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Will Union Pacific Break Through $100?

Union Pacific (UNP) train engineThe shares of Union Pacific (UNP), which I first discussed here on March 27, 2009, at a price of $43, have failed three times this winter to break through major, psychological resistance at $100. Needless to add, if you haven't already, now may be a good time to consider taking some profits if you're in near $43.

However, those investors who can tolerate the risk can maintain their full position in UNP, but keep in mind that the journey to $120 probably will not be completed in 2011.

Continue reading Will Union Pacific Break Through $100?

Has Union Pacific Topped at $100?

Union Pacific (UNP) shares, first discussed here on March 27, 2009 at a price of $43, rose this winter to within roughly 50 cents of major, psychological resistance at $100, and if you haven't already, now may be a good time to consider taking some profits.

However, those investors who can tolerate the risk can maintain their full position, but keep in mind that the journey to $120 probably will not be completed in 2011.

Many macro-factors are running in UNP's favor. Union's revenue will likely increase an impressive 15-20% in 2010, with a better than 7% volume rise, on rising intermodal, industrial, and chemical transportation demand; 2011 revenue should advance 10-12%

Continue reading Has Union Pacific Topped at $100?

Union Pacific Down Following Quarterly Report

Union Pacific Corp. (UNP), a railway concern whose colleagues include CSX Corp. (CSX) and Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC), was down 2.6% to $94.78 at one point during today's afternoon session. Why is the market unhappy with the stock? The catalyst was an earnings report. Were the numbers so bad?

After reading a summary of the company's fourth quarter by the Associated Press, I came away thinking that the stats were actually quite attractive. Net income jumped 44% to $1.56 per share. This figure was eight pennies ahead of the overall projection.

Continue reading Union Pacific Down Following Quarterly Report

Analyst Calls: AKAM, CL, DB, JASO, MON, PVH, RAX, UNP ...

Analyst Upgrades

  • Citigroup upgraded Colgate (CL) and Phillips-Van Heusen (PVH) to buy from hold.
  • Wells Fargo upgraded IDACORP (IDA) to outperform from market perform.
  • Union Pacific (UNP) was upgraded to outperform from neutral at RW Baird.
  • Goldman upgraded Quicksilver (KWK) to neutral from sell.
  • Republic Airways (RJET) was upgraded to buy from hold at Deutsche Bank.
  • BofA/Merrill upgraded GAMCO Investors (GBL) to neutral from underperform.
  • Senior Housing (SNH) was upgraded to outperform from market perform at JMP Securities.

Continue reading Analyst Calls: AKAM, CL, DB, JASO, MON, PVH, RAX, UNP ...

Union Pacific's Train Is Literally Leaving the Station

If you held on to your Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) shares, first discussed here on March 27, 2009, at a price of $43, during its summer doldrums, you're being rewarded, as the shares have powered ahead, taking out $80 and $90 resistance.

In fact, if you bought at/near the $48.62 price, now may be a good time to consider taking some profits off the table with UNP. However, those investors who can tolerate the risk can retain their full position and go for a possible greater gain.

I'd also raise the sell/stop loss to $76 from $43.

Continue reading Union Pacific's Train Is Literally Leaving the Station

CSX Goes Beyond Projections in Q3

Railway company CSX (CSX) shares are up for the year. Even though the chart may look choppy, the stock is up nearly 35% year-to-date. Tuesday, it closed at a price of $57.26. After the bell, the company, which competes with such companies as Norfolk Southern (NSC) and Union Pacific (UNP), released third-quarter earnings were, and investors thought enough of them to give the company a bid in the extended session.

According to theflyonthewall, earnings per share of $1.08 beat the market's estimate by four pennies. That $1.08 figure was, as the corporate press release states, 48% higher than the year-ago income level.

Continue reading CSX Goes Beyond Projections in Q3

Does Union Pacific's Pull-Back Represent an Opportunity?

The shares of Union Pacific (UNP), first discussed here on March 27, 2009 at a price of $43, have pulled-back to about $69 recently, roughly in-sync with the Dow's recent doldrums, but I still like the shares. Here's why:

Look for Union's revenue to increase an impressive 12-15% in 2010, with a better than 7% volume rise, on rising intermodal, industrial, and chemical transportation demand.

Further, the calculation here remains that the railroad rebound has only just begun, due to U.S./global economic recoveries. The more economically-sensitive, cyclical freight business is just starting to gain steam, and the increased demand should support UNP's pricing power, in addition to volumes. A modest $1.84 annual dividend complements the growth story.

Continue reading Does Union Pacific's Pull-Back Represent an Opportunity?

Analyst Calls: AZN, BTU, CSX, FTE, HCBK, NEE, NFLX, STJ, UNP ...

