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Chasing Value: Insurance Stock Review -- Part 3

Last week, Warren Buffett, Chairman of Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A and BRK.B), said India's 26% foreign ownership cap on insurers deters him from such an investment. This follows an earlier report that Buffett aims to enter the Indian insurance sector as a corporate agent of Bajaj Allianz General Insurance.

After numerous world calamities, Buffett's focus on insurance companies, and the fact that many hedge funds seem to be heavily focused on banks and neglecting insurance companies -- with the exception of Bruce Berkowitz -- I decided to explore the possibilities.

Even though we can anticipate billions of dollars in claims there still are buying opportunites.

Continue reading Chasing Value: Insurance Stock Review -- Part 3

Chasing Value: Insurance Stock Review -- Part 2

AIG logoDo you have any interest in insurance companies amidst the turmoil, disaster and current crises in Japan? A crises that followed so closely on the heals of the destruction of the New Zealand city of ChristChurch by a 6.3 magnitude earthquake. Perhaps you think this is even a poorer idea than catching that proverbial falling knife we are always hearing about when stock prices are collapsing.

Certainly there will be billions of dollars in claims. On the other hand, perhaps the burden will be spread around the globe to reinsurer's such that none is struck too hard and this is a buying opportunity. After all, when the dust settles, insurers will cry for mercy, and in particular, rate increases. It is also likely those that never saw the need for insurance have been awakened and demand will increase.

Continue reading Chasing Value: Insurance Stock Review -- Part 2

Chasing Value: Insured Profits or a Mountain of Risk?

Ten weeks into the year and never a dull moment. Pondering the remaining 42 weeks and beyond, where will value be found? We know that "my pal Warren" is on the prowl waist high in Berkshire Hathaway cash to invest, and he is on record as chomping on the bit to do so. Just this morning it was reported that Buffett had closed a $9 billion deal to buy Lubrizol Corp. (LZ), the Wickliffe, Ohio-based maker of engine lubricants.

More evidence of this abounds: Wednesday March 2, (Reuters) - US-based Berkshire Hathaway aims to enter the Indian insurance sector as a corporate agent of Bajaj Allianz General Insurance.

This is part 1 of a series examining the insurance market for expansion, stock valuations, potential risks and opportunities, excluding health care focused companies, a whole other breed of enterprise.

Continue reading Chasing Value: Insured Profits or a Mountain of Risk?

Traders Exit Insurance Stocks to Avoid Earthquake Exposure

MET logoMetLife (MET - option chain) stock is trading lower today along with most other insurance companies this morning after the cost to insurers related to Friday's earthquake in Japan was estimated to be between $15 to $35 billion. Prudential Financial (PRU) and AIG (AIG) are also down so far in today's trading. Even if these insurance companies are actually on solid footing financially with regard to their expected claims, I expect investors could be frightened for several months to come, which could keep share prices depressed. If you think this stock won't be rising too far in the coming months, then it could be a good time to look at a bearish hedged play on MET.

Continue reading Traders Exit Insurance Stocks to Avoid Earthquake Exposure

Higher Inflation Could Deflate Hartford's Outlook

Hartford logoHartford Financial (HIG) is one of the largest providers of investment products, individual life, group life and group disability insurance products, as well as property and casualty insurance products in the U.S. In addition to the U.S., the company has operations in Japan, the United Kingdom, Canada, Brazil and Ireland. Its main competitors include large insurers like MetLife (MET), Prudential (PRU) and AIG (AIG).

We have a price estimate of $23.68 on Hartford Financial's stock, which is about 20% below the current market price. We estimate that property and casualty insurance in the U.S. constitutes about 37% of the company's stock value.

Continue reading Higher Inflation Could Deflate Hartford's Outlook

Serious Money: Buffett's Next Buys -- You Pick'em

Prognosticators the world over are throwing in their 2 cents about "my pal Warren's" next market moves; especially since he announced last week that his trigger finger was itchy. When Warren Buffett, chairman of Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A and BRK.B) speaks, investors listen.

