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Cramer on BloggingStocks: The need to be long is lifting us all

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says managers are being judged on their exposure to this rally.

Did Abbott Laboratories (NYSE: ABT) (Cramer's Take) scare the shorts? Or was it so easy to get people to buy winners and sell losers at the end of the quarter that the market had to go higher? What makes a thin market levitate rather than decline?

I got to thinking about this and the incredibly bullish comments by one of my favorite strategists, Byron Wien -- comments that are even more bullish than usual for him -- and concluded that the single best thing that the bulls have going for them is that the market is up big and you look like a real knucklehead if you aren't invested or haven't made any money on the long side going into the fourth quarter.

Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: The need to be long is lifting us all

Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: ADTN, CAL, EXFO, JCI, LUV, VAR, CSCO, KMT, EZCH

Analyst upgrades:
  • Citigroup upgraded Adtran (NASDAQ: ADTN) to Buy from Hold on expectations the company will benefit from the broadband Stimulus funds.
  • Morgan Stanley upgraded Continental Airlines (NYSE: CAL) to Overweight from Equal Weight based on relative valuation and views the company as a "survivor." Additionally, the analyst lowered 2009 industry estimates but believes it is the last cut for the year and is incrementally more positive on the sector.
  • Morgan Stanley also upgraded EXFO Electro-Optical (NASDAQ: EXFO) to Overweight from Market Weight based on valuation.
  • Tata Motors (NYSE: TTM) was upgraded to Buy from Hold at Deutsche Bank.
  • Ascent Solar (NASDAQ: ASTI) was upgraded to Neutral from Underweight at JP Morgan.
  • Mechel Steel (NYSE: MTL) was upgraded to Neutral from Underperform at Credit Suisse.

Continue reading Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: ADTN, CAL, EXFO, JCI, LUV, VAR, CSCO, KMT, EZCH

Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: CAL, NETL, MAPP, DDUP, LMT ...

Analyst upgrades:
  • Jefferies upgraded MDS Inc. (NYSE: MDZ) to Buy from Hold on valuation as it believes shares are pricing in a "worst case" scenario at current levels. The firm keeps a $6.50 target on the stock.
  • JP Morgan upgraded Continental (NYSE: CAL) to Overweight from Neutral on valuation as it believes the recent sell-off is overdone. The firm keeps a $13 price target on the stock.
  • Thomas Weisel is positive on Allergan's (NYSE: AGN) diverse product portfolio, global infrastructure, vertical integration, and deep pipeline. The firm upgraded shares to Overweight from Market Weight and has a $54 target on the stock.
  • NetLogic (NASDAQ: NETL) was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Piper.
  • Dover (NYSE: DOV) was raised to Buy from Neutral at Banc of America/Merrill.
  • Map Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ: MAPP) was upgraded at Argus to Hold from Sell.

Continue reading Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: CAL, NETL, MAPP, DDUP, LMT ...

Cisco beats the analysts -- is this tech stock a recovery play?

Cisco (NASDAQ: CSCO) reported Q3 stats after the bell on Wednesday. How did the tech company that runs with the likes of Hewlett-Packard (NYSE: HPQ), Juniper Networks (NASDAQ: JNPR), and Alcatel-Lucent (NYSE: ALU) fare? Very well, thank you.

Well, let me clarify that. Cisco saw a lot of declines in its numbers, but we all know what the most important thing to investors is: beating the Wall Street analysts. In this regard, Cisco's management did just fine. As I observed in my earnings preview piece, the call was for Cisco to do somewhere around 25 cents per share. Well, the company bested that figure by an awesome nickel on an adjusted basis.

Continue reading Cisco beats the analysts -- is this tech stock a recovery play?

Earnings preview: Will Cisco deliver the goods in Q3?

