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Newmont Mining: For Now, Stand Aside

Newmont Mining (NEM), first discussed here on June 3, 2009 at a price of $46.42, continued to retreat this winter, falling from about $60 to about $51, in bear-hug fashion, hence it's best to stand aside for now.

From a fundamental standpoint, NEM still looks promising. Newmont has the right commodities for globalization's third decade: copper and gold. However, it's not a stock for squeamish or low-risk investors.

Continue reading Newmont Mining: For Now, Stand Aside

Should Freeport Pursue Lundin Mining?

Freeport McMoran Copper (FCX) is a miner of copper, gold and molybdenum. It has operations in North and South America, Indonesia and Africa, and competes with other miners such as the Southern Copper (SCCO), Codelco and Newmont Mining (NEM).

Continue reading Should Freeport Pursue Lundin Mining?

Coverage Launch: $81 Trefis Price Estimate for Newmont Mining

Newmont (NEM) logoNewmont Mining (NEM) is primarily a gold producer with significant assets or operations in the United States, Australia, Peru, Indonesia, Ghana, Canada, New Zealand and Mexico. Newmont Mining competes with other international gold producers like Barrick Gold (ABX), AngloGold Ashanti (AU) and Goldcorp (GG).

Launch of Coverage on Newmont Mining; $80.90 Price Estimate

We recently launched coverage on Newmont Mining with an $80.90 price estimate for the company's stock. Our number stands roughly 35% above market price.

Continue reading Coverage Launch: $81 Trefis Price Estimate for Newmont Mining

Newmont Falls Despite Earnings Beat

Newmont Mining (NEM) logoWhile gold may be in a new bull move, the shares of Newmont Mining (NEM) have been slipping lately. In Thursday morning trading, the stock price was off 2.24% even though the company posted a solid earnings report.

Profits came to $812 million, or $1.61 per share, up from $558 million, or $1.13 per share in the same period a year ago. During this period, revenues increased slightly from $2.52 billion to $2.55 billion.

Continue reading Newmont Falls Despite Earnings Beat

Newmont Mining: Take Advantage of the Bull Market in Copper

Newmont Mining logoNewmont Mining (NEM), first discussed here on June 3, 2009, at a price of $46.42, retreated slightly in late 2010 after pushing through $65, but that may be viewed as opportunity to consider the shares, if you missed the June 2009 entry point.

Newmont has the right commodities for globalization's third decade: copper and gold. However, it's not a stock for squeamish or low-risk investors: Newmont's stock practically defines uptrend volatility. Therefore, if you're looking for a steady, predictable, staircase north, it's probably best to skip NEM.

Continue reading Newmont Mining: Take Advantage of the Bull Market in Copper

Closing Bell: QE2 Follow-On and Obama Compromise (ADBE, AMGN, AAPL, DAL, NEM, QCOM, WFMI)

Stocks discounted a higher jobless claims release on larger issues. Many called today an extension of QE2, but it was a two-part issue. First was Bernanke issuing a defense of QE2 in in an op-ed piece and second was the note from the White House that Obama may compromise on certain Bush tax cut extensions for all income brackets.

Here were today's unofficial closing bell levels:

Dow Jones 11,434.77 +219.64 (1.96%)
S&P 500 1,221.04 +23.08 (1.93%)
Nasdaq 2,577.34 +37.07 (1.46%)

Top Analyst Calls
High P/E Stocks To Watch

Continue reading Closing Bell: QE2 Follow-On and Obama Compromise (ADBE, AMGN, AAPL, DAL, NEM, QCOM, WFMI)

Analyst Calls: BP, EOG, FDO, MOT, MRO, NEM, NOK, ODP, RIMM, TGB ...

Analyst Upgrades

  • Goldman upgraded BP (BP) to buy from neutral.
  • STEC (STEC) was upgraded to buy from hold at Needham.
  • MCG Capital (MCGC) was upgraded to buy from hold at BB&T.
  • Corporate Office (OFC) was upgraded to market perform from underperform at FBR Capital.
  • Citigroup upgraded K-Sea Transportation (KSP) and Post Properties (PPS) to hold from sell.
  • BofA/Merrill upgraded Embraer (ERJ) to buy from underperform.
  • Wilmington Trust (WL) was upgraded to neutral from underperform at Macquarie.
  • Parkway Properties (PKY) was upgraded to hold from sell at Stifel Nicolaus.

Continue reading Analyst Calls: BP, EOG, FDO, MOT, MRO, NEM, NOK, ODP, RIMM, TGB ...

Options Update: Newmont Mining Volatility Flat into Gold Production Outlook

Newmont Mining (NEM) reported Q3 EPS on Nov. 2. Gold is recently down 0.43% to $1,363, according to Bloomberg. Put option implied volatility is at 37, January is at 36, near its 26-week average, according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional price movement.

EXCO Resources (XCO) announced that its Chairman and CEO, Douglas H. Miller, has proposed to purchase all of the outstanding shares of the company for $20.50 per share. November option implied volatility of 31 is below its 26-week average of 41, according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price movement.

