The report gave WaMu three stars (out of five) and advised investors to "hold" the stock. Its three star rating meant "total return is expected to closely approximate the total return of a relevant benchmark over the coming 12 months, with shares generally rising in price on an absolute basis."

While the report noted that the risk of the stock was "high," it set a twelve month "target price" of $4 and justified its projection with some very sophisticated reasoning involving price-to-book multiples.

The analyst predicted an "increase in net margins in 2008" and noted that WaMu was likely to "... benefit from an improving yield curve, the addition of higher-yielding credit card receivables, and the repositioning of its balance sheet, which included the sale of low-yielding loans and securities."

On September 25, 2008 -- one day after this report was issued -- the FDIC seized WaMu and sold its banking assets to JP Morgan Chase (NYSE: JPM) for $1.9 billion.

WaMu closed yesterday at $1.69. It is likely shareholder value will be destroyed.

I am sure there are many instances where Standard & Poors and other analysts got it right. But the inability of its analyst to look a mere twenty-four hours into the future and see total disaster is a prime example of why investors need to fundamentally change the way they invest.

The concept of studying the markets to find inefficient pricing in any particular stock has little credible evidence to support it. Part of playing this game involves reading analyst reports, listening to the financial media and relying on brokers and advisors who claim to have a skill that does not exist.

This elaborate dance continues because there are so many financial interests that benefit from the process.

Unfortunately, yours is not among them.

Dan Solin is a Registered Investment Advisor and the author of The Smartest Investment Book You'll Ever Read (Perigee Books, 2006) and The Smartest 401(k) Book You'll Ever Read (Perigee Books, 2008).

JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE: JPM) Chief Executive Jamie Dimon is the new king of Wall Street whose power rivals his company's namesake John Pierpont Morgan.

Over the past year, Dimon managed to steer JPMorgan away from the subprime credit crisis while managing to keep his company's stock from cratering like his competitors'. First, he absorbed Bear Stearns after it went out of business. Now, Dimon has managed to pick up Washington Mutual Inc. (NYSE: WM) -- the good parts of it anyway -- for $1.9 billion. The deal is accretive in 2009.

Dimon is proving to be Wall Street's shrewdest manager. He did not get to be so successful by being a teddy bear. Indeed, reports abound about his abrasive personality. But unlike other Wall Street CEOs, Dimon knows his job is to work for the shareholders. Dimon's zeal for cost-cutting knows no bounds. He got rid of expensive technology outsourcing contracts, figuring the company could do the work cheaper itself.

In the News:

In what I feared might become a regular feature here, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) arranged for the takeover of the 13th failed bank of 2008 Thursday. As I posted, the FDIC likes to close banks on Friday after hours so it can reopen as branches of the acquiring bank on the following Monday morning. But since this is history's biggest bank failure, the FDIC couldn't wait for the weekend. The bank in question is the $310 billion (assets) Washington Mutual (NYSE: WM).

This is history's biggest bank failure -- it's almost eight times bigger than the previous record holder, Continental Illinois. In this case, JPMorgan Chase (NYSE: JPM) was the rescuer, buying WaMu from the FDIC. This follows JPMorgan's purchase of Bear Stearns back in March in which the Federal Reserve provided a $29 billion loan. But this deal will cost JPMorgan far less -- a mere $1.9 billion, and it will write down WaMu's loan portfolio by 10% in the process. To further bolster its position, JPMorgan will raise $8 billion in capital.

What does JPMorgan get for all this? Branches for one thing -- 5,400 in 23 states -- and it will shutter 10% of the combined branches. What JPMorgan does not get is much of the junk that WaMu carried and by that I refer to "senior unsecured debt, subordinated debt, and preferred stock of WaMu's banks, any assets or liabilities of the holding company, Washington Mutual Inc.; or [WaMu's] lawsuits."

Just one day after investors ran up stocks in expectation of a bailout plan, U.S. stock futures dropped significantly Friday as the $700 billion bailout plan wasn't approved after all and as Washington Mutual was seized by regulators in the country's largest-ever failure. Discussions over the bailout are still ongoing, while JPMorgan Chase was forced to acquire the rest of WaMu. To add to an already tense environment, the final release of the second-quarter GDP is due at 8:30 a.m. EDT, and the September University of Michigan's consumer confidence index is due out at 10 a.m EDT.

Washington Mutual Inc. (NYSE: WM) was seized by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. on Thursday, and then sold the thrift's banking assets to JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE: JPM) for $1.9 billion. It was the largest failure by a U.S. bank. JPMorgan also said it would raise another $8 billion through the sale of stock. WM shares are down nearly 85%, JPM's down over 2% in pre-market trading.

Research In Motion Ltd. (NASDAQ: RIMM) posted a sharply higher quarterly profit on Thursday, in line with expectations, but gave a forecast that was below expectation. Investors are concerned that as the economy slows, RIM's large corporate clients could scale back BlackBerry purchases and upgrades. Deutsche Bank downgraded RIM from Hold to Sell, saying it relies more on hardware sales thse days, which means new product launches in this environment could worsen. RBC Capital Markets also downgraded RIM from Outperform to Sector Perform, but Credit Suisse, upgraded RIM from Underperform to Neutral. RIMM shares are down over 20% in pre-market trading.