Tech investors will be looking forward to seeing how Cisco (NASDAQ: CSCO) made out in the third quarter. The networking entity, whose colleagues include Hewlett-Packard (NYSE: HPQ), Juniper Networks (NASDAQ: JNPR), and Alcatel-Lucent (NYSE: ALU), will be reporting Q3 numbers on Wednesday, May 6, after the market closes. According to analysts, Cisco is not expected to grow the bottom line. The call is for 25 cents per share. If that figure is hit, then it will represent a drop of more than 30% on a year-over-year basis.

Here's the bright side, though. Cisco has beat the analysts at their game in recent times. Quite frankly, I think Cisco should be able to come ahead of estimates this week. I don't necessarily see why the trend will break. It's not like the stock has been telling the market that it will. Shares of Cisco have been doing well.

Continue reading Earnings preview: Will Cisco deliver the goods in Q3?

Closing Bell: Up, Down, Up... What the heck? (AA, BBBY, CSCO, JNPR, PHM, CTX, S)

This was one of those days that if you just looked at a large group of stocks you would have no feel for the closing bell levels. The FOMC Minutes from the March 17 to March 18 meeting were given some of the blame for the late day sell-off, although if you have to read one-month old data to get insight into a post-Fed action event explaining it... then something is wrong.

Hence the late-day recovery after that. The reality is that traders are still using any excuse to take a profit or to lighten up after a four-week run, and there are still buyers out there to meet them. Here were today's unofficial closing bell levels:

Dow 7,837.11 +47.55 (0.61%)
S&P 500 825.16 +9.61 (1.18%)
Nasdaq 1,590.66 +29.05 (1.86%)

Top Analyst Calls
Top Tech Analyst Calls

Continue reading Closing Bell: Up, Down, Up... What the heck? (AA, BBBY, CSCO, JNPR, PHM, CTX, S)

Closing Bell: DJIA challenges 8,000, again ...

Today was just another negative day at the office after yesterday. It felt as though we were trying to hold on when we saw a four day winning streak, but in this market it seems we constantly get reminded that good news is a brief thing.

Today's GDP was worse than a 3% drop year over year, but the economists were looking for worse than 5%. Everyone is fixated on the "bad bank" hopes, and it seems that realities will trump hopes in the end. So things still went from soft to ugly over the course of the day. Here are today's unofficial closing bell levels:

Dow 8,000.94 -148.07 (-1.82%)
S&P 500 825.90 -19.24 (-2.28%)
Nasdaq 1,476.42 -31.42 (-2.08%)

Top Analyst Upgrades
Top Analyst Downgrades

Continue reading Closing Bell: DJIA challenges 8,000, again ...

Post-election investment thoughts: Energy, tech, infrastructure

This post was written by Minyanville contributor Sean Udall.

Through my career I've generally stayed apolitical with regard to investment and trading decisions, but there have been times when some higher percentage trades have presented themselves due to political circumstances. Examples include: the tech push in Clinton's second term, the defense sector after Bush's 2000 victory, as well as the oil patch. Based on that, here are some overriding thoughts, in no particular order.

  • The market has moved to the phase where many if not most participants want and expect a pullback. Since the market confounds the greatest number of players most of the time, is a big pullback a lower probability event now? Moreover, does the selling panic of much of October turn into a buying panic in the coming weeks and months? I'm letting the charts lead me here but aware that this bullish case could possibly trump terrible economic conditions.
  • I still think the alt energy patch (solar, wind, battery tech, clean coal) will produce some of the best winners, but a lot of easy money has been made in just days. Quality and fundamentals will likely count much more now than over the past few months. Also, extended runs may become vulnerable quickly if policy decisions do not show quick tangible follow-through. Companies with the best balance sheets and funding sources will benefit the most and have the least downside on sharp technical pullbacks.
  • Continue reading Post-election investment thoughts: Energy, tech, infrastructure

