U.S. stock futures edged lower Wednesday morning after the government announced late Tuesday it would help save AIG. Investors may be relieved with the action on AIG and even the Federal Reserve decision not to move Tuesday, leaving room for a future rate cut, there are still big concerns about the state of financial markets. Investors today will also get data from on building permits and housing starts for the month of August. Oil rebounded today ahead of inventory report to over $93 a barrel.
The Federal Reserve said late Tuesday that it would to lend $85 billionAmerican International Group (NYSE: AIG), taking a 79.9% stake in the company. AIG shares are still sinking 30% in pre-market trading.
Meanwhile, as the government refused to help Lehman Brothers (NYSE:LEH) and the company filed for Chapter 11 Monday, Barclays PLC (NYSE: BCS) said it would buy Lehman's banking and capital markets business for $250 million. Barclays walked away from the deal a few days ago, perhaps waiting for a better price, in what many say BAC should have done with Merrill. BCS shares are up over 5% in pre-market trading, LEH's down over 25%.
Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS) reported its quarterly earnings early to calm investors, posting better-than expected results. It seems the last two major independent investment houses, Morgan and Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS), which also reported earning Tuesday, both posted third-quarter profits despite continued chaos in the financial markets.
J.P. Morgan Chase (NYSE: JPM) is reportedly in advanced talks to make a bid for Washington Mutual (NYSE: WM).
I'll be honest. I'm not necessarily into the supermarket sector, so I've never strongly considered a company like Kroger (NYSE: KR) for my portfolio. Plus, we live in a Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT) world, and with that retail giant trying its best to take aim at food shoppers with its own brand, I just was never into owning a Kroger. I do have to say, though, that I am wondering if Kroger might end up being a defensive stock in the current market environment. Although it has been down the last month or so, the stock has done well over longer timeframes, according to the AOL Finance snapshot taken at the time of this writing. It's been up over 5% year-to-date, and over 16% during the six-month period. And it is up over 6% today, as of 1:30 pm, on the company's Q2 numbers.
Net sales revenues increased almost 12%. The bottom line saw net income of $0.42 per diluted share. That was a solid 10% increase, and according to Earnings.com, Kroger beat estimates by one penny. Same-store sales increased a decent 4.7% excluding the effect of fuel sales. It's pretty important to exclude fuel sales, especially with the price of oil declining rapidly. With fuel, comps were up nearly 10%. Operational cash flow was flat at $2.1 billion, but it more than covered capital expenditures, dividend obligations, and share repurchases.
Kroger seems to be a healthy company at the moment. And, again, the stock seems to be working, too. Could this business be a defensive play? It sure looks like it. I wouldn't chase it today, however. I'd wait for a pullback and consider pulling the trigger after further due diligence.
Disclosure: I don't own any company mentioned; positions can change at any time.
Safeway (NYSE: SWY) closed at $26.34 Friday. SWY October option implied volatility of 39 is above its 26-week average of 35 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.
SuperValu (NYSE: SVU) closed at $23.19 Friday. SVU October option implied volatility of 47 is above its 26-week average of 40, suggesting larger price movement.
Kroger (NYSE: KR) closed at $27.62 Friday. KR October option implied volatility of 32 is near its 26-week average, suggesting non-directional price risk.
Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT) closed at $59.07 Friday. WMT is scheduled to report August sales on September 4. WMT September option implied volatility of 27 is near its 26-week average, suggesting non-directional price movement.
Target (NYSE: TGT) closed at $53.02 Friday. TGT is scheduled to report August sales on September 4. TGT October option implied volatility of 36 is below its 26-week average of 41, suggesting decreasing price movement.
Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com
Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT) has a new division and it expects the world from it. The company will launch its new small Marketside grocery stores this Fall. Job postings uncovered by the FT indicate that the world's largest retailer expects sales from the chain to eventually hit $10 billion with 1,000 stores in operation.
Wal-Mart insists that the new stores are simply a pilot project, but it is not likely that Wal-Mart would think small. For any new chain to help the company's revenue, sales would have to be very significant.
The new business may face rough going. Big chains like Kroger (NYSE:KR) and Safeway (NYSE:SWY) are likely to fight Wal-Mart every step of the way.
Wal-Mart was the first company into the big box discount retail business. The company was not only remarkably well-run under Sam Walton. It also had the advantage of being the "first mover" In the grocery business; being late to market is a handicap.
Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.
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Kroger (NYSE: KR) is one of the nation's largest retail grocery chains. It operates nearly 2,500 supermarkets and multi-department stores in 31 states, under such local banners as Kroger, Ralphs, Fred Meyer, Fry's, Dillons, QFC and City Market. The firm also operates about 778 convenience stores, 392 fine jewelry stores, 723 supermarket fuel centers and 41 food processing plants. Despite diversification moves, Kroger food stores still account for about 85 percent of sales. Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT) and Safeway (NYSE: SWY) are major competitors.
The firm pleased investors last week, when it reported fiscal Q1 EPS of 58 cents and revenues of $23.11 billion. Analysts had been expecting 55 cents and $22.32 billion. The EPS figure was a company record. Management also offered in-line guidance for FY09 earnings and said that about $643.6 million remained under the $1 billion stock repurchase program announced in January.
If you are a Kroger (NYSE: KR) shopper and you think that you may have picked up some beef from the grocer recently, you may want to take a closer look at it, as reports of E. coli have prompted a recall from the grocery chain.
The recall involves beef products that were purchased between May 21 and June 8 in Michigan, and parts of the Ohio market. Kroger was forced to take this action following reports that there had been E. coli illnesses linked to beef sold in Kroger stores in the two locations.
