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Copper Sets New Record High

Copper productionOver the years copper has taken a back seat to the flashier metals like gold and silver. Now the tables are turning and copper is in the spotlight. This will probably the biggest commodity story of 2011,

The Financial Times reports that copper demand will outstrip supply by 500,000 tons -- compared with 350,000 tons of inventory at the London Metals Exchange (LME.)

Continue reading Copper Sets New Record High

Copper Gains Glamour as Hedge

copperA change is taking place in the world of commodity metals, and that change is now being accelerated by none other than JPMorgan Chase (JPM). News reports are indicating that Chase has purchased up to 50% of all the London Metals Exchange warehoused copper. It is interesting, yes, but what does this mean when viewing the big picture?

It would seem that the intrinsic wisdom of "physically holding" commodity metals is finally being realized. Copper, for all its earthy commonality and utility, holds great sway over the economies of the world. Copper is a near universal necessity in the movement of electricity, water, and a host of pressurized gasses. Without immediately available copper, life as we know it would most probably come to a sudden, screeching halt.

Continue reading Copper Gains Glamour as Hedge

JPMorgan Buys 50% of London Copper Stocks

Over the past couple of weeks, a mystery trader purchased more than 50% of all the copper stocks on the London Metals Exchange, valued at over $1 billion. There were rumors that whoever it was is trying to corner the copper market.

As it happens the mystery bank is JPMorgan Chase (JPM), The Wall Street Journal reported, citing The London Daily Telegraph. The bank bought some of the copper for clients. But the bank owns a large chunk, estimated at 175,000 metric tons.

Continue reading JPMorgan Buys 50% of London Copper Stocks

JPMorgan and GE Got Massive Fed Loans While Their CEOs Sat on NY Fed Board

Slowly, piece by piece, the inside details of what happened during the financial meltdown are coming to light. The latest disclosure is that JPMorgan Chase (JPM) CEO Jamie Dimon and General Electric (GE) CEO Jeffrey Immelt were on the New York Federal Reserve Board in 2008, when their institutions got enormous loans, as reported by the New York Times.

This little story tells you just how the insiders do their wheeling and dealing. On Sept. 15, JPMorgan Chase received a $3 billion loan from the Fed. On 12 occasions in October and November 2008, GE issued short term IOUs. The Fed purchased $16 billion of them.

Continue reading JPMorgan and GE Got Massive Fed Loans While Their CEOs Sat on NY Fed Board

Options Update: JPMorgan January Call Spreaders Active on Low Volatility

JPMorgan (JPM) January 39 and 41 calls are active on total call volume of 100K contracts, compared to 40K puts. December and January call option implied volatility is at 27, February is at 29, below its 26-week average of 35, according to Track Data. Large call volume suggests spreaders positioning for tighter price movement.

DuPont (DD) is hosting an investor day on Dec. 9. Overall option implied volatility of 25 is near its 26-week average, according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional price movement.

Option volume leaders today: BAC, LVS, AAPL, C, according to Track Data.

Options Update is by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

Closing Bell: Forgetting All About Europe (ARO, JPM, KR, GAS, IACI, LINTA, TOL)

Europe is suddenly almost an afterthought after two strong days in a row. A weaker jobs number was trumped by a higher market and commodities forecast from Goldman Sachs. Even a huge Madoff suit did not wreck the markets today. Here are today's unofficial closing bell levels:
DJIA: 11,362.41
NASDAQ: 2,579.35
S&P 500: 1,221.53

Top Analyst Upgrades/Downgrades


Aeropostale (ARO) had a disappointing same store sales figure reaction today and shares were down almost 14% at $23.07 right before the closing bell.

Continue reading Closing Bell: Forgetting All About Europe (ARO, JPM, KR, GAS, IACI, LINTA, TOL)

Serious Money: Does BAC Have Anything to Fear from Wikileaks?

Bank of America (BAC) logoForgive me if I stray slightly, but I could not help thinking about how ironic it would be if someone leaked information as to the whereabouts of Wikileaks founder and "fearless leader" Julian Assange -- who is in hiding!

It would be even more ironic if a CIA operative who had his cover blown by Wikileaks decides what goes around comes around. Let's face it, in its own way Wikileaks has become a rogue nation, so why wouldn't the CIA get involved?

In the mean time, this has probably helped world markets as it has overtaken everything else as the big story of the past 48 hours. In a bizarre way, Assange may have achieved one of his goals by bringing the world closer together, sort of.

Continue reading Serious Money: Does BAC Have Anything to Fear from Wikileaks?

Comfort Zone Investing: Time to Buy Banks?

a pile of cashBanks were sick for a while. Some of them died (41 in the third quarter alone, a total of 127 so far this year), quickly taken over by the FDIC (Federal Deposit Insurance Corp.), transferring their ticket to ride to another institution that changed the name on the front door (but kept the FDIC sticker) over a weekend. More will evaporate. There are currently 860 on the FDIC's list of problem institutions as of September 30. That compares to 829 at the end of June. But the latest bank profits suggest the worst is over for the banking sector.

Continue reading Comfort Zone Investing: Time to Buy Banks?

Chasing Value: Banks, Barron's and Buffett

Banks could face another mortgage crisis, according to Barron's, if they are forced to buy back subprime, Alt-A and options adjusted home mortgage securities they've sold prior to the financial crisis, mostly as mortgage-backed securities. Already some buyers, like Fannie Mae (FNMA) and Freddie Mac (FMCC), have enjoyed some success returning defective mortgages. And this could be just the beginning.

