The New York Timesreports that Altria Group (NYSE: MO) "is in advanced talks to buy UST (NYSE: UST), the maker of the popular Skoal and Copenhagen smokeless tobacco brands, for more than $10 billion." Investors are reacting positively to the news, sending Altria shares over 1% higher.
Since spinning off Philip Morris International (NYSE: PMI) in March, Altria expected to experience sales decline. U.S. cigarette industry has been on the decline for years and Phillip Morris USA indeed saw an adjusted 3.6% drop in sales last year. The company has projected the trend will continue and cigarette sales volume to fall between 2.5% to 3% in the U.S. over the next few years. The reasons are knows: concerns about health, smoking bans and price increases. Altria has tried and failed to create its Marlboro brand smokeless tobacco products and has also pulled the plug on Marlboro Ultra Smooth, which despite using better filters didn't see higher consumer acceptance.
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TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says we're destroying huge amounts of capital, and investors are sick of it.
No big mergers and acquisitions (although my fingers are crossed about Altria (NYSE: MO) (Cramer's Take), because MO needs growth and UST's (NYSE: UST) (Cramer's Take) really good). No initial public offerings of any consequence since Visa (NYSE: V) (Cramer's Take) despite a huge queue of private-to-go-public deals. No private-equity deals despite incredibly low valuations, valuations so minuscule that deals would have been done at gigantic premiums from here and still be much less expensive than they were. No threatening stakes by swashbuckling hedge funds. No new huge buybacks or dividend boosts, save CenturyTel (NYSE: CTL) (Cramer's Take), not that anyone cared about that one.
No nothin'.
It is an amazing time. It is the first week of an admittedly almost always bad month, but that's almost always because we are up going into September and funds want to lock in good gains.
UST (NYSE: UST) is recently trading at $62.80 in pre-open trading, above its close of $54. Altria Group (NYSE: MO) is close to acquiring UST in a deal worth more than $10 billion, the New York Times reported. UST September option implied volatility is at 39; October is at 35 above its 26-week average of 27 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.
ScanDisk (NASDAQ: SNDK) is recently trading at $17.49 in pre-open trading, above its close of $13.46. Samsung Electronics said it is looking at various ways of tying up with SNDK. SNDK, a supplier of flash storage cards says "SNDK periodically has conversations with multiple parties, including Samsung, regarding a variety of potential business opportunities. We evaluate all of these opportunities, but maintain a policy of not commenting on market rumors or speculation," SNDK September option implied volatility of 64 is above its 26-week average of 59 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movements.
Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com
U.S. stock futures are pointing to further declines following a rough session where the Dow plunged 344 points and ahead of the jobs report mostly feared to show weakness in the labor market. Non-farm payroll is expected to show a job loss of 75,000 but the unemployment remain unchanged. Meanwhile, international markets sank following U.S. markets. Also affecting mood this morning is Goldman's call to sell Merrill Lynch.
Goldman Sachs downgraded Merrill Lynch & Co. (NYSE: MER) to Sell from Neutral and added the firm to its conviction sell list. MER stock is plunging 6.6% in pre-market trading. Goldman said valuation and the likelihood of further write-downs are the reasons. Goldman also lowered its third-quarter EPS forecast to a loss of $5.75 a share.
SanDisk (NASDAQ: SNDK) shares are shooting up 26% in pre-market trading after Samsung Electronics said it may buy the flash memory maker. There are no concrete announcements or details as to price yet.
And at Boeing (NYSE: BA), the company continues to negotiate with labor leaders to avert an expensive strike it cannot afford. Negotiators and mediators are trying to work to avert the strike voted for by the union during the 48 hour extension.
TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says intra-quarter signs that all was well were far off the mark.
Dell (NASDAQ: DELL) (Cramer's Take) totally fooled us. Throughout the quarter, we heard rumblings that things were just right.
Instead, Dell gave us a quarter that reminds us that the body language in tech has become meaningless. Never forget that you can only trust these guys on the day they report, and that report -- with its depictions of a slowdown across all geographies -- made me want to go out and pick up some Altria (NYSE: MO) (Cramer's Take).
The Dell report reminds me of Nordson (NASDAQ: NDSN) (Cramer's Take), another company that has made you feel all rosy about the international markets. But with that industrial play, it was only Europe that was bad.
