Once again investors get left holding the bag.

Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) shareholders should breathe a sigh of relief for not overpaying for an internet search company, Yahoo (NASDAQ: YHOO) where CEO Jerry Yang let his ego get in the way of handsome profits. Yang rejected the $47.5 billion offer that Microsoft put on the table. Why? Because he thought the company is worth more than $50 billion. As reported by the AP: "Clearly there's frustration," said Darren Chervitz, co-manager of the Jacob Internet Fund, which owns Yahoo stock. "I am not even sure if Yahoo cares about its shareholders because they didn't show much regard for shareholders' best interests in this process."

Yang actually thinks that a more sophisticated advertising platform is the secret sauce needed to produce a spike in revenue growth. Keep in mind that revenue grew by only 12% last year, and there is no indication that that number is going to be much higher in '08. Yang thinks that he will be able to grow revenue's by 25 percent in 2009 and 2010. Uh Huh!

I think that today's selloff in Yahoo stock will be an indication of what the public thinks of Yang's plan.

Could it be that in the long run he will be proved correct? I doubt it but only time will tell.

Aaron Katsman is the lead Portfolio Manager and Managing Director of America Israel Investment Associates, LLC. and Senior Editor of IsraelNewsletter.com. DISCLOSURE: Writer's fund has no position in any stock mentioned, as of 5/5/08.

This month saw great improvement after last month's disaster. Having to conclude my findings on a specific month end day, or any day, depending on the news, sometimes distorts results. For example news on March 31 sent the market down and on April first my picks shot up an unusual amount; hopefully the trend will continue.

My riskiest stock pick Newcastle Investment Corp (NYSE: NCT) was down the most in March but recovered about 35% of the loss in April leaving Valero Energy Corp. (NYSE: VLO) the dubious honor of being my worst performer, down over 30% in the first four months of the year.

April showed improvement as many companies reported positive earnings reports or beat expectations.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained some ground in April as did the Standard & Poor's 500 Index, and the technology heavy NASDAQ Composite Index was up with stocks like Apple, Inc (NASDAQ: AAPL) and Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG) improving significantly on very strong reports. Google is up over 25%.

Most of my picks improved. Higher food prices no doubt helped Bunge Limited (NYSE: BG) which recaptured losses moving up 23% from its recent bottom. My two winners Raytheon Co. (NYSE: RTN), the high tech defense contractor, and Reliance Steel & Aluminum (NYSE: RS) were joined by a third, Anglo American plc (ADR) (NASDAQ: AAUK) which had a 10% swing entering positive territory.

In the stock market, there are the indexes of consequence.

Certainly, the closely-watched Dow Jones Industrial Average is perhaps the world's best-known stock market index, as it serves as an indicator of both U.S. economic conditions, and the nation's economic prospects, 6-9 months ahead.

Market participants also closely monitor the S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite, and the Russell 2000, among other averages.

For those who are advocates of technical analysis, including yours truly, the DJIA's 50-day moving average and 200-day moving average, also are important, among other technical measures.

It was June 7, 2006 when I set up a tracking portfolio for our great eight stocks. AOL Money & Finance started BloggingStocks with a focus on these companies based on investor interest. Today, they still stimulate a lot of interest, and comments.

The following share prices are from the original tracking date now updated to last Friday's close, April 11, 2008. Earnings season is upon us again. The Iraq war is still in the headlines, as are the presidential elections, energy prices, recession fears and our latest calamity -- the shameful Washington/Wall Street axis of financial evil. Here are the BloggingStocks eight:

Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) was $60.00 and is up to $147.14 gaining 145%.

eBay (NASDAQ: EBAY) was $32.00 and is down to $30.87 losing 3.35%.

General Electric (NYSE: GE) was $34.50 and is down to $32.05 losing 7.1%.

Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG) was $380.00 and is up to $457.45 gaining 20.38%.

Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) was $22.50 and is up to $28.28 gaining 25.69%.

Time Warner (NYSE: TWX) was $17.50 and is down to $14.27 losing 18.46%.

Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT) was $47.00 and is up to $54.80 gaining 16.6%.

Yahoo Inc. (NASDAQ: YHOO) was $31.00 and is down to $28.34 losing 8.58%.

So after 22 months we find four stocks are up and four stocks are down. Apple is the clear winner and remains the company to watch going forward. New trend-setting products are introduced regularly and few companies can match its inventiveness or marketing genius. Steve Jobs has hit a grand slam. Microsoft, the perennial cash generating machine, came in second with very strong results given the current state of the economy.

