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Madonna drives BlackBerry earnings

Research in Motion (NASDAQ: RIMM), the company behind the super popular BlackBerry messaging device, delivered strong forecasts that topped what analysts were expecting. In spite of what many fear to be a very dour situation for technology companies, and particularly those focused on the consumer electronics, RIMM put up some very impressive numbers, propelling the stock upwards in pre-market trading.

Instead of paring back spending, consumers seem to be continuing its spending (at least on Crackberries) as the company reported that it had nearly doubled its revenues in the last year.

There are now officially 14 million RIMM devices out there. ``The BlackBerry has moved from being an enterprise tool to being something that soccer moms are using," said one analyst interviewed by Bloomberg.

As armchair analysts, we should ask ourselves why does RIMM continue to perform even in the face of recession/depression/chicken-little-sky-is-caving-in scenarios?

I think obsession is the word to describe it.

Readers should be intrigued to know that the BBC reported that mega-star Madonna "sleeps with her BlackBerry" under her pillow, just in case she "remembers something during the night."

Um, ever heard of paper and pen?

For those addicted to the aptly-nicknamed Crackberry, they just can't stop. Try to get their attention over dinner? Sorry, their shifty eyes are always glancing down. Want a quiet, intimate time alone with the family? Oops, I forgot, someone is attached by what I call "the world's longest leash."

And what if that someone is yours truly? Guilty as charged...

Zack Miller is the managing editor of IsraelNewsletter.com and a former equity analyst for a leading multinational hedge fund.

Is you is or is you ain't WiMAX

I've focused some of my writing and research on these pages on the hype surrounding WiMAX, an emerging telecommunications technology that could make broadband wireless access a reality. Some of the best WiMAX technology in being developed in Israel by firms like Alvarion (NASDAQ: ALVR) and Ceragon (NASDAQ: CRNT). In spite of on-again, off-again news coming out of big players like Sprint Nextel (NYSE: S), my thesis has always been that we can debate all we want as to whether WiMAX will hit in the U.S. The truth is that WiMAX is already happening in the rest of the world.

MarketWatch is out with a story this morning about some of the action happening in the telecommunications space surrounding WiMAX. In Big investments rumored for wireless technology, MarketWatch reporter, Therese Poletti takes the usual tack by pointing out both sides of the argument that WiMAX "is full of potential to drive cheaper, high-speed wireless data, voice and video communications, or a dismal failure, depending on who you talk to."

The same article cites a spokesperson for chip-giant, Intel (Nasdaq: INTC), as saying that Intel "remains bullish on WiMAX, saying the technology is definitely 'ready for prime time.'"
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Continue reading Is you is or is you ain't WiMAX

With Skyworks, at times it seems the sky's the limit

Readers of this space know that the investment bias is toward large-cap companies with demonstrated business models and who have a competitive advantage in established markets, preferably with a favorable global trend as a support. But every once in while an exception is made for a non-conforming but innovative/promising company, and along this line Skyworks looks attractive. (Note: Skyworks is only for investors who can tolerate high-risk.)

Skyworks Solutions, Inc. (Nasdaq: SWKS) is a leading supplier to major mobile phone/PDA manufacturers.

Analysts really like Skyworks' radio frequency and manufacturing expertise, which enables the company to secure design wins with existing and new customers.

Skyworks, which began as a defense contractor, makes its integrated circuits out of gallium arsenide, a material that performs at higher speeds and with less energy consumption than the sector standard, silicon.

Continue reading With Skyworks, at times it seems the sky's the limit

Google's YouTube steps up mobile availability

YouTube logo Google (NASDAQ: GOOG) CEO Eric Schmidt often says that the mobile frontier is the next biggest opportunity for Google. In terms of the math, he's correct: there are many more cellphones in use worldwide than PCs -- all it takes is to get customers accessing the web on their phones. So far, success has been mixed, however, Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL)'s iPhone is changing the game. iPhone users are going on the web constantly.

The web search giant has just taken a large leap in that direction, now that it has announced YouTube Mobile availability on millions of existing cellphones. The more customers that buy advanced, 3G-capable wireless phones, the more potential customers Google will have accessing YouTube content and even uploading videos directly from their handsets.

