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Serious Money: Cheapest Stocks List Shrinks from 26 to 21

While most investors are fretting the markets recent contraction, you can be quite confident that "my pal Warren" has a smile on his face, as does Peter Lynch, Ken Heebner, Bill Miller, Bruce Berkowitz, and any number of fellow value investors that know now may be a time of opportunity. That is because they have the experience and understanding to pounce when they have a chance to buy things cheap.

This is the fourth installment of my series to discover just that: cheap stocks. If you would like to get on board from the beginning then review the initial post which screened for stocks with lower than market average P/E ratios, see Serious Money: Market Looks Cheap to Me -- 35 Stocks. In the second installment, I looked at yield and PEG ratios: Serious Money: Still Cheap Market -- 35 Stocks + Yields & Growth. Then I moved on to the the P/S and P/CF metrics in Serious Money: Cheapest Stocks Yet -- From 35 to 26, cutting nine stocks.

Continue reading Serious Money: Cheapest Stocks List Shrinks from 26 to 21

Chasing Value: Hasbro Earnings Makes My Point

Yesterday Hasbro, Inc. (HAS) reported 2009 fourth quarter and full-year results.

For the fourth quarter 2009, the Company reported net revenues of $1.38 billion, an increase of $144.1 million or 12%, compared to $1.23 billion a year ago. 2009 fourth quarter revenues grew 7% excluding a $55.4 million positive impact of foreign exchange. The Company reported net earnings for the quarter of $165.6 million or $1.09 per diluted share, an increase of $72.0 million or 77%, compared to $93.6 million or $0.62 per diluted share in 2008.

The strong results in a bad year support my contention that today's stock market, even in these uncertain times, does have plenty of bargains.

Continue reading Chasing Value: Hasbro Earnings Makes My Point

Serious Money: Cheapest Stocks Yet -- From 35 to 26

Is the market overpriced? Maybe it is cheap, or perhaps it is fairly valued. This is the third in a series examining the issue. Still, it has been my contention that it does not make any difference because no matter how the market is valued as a whole, there are plenty of cheap stocks out there to accommodate a large amount of capital allocation even this deep into a bull run.

If you would like to follow along from the beginning, the initial post screened stocks for lower than market average P/E ratios: Serious Money: Market Looks Cheap to Me -- 35 Stocks. In the second installment, I looked at yield and PEG ratios: Serious Money: Still Cheap Market -- 35 Stocks + Yields & Growth.

Continue reading Serious Money: Cheapest Stocks Yet -- From 35 to 26

Serious Money: Market Looks Cheap to Me -- 35 Stocks

We frequently receive comments that the market is overpriced. Recently one of our active readers commented that the market P/E was 30, which it's not. The actual rate (S&P forecast) has been even higher at times due to the volatile market.

The average should trend closer to the long term P/E of 15.7 in the next few years. However, I have reviewed companies often covered on our site and come up with a list of 35 stocks that have price-to-earning ratios below the long-term average already. I think there are dozens of bargains regardless of the status of the overall market.

Continue reading Serious Money: Market Looks Cheap to Me -- 35 Stocks

Chasing Value: Ten stocks for 2010 -- Part 10

The contenders list is down to twelve stocks and three puts. I will not be trimming the list today. Instead, I will be reviewing possibilities among four more stocks of well established companies.

There are the two largest home improvement stores, Home Depot (HD) and Lowe's Cos (LOW) as well as the two largest payroll companies, Automatic Data Processing (ADP) and Paychex Inc. (PAYX). They are all fine, well-managed companies, so this will just be a numbers game along with a sense of whether the economy is going to reward investors in 2010, or if it's too early.

Continue reading Chasing Value: Ten stocks for 2010 -- Part 10

Chasing Value: Ten stocks for 2010 -- Part 6

In Part 6, we're going back for seconds: our second alcohol company, energy company and medical company. The reasons should be apparent, but in case they aren't: I think all three are essential -- maybe alcohol more than the other two. Ironically alcohol can be substituted for the other two, and often has been.

All three companies are well-established and U.S. based, lead their respective industries, have top flight management in the judgment of their peers and the investment community, pay dividends and have a long history of high return-on-equity.

Continue reading Chasing Value: Ten stocks for 2010 -- Part 6

Serious Money: Fortune's 25 leaders, final 4

We started this review with 25 stocks of companies noted for their quality of management and how successful they have been at nurturing new leaders as presented in Fortune magazine. After running them through a serious screening process using universally agreed upon key metrics, the list has been reduced to six candidates for potential investment.

I will reiterate that there is no imperative to invest in any of them even if they might be among the best opportunities from a select list. While I think all of the original companies listed and stocks screened are well regarded that does not mean now is the right time to invest.

Regardless of the outcome of this process, and since price and timing are critical, it would be smart to create a stock watch-list with the inclusion of all six of these companies.