Among the surprises and the one I have taken the most flack for is that Google has not done very well in my eyes. It has been highly volatile and makes for a good trading stock, but if you add the dividend of 3.48% to Wal-Marts appreciation you have about the same growth with one tenth the downside risk.

eBay and GE are remarkable for having achieved nothing over our review period, and although they are down now I consider them break-even investments because they have been trading a few bucks higher and a few lower the entire period. Lots of promise, little results.

Lastly, Time Warner and Yahoo! are big disappointments. Time Warner (owner of BloggingStocks) has a new CEO and change is in the air. Yahoo! is in Microsoft's cross-hairs and looks like it will be something else in a few months. Ironically the two companies are in the midst of discussions to find a way to help each other out of their stagnation. I hope they succeed. Both have great franchises that are struggling to gain traction. Both must contend with Google and Microsoft.

Going forward Apple may be the best bet and Microsoft will probably continue to mint money. The others may just tread water for a while.

Sheldon Liber is the CEO of a small private investment company and the principal for design and research at an architecture & planning firm. He writes the columns Chasing Value and Serious Money. Disclosure: I own shares of EBAY, and TWX.

Stocks started out in slightly positive territory on what appeared to be more good news out of a major institution. Then oil inventories showed an unexpected decline, sending oil up up over $2.00 per barrel to $110.56 and later even above $112. Throw in a couple of weak earnings reports and the fears that earnings season is going to be tough, and the bears got to rule today.

Below are today's unofficial closing levels for major US index levels:

Dow: 12,328.49, down 0.38%; Nasdaq 2,322.12, down 1.13%; S&P 1354.56, down 0.8%

Full 52-Week Lows.

Bed Bath & Beyond, Inc. (NASDAQ: BBBY) saw a sharp drop today, and that was before the earnings news was out after the close. A Piper Jaffray downgrade led to the sharp drop today.

Citigroup, Inc. (NYSE: C) proved to be a typical example of what is becoming redundant. The company lined up a sale of $12 billion of dollars worth of leveraged loans for some 90 cents on the dollar.

At each century mark I like to post something special to note the occasion. This is my 600th post since lead editor Amey Stone asked me to join her original blogging team. That was a little over two years ago and I must say, it has been a fascinating experience from atop AOL's giant soap box.

Although investors have had to withstand a tremendous amount of turmoil in the market place, and not just the stock market, there is much to report that is very positive on this Good Friday. So, in no particular order I give you the following to consider.

• The stock market closed up yesterday, and for the week, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average settling in at 12,361.32, up 261.66. The NASDAQ closed at 2,258.11, up 48.15 and the S&P 500 Index finished at 1,329.51 up 31.09.
• The stock market being up at all after so much bad news and given the longer weekend is a miracle. I would have thought traders would have wanted to be out of the market for the stretch. The Dow is above 12,000 and all things considered that is good.
• News from Iraq shows signs of improvement and while Osama bin Laden may still be issuing hateful video tapes, he is not doing so from a five-star hotel and is likely to perish in the rubble of his hiding place.
• Crude oil reached an all-time high price this week, but by Thursday had retreated more than 10% dropping below $100 per barrel. The reason for the retreat was fear about a recession, but I think I will take the lower prices as a positive regardless of the reason.
• We have a vibrant presidential campaign that has stimulated interest among young and old alike with three candidates each offering something new.
• In sports, March Madness is upon us and the NBA play-offs are just around the corner. The boys of summer have started to loosen their limbs for the long stretch to October and the steroid noise has settled down to a whisper, at least for now.
• The majority of economists now seem to believe we are in a recession. That is a good thing because we need capitulation before we can improve. I do not think we will hear the president capitulate, but maybe he has and just can't bring himself to use the word.
• Spring is here and the days are brighter longer.
• Even though many industries have seen a downturn in business, many are still booming.
• The devalued dollar has had the predictable effect of improving our trade imbalances.
• Unemployment is still relatively low.
• AOL finally got it's much improved stock section out of beta test mode this week, now up and running.
• Interest rate cuts (which I have my doubts about) are serving to stabilize financial markets. I think that there will be bad news from the financial markets for the rest of the year, but very little will shock us any more. If the shock effect is gone -- implied by the up market yesterday and to my great surprise last Monday, than we may have turmoil and bad news but after a few more gyrations the stock market will move up.

Among the many good things to report, there is value in the market among many sectors. There are many stocks on my shopping list worth buying. These I will leave for post 601...

Have a GOOD FRIDAY!

Sheldon Liber is the CEO of a small private investment company and the design and research principal for an architecture and planning firm. He writes Chasing Value and Serious Money columns.

