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Before the Bell: Stocks to Struggle at the Open

U.S. stock futures were lower Thursday following declines in overseas markets as worries about Europe's sovereign debts resumed. Despite Cisco Systems' upbeat report concerns about the economic recovery ahead of the jobs report continued to affect investors' sentiment.

Already on Wednesday, several weak economic readings, including a service sector gauge, and disappointing results from Pfizer (PFE) pushed stocks lower. But Wall Street is bracing for the nonfarm payroll report due out Friday morning to get a better feel for the state of the economic recovery and employment.

Continue reading Before the Bell: Stocks to Struggle at the Open

Serious Money: Fortune's 25 leaders, 18 remain

This is the third screening to find value among Fortune's 25 corporate world leaders that have demonstrated an ability to regenerate themselves from within. The list has been cut to 18 and will be cut further here.

The methodology of using basic stock data points to identify potential value investments only sets the stage for success -- it assures nothing. While it is true that paying less is better than paying more and getting a higher yield is better than less, this gives you a scant picture of what is in people's hearts and minds, and that is harder to judge. Like the weather, no matter the predictions, you may not find out it is raining until you are standing in it. Regardless, it should be advantageous to start with good stock (pun intended) before you take to whittlin', and that we have.

Continue reading Serious Money: Fortune's 25 leaders, 18 remain

Serious Money: Fortune's 25 leaders, now 20

Yesterday I started a review of 25 companies that Fortune deemed most successful according to their peers in developing quality leadership. Today I review the remaining 20, searching to find the ones that might be worth investing in.

Price-to-book (from 11/27/09) was used as the first value screen. The theory being from a value investor's perspective that buying for a price at or near the break-up value of the company provides downside protection. Of course that is easier said than done.

Continue reading Serious Money: Fortune's 25 leaders, now 20

Serious Money: Fortune's 25 leaders among leaders

The recent issue of Fortune magazine discusses how the best of the best train, guide and nurture top managers to become the leaders that will propel their corporations successfully forward. They list the top 25 companies, which I have used as the basis of a new review to see how they would fair against common metric screens.

In the past few months, many articles have posited that large-cap stocks should excel in the coming year based on their lagging the market behind smaller, more volatile stocks flying out of the March lows. I do not believe this is universally true. Plenty of large-cap stocks did well, such as Anadarko Petroleum (APC), Apple (AAPL) and Google (GOOG), while many small caps went nowhere. Even among the large caps included in Fortune's "Leadership 25," some have doubled.

Continue reading Serious Money: Fortune's 25 leaders among leaders

Options Update: Sara Lee January volatility flat into personal care sale

Sara Lee (NYSE: SLE) closed at $10.54. Unilever (NYSE: UN) agreed to buy SLE's personal-care and European detergent unit for $1.88 billion. SLE's board of directors authorized a $1 billion share repurchase program. SLE October option implied volatility is at 39, November is at 38; near its 26-week average of 38 according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional price movement.

MSCI Brazil Index (NYSE: EWZ) is recently up 37 cents to $65.04 in pre-open trading. Brazil Bovespa Stock Index is up 0.1%. EWZ call option volume of 14,379 contracts compares to put volume of 22,765 contracts. EWZ October option implied volatility is at 37, October and January is at 38; below its 26-week average of 45, according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price movement.

Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com

Before the bell: Futures point to a lower start after a decline in durable orders

U.S. stock futures inched higher Friday morning, perhaps trying to break the two-day losing streak. After Thursday stocks fell on an unexpected drop in sales of existing homes, this morning's new home sales will no doubt be in focus, as will durable goods orders data.

Also in focus this morning are Research In Motion (NASDAQ: RIMM)'s disappointing earnings reported late Thursday and Unilever's (NYSE: UL) $1.88 billion offer for the global body care unit of Sara Lee (NYSE: SLE).

[Update: durable goods orders data actually fell in August, catching the Street by surprise. Futures now indicate a lower start.]

Continue reading Before the bell: Futures point to a lower start after a decline in durable orders

Cramer on BloggingStocks: Freeport-McMoRan must come to the market

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says in the wake of an upgrade, FCX has to do a big equity offering.

What will Richard Adkerson do? I can tell you what the CEO of Freeport-McMoRan (NYSE: FCX) (Cramer's Take) ought to do in the wake of the Bank of America-Merrill Lynch upgrade to buy from sell. He ought to do the biggest darned equity offering in history.

I like Richard. He's candid, he's a great copper man, but he spent too much at the high on Phelps Dodge and wasn't prepared when copper prices plummeted as his balance sheet's simply not so hot. So he had to cut his dividend at the bottom, literally at the exact bottom.

Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: Freeport-McMoRan must come to the market

Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: THOO, VMW, VOD, BKC, CVX, HBAN ...

Analyst upgrades:
  • Jefferies upgraded VMware (NYSE: VMW) to Hold from Underperform on expectations June quarter revenue will be inline-to-slightly-better and negative revisions to September quarter revenue will not be as great as in the most recent two quarters. The firm raised its target on shares to $25 from $20.
  • Citigroup upgraded Blue Nile (NASDAQ: NILE) to Buy from Hold on valuation following the recent pullback and believes expectations for Q2 are reasonable. The firm has a $50 price target on the stock.
  • FBR Capital upgraded Bronco Drilling (NASDAQ: BRNC) to Market Perform from Underperform on valuation as it believes negative sentiment will ease. The firm raised its target on shares to $4 from $3.
  • Unilever (NYSE: UL) was upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JP Morgan.
  • Posco (NYSE: PKX) was upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley.
  • Gol Linhas Aereas (NYSE: GOL) was upgraded to Buy from Underperform at BofA/Merrill.

Continue reading Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: THOO, VMW, VOD, BKC, CVX, HBAN ...

Happy Father's Day: How about a cup of tea?

Perhaps oddly apropos for Father's Day: there's more news of the health effects of green tea; specifically, that compounds found in green tea may slow the growth of prostate cancer, the second leading cause of cancer death among American men.

Researchers have found that polyphenols, a green tea extract with antioxidant properties, lower the levels of proteins that tumors use to grow. While green tea may keep cancer from growing fast, they point out, it may not be able to shrink tumors. But it can be a good addition to traditional therapies such as chemotherapy or radiation.

Continue reading Happy Father's Day: How about a cup of tea?

Cramer on BloggingStocks: The seductive pull of the early cycle

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer is seeing signs of a coming boom, but he's still being cautious here.

If you had to define the early cycle, if you had to outline what stocks should be soaring coming out of a recession into a boom and which ones should be faltering, you would have to say the action in this market in the last month is the quintessential behavioral pattern.

What are the components of the early cycle? First, it's the homebuilders. As is typical coming out of a recession, the stocks precede the bottom of housing. That's exactly what's happening with the lowest permits and highest affordability and best mortgage rates and massive inventory. Everywhere, except on Wall Street reporting, the bottom is bursting out. When you read the lead story in the Sunday Philadelphia Inquirer, and it is all about the thousands of prospective homebuyers heading south to pick up condos and homes for half of what they were worth two years ago -- or even less -- and you know that virtually no one has broken ground in the Sunshine State in a year, you can bet that the bottom's actually behind us. This housing market has wiped out all but the most stable private builders and even the public ones are merging as we know from Pulte (NYSE: PHM) (Cramer's Take) and Centex (NYSE: CTX) (Cramer's Take). So, in the next cycle, you can see some profitability developing year over year even though the new homes don't have much margin because the foreclosed homes next door are going for a song. And don't believe this won't change the dynamic of future foreclosures. In most areas, rent is higher than the interest on mortgages, so you will find that second or third job needed to stay in your home. The incentive structure's radically different than a year ago.

Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: The seductive pull of the early cycle

Global Q&A: Using both fundamentals and momentum

I am the Global Editor at MoneyShow.com and each week I interview an investing expert. This week, I spoke with Cynthia Tusan, president of Strategic Global Advisors -- a woman-owned asset management firm -- who discusses her approach to global investing.

Q. Cynthia, your stated strategy is a fundamental, bottom-up approach, focusing on international companies. With that in mind, which are the three most important criteria that you use to determine whether a company's stock has the right stuff?

A. Our approach is both fundamental and quantitative, but we focus mainly on company-specific factors. Over the years we have consistently focused on four areas: valuation, growth, quality, and sentiment. For 2008, we were more active in looking at debt levels of companies and price momentum.

Continue reading Global Q&A: Using both fundamentals and momentum

Stocks in the news: IBM, BHP, ERIC, AAPL, UTX, F, BCS, C, UL, WMT ...

IBM (NYSE: IBM), the tech bellwether, reported quarterly results Tuesday after the close, surprising analyst with a 12% rise in profit. It also forecast 2009 earnings of at least $9.20 a share, compared to analyst expectations around $8.70 a share. Shares were up about 3.9% in premarket trading.

BHP Biliton (NYSE: BHP), the largest mining company in the world, said it would lay off 6% of its global workforce or 6,000 workers as a result of production cuts. Around 550 of them will be in the U.S. Shares declined nearly a percent in premarket trading.

