January was a wild ride and February holds the promise of more of the same after yesterday's 370 point drop in the Dow. All the major indices were down in January and so were seven of my eight picks. Only Raytheon Co. (NYSE: RTN), the high tech defense contractor, was up. My two high flyers from last year, Huaneng Power International, Inc. (ADR) (NYSE: HNP) and Valero Energy Corp. (NYSE: VLO), were the biggest losers.

I have not changed my opinion of these stocks from that of the original story Chasing Value: Final list -- 8 stocks for 2008 and I am following them closely for buying opportunities. We have already added more Newcastle Investment Corp. (NYSE: NCT) and Huaneng Power to our holdings.

Among the indices, the DJIA lost the least and the NASDAQ lost the most. The average return for my eight picks was -7.82%. This underperformed the average of the indices that was -7.58% -- but my new stalking horse Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.B) bested both, so Buffett is still the man.

Now including dividends for my picks which average 3.91% divided by 12 for the one month allows for an additional .326%, reducing the loss to -7.494%. Using 1.8% for the average dividend of the indices divided by 12 adds 0.15%, reducing the loss to -7.43%. The dividends tighted things up. BRK.B does not pay a dividend.

The following are my eight picks with the starting share price as of December 28, 2007:

MOST NOTEWORTHY: The U.S. retail sector and Occam Networks were today's noteworthy upgrades:

• Bernstein upgraded the U.S. retail sector to Overweight from Market Weight on valuation, as they believe shares now reflect any likely deterioration in earnings growth following the recent sell-off and that further downside is limited even in the event of a recession. In conjunction with the sector upgrade, Bernstein upgraded Lowe's (NYSE: LOW), Home Depot (NYSE: HD), Bed Bath & Beyond (NASDAQ: BBBY), Williams-Sonoma (NYSE: WSM), Kohl's (NYSE: KSS) and Macy's (NYSE: M) to Outperform from Market Perform.
• Merriman upgraded shares of Occam Networks (NASDAQ: OCNW) to Buy from Neutral on valuation and the company's contract win with Fairpoint Communications (NYSE: FRP). They believe shares could trade back toward the 1x revenue level, or $5-7 per share.

OTHER UPGRADES:

• RBC upgraded Suncor (NYSE: SU) to Outperform from Sector Perform.
• TD Newcrest raised Provident Energy (NYSE: PVX) to Buy from Hold.
• JP Morgan upgraded Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX) to Neutral from Underweight and NYMEX (NYSE: NMX) to Overweight from Neutral.

The price-to-cash flow ratio has been repeatedly promoted in various publications as one of the more important metrics to consider when evaluating a stock to buy. Apparently over long periods of time it is more telling than the often quoted price-to-earnings ratio. I have read that cash flow is a key metric that "my pal Warren" looks at for Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.B) investments.

Here are the figures for the Chasing Value: Final list -- 8 stocks for 2008 in order from highest to lowest P/CF. The 12/28/08 starting stock price, yesterday's closing price and the current P/CF for the most recent fiscal year (MRFY) are listed. Only two stocks are up, while six are down.

Bunge Limited (NYSE: BG) BG was $119.03, up to $133.00, P/CF 15.99

Raytheon Co. (NYSE: RTN) RTN was $61.51, up to $61.58, P/CF 13.64

Huaneng Power International, Inc. (ADR) (NYSE: HNP) HNP was $41.75, down to $38.40, P/CF 8.12

Reliance Steel & Aluminum (NYSE: RS) was $54.32, down to $49.79, P/CF 7.55

Loews Corp. (NYSE: LTR) at $49.35, down to $49.01, P/CF 6.91

Valero Energy Corp. (NYSE: VLO) VLO was $70.55, down to $59.87, P/CF 5.99

Anglo American plc (ADR) (NASDAQ: AAUK) was $30.79, down to $29.31, P/CF 3.90

Newcastle Investment Corp. (NYSE: NCT) was $13.08, down to $11.03, P/CF -6.52

Some companies seem to always be just outside my grasp. They sit on my watch-list for long periods and often never present an opportunity to acquire the stock. Adobe Systems (NASDAQ: ADBE), which closed at $42.93 on December 28, 2007, fits the bill. I almost included it in my Chasing Value: Final list -- 8 stocks for 2008, but alas, I decided I felt more confident in stocks like Loews Corp. (NYSE: LTR), which was the last stock added.