YouTube mobile product manager Dwipal Desia indicated, "It's basically the full YouTube experience you can get on the desktop -- on the phone." With YouTube easily the world's most popular online video property, can Google transfer this to the mobile arena in the next year or two? Getting customers to use YouTube Mobile is the largest barrier -- because once you've used it, it's hard to resist (from my experience, anyway).

Although Google referenced the iPhone and phones from service provider Helio, the company did say that the full YouTube video experience was not available on handsets from the second-largest wireless carrier, Verizon Wireless. The next step, of course, will be for Google to find out how it can monetize YouTube Mobile.

Has iPhone killed the new Motorola RAZR2?

The new product turnaround at Motorola (NYSE: MOT) may already be crippled. One analyst, quoted by Bloomberg said, "The Razr 2 didn't set the world on fire and it won't be a phenomenon like the original one."

The cause of Motorola's problem with its newest product may be the Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) iPhone, which appears to have sold more than two million units in the last quarter of 2007.

While the RAZR2 may be a better product than its predecessor, Apple, Nokia (NYSE: NOK), Samsung and Sony Ericsson have all introduced similar products to take advantage of the high-end multimedia handset space. Motorola may be squeezed out of a market it helped create.

With its shares trading just above $13, near a 52-week low, a weak fourth quarter earnings report could take the stock much closer to $10.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

FCC auction holds no real interest for Google?

In what could be a spot-on analysis of Google (NASDAQ: GOOG)'s real intention with the upcoming FCC radio auctions, Jeff Lindsay with Sanford Bernstein says Google isn't in the auction to win anything. In general, you bid to either win what you're bidding on or you're hedging your bets as you shill bid in an attempt to pump the bid price for the competition. With that said, what could Google be up to if it's ready to bid on the FCC's wireless airwaves, but has no intention on really using any radio spectrum in the future?

Lindsay indicates that Google's recent moves in the wireless industry have already made the market realize open policies for customers and devices are the wave of the wireless future. In effect, its goal is already achieved to a point where it really does not need its own radio spectrum to directly compete as a wireless service provider.

Would Google really get knee-deep in an area that's outside of its core business, and end up letting that become a distraction? Google CEO Eric Schmidt has repeatedly said that the mobile frontier harbors much more promise than even the PC web browser frontier it currently helps dominate. Was Google's real intention with applying to bid for the FCC auctions coming up shortly just a scare tactic to cement its open handset alliance position? Possibly -- but now it's playing in a new sandbox with established bullies. The auctions should be very interesting.

AT&T gets crushed

Shares of AT&T Inc. (NYSE: T) had their biggest decline in more than 5 years after the largest phone company warned of "softness" in its consumer business and that more of its customers have had their service disconnected for failing to pay their bills.

In late afternoon trading, the exclusive seller of the iPhone, was down $3.51, or 8.6%, to $37.52. The company's mobile phone and corporate business has not been hurt by the slowdown, Bloomberg News quotes Chief Executive Randall Stephenson as saying.

Shares of AT&T have jumped 12% over the past year. This year, though, the picture is different. The Nasdaq Composite Index has plunged about 8% in the early days of 2008 amid declines by stalwarts such as Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG), Apple, Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) and Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ: MSFT). AT&T has dropped almost 9%. The tech index hasn't had a positive day yet this year.

What's going on here? I don't think it can all be profit taking. Investors seem to be concerned that the slowdown in consumer spending will hit corporations as well. That won't be clear for another few months. It certainly kills some of the buzz from the Consumer Electronics Show.

Will Google launch Android in China to battle Baidu?

Google Android Although Google (NASDAQ: GOOG)'s Android mobile phone software platform was officially announced months ago, the global wireless industry has been mum -- or doesn't know -- when Google's platform will be available for consumers. Which global wireless markets will be the first to even see a device powered by Google's Android platform?

Would it make sense for Google to release this platform in a market where consumers do most web surfing on a mobile device instead of a PC? Possibly -- although releasing Android in a market that has gadget-obsessed consumers may also be a decent choice. How about releasing the platform to a wireless carrier in a country where you're trying to take internet search engine market share away from a competitor?