Update is by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

Closing Bell: Mixed Day Ahead of Earnings and Unemployment (ANF, BMC, NEM, MAR, PEP)

A decent jobs report this morning was followed by a report that credit keeps shrinking. The markets were up and down today as investors are just seemingly trying to get their ducks in a row ahead of the unemployment and non-Farm Payrolls data, as well as ahead of earnings reports this evening.

Here are today's unofficial closing bell levels:

Dow Jones 10,948.58 -19.07 (-0.17%)
S&P 500 1,158.06 -1.91 (-0.16%)
Nasdaq 2,383.67 +3.01 (0.13%)

Top Analyst Calls
Retail Sales Winners/Losers

Continue reading Closing Bell: Mixed Day Ahead of Earnings and Unemployment (ANF, BMC, NEM, MAR, PEP)

Put Players Flock to Newmont Mining

Newmont (NEM) logoPut volume skyrocketed Tuesday on Newmont Mining (NEM), with roughly 22,000 contracts crossing the tape within the first 90 minutes of the session. By contrast, NEM was only expected to see about 1,800 puts change hands -- so this surge represents about 12 times the norm.

The equity's November 60 put is far and away the most active. By 11 a.m., this out-of-the-money strike had already seen in excess of 13,200 contracts exchanged, with 59% of these puts trading at the ask price. Implied volatility on this back-month option has climbed by 2.6 percentage points to 35.2%, so it seems likely that buyers are driving the bulk of today's volume.

Continue reading Put Players Flock to Newmont Mining

Newmont Mining Bounces Higher

Newmont Mining (NEM), first discussed here on June 3, 2009 at a price of $46.42, continues to break new ground (pun intended) share price-wise, but it's not a stock for low-risk investors.

However, if you can tolerate volatility -- Newmont's stock practically defines uptrend volatility -- Newmont still has the right commodities for globalization's third decade: copper and gold.

Newmont will likely post a 10-15% revenue gain in 2010, on both higher production and higher average prices for copper and gold. Global demand should support copper prices, and currency market uncertainty (and low, real interest rates) will continue to benefit gold prices.

Continue reading Newmont Mining Bounces Higher

Chasing Value: Beware of Gold Fever

Anyone investing in the stock market for a while has heard some variation of the story about the old investor that returns to his office after lunch and tells his partner to sell out the portfolio and go to all cash.

His astonished partner asks what in the world happened at lunch that convinced him to do this? The old veteran investor tells him that he went to get a haircut and his barber started giving him stock advice. If the market had reached a point where the barber was giving him stock advice, then everyone that could possibly be in the market was, and it was time to get out.

Sometimes the adviser is cab driver, or the grocery clerk, or shoe salesman, it matters not, the point is the same. By the time an investment becomes water cooler chatter it is time to be leery.

Continue reading Chasing Value: Beware of Gold Fever

Gold Reaches Record Highs: A Good Time to Buy Gold Mining Stocks?

Gold continues to climb to record highs on Wednesday, boosted by the Federal Reserve's comments that it would continue to ease monetary policy, if needed, to aid the U.S. economy.

While the announcement sent the dollar lower, investors moved into gold and silver, sending gold prices up to $1,296 at one point. The yellow bullion has been a terrific investment this year, with Gold ETFs up about 16%. That beats stocks and bonds.

But what else can investors do to profit?

Continue reading Gold Reaches Record Highs: A Good Time to Buy Gold Mining Stocks?

Options Update: Newmont Mining Up on Record Gold Prices

Newmont Mining (NEM) closed up $2.96 to $63.39. Gold is recently up 2.00% to $1,272 according to Bloomberg. NEM option volume of 26K contracts compares to put volume of 14K contracts. October put option implied volatility is at 33, December is at 34. This versus its 26-week average of 35, according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional price movement.

JCPenney Co. Inc. (JCP) closed up $1.66 to $23.99. JCP Chief Executive Mike Ullman told attendees at a Goldman Sachs conference that the retailer expects se see better same-store sales in Q4 than it did a year ago. JCP call option volume of 33K contracts compares to put volume of 5K contracts with short term speculation volume in September 23 and October 24 calls. October put option implied volatility is at 44, November and January is at 46. This is above its 26-week average of 42, according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.

Options Update is by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

Newmont Mining Earnings Miss Estimates

Newmont Mining (NEM), the world's largest gold producer, reported net income of $382 million or 77 cents a share, up from $162 million or 31 cents per share a year earlier. This was below analysts' estimates of 84 cents, according to Bloomberg. Sales rose 34% to $2.15 billion. Shares of Newmont fell 38 cents Wednesday to $55.40 per share.

Heavy rains in Indonesia were responsible for a shortfall at the Batu Hijau mine. Production there was down 6.8% to 82,000 ounces. This compares with 88,000 ounces during the first quarter. Gold output was also less than expected at Newmont's Boddington mine in Australia.

Continue reading Newmont Mining Earnings Miss Estimates

Next Page »

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA+6.5112,890.46
NASDAQ+11.372,927.23
S&P 500+1.991,351.95

Last updated: February 09, 2012: 10:16 PM

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