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Serious Money: Cheapest Stocks Yet -- From 35 to 26

Is the market overpriced? Maybe it is cheap, or perhaps it is fairly valued. This is the third in a series examining the issue. Still, it has been my contention that it does not make any difference because no matter how the market is valued as a whole, there are plenty of cheap stocks out there to accommodate a large amount of capital allocation even this deep into a bull run.

If you would like to follow along from the beginning, the initial post screened stocks for lower than market average P/E ratios: Serious Money: Market Looks Cheap to Me -- 35 Stocks. In the second installment, I looked at yield and PEG ratios: Serious Money: Still Cheap Market -- 35 Stocks + Yields & Growth.

Continue reading Serious Money: Cheapest Stocks Yet -- From 35 to 26

Serious Money: Market Looks Cheap to Me -- 35 Stocks

We frequently receive comments that the market is overpriced. Recently one of our active readers commented that the market P/E was 30, which it's not. The actual rate (S&P forecast) has been even higher at times due to the volatile market.

The average should trend closer to the long term P/E of 15.7 in the next few years. However, I have reviewed companies often covered on our site and come up with a list of 35 stocks that have price-to-earning ratios below the long-term average already. I think there are dozens of bargains regardless of the status of the overall market.

Continue reading Serious Money: Market Looks Cheap to Me -- 35 Stocks

Earnings Highlights: Aetna, Alcoa, Chevron, Intel, JPMorgan, KB Home, Sealy ...

Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage on BloggingStocks:

  • Aetna Inc. (AET) shares declined after the insurer issued a surprise earnings warning for 2010.
  • Alcoa Inc. (AA) swung to a smaller-than-expected Q4 profit even as revenue declined, sending shares lower.
  • Carter's Inc. (CRI) posted strong Q3 earnings that topped estimates and same-store sales growth.
  • Chevron Corp. (CVX) shares declined slightly after the company issued a surprise earnings warning.
  • Con-Way Inc. (CNW) was downgraded due in part to concerns about near-term earnings.

Continue reading Earnings Highlights: Aetna, Alcoa, Chevron, Intel, JPMorgan, KB Home, Sealy ...

Merck Scores an Upgrade from Credit Suisse

Earlier this morning, Credit Suisse issued an upgrade for pharmaceutical firm Merck (MRK), upping the company to outperform from neutral. The brokerage noted that MRK's long-term view is positive thanks to "new interest to come from the pipeline."

Credit Suisse also gave other reasons for the move, including synergies, stronger-than-expected earnings, and potential valuation growth. The upgrade was accompanied by a target price elevation to $47 from $35. In pre-market action, MRK was higher thanks to the news.

Continue reading Merck Scores an Upgrade from Credit Suisse

Options Update: Pfizer, Bristol-Meyers and Merck volatility low

Pfizer (PFE) closed at $18.49. December and January option implied volatility is at 27, March is at 28, versus its 26-week average of 32, according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price movement.

Bristol-Myers (BMY) closed at $25.14. Overall option implied volatility of 25 is below its 26-month average of 28, according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price movement.

Merck (MRK) closed at $36.70. December option implied volatility is at 27, January is at 28, below its 26-week average of 31, according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price movement.

Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

Cramer on BloggingStocks: Sanofi has lots of upside catalysts

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says it looks like the patent worries aren't so dire after all.

Now that we see that health care reform is not going to bring price caps or socialization of medicine, we are beginning to see some real expansion in the drug stocks, including Merck (MRK) (Cramer's Take), Bristol-Myers (BMY) (Cramer's Take) and Lilly (LLY) (Cramer's Take). But there is one drug stock that is continually met with skepticism -- Sanofi Aventis (SNY) (Cramer's Take), the French vaccine and pharmaceutical maker run by Christian Viehbacher. The resistance is obvious, as his biggest two drugs are coming off patent very soon, and his hope is that by 2013 the company might again reach 2008 levels.

Sounds like there's no reason to buy this one. Sounds like its 4% dividend isn't safe.

Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: Sanofi has lots of upside catalysts

Chasing Value: Ten stocks for 2010 -- Part 2

The clock is ticking away the time before the year ends and I have only begun to sort out the possibilities. In Part 1 of this series, I discussed breaking up my potential picks into three categories: contender, on the fence, and out of the running until the 10 stocks have been identified.

Four contenders have been considered so far: American Eagle Outfitters (AEO), Anadarko Petroleum (APC), Anglo American ADR (AAUKY) and Diageo plc (DEO).

Six more are included in today's review: EZCorp Inc. (EZPW), General Electric Company (GE), Wells Fargo & Company (WFC), Annaly Capital Management ( NLY), Intuitive Surgical Inc (ISRG) plus Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B). These include the remaining five from 2009 and one more familiar to most investors.

Continue reading Chasing Value: Ten stocks for 2010 -- Part 2

Quick opinions on some quarterly earnings: AXP, MRK, MCD, NYT, UP ...

A lot of earnings reports were issued last week. The market was busy sorting them all out. I'm going to take a fast look at several of the issuing companies.