So far, it looks as though there have been 19 reported cases in Michigan, and another 15 cases reported in the state of Ohio that can be linked back to the Kroger beef. The meat in question has been traced back to a Kroger store in Gahanna, a town in central Ohio. It does not look as though any stores in Michigan have definitely been linked to the tainted meat, but since there are reported cases of the disease in the area, you should definitely return any beef that you purchased from Kroger during the time frame in question.
On Tuesday, both Kroger Co. (NYSE: KR), the nation's largest traditional grocer, and casual dining chain operator Darden Restaurants Inc. (NYSE: DRI) reported better-than-expected profit increases.
Cincinnati-based Kroger Co. said first-quarter profits rose 15% from the year-ago quarter to $386 million, or 58 cents per share, due in part to discounts on food, gas, and drugs that drew in budget-strapped consumers. For the quarter ended May 24, revenue climbed 12% to $23.11 billion.
Analysts polled by Thomson Financial had expected a earnings of 55 cents a share on revenue of $22.32 billion.
Kroger also reported that same-store sales rose 5.8%, excluding fuel, and 9.2% including fuel sales.
The company offered fiscal-year earnings guidance of $1.85 to $1.90 per share, compared to the analysts' forecast of $1.90 per share.
Kroger shares rose $1.82 Tuesday to $27.82, then fell in after-hours trading. The shares have risen 10.2% in the past three months.
If you were looking for help from the economic front or from the oil patch today to help out the market, that wasn't in the cards. Home prices plunged by a record 15.3% from may 2007 to May 2008. Consumer confidence also came in at a 16-year low. From bottom to top to bottom we had more than a 150 point trading range in the DJIA today. These are the unofficial closing levels:
Eastman Kodak Co. (NYSE: EK) saw a sharp rise with shares up 15% at $4.20 late in the day after the company announced a large IRS refund and a $1 billion buyback to retire close to half of its stock.
Eli Lilly & Co. (NYSE: LLY) hit the 52-week low list and a multi-year low earlier today before recovering list after the FDA delayed a decision on its anti-clot blood thinning drug, with shares down some 1.5% at $46.87 in the final minutes today.
Kroger Co. (NYSE: KR) saw shares rise a sharp 7% with shares at $27.88 in the final minutes today after the company raised guidance.
Reliance Steel (NYSE: RS) saw shares up after the company raised its own guidance again. Its shares were only up 0.5% at $73.85 in the final minutes of the trading day. Shares were up over 5% at the start.
United Parcel Service Inc. (NYSE: UPS) saw a drop after the company came clean and fessed up that high fuel prices and low demand for premium delivery services were hurting business domestically and abroad. Shares were down 6% at $62.26 late in the day.
U.S. stock futures were lower early Tuesday ahead of the two-day Federal Reserve policy meeting. Meanwhile, oil climbed on supply concerns following further Nigeria unrest and new Iran sanctions and steadied above $137 a barrel. UPS (NYSE: UPS) also gave a profit warning.
U.S. stocks ended almost flat Monday as the market digested some deal activity but remained concerned over oil prices with many investors staying on the sidelines ahead of the Fed meeting. Both the Dow industrials and the S&P 500 ended nearly the same as Friday with the Nasdaq Composite dropping 20 points, or 0.85%.
Economic releases today include June consumer confidence to be reported at 10:00 a.m. EDT. Consumer confidence probably fell this month to the lowest level in more than 15 years, meaning many will try to economize on their spending. The Case-Shiller report on April home prices also is on tap.
Mostly, though, investors will be concerned with the Fed's decision and statement Wednesday. While most on Wall Street believe the Fed will hold rates unchanged this time, many think the Fed will discuss a shift -- to some extent -- to focus more on inflation than the slowdown as well as hint at future rate hikes. The Fed's balancing act between trying to stimulate the economy while keeping inflation under check is becoming a more difficult task by the day.
Though the quarter is winding down, there are still earnings reports to come, including Walgreen Co. (NYSE: WAG) and Kroger Co. (NYSE: KR). Both companies are expected to report profit growth this coming week.
Walgreen is expected by analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial to report third-quarter earnings of 59 cents per share, up 6.8% from the same period of last year, on revenue of $15.1 billion. The company has provided positive surprises in four of the past five quarters -- by two cents in the previous quarter.
Based in Deerfield, Ill., Walgreen is the largest drug store chain in the U.S. in terms of sales, and has more than 6,200 stores in the U.S. and Puerto Rico. In the past year, the company's revenues were $53.7 billion and its net income totaled $2.0 billion. Its long-term EPS growth forecast is 14.0%, which is less than the retail industry average, as well as less than that of rival CVS Caremark (NYSE: CVS). The consensus recommendation of analysts has recently shifted from hold to buy Walgreen.
The share price is up 4.0% since the beginning of the year, and up from 11.6% from a year ago. It trades at a P/E ratio of 20.68. Shares closed Friday at $41.35.
Citi Investment Research affirmed Plexus (NASDAQ: PLXS) affirmed its "hold" rating ahead of the company's analyst meeting, according to the AP.
J.P Morgan downgraded Alcoa (NYSE: AA) to "neutral" from "overweight," according toBriefing.com. The news service also reports that Friedman Billings affirmed its "outperform" rating on Kroger (NYSE:KR.)
Intuit (NASDAQ: INTU) was started as Neutral at Goldman Sachs, according to24/7 Wall St.
U.S. stock futures edged lower Wednesday morning after the government announced late Tuesday it would help save AIG. Investors may be relieved with the action on AIG and even the Federal Reserve decision 
I'll be honest. I'm not necessarily into the supermarket sector, so I've never strongly considered a company like 
Safeway 
If you are a 
Cincinnati-based Kroger Co. said 
Walgreen is expected by analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial to report third-quarter earnings of 59 cents per share, up 6.8% from the same period of last year, on revenue of $15.1 billion. The company has provided 
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