Not only do hundreds of millions of Chinese wireless customers exist (more than the entire U.S. population), but many of them interact with the web on their mobile phones. Also, Google has made it known that it wants to become the largest search engine provider in the world's most populous country. That spot is now held by Baidu.com, which has managed to beat Google in China to this point. But Google -- ever the secretive tech giant of the world -- definitely has its sights set on leading the Chinese search engine market. How better than to release Android into that market and -- overnight -- up the ante in a huge way against Baidu.com's search engine dominance?

Wireless expert takes a look at the megatrends for 2008

A man uses an Apple iPhone in LondonIt was certainly an exciting year for wireless. Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL)'s iPhone was a game changer, there were some big announcements from Google (NASDAQ: GOOG), and even Nokia (NYSE: NOK) made an impressive comeback.

As for 2008, it's a good bet we'll continue to see some big headlines.

I interviewed Frank Dickson, who is the chief research officer at MultiMedia Intelligence. According to him:

The handset as a platform: The introduction of the iPhone was the first example of this. It did not create the trend, but it did add fuel to the fire. Google's Android and a rumored Java-based OS are elements of the developing trend. Essentially, we are seeing the rise of a new class of mobile devices that are applications centric with voice functionality. These devices are internet browsers, music players, text messengers, and e-mail devices. Yes, they still make voice calls, but they are clearly optimized for other uses. Operators such as Verizon Wireless (NYSE: VZ) are seeing the coming explosion of this product class and have embraced it by opening their networks to these devices.

Continue reading Wireless expert takes a look at the megatrends for 2008

Record mobile phone spending in 2007

Bloomberg ran an article this morning discussing mobile phone trends. This article should be read by anyone who invests in Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) because of the iPhone and anyone that considers Google's (NASDAQ: GOOG) moves in the mobile space to be a serious harbinger of what's to come for the mobile market.

As Apple rolled out its vaunted iPhone (it rocks, by the way) and Research in Motion (NASDAQ: RIMM) upgraded its phones to support video, Bloomberg reports that U.S. customers shelled out 40 percent more for handsets last quarter than a year earlier.

The article addresses a few salient trends in the mobile space:
  • Analysts expect that North America will be the only region where the average phone price will increase this year.
  • Last year, mobile handsets sold in Japan cost 74 percent more than in North America. In Europe, they were 10 percent pricier.
  • Sales of pricier handsets such as the iPhone almost tripled last quarter and made up 11 percent of phones sold in the U.S.
  • Shoppers spent $3.2 billion on phones, or $83 each, up from $2.2 billion a year earlier and the most since 2005
  • The iPhone, which doubles as a music player, cost as much as $599 when it went on sale in June and now sells for $399. Apple shipped 1.4 million of them in the first three months. BlackBerrys go for as much as $300.
The Bloomberg article also describes the effect carrier-sponsored subsidies have had on the industry. "Carriers have used subsidies to keep prices of most other phones down. Motorola Inc.'s Razr, which sold for as much $500 when introduced in 2004, can now be had free," reported Bloomberg.

Carriers still act as "gatekeepers" in the industry. The carriers generally decide which devices to offer to their customers, and own the consumer relationship.

This all may change as carriers like Verizon (NYSE: VZ) have made announcements about opening up their networks to non-subscribers. Combine this with phone manufacturers continuing to produce better and more engaging devices and Google's attempts to create incentives and a platform for application development for the mobile device, and it's an opportunity for investors to pick some new horses.

Zack Miller is the managing editor of IsraelNewsletter.com and a former equity analyst for a leading multinational hedge fund. Author holds a long-term position in GOOG as of 11/26/2007.

Sprint adds MySpace as a friend

The next frontier for social networking is mobile. And, early next year, News Corp (NYSE: NWS)'s MySpace will launch its own offering.

Interestingly enough, Sprint (NYSE: S) wants to be a part of the crowd and has struck a deal with MySpace (terms were not disclosed). Sprint customers will get free access, so long as they have a data plan.