Ericsson (NASDAQ: ERIC), the Swedish telecom equipment maker, announced a 31% profit drop and a 23% surge in sales. It also said it would cut 5,000 jobs in the attempt to save $1.2 billion in costs in 2009. Shares gained nearly 13.5% in premarket trading.

Many companies are due to report results on Wednesday: AMR Corp. (NYSE: AMR), UAL Corp. (NASDAQ: UAUA), BlackRock (NYSE: BLK) and Coach Inc. (NYSE: COH) and after the close, Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) and eBay Inc. (NASDAQ: EBAY).

Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) said it expects to earn $1.06 to $1.35 per share on sales from $9 billion to $10 billion in the first quarter, but analysts seem to expect more, estimating income of $1.39 per share on $9.74 billion in revenue, according to Thomson Reuters. Meanwhile, U.S. regulators are examining Apple's disclosures about Jobs' health problems to ensure investors weren't misled, according to Bloomberg sources. Shares gained about 1.3% in premarket trading.

Continue reading Stocks in the news: IBM, BHP, ERIC, AAPL, UTX, F, BCS, C, UL, WMT ...

Analyst calls: RTP, ITRI, HLS, BHP, BX, DT, UL, GPC, KND . . .

Analyst upgrades:

  • Canaccord upgraded Rio Tinto (NYSE: RTP) to Buy from Hold citing valuation following the severe price decline following BHP Billiton's (NYSE: BHP) dropped bid.
  • UBS upgraded Itron (NASDAQ: ITRI) to Buy from Neutral citing valuation and defensive business mix.
  • Jefferies upgraded shares of HealthSouth (NYSE: HLS) to Buy from Hold on valuation and maintains a $13.50 target.
  • Melco PBL Entertainment (NASDAQ: MPEL) was raised to buy from Neutral at Goldman.
  • PG&E (NYSE: PCG) was upgraded at Merrill Lynch to Buy from Neutral.
  • HSBC Holdings (NYSE: HBC) was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at UBS.

Analyst downgrades:

Continue reading Analyst calls: RTP, ITRI, HLS, BHP, BX, DT, UL, GPC, KND . . .

Cramer on BloggingStocks: Lower oil will be a boon -- next year

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says comparisons will be so easy that companies with strong pricing will outperform.

These year-over-year declines in energy costs along with the inability of the Chinese market to fall much further are the two bright spots that long-term investing can give us. The notion that there are consumer-products companies that have put in price increases that for the most part are sticking and that the developing world could come back with lower rates, makes me feel that the Unilever (NYSE: UN) (Cramer's Take)/Procter (NYSE: PG) (Cramer's Take)/Colgate (NYSE: CL) (Cramer's Take) cohort could have a remarkable rally.

But not until after this current quarter, because the price decreases have been incredibly slow to come in and the dollar is so strong.

I key on those because frankly, oil looks like it is going to struggle to hold $50, and while that is a sure sign of a terrible recession coming, it is, alas, good news for the companies like Kellogg (NYSE: K) (Cramer's Take) and General Mills (NYSE: GIS) (Cramer's Take) that use energy and whose product pricing has held.

Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: Lower oil will be a boon -- next year

Before the bell: Futures soar ahead of GDP; DAL, XOM, GM, ALU, MOT, UL ...

U.S. stock futures were much higher this morning, indicating markets could open with strong gains a day after the Federal Reserve cut rates by half a point to 1% and indicated further measures will be taken as necessary. While Wall Street ended mixed, global markets took this, as well as other measures central banks around the world have been taking, as a good sign and stocks in Asia and Europe rallied. However, at 8:30 a.m. this morning, advanced GDP for the third quarter will be released, and will likely show the economy has contracted for the first time. Economists expect GDP fell 0.5-0.6% in the quarter. Weekly jobless claims is also due at the same time.

Exxon Mobil Corp. (NYSE: XOM) - sometime before the opening bell, Exxon is scheduled to report third-quarter earnings. Much like other oil producers that have already reported, posting huge profits for the quarter due to record high oil prices, so is Exxon expected to report sharply higher profit.

Delta Air Lines (NYSE: DAL) - after the merger was approved Wednesday, Delta completed its $2.8 billion acquisition of Northwest Airlines (NYSE: NWA) on Wednesday to become the world's biggest carrier. Shares of both carriers surged 6% in after-hours.

Continue reading Before the bell: Futures soar ahead of GDP; DAL, XOM, GM, ALU, MOT, UL ...

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DJIA+33.6012,529.75
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S&P 500+1.821,320.68

Last updated: May 25, 2012: 04:04 AM

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