Analyst Upgrades

  • JPMorgan upgraded AstraZeneca (AZN) to neutral from underweight after the company's U.S. Crestor patent was ruled valid. The firm believes the ruling could lead to AstraZeneca announcing a sizeable share buyback program. AstraZeneca was also upgraded to buy from neutral at BofA/Merrill and to hold from underperform at Jefferies.
  • Deutsche Bank upgraded Peabody Energy (BTU) to buy from hold, citing valuation and attractive fundamentals in the coal sector. The firm has a $57.50 price target for shares, and also maintains buy ratings on Arch Coal (ACI) and Alpha Natural (ANR).
  • Oppenheimer upgraded NextEra Energy (NEE) to outperform from perform, citing valuation and an improving regulation outlook in Florida. The firm maintains a $55 price target for shares.
  • Eaton Vance (EV) was upgraded to buy from neutral at BofA/Merrill.
  • Dynamex (DDMX) was upgraded to overweight from equal weight at Stephens.
  • Soleil upgraded RPM (RPM) to buy from gradually accumulate.

Continue reading Analyst Calls: AZN, BTU, CSX, FTE, HCBK, NEE, NFLX, STJ, UNP ...

Railroads Traffic Indicates Rebound, but Not Recovery

If rail freight numbers are a good economic indicator, and in my experience they are, then the railroads are sending a very strong message right now. That message, in it's simplest form, says that our national economy is rebounding nicely from last year's low ebb, but we've not yet moved into what could be termed a substantial recovery.

The Association of American Railroads (AAR) latest traffic report paints a fairly bright, yet cautious, picture. Carload freight volume is above 2009 levels for the sixth straight week over last year, and intermodal freight volume (shipping containers and semi trailers loaded on train cars) is above 2009 levels for the twelfth straight week. Total freight volume for the week ending April 3, 2010 was estimated at 31.3 billion ton-miles. This represents an 11% increase over the same week in 2009, but still represents a decrease of 9.3% when compared to the same week in 2008.

Continue reading Railroads Traffic Indicates Rebound, but Not Recovery

Ride the Railroad Rebound with Union Pacific

Typically, the stance would be to take profits after an 70% or so run-up with a stock, but that's not the case with railroad Union Pacific (UNP), first discussed here on March 27, 2009, at a price of $43.

Look for Union's revenue to increase an impressive 8% to 11% in 2010, with a better than 5% volume rise, on rising intermodal, industrial and chemical transportation demand.

Continue reading Ride the Railroad Rebound with Union Pacific

A Value Shopper's List of Graham and Dodd Stocks

"Berkshire Hathaway's Warren Buffet is a disciple of the teachings of Benjamin Graham and David Dodd, who made their fortunes by buying businesses that were selling for less than the value of their working capital (current assets minus current liabilities," notes Vita Nelson.

The editor of The Moneypaper explains, "The pair developed a Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) model to determine if a company was worth its market price. Their formula subtracts all liabilities, including short-term debt and preferred stock, from a company's current asset balance"

Continue reading A Value Shopper's List of Graham and Dodd Stocks

What Is Warren Buffett Telling You?

Warren BuffetAs always, there is a volume of speculation after the much anticipated release of the quarterly changes in holdings report from Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A). While leaving all the deep analytical number crunching for greater minds than my own, I'd like to take a look at what Warren Buffett could be telling us through his company's latest form 13F.

Why has Warren Buffett swallowed Burlington Northern Santa Fe (BNI) while letting go of Norfolk Southern (NSC) and Union Pacific (UNP)? Being the master of due diligence, Mr. Buffett has most likely determined that BNI is the most attractive of the three. The future of rail transport is all but guaranteed to shine, and I believe that Mr. Buffett has exited the other two rail companies simply to avoid conflict of interest issues.

Continue reading What Is Warren Buffett Telling You?

Last Chance to Board the UNP Express

Did you manage to catch that Union Pacific (UNP) train leaving the station? If you did as recommended in my buy rating on March 27, 2009 at $43.00 per share, you're up more than 55%.

To be sure, UNP, with a P/E of about 16, is not as cheap as it was in March 2009, but upside remains, and I'm Reiterating my Buy rating. Keep in mind that this probably will be the last time to establish a position in UNP and earn an outsized gain in this economic expansion cycle.

Continue reading Last Chance to Board the UNP Express

Cramer on BloggingStocks: Endless Caveats Don't Make You Any Money

The Street.com's Jim Cramer says that he's making it his mission in 2010 to call out people in the media who provide no value.

Have you ever noticed that with every good housing report there are endless caveats:

1. Prices are still down year over year.

2. The home tax credit of $8,000 moved the house, and that will go away.

3. Home mortgages are artificially low because of the Fed.

4. Banks have more foreclosures on their balance sheets than before.

5. Foreclosures continue to occur.

6. Everything will slip back to imbalance when the credit goes away.

Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: Endless Caveats Don't Make You Any Money

Profit from the global economic recovery with Union Pacific

As expected, Union Pacific (NYSE: UNP) is rolling along, which is why I'm Reiterating my Buy rating for the company, first recommended on March 27, 2009 at a price of $43.00. If you bought UNP in March, you're up 37%.

UNP posted Q3 EPS of $1.02, above Wall Street's 98 cents-$1.01 consensus estimate. Stronger pricing power played a role, and that bodes well for the quarters ahead.

Continue reading Profit from the global economic recovery with Union Pacific

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Last updated: February 10, 2012: 02:22 AM

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