On Wednesday March 2, this investor threw in his two cents worth (see:Serious Money: What Should Warren Buffett Do Next?) discussing possible acquisitions. Since all the "pro's", I use the term loosely, have had a say I thought I would give readers a chance to express some of their ideas too.

Continue reading Serious Money: Buffett's Next Buys -- You Pick'em

ALICO Accelerates MetLife's International Growth

MetLife (MET) increased its international presence substantially after the acquisition of ALICO in 2010. MetLife competes with AIG (AIG), The Hartford (HIG), Prudential Financial (PRU) and New York Life Company.

MetLife reported a 36% increase in premiums, fees and other revenues from the insurance business outside of the U.S. in the year 2010, mainly due to the addition of about $836 million from ALICO's one month operations. MetLife acquired ALICO for about $15.5 billion from AIG as a part of its strategy to grow internationally. The acquisition has enabled MetLife to serve 90 million customers in over 60 countries and has significantly boosted MetLife's position as a leading insurance company in the U.S, Japan, Latin America, Asia Pacific, Europe and the Middle East.

Continue reading ALICO Accelerates MetLife's International Growth

Analyst Calls: BA, BBBY, CI, CLWR, DFS, DLTR, ETN, MET, MO, WSM ...

Analyst Upgrades

  • Goldman upgraded Eaton (ETN) to conviction buy from neutral.
  • AECOM Technology (ACM) was upgraded to outperform from neutral at Macquarie.
  • Piper Jaffray upgraded Hologic (HOLX), Gen-Probe (GPRO) and Qiagen (QGEN) to overweight from neutral.
  • GeoMet (GMET) was upgraded to accumulate from neutral at Global Hunter.
  • Accretive Health (AH) was upgraded to outperform from neutral at RW Baird.
  • Morgan Stanley upgraded Reinsurance Group (RGA) to overweight from equal weight.
  • BofA/Merrill upgraded Clearwire (CLWR) to neutral from underperform.

Continue reading Analyst Calls: BA, BBBY, CI, CLWR, DFS, DLTR, ETN, MET, MO, WSM ...

Analyst Calls: AMD, BKC, BKS, BP, DOW, HBC, LEAP, LLY, MET, PCLN, ...

Analyst Upgrades

  • Auriga upgraded Leap Wireless (LEAP) to buy from hold following the company's Q2 results and analyst day, citing valuation, longer-term potential for consolidation and prospects for business improvements. Despite upgrading, the firm lowered its target for shares to $16 from $19.
  • Goldman upgraded Barnes & Noble (BKS) to neutral from sell following the company's announcement to explore strategic alternatives. The firm raised its price target to $15 from $12.
  • RBC Capital upgraded ESCO Technologies (ESE) to sector perform from underperform following the better-than-expected Q3 report. The firm raised its price target to $30 from $28.
  • MetLife (MET) was upgraded to buy from neutral at BofA/Merrill.
  • Priceline.com (PCLN) was upgraded to buy from hold at Stifel Nicolaus.
  • HSBC (HBC) was upgraded to outperform from underperform at CLSA.

Continue reading Analyst Calls: AMD, BKC, BKS, BP, DOW, HBC, LEAP, LLY, MET, PCLN, ...

MetLife Q2 Earnings Beat Estimates

MET logoMetLife (MET - option chain) shares are rising today after the company reported earnings last night, posting a second-quarter profit of $1.5 billion, or $1.84 per share. MET's operating income came in at $1.23 per share on revenue of $12.83 billion. Analysts had forecast a profit of $1.00 per share on revenue of $13.05 billion. If you think that the stock won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on MET.

MET opened this morning at $41.25. So far today the stock has hit a low of $40.50 and a high of $47.75. As of 12:10, MET is trading at $41.95 up $1.75 (4.3%). The chart for MET looks bullish and S&P gives MET a positive 4 STARS (out of 5) buy ranking.

Continue reading MetLife Q2 Earnings Beat Estimates

Serious Money: Buffett Going Global -- Part 5

To continue the saga of what might be on Warren Buffett's foreign wish list, consider the current holdings of Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A/BRK.B), the largest of which is insurance. The insurance industry has been hard hit by the economy, but it also has the greatest potential to rebound of any industry. Insurance companies have huge cash flow and a large float (mandated by government regulation) that can be used for investments. This has been a major contributing factor in Buffett's success.