U.S. stock futures were mixed Thursday morning ahead of the government preliminary report of U.S. second-quarter gross domestic product to be released at 8:30 a.m. EDT. Compare to the first quarter, where GDP grew at an annual rate of 1%, analysts are expecting an annual growth rate in the second quarter of 2.3% according to Briefing.com. Another wave of earnings will also wash Wall Street over this morning, while it's still digesting Wednesday's ones. The market will likely take a clearer direction once GDP is out.
[Update: GDP grew at a 1.9% pace in the second quarter came in well short of the 2.3% forecast. Futures are declining on economy and the XOM miss. Wall Street will likely open significantly lower.]
Reporting/reported this morning:
Exxon Mobil (NYSE: XOM) is expected to report second-quarter earnings before the open. If ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP) and BP (NYSE: BP) results are any indication, XOM will likely post massive profits thanks to oil's skyrocketing prices and even break the record it has set for largest profit by a U.S. company. Analyst on average expect Exxon Mobil to earn $2.52 a share on revenue of $144 billion, according to a survey by Thomson Financial.
MasterCard Inc. (NYSE: MA) is expected to report earnings of $2.02 per share.
Kellog (NYSE: K) is expected to post earnings of 81 cents per shares.
"Any further market weakness creates creates another opportunity to acquire some outstanding stocks," suggests Kelley Wright, noted for his focus on blue chip, dividend-paying stocks.
In his Investment Quality Trends newsletter, he looks at the benefits of keeping a long-term focus, the value of dividend districutions to an investor's long-term returns, and his current "timely ten" picks for conservative investor.
"The cash dividend for the Dow is $322.40. One year ago the dividend was $284.06. Amidst all the turmoil in the markets and the economy something must be going right with the Dow 30 companies because the dividend is ever climbing.
"Dividends, as we all know, can only come from the reality of earnings; you can't pay what you don't have. The dividend yield on the Dow is currently 2.66%, which represents an 11% downside to a 3.0% yield and the historically repetitive area of Undervalue.
"Will the Average make it down to that level? No one knows but that isn't the point. At current levels the upside is FAR greater, particularly in many of the stocks in our Undervalued area.
BCE Inc. (NYSE: BCE) shares are jumping over 10% in premarket trading after Canada's Supreme Court overturned a Quebec Court decision, clearing the way for the $52 billion leveraged buyout by Ontario Teachers' Pension Plan and U.S. private equity firms. The buyers might still negotiate the price down though.
Halliburton (NYSE: HAL) withdrew a $3.6 billion offer for Britain's Expro International after the U.K. oil services firm stuck by a smaller bid from a private-equity consortium.
Some analyst calls this morning:
J.C. Penney Co. (NYSE: JCP) was upgraded by Deutsche Bank to Buy from Hold and the price target upped to $46 from $45.
Motorola Inc. (NYSE: MOT) was downgraded by Piper Jaffray to Sell from Neutral on continued weakness in North American market. The target price was cut to $7 from $9.75. Shares are down over 2% in premarket trading.
First Solar (NYSE: FSLR) price target was upped at Lehman Brothers from $280 to $335. Shares are up over 2.5% in premarket trading.
Gather around the campfire and let me tell you such scary stories Jason's mask would fail to impress you after that.
Of course, the theme that runs in the background of these scary stories is the state of the economy in the U.S., from the housing slump, inflation and soft labor markets to weak dollar, excessive government spending and increasing national debt load and trade gap.
1. Exxon Mobil and Oil
So scariest of all stories is oil. With prices reaching new records nearly daily, gas prices have also zoomed higher, crossing the $4 a gallon mark. Why, then, is Exxon Mobil (NYSE: XOM) exiting the retail gas business. To be sure, BP (NYSE: BP) and ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP) have either indicated taking such measures or have taken them already. Apparently, gas prices haven't been rising fast enough to keep pace, causing margins to narrow and for cents-earned-per-gallon to be dismal.
One would then think it's a good move by Exxon and the other oil giants to get out of the retail gas business, but I have questions. First, it's alarming that companies with revenues in the hundreds of billions of dollar look for ways to make even more money (even if YTD XOM is down 6.4%). Second, and most important, what could it mean for the consumer? As Doug McIntyre suggested, would the price of gas at the pump increase even more after the sale to private owners than when it was sold under Exxon? Scary indeed.
The history of General Foods can be traced back to the Postum Cereal Company, founded by Charles William Post, inventor of Postum and Grape Nuts, in 1895. Wall Street player E.F. Hutton in time became the chairman, and he initiated a series of acquisitions beginning in 1925: Jell-O, Minute Tapioca, Log Cabin, Hellmann, Calumet Baking Powder, and Birdseye. It was after the Birdseye acquisition in 1929 that the food conglomerate became General Foods.
