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Closing Bell: An IPO, Banks & Tech, all killing the bears (JPM, RST, SBUX, LUV, RF)

The sages say to sell the news and have started calling the market grossly overbought on the near-term, yet stock enthusiasm is at the exact opposite of how negative things were 6 weeks ago. We have 6 million on the jobless claims now, although this week showed a real decline in new claims. The rally came on late in the day after the market was down triple-digits at one point. Here are the unofficial closing bell levels:

Dow 8,125.43 +95.81 (1.19%)
S&P 500 865.29 +13.23 (1.55%)
Nasdaq 1,670.44 +43.64 (2.68%)

Top Analyst Calls

Continue reading Closing Bell: An IPO, Banks & Tech, all killing the bears (JPM, RST, SBUX, LUV, RF)

Regions Financial draws heavy call volume after 1Q profit forecast

The shares of Regions Financial Corporation (NYSE: RF) surged this afternoon after the regional bank said it expects to report a first-quarter profit. In a regulatory filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), Chairman and CEO Dowd Ritter attributed the unexpectedly profitable quarter to recent strength in new account openings and customer deposit growth.

If Wall Street seems shocked by the news, it's because analysts were predicting Regions to swallow a quarterly loss of about $290 million, or 42 cents per share, according to Thomson Reuters. Plus, with nearly 5% of the equity's float sold short, it seems that many investors were also betting on the bank to report gloomy earnings.

Continue reading Regions Financial draws heavy call volume after 1Q profit forecast

Regions Financial swallows huge quarterly loss, hits 24-year low

It's a dismal day on Wall Street for financial stocks, and Regions Financial Corp. (NYSE: RF) is no exception. The Alabama-based bank today reported an eye-popping quarterly loss of $6.22 billion, or $9.01 per share, as results were pressured by a $6 billion writedown in its banking and Treasury operations.

On an operating basis, Regions' loss of 35 cents per share exceeded the consensus estimate for a loss of 20 cents per share. Net charge-offs for the quarter soared to $796 million, compared to $107.5 million in the year-ago period. Additionally, the company confessed to "emerging stress" in its Florida-based real estate and mortgage businesses.

"Although we're encouraged by steps the government has taken to stabilize the housing market and revitalize the economy, there is no quick fix for credit quality issues currently plaguing the financial services industry," commented Dowd Ritter, RF's chairman, president and chief executive officer.

Ritter added that he doesn't expect unemployment to peak or real estate values to bottom in 2009, and he warned that bank earnings won't improve until such a trough is reached. He doesn't foresee the need to seek new capital from the government, though Regions will look for opportunities to shore up its capital position as market conditions allow.

Continue reading Regions Financial swallows huge quarterly loss, hits 24-year low

Analyst calls: NVS, DWA, APC, RF, GE, MTB, BYD, NWL ...

Analyst upgrades:
  • Credit Suisse upgraded shares of Novartis (NYSE: NVS) to Neutral from Underperform as they believe the stock's defensive characteristics justify a premium valuation.
  • Merrill raised Dreamworks (NYSE: DWA) to Buy from Neutral and has increased confidence in DWA's sustainable success following the performance of Kung Fu Panda and new revenue streams.
  • Anadarko Petroleum (NYSE: APC) was raised to Buy from Hold at Stanford on valuation.
  • Goldman upgraded Smurfit-Stone (NASDAQ: SSCC) and Canadian National (NYSE: CNI) to Buy from Neutral and added International Paper (NYSE: IP) to the Conviction Buy List.
  • Northern Trust (NASDAQ: NTRS) was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Merrill.
Analyst downgrades:
  • Jefferies downgraded shares of Savvis (NASDAQ: SVVS) to Hold from Buy and lowered the target to $17 from $20 to reflect decreasing visibility from economic headwinds and expectations for increased capex.
  • Citigroup downgraded Regions Financial (NYSE: RF) to Sell from Hold as they believe fundamentals are not in-line with the current valuation following the recent rally.
  • Merrill lowered their General Electric (NYSE: GE) estimates below consensus and downgraded shares to Neutral from Buy citing increased fundamental pressures on the company's GE Capital unit. GE's target was cut to $28 from $37.50.

Continue reading Analyst calls: NVS, DWA, APC, RF, GE, MTB, BYD, NWL ...