The glow is coming off yesterday's huge Fed rate cut. Just as I expected, the market gave back much of yesterday's huge gains.

Investors sent the Dow Jones industrial average down 293 points, or 2.36%, to 12,099.66, while the Nasdaq Composite Index fell 58.30, or 2.57%, to 2,209.66 and the S&P 500 tumbled 32.32, or 2.43%, to 1298.42. Market watchers, who were jubilant yesterday, were downright depressed today.

"This whole market is driven by fear right now,'' James Gaul, a portfolio manager at Boston Advisors LLC told Bloomberg News. "Investors are thinking more and more this will be a long and drawn out recession, and that pulls down commodity prices and energy prices.''

"Clearly there is fear. I would say the needle is pointing more toward fear than greed right now," said
George Shipp, chief investment officer at Scott & Stringfellow, in an interview with the Associated Press.

O.K, we get the picture. People are scared. Fear rules the day.

That's the case for now, but the funny thing is this fear will not last. The slightest good news will send the market skyward yet again.

You can get whiplash watching this market rise and fall.

We've been on the phone a lot with investors over the past few weeks. I don't know about you but from where we sit, there is a lot of fear in the market. Investors are worried: worried about what's going to be, how low the markets can go, how the dollar will continue to drop, inflation, etc. There's what to worry about.

But, there is a counter-Chicken Little story setting up behind the backdrop of fear. Bloomberg has an interesting piece out this morning entitled "Buy Signals Abound in U.S. Stocks Shadowed by 1970s". Bloomberg reporters draw comparisons with the almost 20% drop in the S&P 500 (Amex: SPY) we've seen since the October highs.

So, are things any different this time?

Well, for one, Bloomberg claims companies in the S&P 500 are trading at their cheapest levels in more than 18 years to forecasted profits. That means investors believe that forecasted profits are going to fall way short of projections. If the world doesn't come to an end, Bloomberg thinks there may be an opportunity here.

Secondly, valuations versus 10 year Treasuries are also lowest in at least two decades.

Investors don't want to hold stocks. I can't blame them. Anyone who's been trying to pick up some value has probably seen their trades go against them.

It was looking like we were about to have a good day at about 8:35 EST this morning after seeing flat CPI. But the day ended up long enough and bad that it feels like that CPI report came out a week ago because it was such a long day.

But today was all about Bear Stearns (NYSE: BSC), and you've already heard the news. If you have ever wondered what a run on the bank looks like and what a major institution on verge of implosion looks like, you just saw it today. Bear Stearns closed down over 45% to $30.85 on over 185 million shares. Free marketeers don't want a bailout.

It's bad enough out there that even someone out of the National Bureau of Economic Research is worried about a severe recession. If you want any good news on the day, it would be that the market didn't close on lows and it wasn't widespread panic falling out into every sector.

• DJIA 11,951.09 (-194.65; -1.60%)
• S&P500 1,288.14 (-27.34; -2.08%)
• NASDAQ 2,212.49 (-51.12; -2.26%)
• 10YR-TBond 3.4210% (-0.113%)
• The VIX closed at 31.16, up 3.87
• List of 52-week lows was a monster long list.

There has been plenty of banter back and forth as to whether the Federal Reserve had lost some of its gusto. Can it have a significant impact given the massive scale of the global economy? Measured by the reaction of Wall Street investors today, the answer is a resounding yes.

Wall Street has finally found a reason for a big rally. The Federal Reserve plans to pump $200 billion into the financial markets to help ease the strain from the credit crisis. The Dow Jones industrial average is up about 416 points at the 12,156 level. That's the index's biggest one-day point gain since July 24, 2002. The NASDAQ closed up 86.42 to 2,255.76 and the S&P 500 finished the day at 1,320.65 gaining 47.28.

Among some of our more closely watched stocks Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG) rallied to 439.85 +26.23 (+6.34%), Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) climbed 127.39 +7.70 (+6.43%) Microsoft was up 29.30 +1.25 (+4.46%), Amazon.com (NASDAQ: AMZN) rose 67.15 +3.68 (+5.80%), Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) moved up to 163.07 +7.49 (+4.81%), eBay (NASDAQ: EBAY) grew to 26.41 +0.69 (+2.68%), and General Electric (NYSE: GE) was up to 33.40 +1.70 (+5.36%).

Todays move by the Fed implies they had seen enough data, and stories like Dow below 12,000 -- do I hear 11,000? Yes I do! to be spooked into action. No one knows what tomorrow will bring but at least for today the Fed was Big Time again!