Among General Foods' many product offerings were Sanka decaffinated coffee and the astronaut's favorite, Tang. General Foods also continued to make acquisitions, including the makers of Kool-Aid in 1953, the Burger Chef restaurant chain in 1968, and Oscar Mayer in 1981.
But late in 1985, General Foods was itself acquired by Philip Morris Cos., which later became Altria Group (NYSE: MO), in the largest non-oil acquisition to date. When Philip Morris acquired Kraft in 1988, the two food companies were merged. In 2007, Altria spun off Kraft Foods (NYSE: KFT), which now owns such former General Foods brands as Jell-O, Kool-Aid, and Maxwell House coffee. And it was announced in late 2007 that Post Cereals, including Grape Nuts, would be sold to Ralcorp Holdings (NYSE: RAH).
Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) has managed to cover yet another area of the globe. TeliaSonera AB, Sweden's largest telephone company, said it will start selling the iPhone later this year in countries in the Nordic and Baltic region: Sweden, Norway, Denmark, Finland, Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia.
General Motors Corp. (NYSE: GM), which saw its shares reaching 1982 levels Friday, also saw its shares downgraded by Citigroup from Buy to Hold and cut his price target to $21 from $32. The analyst said "the automaker will likely burn through $7 billion in cash through 2009 and may need to raise more capital."
UBS (NYSE: UBS) shares are plunging 14% in premarket trading after on Monday warned it may record further losses on real estate holdings outside the U.S. It seeks nearly $16 billion from shareholders to repair its balance sheet.
Altria (NYSE: MO) shares are trading higher today, getting a boost from news that menthol is getting special protection in a new bill as Congress attempts to regulate the tobacco industry. Menthol brands, which make up about one-fourth of the US tobacco output, is getting an exemption from a ban on cigarette flavoring like cinnamon and clove. If you think that the stock won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on MO.
After hitting a one-year high of $79.59 in January, the stock spun-off Phillip Morris International (NYSE: PM) in March and hit a one-year low of $19.95 early this month. MO opened this morning at $21.57. So far today the stock has hit a low of $21.50 and a high of $21.94. As of 1:00, MO is trading at $21.85, up $0.27 (1.2%). The chart for MO looks bearish and steady, while S&P gives the stock its highest 4 Stars (out of 5) strong buy rating.
For a bullish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a September bull-put credit spread below the $20 range. A bull-put credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of put options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make a 19.0% return in just four and a half months as long as MO is above $20 at September expiration. Altria would have to fall by more than 20% before we would start to lose money. Learn more about this type of trade here.
Shares of D.R. Horton Inc. (NYSE: DHI), the largest U.S. home builder, were plunging in premarket after the company reported a large second quarter loss this morning. Its quarterly numbers were dragged down by the slumping housing market which forced the homebuilder to take hefty charges to write down the value of its inventory.
The company reported a loss of $1.31 billion, or $4.14 per share . The income figures were definitely nothing to cheer about. During its second quarter last year, the company had a profit of $51.7 million, or 16 cents per share, but that number was slashed this quarter as the homebuilder took pretax write-down charges of $834.1 million.
Wall Street analysts expected the company to have a quarterly loss of "only" 39 cents per share. So with the actual numbers, D.R. Horton is looking for a pretty bad day in today's session.
The New York Times reports that Altria Group (NYSE: MO) "is in advanced talks to buy UST (NYSE: UST), the maker of the popular Skoal and Copenhagen smokeless tobacco brands, for more than $10 billion." Investors are reacting positively to the news, sending Altria shares over 1% higher. 
TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says we're destroying huge amounts of capital, and investors are sick of it. 
UST
U.S. stock futures are pointing to further declines following a rough session where the Dow plunged 344 points and ahead of the jobs report mostly feared to show weakness in the labor market. Non-farm payroll is expected to show a job loss of 75,000 but the unemployment remain unchanged. Meanwhile, 
Here are some highlights from this past week's 
"Any further market weakness creates creates another opportunity to acquire some outstanding stocks," suggests 
Gather around the campfire and let me tell you such scary stories Jason's mask would fail to impress you after that.
This post is part of a series on some of the most memorable 
Before the bell: Futures mixed after break, ahead of data
Shares of 
Comfort Zone Investing: Oil's down, which is a start, but not good enough
Stocks have their worst week in six years
Why haven't the Republicans said much about the economy?