Regions Financial boosted by finance sector earnings

RF logoRegions Financial (NYSE: RF) shares are trading higher today with other financial stocks after a slew of positive financial earnings. JP Morgan Chase (NYSE: JPM) reported a second-quarter profit of $2 billion, or 54 cents per share, beating analysts' predictions of 44 cents per share, while PNC Financial (NYSE: PNC) and Comerica (NYSE: CMA) also reported earnings and are trading higher. If you think that the company won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on RF.

After hitting a one-year high of $33.65 last July, the stock hit a one-year low of $6.41 on Tuesday. RF opened this morning at $8.88. So far today the stock has hit a low of $8.09 and a high of $9.91. As of 12:45, RF is trading at $9.07, up 1.06 (12.8%). The chart for RF looks bearish and steady, while S&P gives the stock a neutral 3 STARS (out of 5) hold rating.

For a bullish hedged play on this stock, I would consider an August bull-put credit spread below the $5 range. A bull-put credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of put options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make a 13.6% return in just one month as long as RF is above $5 at August expiration. RF would have to fall by more than 44% before we would start to lose money. Learn more about this type of trade here.

RF hasn't been below $6.40 at all in the past year and has shown support around $7 recently. This trade could be risky if the company's earnings (due out on 7/22) disappoint, but most of the banks that have reported so far have responded well to their earnings reports.

Brent Archer is an options analyst and writer at Investors Observer.

DISCLOSURE: Mr. Archer owns and/or controls diversified portfolios of long and short stock and option positions that may include holdings in companies he writes about. At publication time, Brent neither owns nor controls positions in RF nor CMA. He does own and control bullish hedged trades on PNC and JPM.

Cramer on BloggingStocks: The breadth of the danger is staggering

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says our problems are so widespread, he sees lots more IndyMacs before we're out.

You don't need me to tell you it's awful out there. You don't need me to tell you that there's no quick fix for any of these things. But what might help you understand why it feels so bad this time is that I have never, in my career, seen so many companies go off track at the same time. This is one unbelievable moment, and it is made more horrible by the day as companies' stocks just get pummeled, causing people to then question the very viability of the companies involved.

First, obviously, are Fannie Mae (NYSE: FNM) (Cramer's Take) and Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE) (Cramer's Take). We don't know what will happen, but we do know that their futures are much darker than their pasts. Their best hope: a Democrat becomes president and shows the usual love to both. But as investments, they are pretty much perma-losers going forward. The losses are that heavy. Yes, it is true that two years from now they will be better, but will the government let them limp through to that? View them as calls on a Democratic win.

We all know that Citigroup (NYSE: C) (Cramer's Take), Wachovia (NYSE: WB) (Cramer's Take), Washington Mutual (NYSE: WM) (Cramer's Take) and National City (NYSE: NCC) (Cramer's Take) are in trouble. Bank of America (NYSE: BAC) (Cramer's Take) says it isn't in trouble, but obviously the market doesn't believe management because the stock failed to rally when it said its dividend was safe. Any short-selling hedge fund could hire 30 actors and have them line up at a Washington Mutual or two and get a bank run going. Then we would have to hear about a "hasty" Treasury department plan to bail out WM. Hasty? How can these guys not see it coming?

Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: The breadth of the danger is staggering

Option Update; Regions Financial put volume heavy; shares near 14-year low

Regions Financial Corporation (NYSE: RF), a financial holding company based in Birmingham, Alabama, recently down 99c to $12.76:


Friedman Billings has an underperform rating on RF. RF call option volume of 6,410 contracts compared to put volume of 37,361 contracts. RF June 12.5 straddle was priced at 85c. RF July option implied volatility of 72 was above its 26-week average of 48 according to Track Data, suggesting larger risk.

Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com

Analyst downgrades: Department store sector, SNDK and CNET

MOST NOTEWORTHY: The Department store sector, SanDisk and CNET Networks were today's noteworthy downgrades:
  • Goldman downgraded the department store sector to Neutral from Attractive after raising its 2008 oil forecast to $149 from $115, as it believes higher gas prices will impact consumer discretionary spend and sentiment. Goldman downgraded JC Penney (NYSE: JCP) and Nordstrom (NYSE: JWN) to Neutral and also removed Kohl's (NYSE: KSS) from its Conviction Buy List.
  • JMP Securities downgraded SanDisk (NASDAQ: SNDK) to Underperform from Market Perform based on increased competition in NAND, a potential decline in royalty income, valuation, and lack of catalysts from flash-based solid state drives.
  • CNET Networks (NASDAQ: CNET) was cut to Neutral from Buy at Banc of America following the tender offer from CBS (NYSE: CBS).
OTHER DOWNGRADES:
  • Merrill downgraded Regions Financial (NYSE: RF) to Sell from Neutral.
  • B. Riley downgraded Exar (NASDAQ: EXAR) to Neutral from Buy.
  • Albermarle (NYSE: ALB) was lowered to Neutral from Overweight at JP Morgan.

