: RF) shares are trading higher today with other financial stocks after a slew of positive financial earnings. JP Morgan Chase (NYSE: JPM) reported a second-quarter profit of $2 billion, or 54 cents per share, beating analysts' predictions of 44 cents per share, while PNC Financial (NYSE: PNC) and Comerica (NYSE: CMA) also reported earnings and are trading higher. If you think that the company won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on RF.

After hitting a one-year high of $33.65 last July, the stock hit a one-year low of $6.41 on Tuesday. RF opened this morning at $8.88. So far today the stock has hit a low of $8.09 and a high of $9.91. As of 12:45, RF is trading at $9.07, up 1.06 (12.8%). The chart for RF looks bearish and steady, while S&P gives the stock a neutral 3 STARS (out of 5) hold rating.

For a bullish hedged play on this stock, I would consider an August bull-put credit spread below the $5 range. A bull-put credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of put options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make a 13.6% return in just one month as long as RF is above $5 at August expiration. RF would have to fall by more than 44% before we would start to lose money. Learn more about this type of trade here.

RF hasn't been below $6.40 at all in the past year and has shown support around $7 recently. This trade could be risky if the company's earnings (due out on 7/22) disappoint, but most of the banks that have reported so far have responded well to their earnings reports.

Brent Archer is an options analyst and writer at Investors Observer.

DISCLOSURE: Mr. Archer owns and/or controls diversified portfolios of long and short stock and option positions that may include holdings in companies he writes about. At publication time, Brent neither owns nor controls positions in RF nor CMA. He does own and control bullish hedged trades on PNC and JPM.