American Express (NYSE: AXP): Don't leave home without it. Good advice for the card, perhaps, but what about the company? Should your portfolio leave home and forget this stock? I'd say so. It's not that American Express lost the earnings game. On the contrary, Bloomberg reported a beat. American Express earned 44 cents per share from continuing operations, adjusted. This was six pennies ahead of forecasts. Okay, I applaud such performance. And shares are way off the single-digit 52-week low. Thing is, I'm in love with another card business. Visa (NYSE: V). As I've stated before, I enjoy the beauty of Visa's lower-risk model. It doesn't have to put up with loan risk. Yes, the situation at American Express might be improving, but I'm not going to buy this one.

Continue reading Quick opinions on some quarterly earnings: AXP, MRK, MCD, NYT, UP ...

Where should granny put $50,000?

One of my wonderful friends, Ms. P, asked me for some guidance on how she might allocate $50,000 currently earning peanuts in a money market account. Though she is decades from becoming a grandmother, after a brief discussion about her financial parameters, it became clear to me that she was looking for a "granny fund."

In reality, my recommendations would be suitable, and perhaps desirable, for many passive investors as well.

The $50,000 is a portion of money Ms. P has set aside to purchase a home, which might happen in six months, but could also be pushed out further, depending on the economy and her situation. Basically, she wants to cover all her bases because she might need the money at any time and does not want to be caught short, while at the same time she would like to generate some revenue without taking any big risks.

Continue reading Where should granny put $50,000?

Dogs of the Dow: A look at five high yielders

"The Dogs of the Dow strategy has a long-term history of outperforming the Dow Jones average," notes technical expert Gerald Appel.

In his Systems & Forecasts, he explains, "The theory is that the highest yielding stocks are undervalued and should have the greatest change of appreciating." Here, he reviews the five highest yielders.

"In calculating a formal track record for the strategy, dividend yields are ranked on the last trading day of each year. However, there is no reason why you are limited to ranking stocks only at the end of the year.

"The current market climate appears favorable for using this strategy to garner investment income, since market risk appears below normal and investment income is getting hard to come by.

Continue reading Dogs of the Dow: A look at five high yielders

Options Update: Merck and Pfizer volatility low into pending acquisitions

Merck (NYSE: MRK) closed at $32.68. The Schering-Plough (NYSE: SGP) and Merck merger is expected to close before year end. SGP shareholders will receive 0.5767 shares and $10.50 in cash for each share of SGP. MRK October and January option implied volatility of 31 is below its 26-week average of 37, according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price movement.

Pfizer (NYSE: PFE) closed at $16.77.Pfizer is expected to close on the acquisition of Wyeth (NYSE: WYE) for $33 in cash and 0.985 of a share of Pfizer by the end of 2009. PFE October option implied volatility is at 26, December is at 31; below its 26-week average of 36, according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price movement.

Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

Bellwether stock #8: Merck (MRK)

bellwether stocks merckAlthough earnings for Merck (NYSE: MRK) were down in the last quarter, the stock is gaining momentum.

The pharmaceutical giant reported a 3% decrease in sales to $5.9 billion from $6.05 billion in the year-earlier period. Earnings were $1.56 billion or 74 cents per share, compared with $1.77 billion or 82 cents per share in the same quarter a year ago.

A strong dollar and lower sales for cholesterol and vaccine drugs contributed to Merck's decline this quarter. But investors were cheered by the fact that Merck reaffirmed its annual earnings forecast of $2.84 to $3.09 per share.

Continue reading Bellwether stock #8: Merck (MRK)

The real earnings story behind 10 bellwether stocks

bellwether stocksAlthough the headlines are screaming about how companies are beating their earnings estimates, little newsprint is being devoted to this quarter's real story.

That story is that revenues for many corporations are way down year over year, and more importantly, their top-line revenues are often coming in below Street estimates.

To be certain, there have been some real success stories so far in Q2, and we'll be talking about some of those in a moment. Moreover, it is always a good sign when companies beat their earnings estimates.

Continue reading The real earnings story behind 10 bellwether stocks

Cramer on BloggingStocks: Copper inventory build threatens the cyclicals

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says the plunge in China overnight is being blamed on the industrial metal, so expect some carry-over.

It turns out copper was the metric. Drats, I thought it was the dollar or oil. I thought we were supposed to buy the cyclicals on earnings being better than expected. I thought we might be buying the minerals and the steels and the oils off the morning proxy of the Baltic Freight Index, known as the Baltic Fright Index in the days when it kept going down, and kept us out of the Freeports (NYSE: FCX) (Cramer's Take) and Vales (NASDAQ: VALE) (Cramer's Take) and Union Pacifics (NYSE: UNP) (Cramer's Take) and U.S. Steels (NYSE: X) (Cramer's Take).

Silly me.

Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: Copper inventory build threatens the cyclicals

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Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA+150.2510,058.64
NASDAQ+24.822,150.87
S&P 500+13.781,070.52

Last updated: February 09, 2010: 10:24 PM

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