Socially responsible favorites

"Socially Responsible Investing (SRI) is no longer relegated to a tiny corner of the investment landscape; indeed, according to the Social Investment Forum, SRI now accounts for $2.7 trillion, up more than 18% since 2005," says Chuck Carlson.

Here, the editor of The DRIP Investor offers five stock that both rank high for their social responsibility and also stand out based on more traditional earnings and valuation analysis.

"The Social Investment Forum estimates that more than one in every 10 dollars under professional management in the U.S. is involved in SRI investing. What is driving the growth in SRI?

"One factor is the increasing numbers of women and younger investors among the investor populace have fueled demand for SRI investments.

"In addition, we see an increased focus on environment, social, and corporate governance issues. Further, widely publicized stories concerning global warming as well as various corporate governance issues, have caused many investors to reconsider how they deploy their investment capital.

Continue reading Socially responsible favorites

Analyst upgrades: VQ, NFX and RF

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Venoco, Newfield Exploration and Regions Financial were today's noteworthy upgrades:
  • Jefferies upgraded shares of Venoco (NYSE:VQ) to Buy from Hold on increased confidence in the company's 5%-10% 2008 production growth target.
  • Newfield Exploration (NYSE:NFX) was upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Friedman Billings. The firm said there has been significant progress in the economics of NFX's Woodford play.
  • Citigroup upgraded Regions Financial (NYSE:RF) to Hold from Sell on valuation, as they their concerns are now priced into shares.
OTHER UPGRADES:

Alcan walks away from Alcoa, toward BHP Billiton

The board of aluminum company Alcan (NYSE: AL) has rejected a purchase offer from rival Alcoa (NYSE: AA) as inadequate, despite the fact that it took Alcan's share price from $59 to well over $81.

Alcoa's theory was that, with both companies in the same business, there would be a lot of cost cutting in the merger and perhaps greater price leverage with customers. The logic seemed to make sense.

Alcan's price rose above the Alcoa offer, so the markets assumed that another company might jump in. It turns out that was probably right. News reports say that Australian metals giant BHP Billiton (NYSE:BHP) is in talks to buy Alcan. According to MarketWatch, the head of BHP as recently said that the world's top miner would consider acquisitions that add shareholder value.

Another overseas mining company, Rio Tinto (NYSE: RTP) has been mentioned as a suitor for Alcan as well.

At least the company has a full dance card.

Douglas A. McIntyre is a partner at 24/7 Wall St.

Bearzilla, chapter 2: A bitter bear to swallow

If you hadn't already been sick to your stomach with what the markets had already done, Tuesday March 13, 2007 probably finished the job. Reluctantly, and with a bit of due concern for my continued readership as a layman's stock market analyst, I feel compelled to state that it is my considered opinion that the bear is not yet done with us. For those brave hearted readers who have been bold enough or bored enough to wade through my past posts on the subject, you may recall that I warned of the bear in the weeks prior to his coming. I'm not proud of my accurate forecast due to the simple fact that our current market phase has financially injured many good people. The fact remains, however, that I warned that the bear was near and now the bear has come. It is my sincerest hope that a full recovery can be accomplished for all parties once the bear is gone.

You may recall that I labeled this bear phase as a worldwide economic realignment. Initially, I had hoped that this would be just a moderate market correction of 10-12% but there are too many factors now rushing in from too many important directions for such a happy ending to be realized. I submit to you that we have entered a time which would be artificially minimized by calling it a market correction. I'm telling you with all earnestness at my command, this is not just about our banks and stock markets!

Continue reading Bearzilla, chapter 2: A bitter bear to swallow

The BOE's surpise: A mid-winter rate rise

The Bank of England didn't pull a fast one on international markets Thursday, but it was close.

