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The Fed decision: almost exactly as expected!

The Federal Reserve Open Market Committee (FOMC) issued its statement almost exactly as expected. The language on interest rates is remaining low for an extended period of time remained largely unchanged, and the decision was unanimous.

As I have mentioned earlier, the Fed continues to avoid any potential language which could disrupt the financial markets. Any potentially controversial ideas seem to be reserved for speeches by the Chairman and other government officials.

Continue reading The Fed decision: almost exactly as expected!

Fiscal stimulus package's primary flaw: It was too small

New York Times (NYSE: NYT) columnist Paul Krugman argues quite persuasively that the major problem with the fiscal stimulus package was that it was too small, given the financial crisis and the large economic crater the accompanying, pronounced recession created.

Further, the fiscal stimulus' many benefits -- including substantial job retention in essential public services such as education -- are harder to see and not likely to translate into too much political gain for President Obama and Congressional Democrats, he said. That's consistent with a political science axiom -- often repeated by U.S. Rep. Barney Frank, D-Massachusetts -- that "Congress gets little credit or benefit for averting something." Indeed, retained jobs are hard to see, and the fact that a local public school system is is still operating with as many teachers is an accomplishment, but one that most American voters will take for granted, and not give Democrats credit for.

Continue reading Fiscal stimulus package's primary flaw: It was too small

Which companies will profit from smart grid technology?

First off, what is smart grid technology? Smart grid technology allows two-way communication between a home or business and the utility company.

Then you are probably wondering why is there so much interest in smart grid technology now? The key reason is that our electrical transmission system is outmoded and overloaded. Our present system will be unable to handle the increasing demand for electricity for much longer. Take the electric car. If thousands of these cars are on the road next year, we will need the electrical delivery system to power them.

Continue reading Which companies will profit from smart grid technology?

The looming U.S./China trade war

It all started when President Obama, under pressure from U.S. unions, slapped a 35% tariff on tire imports from China. This move angered Beijing to no end, and to the point that China is challenging the action with the World Trade Organization.

China, in retaliation, has said that it would launch an "antidumping" policy against U.S. car exports to China. U.S. car makers export only about 9,000 vehicles to China at present. However, China is now the leading auto maker in the world, and barring U.S. imports would hamper the U.S. auto export market.

Continue reading The looming U.S./China trade war

Federal Reserve holding conferences at luxury resorts -- is that wrong?

Remember when the Federal Reserve and general public were blasting companies like AIG for going on retreats and holding conferences at luxury resorts? Well, on October 29, it was reported that the Fed has held its conferences at "exotic high-prices locales."

The Washington Post reported on October 28, that the San Francisco Fed hosted a conference at the "spectacular Bacara Resort and Spa" in Santa Barbara, where it paid $300 a night for the rooms -- an off-season price. Perhaps we should be praising the frugal nature of the Fed, as suites can run $2,000 during the peak season. Ben Bernanke attended this conference, which has drawn the ire of some. This conference was followed by a conference held by the Boston Fed at an Inn that charges up to $320 a night for regular rooms and nearly two grand a night for suites.

Continue reading Federal Reserve holding conferences at luxury resorts -- is that wrong?

$150 billion for 650,000 jobs: Is it worth it?

CNNMoney reports that after $150 billion in stimulus spending, tens of thousands of states, cities, and private companies have saved or created 650,000 jobs. At $230,769 per job, is that worth it?

The answer depends on whose side you're on. Those who want the president to fail are not thrilled, those who want to work and/or want him to succeed can feel some satisfaction.

Continue reading $150 billion for 650,000 jobs: Is it worth it?

Speaker Pelosi offers stronger public option than Sen. Reid's 'flex-pub'

Just call it a 'moderate public option.' Sort of. U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, D-California, Thursday unveiled a revised, $894 billion health care reform bill that would provide insurance to up to 36 million more Americans while cutting the budget deficit by $30 billion over 10 years.

The bill's key elements: subsidies offered to moderate-income Americans to buy insurance either from private carriers or a new, government-run program, an expansion of Medicaid to insure the poor, and an income tax increase on upper income Americans -- individuals earning more than $500,000 per year and couples earning more than $1 million.

Continue reading Speaker Pelosi offers stronger public option than Sen. Reid's 'flex-pub'

Congress moves closer to extending unemployment benefits

The U.S. Congress is moving closer to passing a bill that would extend unemployment benefits in all states by 14 weeks.