Continue reading Serious Money: Fortune's 25 leaders, final 4

Serious Money: Fortune's 25 leaders, 18 remain

This is the third screening to find value among Fortune's 25 corporate world leaders that have demonstrated an ability to regenerate themselves from within. The list has been cut to 18 and will be cut further here.

The methodology of using basic stock data points to identify potential value investments only sets the stage for success -- it assures nothing. While it is true that paying less is better than paying more and getting a higher yield is better than less, this gives you a scant picture of what is in people's hearts and minds, and that is harder to judge. Like the weather, no matter the predictions, you may not find out it is raining until you are standing in it. Regardless, it should be advantageous to start with good stock (pun intended) before you take to whittlin', and that we have.

Continue reading Serious Money: Fortune's 25 leaders, 18 remain

Serious Money: Fortune's 25 leaders, now 20

Yesterday I started a review of 25 companies that Fortune deemed most successful according to their peers in developing quality leadership. Today I review the remaining 20, searching to find the ones that might be worth investing in.

Price-to-book (from 11/27/09) was used as the first value screen. The theory being from a value investor's perspective that buying for a price at or near the break-up value of the company provides downside protection. Of course that is easier said than done.

Continue reading Serious Money: Fortune's 25 leaders, now 20

Serious Money: Fortune's 25 leaders among leaders

The recent issue of Fortune magazine discusses how the best of the best train, guide and nurture top managers to become the leaders that will propel their corporations successfully forward. They list the top 25 companies, which I have used as the basis of a new review to see how they would fair against common metric screens.

In the past few months, many articles have posited that large-cap stocks should excel in the coming year based on their lagging the market behind smaller, more volatile stocks flying out of the March lows. I do not believe this is universally true. Plenty of large-cap stocks did well, such as Anadarko Petroleum (APC), Apple (AAPL) and Google (GOOG), while many small caps went nowhere. Even among the large caps included in Fortune's "Leadership 25," some have doubled.

Continue reading Serious Money: Fortune's 25 leaders among leaders

Celgene (CELG): Cancer progress boosts biotech

"Some sectors tend to do better than others in tough times; biotechnology often surprises investors in good times and bad," suggests Brandon Clay.

In his Invest with an Edge advisory service, the growth stock advisor looks to Celgene Corporation (NASDAQ: CELG), a player in developing cancer treatments. Here's his review.

"This sometimes-perilous market niche can make or break a portfolio depending on several factors: drug pipeline, continued investment, market factors, and government approvals.

"However, despite the risks, there are times when we believe that individual biotech stocks make sense -- such as our latest recommendation for Celgene.

Continue reading Celgene (CELG): Cancer progress boosts biotech

Earnings trade #1 -- Cerner Corp. (CERN)

cerner corp earnings tradeCerner Corp. (NASDAQ: CERN) is a health care information technology provider, and that's a hot place to be right now.

The company reports on July 29, and earnings expectations are modest. In fact, only a third of covering analysts consider CERN a "buy," which leaves plenty of room for upgrades. The stock needs to break through potential resistance at $65, and earnings could give it that boost.

Buy CERN call options.

Next: Earnings Trade #2

The long & short of Bernie Schaeffer's trades

Options and trading specialist Bernie Schaeffer selects stocks based on a combination of fundamental, technical and sentiment-based metrics.

His research leads to long trading positions for his Schaeffer's Master Portfolio and short trading plays for his Schaeffer's Short Selling services.

Here's a long at four of his latest trading ideas -- long positions in Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX) and VMware (NYSE: VMW) as well as short position in Exxon Mobil (NYSE: XOM) and Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL).

Continue reading The long & short of Bernie Schaeffer's trades

Option Action: BEAT, CREE, PCX

This post was written by Minyanville contributor Steve Smith.

Shares of CardioNet (NASDAQ: BEAT) shares are off $0.20 to $18.60 and option volume is three times the daily average. The focus is buying in the June $17.50 put which has seen over 5,100 contracts trade, 90% of which occurred at the ask, and exceeds prior open interest of if 1,018 contracts. This new put buying is driving up implied volatility 14% to the 65% level this morning.

CREE Inc. (NASDAQ: CREE) shares are up over 12% to $31.30 after the electronics parts manufacturer pre-announced and raised guidance. Options running 3X the daily average with 85% of trades on the call side. Active strikes are the include June $30 call and July $30 calls, with latter's volume exceeding strike's of 295 exceeding prior open interest. Notable is buying in longer dated series; the Sep $30 call, Dec $35 call and Jan 2010 $30 call have all traded over 200 contracts all of which exceed their strike's prior open interest.

Patriot Coal (NYSE: PCX) is up 19 cents to $9.15 and 2,500 Jun 10 calls traded. Nearly all the volume has been done at the asking price suggesting this speculative call buying.

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Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA+150.2510,058.64
NASDAQ+24.822,150.87
S&P 500+13.781,070.52

Last updated: February 10, 2010: 06:37 AM

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