The Bank of England unexpectedly increased its benchmark interest rate - - called the repurchase rate - - by one-quarter point, or 25 basis points, to 5.25%, its third increase since August 2006.

The BOE said "CPI pressure was 2.7% in November. It is likely that inflation will rise further above the target in the near-term, but then fall back as energy and import price inflation abate."

While an argument can be made that CPI pressure in the U.K. is elevated, the BOE's move nevertheless took economists, traders, and analysts by surprise.

While central banks must set monetary policy to meet national economic objectives, the world's four major central banks ( U.S. Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Bank of England, and the Bank of Japan also are aware of each bank's impact on the global economy. Further, in general, unless the global economy is experiencing runaway growth, the four banks do not generally raise interest rates in unison, as the policy is considered too restrictive and could slow the global economy to a crawl, even cause a recession.

Continue reading The BOE's surpise: A mid-winter rate rise

Before the bell 10-31-06: P&G earnings, Merck's deal

Early morning futures are positive, pointing to a higher start for stocks.

Today, three economic data points will be released and Procter & Gamble, a Dow component, will report earnings.

At 8:30 a.m., third-quarter employment cost index will be reported. Economists are forecasting a 0.9% increase, same as in the second quarter. At 10:00 a.m., October Chicago consumer confidence and manufacturing index are due. Economists are forecasting the manufacturing index to decline to 58 from September's 62.1, but believe consumer confidence have risen due to lower oil prices to 107.8 from 104.5 last month. Keep in mind that the key jobs report will be released on Friday.

Topping the news this morning are Procter & Gamble, Verizon (again) -- both are Dow components -- Merck and Sony:

Consumer products maker Procter & Gamble Co. (NYSE:PG) reported its quarterly financial results not too long ago. First-quarter profit climbed 33%. Net income rose to $2.7 billion, or 79 cents per share, on revenue of $18.79 billion. Analysts consensus called for 78 cents per share on sales of $18.56 billion. The company also lifted its full-year earnings outlook.

Merck & Co. Inc. (NYSE:MRK), the big pharmaceutical company, will buy Sirna Therapeutics Inc., (NASDAQ:RNAI), which is developping therapies based on RNA interference, for $1.1 billion in cash, more than double the closing price -- a 102% premium.

UBS downgraded Verizon Communications, Inc. (NYSE:VZ) to Neutral.

Sony Corp. (NYSE:SNE) said the U.S. Department of Justice notified the company that it will conduct an investigation into possible antitrust violations in the static random access memory (SRAM) market.

Other stories:

Standard & Poor's will replace AmSouth Bancorp (NYSE:ASO) with Celgene Corp. (NASDAQ:CELG) in the S&P 500 stock index after the close of trading on Nov. 3. CELG shares rose some 4% in Frankfurt. AmSouth is being acquired by Regions Financial Corp (NYSE:RF). which in turn will replace RadioShack Corp. (NYSE:RSH) in the index.

Philip Morris the tobacco company that is now part of Altria Group, Inc. (NYSE:MO), will be back in court today, trying to convince the Supreme Court that an $80 million judgment against the company was excessive.

Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ:MSFT) had started 55 legal actions worldwide targeting dealers selling counterfeit software online, according to the company. Some of the cases are against sellers who may have misused eBay, Inc. (NASDAQ:EBAY) or other on-line auction sites to sell counterfeit software.

Can Apple Computer, Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) expand its share in the PC market? Could it profit from missteps from Dell, Inc. (NASDAQ:DELL) while taking advantage of Intel, Corp.'s (NASDAQ:INTC) support and Best Buy, Inc. (NYSE:BBY) distribution, especially at this juncture before Microsoft's Windows Vista is launched?

Satellite radio's future: Should Sirius Satellite Radio, Inc. (NASDAQ:SIRI) and XM Satellite Radio Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:XMSR) adjust their businesses to Internet radio?

General Electric Co. (NYSE:GE) delayed the purchase of a 25% of Thailand's Bank of Ayudhya PCL for 22 billion baht ($598 million).

Hewlett-Packard Co. (NYSE:HPQ), in an attempt to finally close the $4.5 billion acquisition of Mercury Interactive Corp., would waive all remaining conditions involved.

Could Brazil's biggest coffee cooperative, Cooxupe, hinder Starbucks Corp. (NASDAQ:SBUX) aspirations for growth in China as Cooxupe now aims for expansion?

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Last updated: May 25, 2012: 03:48 AM

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