    Closing Bell: Strong week, weak ending with DJIA, S&P, Dow down

    Today's economic numbers looked just as we expect for some time: Horrible. University of Michigan sentiment and housing looked atrocious. Warren Buffett wrote a short piece in the New York Times calling it the time to buy stocks. Today was an options expiration date and that led to added volatility throughout the trading day. Below are today's unofficial closing bell levels:

    DJIA 8,852.22 (-127.04; -1.41%)
    NASDAQ 1,711.29 (-6.42; -0.37%)
    S&P500 940.50 (-5.93; -0.63%)
    10YR T-Bond 3.938% (+0.002%)
    Top Analyst Upgrades

    Gilead Sciences (NASDAQ: GILD) traded up marginally after beating earnings with $0.55 non-GAAP EPS vs. $0.49 estimates, but it did outline how currencies helped out its bottom line. Shares still managed to trade up today and shares were up 3% at $42.67 right before the close.

    Continue reading Closing Bell: Strong week, weak ending with DJIA, S&P, Dow down

    Tech sector at a glance

    Minyanville contributor Sean Udall dares to share the kind of keen insight and actionable information you won't find in any prospectus. For more original thought, visit www.minyanville.com.

    • I've taken a leg in the Ultra QQQ ProShares (AMEX: QLD). The market has popped 2% off lows, the question is will it pop the full 7%?

    • I'm seeing a few positive divergences and the percentage of stocks below the 50 day moving average is well below the 2002 levels. I haven't looked at the percentage of stocks below the 200 day, but I'm sure the reading should be equally distressed.

    • I know people are pricing in earnings per share Armageddon in tech land -- so the question is, what happens to many of these stocks if it's really just sort of "punk" and not a total cataclysmic drop in revenue guidance.

    Continue reading Tech sector at a glance

    Analyst calls: UBS, BP, TOT, DISH, EBAY, JNPR, HBC, HBAN ...

    Analyst upgrades:
    • Deutsche Bank upgraded shares of UBS (NYSE: UBS) to Buy from Hold following the company's Q3 update as they believe the quarter marks a turning point.
    • Merill raised BP Plc (NYSE: BP) and Total SA (NYSE: TOT) to Neutral from Underperform.
    • DISH Network (NASDAQ: DISH) was lifted to Hold from Sell at Soleil.
    • Friedman Billings upgraded Sovereign Bancorp (NYSE: SOV) to Market Perform from Underperform as they believe the company's deposits are showing stability despite the massive sell-off.
    • Kaufman Bros. raised Longtop Financial (NYSE: LFT) to Buy from Hold on valuation as they believe Chinese software service stocks now reflect the investment risks.
    • Lear (NYSE: LEA) was upgraded to Hold from Sell at Citigroup.
    Analyst downgrades:
    • Morgan Stanley downgraded eBay (NASDAQ: EBAY) to Equal Weight from Overweight citing checks that indicate deteriorating trends are worst than expected.
    • Juniper (NASDAQ: JNPR) and Pediatrix Medical (NYSE: PDX) were downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Morgan Keegan.
    • Merrill cut StatoilHydro (NYSE: STO) to Underperform from Neutral.
    • HSBC (NYSE: HBC) was lowered to Market Perform from Outperform at Keefe Bruyette.

    Continue reading Analyst calls: UBS, BP, TOT, DISH, EBAY, JNPR, HBC, HBAN ...

    Analyst calls: HD, LUV, HAS, DRI, JNPR, BBI ...

    Analyst upgrades:
    Analyst downgrades:
    Analyst initiations:
    • CIBC initiated Nortel Networks (NYSE: NT) with a Sector Performer rating based on what they see as the company's limited growth and margin prospects.
    • Needham initiated Juniper (NASDAQ: JNPR) with a Hold rating, citing valuation.
    • Blockbuster (NYSE: BBI) was initiated with a Hold by Needham, which would like to see if the company's turnaround is sustainable before becoming more constructive on the shares.

