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Options Update: U.S. Bancorp Volatility Flat; Announces 150% Dividend Increase

U.S. Bancorp (USB) has approved a 150% increase in the dividend rate on U.S. Bancorp common stock to 50 cents on an annualized basis, or 12.5 cents on a quarterly basis. April and June option implied volatility of 30 is near its 26-week average of 29, according to Track Data, suggesting nondirectional price movement.

Wells Fargo (WFC) announced a special Q1 cash dividend on its common stock of 7 cents per share, together with the 5 cent per share dividend. April put option implied volatility is at 33, July is at 35, near its 26-week average of 34, according to Track Data, suggesting nondirectional price movement.

Options Update is by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

Comfort Zone Investing: Time to Buy Banks?

a pile of cashBanks were sick for a while. Some of them died (41 in the third quarter alone, a total of 127 so far this year), quickly taken over by the FDIC (Federal Deposit Insurance Corp.), transferring their ticket to ride to another institution that changed the name on the front door (but kept the FDIC sticker) over a weekend. More will evaporate. There are currently 860 on the FDIC's list of problem institutions as of September 30. That compares to 829 at the end of June. But the latest bank profits suggest the worst is over for the banking sector.

Continue reading Comfort Zone Investing: Time to Buy Banks?

Options Update: US Bancorp September Volatility at 32, December at 39

US Bancorp (USB) closed at $20.95. USB September put option implied volatility is at 32. December is at 39, above its 26-week average of 32, according to Track Data, suggesting larger December price movement.

BB&T (BBT) closed at $22.27. BBT September put option implied volatility is at 33. December is at 39 versus its 26-week average of 34, according to Track Data, suggesting larger December price movement.

Options Update is by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

Options Update: Apollo Group Volatility Increases; Shares Near 44-Month Low

Apollo Group, Inc. (APOL) closed down $1.51 to $38.96. Education Secretary Arne Duncan said his department will increase oversight of federal student financial-aid programs in a letter to Senator Harkin, according to Bloomberg. September put option implied volatility is at 53, November is at 54; above its 26-week average of 48 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.

US Bancorp (USB) closed down 20c to $22.24. USB overall option implied volatility of 35 is above its 26-week average of 32, according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.

CBOE Mini-NDX-MNX down $1.18 to 182.03; overall volatility at 20.

Options Update is by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

Firms Lining Up to Upgrade U.S. Bank

US Bancorp USB logoAnalysts seem to be lining up to upgrade U.S. Bancorp (USB). UBS upgraded the stock from a Neutral to a Buy yesterday, and FBR Capital jumped on the band wagon today with an upgrade from a Market Perform to Outperform.

The only difference in the outlooks for U.S. Bank from these two firms is UBS sees the stock rising to $29, while FBR Capital sees it rising to only $28 -- the high level U.S. Bank saw in mid-April before turning around and falling with the rest of the market.

I, too, like U.S. Bank's prospects in the future. As Congress continues to take teeth out of the financial reform legislation to try and find a way to get 60 votes in the Senate, future prospects for the financial industry continue to look better and better. And since the prospect of a heavier regulatory hand is already priced into these financial stocks, U.S. Bank looks like it could rebound quite nicely as traders adjust positively to watered-down reforms.

Continue reading Firms Lining Up to Upgrade U.S. Bank

Analyst Calls: BA, C, CLDT, DNB, DWA, JCG, MGM, RIG, SLRY, USB, WDR ...

Analyst Upgrades

  • Oppenheimer upgraded Citigroup (C) to outperform from perform, citing an attractive valuation following the recent pullback in shares. The firm has a $4.58 price target for the stock.
  • Macquarie upgraded Transocean (RIG) to to outperform from neutral and has price target of $85 on the stock. The firm believes bad news is already priced into shares.
  • JPMorgan upgraded U.S. Bancorp (USB) to overweight from neutral, citing the recent pullback in shares and a lower impact from the financial reform bill. The firm has a $31.50 price target for the stock.
  • Boeing (BA) was upgraded to equal weight from underweight at Morgan Stanley.
  • Health Net (HNT) was upgraded to buy from hold at Stifel Nicolaus.
  • Vale (VALE) was upgraded to overweight from neutral at HSBC.

Continue reading Analyst Calls: BA, C, CLDT, DNB, DWA, JCG, MGM, RIG, SLRY, USB, WDR ...

Comfort Zone Investing: Bank Earnings: Look Beneath the Headlines

stacks of money - bank earningsBank earnings are upon us. Citi (C) reported a $4.4 billion profit, the largest positive number in three years. Last week JPMorgan Chase (JPM) and Bank Of America (BAC) had great numbers to crow about as well. Part of the good news came from lower loan loss reserves as the economy begins to get some traction on the up side. But some of the positive report was a result of bond trading and/or investment banking. And that's a little troubling.

The reason for investor concern is that bond trading and investment banking are not sustainable business models. They are more like geysers: they shoot up beautifully when the timing is right -- but one never knows when that timing is, unless the geyser is Old Faithful, which none of the bond trading or investment banking deals are. Yes, they contribute hugely to the bottom line as bond traders catch a trend in interest rates and make extraordinary gains or develop new products that create new revenues. But just as quickly the bond market can turn (like the stock market), and large gains turn to losses.

Continue reading Comfort Zone Investing: Bank Earnings: Look Beneath the Headlines

Chasing Value: Berkshire Eating Up Apple -- Can It Continue?

Yes it can. Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (BRK.B) can outperform Apple Inc. (AAPL) in 2010. That was my thesis in December (see Buffett's Berkshire vs Jobs' Apple for 2010?) and I still believe all the Apple hype in the world will still succumb to a solid value proposition in the long run.