Sheldon Liber is the CEO of a small private investment company and the principal for design and research at an architecture & planning firm. He writes the columns Chasing Value and Serious Money. Disclosure: I own EBAY and do not own any of the other stocks discussed.

Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG) is the champion of search, but you wouldn't know it from its stock price lately. The stock has been clobbered as of late due to some differences of opinion over how to interpret certain data relating to click-throughs the monster search engine has been seeing. While this blogger's opinion is that paid search is probably the last thing to get hit on the advertising side during a recession, it is true that paid search would most likely suffer through an economic downturn.

There is no disagreement, though, over the potential for Google's acquisition of DoubleClick to have a significant impact on the company and on the online ad industry. Google has been working with both the U.S. and EU's antitrust departments to OK the merger. We got the go-ahead in the US in December and today, the EU OK'ed the deal as well.

In allowing the merger to go through, the EU concluded that Google could not successfully employ anti-competitive practices with the presence of viable ad serving competitors, like Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) and Yahoo (NASDAQ: YHOO).

A Morningstar advertisement asking "Is The Market Cheap Yet? We Think It Is" got my attention in a recent issue of Barron's. Promoting its Equity Research service, Morningstar discusses the NASDAQ sell-off this year, stating that in July of 2007 the market was 6% overvalued, but now it is 15% undervalued.

The ad goes on to state that eBay (NASDAQ: EBAY) is trading at a 41% discount to Morningstar's estimate of value and that Cisco Systems (NASDAQ: CSCO) is trading at a 35% discount. At the time, eBay was trading at $28.81, but it closed at $25.72 yesterday making the stock 52.7% undervalued by their measure. Cisco was then $24.94 and last night closed at $23.99, so it is now 38.8% below fair value.

It seems that every day a new ETF is listed with a new twist on an index.

So, for a short history in ETF evolution:

1. First came the market-weight indexed ETFs. These were ETFs that benchmarked themselves to indices like the S&P (AMEX: SPY) or the Nasdaq (NASDAQ: QQQQ).

2. Then, Jeremy Siegel and the WisdomTree (WSDT) team introduced dividend -weighted indices. Instead of giving commensurate weight to the largest companies in an index, these ETFs looked at companies with the highest payouts in terms of dividends. These were shortly followed by earnings-weighted indices and the ETFs that track them.

3. Now, we read on MarketWatch that a new firm named RevenueShares has listed three separate shares: the RevenueShares Large Cap Fund (NYSE: RWL), the RevenueShares Mid Cap Fund (NYSE: RWK), and lastly, you guessed it, the RevenueShares Small Cap Fund (NYSE: RWJ).

Monday marks the 8th anniversary of the NASDAQ reaching its' all time high. I remember the day quite clearly as it was a Friday and I got married on that Sunday. From March 10th 2000 to early Oct. 2002, the NASDAQ dropped about 78%, even with a bit of a comeback over the last five years, the index is still sitting over 55% under the all time high.

In fact since the recent high at the end of October, the index has shed more than 22%. What does all this mean? While we may not see a return to all-time NASDAQ highs for another decade, the index has again gotten very cheap. It could be that the index is setting up for a move to the upside. After all, this past Friday, the NASDAQ easily outperformed the DOW, and I think we are going to start seeing a rotation into technology names.

Tech earnings haven't been to bad. All the pundits will say that with a recession, tech spending will get cut. Go into your nearest Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) store and there are no signs of a recession. Check out the earnings for Research in Motion (NASDAQ: RIMM), things look okay. Heck, Google (NASDAQ: GOOG) is starting to look interesting as a value stock.

It may not happen tomorrow, but for long-term investors, technology maybe a place to think about investing.

Aaron Katsman is the lead Portfolio Manager and Managing Director of America Israel Investment Associates, LLC. and Senior Editor of IsraelNewsletter.com. DISCLOSURE: Writer's fund has no position in any stock mentioned, as of 3/9/08.

People are always looking for the perfect investment that is going to be able to beat the market. I have been intrigued recently with the Ultra EFTs. For some investors Ultra ETF's may be the magic bullet to beat the market over the very long term.

ETF's such as SPY, QQQQ and DIA have become very popular tools for investors to mirror the indexes with minimal fees. The QQQQ has a management fee of 0.40% a real bargain compared to some mutual fund fees. The ETFs do not try to beat the market they try to match the market; but for an investor who has other investments it can be a great vehicle.

Recently, I noticed the ultra ETF and I guess they have been around for a couple of years. Ultra ETFs try to exactly double the market performance. If the market goes up 2% their goal is to go up 4%. On the other hand if the market falls 3% their goal is to fall 6%. No matter what the market does; the ultra EFT is suppose to double it.