    Closing Bell: The bears wore their Crocs to work

    If you were looking for another hard day of profit taking on a summer Friday, the markets escaped the hangman. A barely positive durable goods of big ticket items was enough to send the pessimists to the showers and gave the bulls a little more ammo. Throw in an oil ticker showing a drop of more than $2.00 to almost $123.00 per barrel and that's all that was needed. Look at bond yields and you'll see we gave back almost all of yesterday's move.

    Here are today's unofficial closing bell levels:
    DJIA 11368.33 (+19.05)
    S&P500 1257.65 (+5.11)
    NASDAQ 2310.53 (+30.42)
    10YR T-NOTE 4.111% (+0.095%)
    TOP ANALYST UPGRADES
    TOP ANALYST DOWNGRADES
    Select Short Sales Data

    Arch Coal (NYSE: ACI) tripled earnings posted EPS of $0.78 vs. $0.64 estimates. The stock was up more than 3% in pre-open but was up almost 9% at $55.45 in the final minutes of the day.

    Crocs Inc. (NASDAQ: CROX) led the garbage stocks after a very ugly earnings warning last night. It now sees sales for all of 2008 modestly lower than 2007 and is now only targeting a break-even result for 2008. Retailers were noted as keeping inventory re-orders at low levels, which is hard to blame them considering the ugly shoe fad has already started its workdown. Shares were down 44% at $4.99 after shares had already sold of more than 80% from 52-week highs.

    Continue reading Closing Bell: The bears wore their Crocs to work

    Before the bell: CROX, JNPR, CCU, FO, MSFT, DAL, GOOG, WB, WM, LEH ...

    U.S. stock futures were lower Friday morning, a day after a selloff triggered by housing data. Today investors are bracing for more housing data at 10:00 a.m. EDT after already hearing that foreclosures soared 121% during the second quarter. Other point of interest will be durable goods data reported an hour before the opening bell. Meanwhile, oil continued the steady climb that started Thursday as the dollar weakens, trading above $126 a barrel. It's Friday, and no many earnings reports are due.

    While there aren't many earnings reports today, there are a few including Fortune Brands (NYSE: FO), Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX) and Black & Decker (NYSE: BDK) among others.

    Crocs (NASDAQ: CROX) shares are tanking over 44% to $5 after after it cut its earnings outlook significantly on softer demand for its plastic shoes. With all those knockoffs around, is it any wonder? Robert W. Baird downgraded Crocs from Outperform to Neutral, slashing the target price from $21 to $5.

    Meanwhile, Juniper Networks (NASDAQ: JNPR) surged 12% in premarket trading after the company not only beat estimates when reporting quarterly results Thursday, but also increased its sales forecast for the third-quarter much higher than analyst estimates. Friedman Billings and Citigroup both upgraded Juniper to Outperform and Buy respectively.

    In deal news, Clear Channel Communications (NYSE: CCU) shareholders on Thursday approved a $17.9 billion takeover by private equity funds Thomas H. Lee Partners and Bain Capital. This ends the 20-month long effort.

    Continue reading Before the bell: CROX, JNPR, CCU, FO, MSFT, DAL, GOOG, WB, WM, LEH ...

    Option Update: Juniper volatility slightly elevated into CEO appointment & EPS

    Juniper (NASDAQ: JNPR) is recently up 15 cents to $23.04 in pre-open trading.

    JNPR named Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) veteran Kevin Johnson CEO. JNPR is scheduled to report Q1 EPS after the market close tonight. RBC Capital Markets has a $30 price target on JNPR.

    JNPR August option implied volatility of 51 is above its 26-week average of 47 according to Track Data, suggesting slightly larger price movement.

    Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com

    Next Page »

    Symbol Lookup
    IndexesChangePrice
    DJIA+17.4610,023.42
    NASDAQ+7.122,112.44
    S&P 500+2.671,069.30

    Last updated: November 08, 2009: 06:16 PM

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