The banks, of course, are fighting vigorously to fend off these demands. As usual, the courts will have to settle the matter. The focus of the debate seems to be founded on the issue of representations and warranties that may or may not have been violated.

There are no surprises among the 11 banks mentioned. It is the conspicuous absence of names you might expect to find that is.

Continue reading Chasing Value: Banks, Barron's and Buffett

JPMorgan and Bank of America Report Perfect Trading Quarters

So now, when you thought that Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS) was king of the hill, think twice. JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) and Bank of America Corp. (BAC) both racked up perfect trading quarters, according to the Wall Street Journal.

JPMorgan had 12 days where it made more than $200 million each day. Bank of America had at least 25 days where it made more the $100 million from trading in the third quarter.

Continue reading JPMorgan and Bank of America Report Perfect Trading Quarters

Options Update: Massey Energy Calls Active on Reports of Buyout

Massey Energy (MEE) closed up $4.80 to $46.94 on reports that Alpha Natural (ANR) may buy the company, DJ says. December and January 55 calls are active on total call volume of 58K contracts, compared to put volume of 23K puts. November call option implied volatility is at 53 and January is at 48, compared to its 26-week average of 52. Increasing option volume suggests traders are positioning for price movement.

CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) closed down 29 cents to $18.23, near a six-month low after EPS, elections, FOMC meeting and October employment report.

CBOE option volume leaders today: Bank of America (BAC), Las Vegas Sands (LVS) JPMorgan (JPM) and Citigroup (C).

Options Update is by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

Comfort Zone Investing: Keeping It Simple ... Part 2

five dollar billLast week's column gave five questions for investors to ask before they buy or sell a stock. Here are five more to help start any research. They'll help save a lot of time and more important, money and loss of sleep.

6. What is Price to Book? This measures the price you pay compared to the amount of equity that's in the company. Equity is all the money investors have put in plus all the profits. When you can find a company that is selling for a Price to Book of less than 1, it means you are buying the equity in the firm for less than it's worth. It's like buying $1 for less than a dollar. Hard to find these stocks? Not now in the Financial sector. Look at Bank of America (BAC). It's Price to Book is 0.54. That means you're paying 54 cents for every $1 of equity. Of course, investors think there could be many more charges against that equity before the bank stabilizes, but if they're wrong, an investor might be picking up a real bargain here. Other examples: JPMorgan Chase (JPM) at 0.89; Citibank (C) at 0.74.

Continue reading Comfort Zone Investing: Keeping It Simple ... Part 2

Closing Bell: Mixed Reactions on Friday (ATML, CROX, MEE, ANR, SD, JPM)

Friday was one of those days that we finally got jobs creation of more than double the expected rate, with 151,000 jobs reported. Unfortunately, that was somewhat expected and the jobs data was before the election, before QE2, and before administration negotiation hopes on taxes. Banks tried to continue their surge along with technology, which needs to happen for the rally to continue.

Here were today's unofficial closing bell levels:

Dow Jones 11,444.08 +9.24 (0.08%)
S&P 500 1,225.85 +4.79 (0.39%)
Nasdaq 2,578.98 +1.64 (0.06%)

Top Analyst Calls
Next Week's Top Earnings

Continue reading Closing Bell: Mixed Reactions on Friday (ATML, CROX, MEE, ANR, SD, JPM)

Election Day Trades (MRK, PFE, WLP)

Today is election day. Currently, intrade.com is projecting a 97% chance that the Republicans will take control of the House of Representatives and a 48% chance that they will win the Senate. What could a landslide win for the Republican Party mean for the stock market?

Some observers are suggesting that gridlock in Washington, along with a more business friendly atmosphere, could be a catalyst for stock prices to rise. This, however, is offset by concerns about cuts in government spending. The private economy is sputtering, and near-term spending cuts could have a detrimental effect on the recovery. Therefore, instead of focusing on the broader market, investors may want to look at some specific sectors that may benefit from a Republican victory.

Three interesting areas are oil services, financials, and healthcare. The thinking is that some of the regulatory headwinds facing these sectors may be lifted if the political atmosphere in Washington D.C. changes. Some observers believe that a Republican-led House of Representatives will be able to chip away at some of the Obamacare legislation. This should benefit large pharmaceutical companies such as Merck (MRK) and Pfizer (PFE).

Continue reading Election Day Trades (MRK, PFE, WLP)

Closing Bell: Pre-Election Glee Turns Mixed (ABK, BHI, BIOD, JKS, XCO, FTNT, JPM)

Today was a mixed day as stocks went from positive to negative to mixed throughout the day after stronger economic data was trumped by banks. Some are taking profits ahead of the election tomorrow and ahead of any quantitative easing announcements due from the FOMC on Wednesday. Strong manufacturing led the charge up this morning, and 30-Year Treasury bonds were back above 4.00% late in the afternoon. The real direction of the close was not going to be known until the final minutes by the feel of it.

Here were today's unofficial closing bell levels:

Dow Jones 11,124.62 +6.13 (0.06%)
S&P 500 1,184.38 +1.12 (0.09%)
Nasdaq 2,504.84 -2.57 (-0.10%)

Top Analyst Calls

Continue reading Closing Bell: Pre-Election Glee Turns Mixed (ABK, BHI, BIOD, JKS, XCO, FTNT, JPM)

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Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA+33.6012,529.75
NASDAQ-10.742,839.38
S&P 500+1.821,320.68

Last updated: May 25, 2012: 03:22 AM

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