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Options Update: US Airways Volatility Low into Report of Merger Talks with UAL

US Airways (LCC) rallied 10% to close at $7.55 on reports of merger talks with United Airlines (UAUA). LCC is expected to report Q1 EPS in late April. WTI Crude futures are recently up 1.01% to $86.25, according to Bloomberg. Overall option implied volatility is below its 26-week average of 89, according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price movement.

UAL Corp (UAUA) rallied 6% to close at $20.23. UAUA overall option implied volatility of 60 is below its 26-week average of 79, according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price movement.

Three stocks with IV rise on April 8; Eastman Kodak (EK) +15%, Brodcade (BRCD) +4%, MGM-Mirage (MGM) +2% according to IVolatility.

Update is by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

Before the Bell: Futures Lower Despite Strong March Retail Sales

U.S. stock futures once again fell Thursday morning, pointing to yet another lower start and yet another possible session of losses amid worries over Greece and its debt problems. Meanwhile, investors' focus is also on the airline and retail sectors as rumors about merger talks between two airlines surfaced late Wednesday and retailers are reporting March sales this morning.

U.S. stocks retreated Wednesday and may continue to pull back Thursday after nearly two months of continuous gains. European shares declined again on mounting worries about Greece's financial predicament, especially as the country's borrowing costs keep climbing. Meanwhile, The European Central Bank and the Bank of England have kept their benchmark interest rate unchanged, at record lows.

Continue reading Before the Bell: Futures Lower Despite Strong March Retail Sales

United Airlines and US Airways Discussing Possible Merger

On Wednesday evening, reports began to surface that UAL Corp (UAUA) and U.S. Airways (LCC) may be discussing a merger. The New York Times noted that the two airlines are "deep" in merger discussions, which would create the nation's second-biggest airline. According to the report, this is the third time in the past decade that the two have talked merger. Will this time be different?

I honestly believe that this time will be different, in large part because of the economy. As The Times points out, Southwest Airlines (LUV) was the only low-cost air carrier to turn a profit last year. A merger between UAUA and LCC could turn the companies a profit faster than as separate entities.

Continue reading United Airlines and US Airways Discussing Possible Merger

Bears Buy Puts in UAL Corp. (UAUA)

UAL Corp. (UAUA) shares have had quite a 2010, gaining roughly 23% year-to-date and rocketing 17% higher last Tuesday amid a broad rally in the airline sector. Earlier today, the stock hit a fresh 52-week high but has since retreated about 1.5%.

With the stock at historical highs, some option traders are predicting that a pullback is in the offing. The near-term March 15 puts have seen heightened activity today, with nearly 40,000 contracts trading in the first four hours of the session. Heading into today, this out-of-the-money put was home to fewer than 9,000 contracts, suggesting that the bulk of today's volume is being traded to open (and will translate as new open interest tomorrow).

Continue reading Bears Buy Puts in UAL Corp. (UAUA)

United Airlines Buys On-Time Success

The silver lining to the travel slump last year was that fewer flights made it easier for airlines to hit their deadlines. In 2009, the airline sector had its best year for on-time arrivals since 2003, largely because many routes were cut as passenger traffic fell and companies looked for ways to cut costs. According to the Department of Transportation, airlines hit a 79.5% on-time rate last year (which includes flights that were within 15 minutes of their arrival time).

Hawaiian Airlines had the best record, but it's a small regional, lacking the challenges of the major carriers. Among the big guys, Southwest's (LUV) 83% on-time rate was best, and United's (UAUA) 81% was tops for traditional air carriers. Of course, these airlines and the rest of the sector were helped along by the fact that they pad their schedule, which makes it a hell of a lot easier to show up on time.

Continue reading United Airlines Buys On-Time Success

United Airlines Sees Flat Traffic in December

Monday, United Airlines (UAUA) announced that its December traffic matched last year's traffic, but that planes were more crowded. Confused? UAUA had fewer flights this year compared to a year ago, so matching traffic from last year meant that the planes had more passengers.

The air carrier announced that paying passengers flew 9.21 billion miles last month and capacity shrank to 11.24 billion available seat miles from 11.60 billion in December 2008. All this totaled up to average occupancy of 81.9%, up from 79.4% a year earlier. Average occupancy for the year increased to 81.2% from 80.4%. Taking regional operations out of the equation, average occupancy on UAUA flights came in at 83%, up from 79.9% in the prior year.

Continue reading United Airlines Sees Flat Traffic in December

Closing Bell: Santa and Eggnog Preside over Stocks (IBM, BRK.A, UAUA, FNM, FRE AAPL)

Today was a low volume trading day without much economic fanfare as many market participants were out or were talking about the Christmas holiday rather than the markets. The manufacturing output was reported for the Dallas and Chicago Fed Districts, but this in and of itself is rarely enough to heavily influence the markets. There will be more traders around on Tuesday and Wednesday most likely, but then it is likely to peter out again on Thursday ahead of the New Year's Day holiday this Friday. The markets were mixed throughout the trading day, and the real position for an up-close or down-close was something not known until the very end of the trading day.