I asked one of the advertising company officers in town how important Adobe software was to their business and he replied, "They could not function without it, they would be out of business." I'm sure he was exaggerating, but only a little.

Adobe is not a monopoly because you can work around it with less robust programs, but no company offers the integrated suite of graphics products that Adobe does, including Photoshop, InDesign, Illustrator, Acrobat and if you're online much, you must receive multiple PDF files per day.

I recently posted Chasing Value: Final list -- 8 stocks for 2008 and mentioned that all of them pay a dividend. If this year is going to be as gloomy as some would have you believe, then stocks that pay dividends, as a group, will outshine those that do not.

The following are my eight picks, with the closing stock price as of my start date December 28, 2007 and the dividend yield. Last year, there were more stocks among my picks that paid a dividend higher than the S&P 500 Index average of 1.8% . This year there are only two.

• Anglo American plc (ADR) (NASDAQ: AAUK) $30.79. 1.9%
• Bunge Limited (NYSE: BG) BG was $119.03. 0.56%
• Huaneng Power International, Inc. (ADR) (NYSE: HNP) HNP was $41.75. 3.5%
• Loews Corp. (NYSE: LTR) at $49.35. 0.50%
• Newcastle Investment Corp. (NYSE: NCT) was $13.08. 22%
• Raytheon Co. (NYSE: RTN) RTN was $61.51. 1.65%
• Reliance Steel & Aluminum (NYSE: RS) $54.32 per share. 0.58%
• Valero Energy Corp. (NYSE: VLO) VLO was $70.55. 0.66%

A few days behind schedule, but here is my list of eight stocks. Included in the list there are two holdovers from the 2007 list of seven stocks. I do not see any value in creating an entirely new list when I have done well over the years riding the winners. This is particularly true if the reasons you bought the stock in the first place remain valid.

These eight picks for the year will be tracked monthly with updated results. The initial share prices are from December 28, 2007. They are focused on defense, energy, food, gold, metals, mining, oil, power, and every one pays a dividends. The following are my "Quick Takes" in alphabetical order with links to the complete stories.

Anglo American plc (ADR) (NASDAQ: AAUK) is a world-class player in precious metals, diamonds, and commodities, which are all growing in demand. When the world economy is booming, all of its mining products are sought after, and when the market runs scared, gold goes up. It pays a dividend yield of 1.9% and is trading almost 25% off its 52-week high. For full story: Chasing Value: Anglo American diamonds and gold are your best friend. The closing price on December 28, 2007, for AAUK was $30.79.

This was one of my last to make the list of 8 for 2008, and did not show up in previous stories, but investors should take note. Everything we read and hear about the investment climate in 2008 makes one rather tepid about the stock market. One of my friends even suggested to me a few days ago that he was considering going to all cash. That is a bad idea. A better idea is to find investments that will do well in this environment. Loews Corp. (NYSE: LTR) might very well be that company. The stock closed on December 28, 2007, at $49.35.

In a recent news release, Loews announced a plan to spin-off Lorillard. By mid-summer LTR should be separated from this tobacco company and maker of the Newport brand of cigarettes. This will free up some cash for stock buybacks, according to the article, and also from some liability. This might be good news to many but is not the reason I like Loews so much.

The real reason is that in searching out investment opportunities I took an interest in Diamond Offshore (NYSE: DO) as a major player in the search for oil offshore. Well it turns out that Loews is a major shareholder. When I was reviewing insurance companies, which were way down in 2007, and I think oversold now, I came across CNA Financial (NYSE: CNA), which has fallen on hard times and may be a comeback story. Then I learn that Loews owns a major stake in CNA too.