Continue reading Sprint adds MySpace as a friend

World market leader Nokia makes big U.S. push

Nokia (NYSE: NOK) logo Nokia (NYSE: NOK) is No. 1 in handset market share worldwide, with almost 40% of units sold. But in the U.S., by most calculations, it ranks fourth. And with new products like Apple (NYSE: AAPL)'s iPhone, it may be hard for the Finnish company to make much headway in America.

But Nokia will try. The company understands, to some extent, why things have gone badly here. "We felt we could teach the U.S. market how we do business elsewhere, and frankly, that failed," Olli-Pekka Kallasvuo, Nokia's CEO told The New York Times. "Now we just want to act, based on the needs and requirements of the market."

Nokia may have an innovative way to beef up sales in the U.S. It has started its own music download service, which gives away a year of free downloads with the purchase of one of the company's phones. Nokia also has advanced GPS options built into a number of its smartphone products.

But music and internet-based service really do little to differentiate Nokia. If they are not options already offered by other handset companies or U.S. cellular carriers, they can certainly be duplicated. And that is Nokia's problem -- it may have very little new to offer.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Google and Apple: Mobile partners or competitors?

With Google (NASDAQ: GOOG) set to bid billions in next month's FCC wireless auctions, will the search giant be joining with any other company to wrestle control of the wireless industry into another direction? Google's CEO does sit on the board of Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL), of course. But the question just posed will be answered pretty darn soon as many of us sit on our heels.

This past week, Google released a new "entry point" for its most popular services that runs on Apple's iPhone and gives near-immediate access to its prominent services: Google Maps, Gmail, Docs & Spreadsheets, Calendar and more. What is Google up to? Colluding with Apple to make the underlying wireless carrier service on the iPhone mostly irrelevant? Yes.

If you have an iPhone or even an iPod Touch, visit Google.com to see all the new goods. It's not a software download, but a presentation that gives access to all of Google's better products from one touch screen. But I ask again -- is this Google's way of muscling into Apple's territory, or using the iPhone's Safari web browser to make each iPhone user a complete Google convert? A little of both, I suppose -- and it's a great move for Google, given the ubiquity of the iPhone, still just in its infancy.

Nokia's new tunes

Nokia (NYSE: NOK) logo It's been a great year for Nokia (NYSE: NOK)'s investors, with the stock up about 76%.

But at its Investor Day conference, things were not so sanguine. The company announced that its operating margins should be 16%-17% over the next year or two – which was a bit disappointing.

Yet, the company expects to gain market share (especially in emerging markets like China), as well as introduce new content services. For example, the company struck a deal with Universal Music for free unlimited music downloads, so as to blunt Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL)'s iPhone.

I had a chance to interview Frank Dickson, who is the Chief Research Officer of MultiMedia Intelligence. According to him:

"Nokia is seemingly taking pages from the lesson book developed by IBM (NYSE: IBM). IBM was once the dominant PC manufacturer. As open platforms and technology vendors leveled the playing field, IBM lost its position to lower cost manufacturers. However, IBM was able to leverage its hardware position to create a value-added services business. Nokia, in turn, is leveraging its dominant position in handsets to create a value-added services offering to the end consumer.

Continue reading Nokia's new tunes

Best & Worst of 2007: Company of the year

This post was part of AOL Money & Finance's Best & Worst of 2007 feature. The voting has now closed and readers have chosen Google Inc. as the company of the year. Be sure and let us know in the comments if you are pleased with this result.

Company of the year Corporate America, the markets, and Wall Street are lumbering through a so-so year -- one likely to be characterized by mediocre U.S. GDP and earnings performance, along with ample portions of market volatility.

To be sure, no one will confuse 2007 with a peak year during the "Roaring '20s" or even the "Roaring '90s." Still, there were several standout performances, which we summarize in our "Company of the Year" award.

Facebook

Facebook deserves an honorable mention. The online directory shows considerable promise as an online community and networking device. Provided information is kept confidential and is not released or sold to unauthorized third parties, the business model can serve as another meeting room for groups that might not otherwise be able to meet for geographic or other reasons.

Continue reading Best & Worst of 2007: Company of the year

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Last updated: May 17, 2008: 10:41 AM

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