As of late Wednesday, the bill had paused in the Senate, as members offered various amendments, some of which are designed to limit the allocation. If passed, the bill would then have to be reconciled with a House bill passed a month ago that extends benefits by 13 weeks in high-unemployment states.

Continue reading Congress moves closer to extending unemployment benefits

Reid's 'flex-public option' may represent viable third way on health care reform

Even though it faces an uphill battle in the Senate, look for U.S. Sen. Harry Reid's, D-Nevada, flexible public option to become part of a universal health care bill.

That's because Reid's 'flex-pub' fits the federalist system of governance
(local-state-federal) practiced by the United States in that it enables states to 'opt-out' of the public option, provided they have a state-level plan for universal care and/or are complying with other federal requirements for universal health care coverage.

And, when one thinks about it, politically and operationally, a flex-public option makes a great deal of sense.

Continue reading Reid's 'flex-public option' may represent viable third way on health care reform

Senate seen extending a reduced first-time home buyer tax credit

Put this one under the the category of 'a half-loaf is better than none.'

Senate leaders are apparently poised to extend the $8,000 federal tax credit for first-time home buyers, Bloomberg News reported Monday.

However, the extension will not please all in the housing sector, as the Senate is working on a plan that would extend the credit, which expires November 30, for homes that close before April 1, 2010. The credit would then be reduced to $6,000, then $4,000, then $2,000 for homes that close in each successive quarter, until the end of 2010, at which time the credit program would end.

Continue reading Senate seen extending a reduced first-time home buyer tax credit

Is it possible to balance the federal budget without raising taxes?

Can Congress balance the federal budget without a tax increase?

Indeed it is possible, but to do it Congress would have to undertake fiscal policy changes of Herculean proportions. Namely: radically changing Social Security's benefit for retirees, turn Medicaid over to the states, and implement other spending cuts.

Continue reading Is it possible to balance the federal budget without raising taxes?

Obama says banks should lend more to small businesses: Please God, no

Terrifying talking points out of the White House this week: President Obama called on bailed-out banks to lend more money to small businesses.

Speaking on his weekly radio address, Obama said that "These are the very taxpayers who stood by America's banks in a crisis, and now it's time for our banks to stand by creditworthy small businesses and make the loans they need to open their doors, grow their operations and create new jobs."

Continue reading Obama says banks should lend more to small businesses: Please God, no

If an institution is 'too big too fail,' is it too big?

Amid Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke's call for a "credible process" for imposing losses on shareholders and creditors for a U.S. government decision to close down a financial institution, a parallel discussion will have to occur.

Namely, if an institution is 'too big too fail,' does that mean the institution is too big? In other words, should the U.S. government begin a long, incremental process of breaking-up those financial institutions – and other corporations – whose wayward behavior would pose systemic risk?

Continue reading If an institution is 'too big too fail,' is it too big?

Incredibly, bill to end health care insurers' anti-trust exemption gaining steam in Congress

Sometimes, in American politics/public policy, the unexpected occurs. A year ago, if you had said health care reform in 2009 would lead to the end of the health insurance industry's anti-trust exemption, you probably would have been classified as a candidate for 24-hour observation.

It still hasn't become law yet, but on Wednesday the above took one more step toward becoming reality as the U.S. House Judiciary Committee approved a bill that would curb the health insurance industry's limited exemption from antitrust law and would allow the U.S. Justice Department to enforce laws relating to price fixing and market allocation, The New York Times reported. The committee voted 20-9 in favor of the measure, with three Republicans joining 17 Democrats.

Continue reading Incredibly, bill to end health care insurers' anti-trust exemption gaining steam in Congress

Health care reform update: Look for an overhaul that gives Congress flexibility

Health care reform's long and winding road continues, as debate will begin soon on several bills in the House and Senate. Each chamber is likely to approve a bill, with the all-important conference committee set to reconcile the two after each chamber's vote.

Let's put on the old political science hat for a moment to see if history and research can tell us anything about the likely shape of the health care reform bill at this stage of the U.S. public policy process.

The House, Senate, and conference committee (CC) outcomes are labeled: Probable, Possible, Doubtful.

Continue reading Health care reform update: Look for an overhaul that gives Congress flexibility

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Last updated: November 04, 2009: 09:25 PM

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