While Apple was reaching new all time highs Berkshire was treading water through 2009. However, after a monster run-up Apple is taking a breather.

Continue reading Chasing Value: Berkshire Eating Up Apple -- Can It Continue?

The Week in Preview: Q4 Earnings Expectations for the Financial Sector

Last week, JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) led off the coming parade of earnings from the big banks when it reported better-than-expected fourth-quarter and full-year earnings, though its revenue fell short of estimates.

Plenty more earnings from the financial sector are due out this week. Analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters anticipate fourth-quarter earnings growth from American Express Co. (AXP), Bank of New York Mellon Corp. (BK), Hudson City Bancorp Inc. (HCBK), SLM Corp. (SLM) and US Bancorp (USB).

Continue reading The Week in Preview: Q4 Earnings Expectations for the Financial Sector

Cramer on BloggingStocks: Endless Caveats Don't Make You Any Money

The Street.com's Jim Cramer says that he's making it his mission in 2010 to call out people in the media who provide no value.

Have you ever noticed that with every good housing report there are endless caveats:

1. Prices are still down year over year.

2. The home tax credit of $8,000 moved the house, and that will go away.

3. Home mortgages are artificially low because of the Fed.

4. Banks have more foreclosures on their balance sheets than before.

5. Foreclosures continue to occur.

6. Everything will slip back to imbalance when the credit goes away.

Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: Endless Caveats Don't Make You Any Money

Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: AAPL, BAC, C, CMCSA, NOK, USB ...

Analyst upgrades:

  • UBS upgraded Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) to Buy from Neutral and raised its target to $265 from $170, citing higher iPhone expectations, new partnerships, and likely upward revisions to Street estimates driven by gross margins.
  • Wells Fargo upgraded Comcast (NASDAQ: CMCSA) to Outperform from Market Perform. The firm views a possible deal between end General Electric's (NYSE: GE) NBC Universal positively, as it thinks NBC will provide higher-margin growth for Comcast.
  • Janney Montgomery upgraded Michael Baker (AMEX: BKR) to Buy from Neutral after the company completed the sale of its Energy business. The firm raised its target on shares to $46 from $40.
  • Jefferies assumed coverage of Endo Pharma (NASDAQ: ENDP) and upgraded the stock to Buy from Hold. The firm cites valuation, a strong base business, and solid cash flow for the upgrade, and has a $30 target price on shares.
  • Marten Transport (NASDAQ: MRTN) was upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Stephens.
  • U.S. Bancorp (NYSE: USB) was upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Keefe Bruyette.

Continue reading Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: AAPL, BAC, C, CMCSA, NOK, USB ...

Bank bets for income investors

"While I continue to avoid bank stocks and bank ETFs , I very much continue to recommend that you buy and own plenty of nicely high-yielding bank preferreds and bank minibonds for your retirement investing," says Neil George.

In his income-focused Stocks that Pay You, the advisors reviews his favorites among these lesser-known investment vehicles.

"Why invest in banks at all? Because -- as they continue to clean up and bolster their balance sheets -- banks are getting even better credit risks, which means that you'll be even more likely to get paid your high-yield dividends and interest payments.

Continue reading Bank bets for income investors

Fed to okay TARP repayment for some banks, appoint a Pay Czar

This morning, the U.S. Federal Reserve is expected announce that some banks will be allowed to repay the money lent to them under the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP). Some of the banks expected to receive approval are Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS), JPMorgan Chase (NYSE: JPM), American Express (NYSE: AXP), Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS), State Street (NYSE: STT) and U.S. Bancorp (NYSE: USB). All of these banks have expressed interest in repaying the government.

What is interesting is that there will be yet another Czar joining the White House, a "Repayment Czar," (what is the deal with the media's fascination with Russian royalty?) or as the administration will call the position, the "Special Master for Compensation."

Continue reading Fed to okay TARP repayment for some banks, appoint a Pay Czar

Cramer on BloggingStocks: It's still not inflation

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says commodities don't tell the real story -- look at wages and prices of finished goods.

Commodity inflation is not real inflation. Commodity inflation is China- and speculation-driven inflation of imperfect commodities by fearful or greedy customers and traders.

Yet "inflation" is on everyone's lips as if the plummeting prices of cars and homes and wages don't even matter. You read about the not-even-nascent recoveries in countries like those in Eastern Europe or Mexico or Germany, and you have to wonder whether we need to be as fearful of the price of copper as we are. If you own GM (NYSE: GM) (Cramer's Take) bonds, you are not experiencing inflation, and believe me -- there are more GM bonds being bought than there is of the red metal.

Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: It's still not inflation

ETF Portfolios: Is it time to invest in banks? Then buy PJB.

With President Obama at the helm it seems as though the light might be shining on the economic horizon. If you're of this opinion then now might be a good time to invest some of your hard earned savings in the banking industry.

But what banking firm do you decide to go with? Rather than selecting just one bank, how about hedging your bets by investing in many diverse banks from all over the country? An exchange traded fund (ETF) is a great way to do just that. By investing in the ETF PowerShares Dynamic Banking (PJB) you get shares of several different banks. PJB seeks to replicate the Dynamic Banking Intellidex index and invests at least 90% of assets in common stocks that comprise that index. Among their holdings in the PJB ETF are BancFirst Corporation(NASDAQ GS: BANF) BancFirst's holding company, Capital Federal Financial(NASDAQ GS: CFFN) the holding company for Capitol Federal Savings Bank, and Northern Trust Corporation(NASDAQ GS: NTRS) Northern Trust Company's holding company.


Continue reading ETF Portfolios: Is it time to invest in banks? Then buy PJB.

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Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA+6.5112,890.46
NASDAQ+11.372,927.23
S&P 500+1.991,351.95

Last updated: February 09, 2012: 07:45 PM

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