Unlike the construction, automobile or financial sectors that have been met with an economic tidal wave that destroyed demand, there is no lack of demand in the insurance industry. The insurance companies have been hurt by the shrinking of their investment portfolios more than loss of demand or even claims, accepting companies that wrote swaps, like American International Group (AIG).

When next "my pal Warren" invests abroad he may not have to go very far.

Continue reading Serious Money: Buffett Going Global -- Part 5

The Week in Preview: Eye on Conoco, Texas Instruments, MetLife, Ford and More

earnings expectationsBy and large, earnings expectations remain high as earnings season rolls on this week. Analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters expect double-digit annual earnings growth from Avon (AVP), Kellogg (K) and Whirlpool (WHR) to Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME), DuPont (DD) and Northrop Grumman (NOC).

Big Oil steps into the earnings spotlight this week as well. Wall Street is anticipating big profit growth from BP (BP), Chevron (CVX), ConocoPhillips (COP), which we look at more closely below, Exxon Mobil (XOM) and Royal Dutch Shell (RDS.A), as well as from Apache (APA) and Occidental (OXY). Even Hess (HES) is forecast to have swung to a profit from last year's net loss.

Continue reading The Week in Preview: Eye on Conoco, Texas Instruments, MetLife, Ford and More

U.S. Insurers Addicted to Corporate Bonds

In the U.S. alone, insurance companies hold more than $2.2 trillion in corporate debt, having spent 2009 buying bonds at a faster rate than it had in the past five years. As Warren Buffett of Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A) put it, the market was "raining gold." Net purchases of corporate bonds by the U.S. insurance industry jumped to $153 billion last year, most of it in the first quarter, when yields were highest. In 2008, outflows reached $59 billion. In 2004, inflows hit $172 billion.

According to Judy Greffin, Allstate's (ALL) chief investment officer, tells Bloomberg News, "It has paid off very nicely," as evidenced by the 20% growth in Allstate's corporate debt holdings last year, which reached $33.1 billion. She continues, "With the benefit of hindsight, I would have loved to have bought more." Likewise, Buffett indicated that he should have invested more. MetLife (MET) and Prudential Financial (PRU) also benefited from the corporate debt rally, which has helped them recover much of the capital lost from the financial crisis of September 2008.

Continue reading U.S. Insurers Addicted to Corporate Bonds

Before the Bell: Futures Higher Following AIG Deal

U.S. stock futures were only slightly higher Monday morning despite a fresh batch of deal news as investors took a breather from the rally on Friday brought on by nonfarm payroll data that took the Nasdaq to 18-months high.

This morning, however, with no major economic data out, investors are left to ponder the recent AIG deal. American International Group (AIG) said it will sell its overseas life and health insurance unit, Alico, for $15.5 billion to MetLife (MET) -- $6.8 billion in cash, and the rest in stock and equity units. This sale follows last week's sale of AIA to Prudential PLC (PUK), as AIG attempts to repay billions in government aid. The cash portion of the sale will be used to reduce a $47.9 billion investment in AIG by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

Continue reading Before the Bell: Futures Higher Following AIG Deal

MetLife to Spend $15 Billion on AIG Life Division

It looks like American International Group (AIG) has found another $15.5 billion. The insurance company is selling its American Life Insurance Co. division to MetLife (MET) for $6.8 billion in cash and $8.7 billion in equities. Approximately $9 billion from this sale will be used to repay funds provided by the Federal Reserve, totaling $182.3 billion. This follows the announcement of Prudential's $35.5 billion designs on AIG's Asian operations.

Robert Haines, analyst at CreditSights, tells Bloomberg News, "This is a sizeable transaction." He continues, "It demonstrates they're making some tangible progress on their plan to divest assets."

Continue reading MetLife to Spend $15 Billion on AIG Life Division

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Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA+6.5112,890.46
NASDAQ+11.372,927.23
S&P 500+1.991,351.95

Last updated: February 10, 2012: 02:55 AM

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