Here are today's unofficial closing bell levels:

Dow 10,547.30 +27.20 (0.26%)
S&P 500 1,127.78 +1.30 (0.12%)
Nasdaq 2,291.08 +5.39 (0.24%)

Top Day Trader Alerts
Top Stock Rumors

Continue reading Closing Bell: Santa and Eggnog Preside over Stocks (IBM, BRK.A, UAUA, FNM, FRE AAPL)

Options Update: Airline Volatility Decreases as Shares Rally

Alaska Air (ALK) closed at $35.83. ALK January call option implied volatility is at 35, puts at 40, February calls are at 39, puts at 45; below its 26-week average of 53, according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price movement.

UAL Corp (UAUA) closed at $12.93. WTI Crude oil futures are recently up 0.40% to $74.70, according to Bloomberg. UAUA January option implied volatility is at 83, February is at 82; below its six-month average of 94, according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price movement.

CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) at 19.54; 10-day moving average is 21.39.

Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

Delta: Plenty of room for airline industry consolidation

The fact that there hasn't been any action in a while doesn't mean there isn't room for more. Richard Anderson, CEO of Delta Airlines (DAL), says that the airline industry could consolidate further -- not exactly a shock in an industry that is known for universal financial suffering. He notes, "If a transaction were to occur, economics should prevail."

The only concern, of course, is whether the Obama administration would sign off on any future deals. Anderson believes, "I think the case can be made ultimately, but it remains to be seen what this administration's take will be."

Continue reading Delta: Plenty of room for airline industry consolidation

Ray of light: Airlines say travel slump has ended

This constitutes multiple 'rays of light:' United Airlines (UAUA) Tuesday announced that it would acquire 50 new planes. Twenty five are The Boeing Company (BA) 787 Dreamliners and twenty five Airbus A350 XWBs -- widebody planes with a list price of $9 billion, CNNMoney.com reported.

And Wednesday Delta Air Lines Inc. (DAL) and United indicated that business travel is improving and that the worst of the travel demand slump was over, Bloomberg News reported.

Continue reading Ray of light: Airlines say travel slump has ended

Low cost carriers own 30% of domestic airline biz, growing fast

For years, it's been evident that smaller airlines have had an operating advantage, particularly when they use less expensive airports. They've been able to post better numbers as a result, and in the current travel slump, they've outperformed the larger carriers. Well, they've also picked up a considerable amount of market share.

According to a report by USA Today, low cost carriers now have 30% of the market in the United States. Price-sensitive consumers are turning to cheaper alternatives, even if it means (for fliers with elite status) giving up the perks they've earned through years of customer loyalty.

Continue reading Low cost carriers own 30% of domestic airline biz, growing fast

Airline stocks lifted by upbeat international passenger data

AMR logoAmerican Airlines (NYSE: AMR - option chain) shares are rising today along with most other major airlines this morning after the International Air Transport Association said international passenger demand rose 0.3% year-over-year in September, the first month of growth in the past year. AMR, Delta (NYSE: DAL), Continental (NYSE: CAL) and United (NASDAQ: UAUA) are all in the green between 2% and 3% so far today. If you think that AMR won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on the stock.

AMR opened this morning at $5.68. So far today the stock has hit a low of $5.55 and a high of $5.70. As of 11:50, AMR is trading at $5.57 up 13 cents(2.4%). The chart for AMR looks neutral and S&P gives AMR a neutral 3 STARS (out of 5) hold ranking.

Continue reading Airline stocks lifted by upbeat international passenger data

Earnings highlights: Boeing, Coca-Cola, eBay, Microsoft, Pfizer, UAL, Yahoo! ...

Here are some highlights from last week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

Continue reading Earnings highlights: Boeing, Coca-Cola, eBay, Microsoft, Pfizer, UAL, Yahoo! ...

UAL has almost good news for third quarter

The skies are starting to look a little friendlier to United Airlines (NASDAQ: UAUA). The airline reported a quarterly loss that was lower than expected. Third quarter traffic was off only 2.9%, but because United used discounts to fill seats, revenue fell 20.3% (to $4.43 billion). The key to a recovery will be getting passengers to shell out for more expensive seats. According to United's president, John Tague, "There's no opportunity here for a full revenue recovery until we get premium cabin pricing back." He doesn't know how long this is going to take, but does say that he's seen progress over the past few months.

Nonetheless, it's important not to confuse "not so bad" with "making money." UAL lost $57 million (39 cents a share) last quarter. If it hadn't had some good news on fuel hedges and accounting issues, the loss would have been 43 cents a share. Again, this is better than analysts polled by Thomson Reuters expected: they were forecasting a loss of 94 cents per share. And, the third quarter loss was much better than last year's $792 million for the third quarter.

But, it all comes down to the bottom line, and a loss is a loss is a loss.

Continue reading UAL has almost good news for third quarter

Extra airline fees to become the new 'normal'

If you think all those new airline fees were a temporary measure to help these beleaguered companies through an economic crisis, you're out of your mind. Now that they've had a taste of how much they can make by charging you for an extra bag or a little more leg room, they're hooked. More important, the fees are making up a meaningful portion of airline revenues and profits, so investors aren't likely to be satisfied with a return to normal – well, they can't. Extra fees are the new "normal."

Continue reading Extra airline fees to become the new 'normal'

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Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA+33.6012,529.75
NASDAQ-10.742,839.38
S&P 500+1.821,320.68

Last updated: May 25, 2012: 04:04 AM

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