JP Morgan Chase (NYSE: JPM) became the biggest U.S. bank by deposits, acquiring Washington Mutual (NYSE: WM) branch network for $1.9 billion after the thrift was seized in the largest U.S. bank failure in history. JPM October option implied volatility of 65 is above its 26-week average of 48 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.

Globex S&P futures trading 21.70 below previous day's SPX cash close after U.S. Republican lawmakers stalled urgent efforts to agree on a national economic rescue plan.

Volatility Index S&P 500 Options-VIX at 32.81; 10-day moving average is 32.66.

Financial Select Sector-XLF overall volatility at 48; 26-week average is 40.

Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com

In an enormous and startling turn of events, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. has taken over Washington Mutual (NYSE: WM), forcing it into an arranged marriage. According to reports in the Wall Street Journal, the FDIC reached out to the nation's biggest banks, asking them to make an offer. JPMorgan Chase (NYSE: JPM) was the one to step up to the plate, taking over the bank's deposits and branches. The value of the deal, and the fate of the bad assets, isn't currently known; but equityholders and senior debt holders will be wiped out.

Depositors leery of the bank's failure were part of the problem; $16.7 billion in deposits have been taken out of the bank since September 15. According to the WSJ, the FDIC fund won't be affected by the takeover.

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says the bank will be ready if the bailout plan is approved. If not, only BofA makes sense.

So what happens if we get the deal? What occurs? Will we see immediate deals? I think it depends on the accounting.

If an acquiring bank were to buy Washington Mutual (NYSE: WM) (Cramer's Take), say, without any assurances that those mortgages can be written down to where they can be flipped, the acquirer would be committing suicide.

That makes Washington Mutual just a so-so bet, although its $300 billion in deposits make it a terrific target. Put it this way, the FDIC will own WaMu in a week without the plan, and that will be mighty ugly for the FDIC. But it could happen anyway, given how bad the WaMu loan process was.

Instead, I think the focus will be on Wachovia (NYSE: WB) (Cramer's Take) because I believe Bob Steel has the best handle on what the process will look like. I think he is ready to dump his bad bank on the government in return for a stake by the government in it and then his good bank can thrive. I think that Wachovia goes from a dicey situation to one of the best ones.

U.S. stock futures were higher earlier this morning, as investor continued to watch the debate over the $700 billion bailout plan following President Bush's speech Wednesday when he warned "Our entire economy is in danger." But then General Electric cut its earnings estimates and futures began coming off highs. Now it seems stocks could start the day mixed. Also on tap today are data on durable-goods orders and new-home sales for August, as well as the weekly initial jobless claims number.

General Electric Co. (NYSE: GE) has lowered its outlook for third-quarter and full-year earnings, citing "unprecedented weakness and volatility in the financial services markets." The new guidance is far below analyst estimates. GE has also reaffirmed its commitment to maintaining a 'AAA' credit rating, and is taking steps to bolster its capital and liquidity position including suspending the current GE stock buyback, but not touching the dividend. GE shares are down nearly 5% in pre-market trading.

Delta (NYSE: DAL) and Northwest (NYSE: NWA) shareholders are to vote Thursday on the proposed deal to combine the two. The votes are expected to overwhelmingly back the deal. With that, the airlines will then need

One of the many lingering questions about the government's $700 billion buyout of the financial services industry is what to do about Washington Mutual Inc. (NYSE: WM).

The Seattle-based bank, which under former Chief Executive Kerry Killinger racked up billions of dollars in losses following a disastrous acquisition and lending strategy, is reportedly trying to sell itself. Officials with the Office of Thrift Supervision are eager for a "speedy" sale, according to the Financial Times. JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE: JPM) and Wells Fargo & Co. (NYSE: WFC), Citigroup Inc. (NYSE: C), HSBC and Banco Santander all have expressed an interest in WaMu, the paper said.

More speficially, they are probably most interested in Washington Mutual's network of more than 2,300 "consumer and small business banking stores" throughout the country. And what about the company's radioactive loan portfolio? That, fellow taxpayers, is all yours.

How much subprime sludge is on WaMu's books is not clear. As of June 30, it had assets of more than $309.7 billion. WaMu is expecting $19 billion $4.5 in loan losses during the quarter. The losses may lost as much as $19 billion over the next two-and-a-half years though analysts are expecting the red ink to be more like $28 billion, according to BusinessWeek. To make matters worse, WaMu does about half of its lending in California, one of the states hit hardest by the subprime crisis.

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says there are some events out there -- WaMu being the biggest -- that make the plan worth adopting.

The vote from Monday's market was pretty resounding: The plan won't help. Or if it does, it will be too costly and there are too many details that can't be worked out.

So should it just be let go?

I am a big believer in the plan because there are some events out there that would make the plan worth adopting no matter what. And the biggest event is Washington Mutual (NYSE: WM) (Cramer's Take). Here's a firm that just had its debt downgraded again last night, and if you read the ratings downgrades you can't see how the feds can avoid seizing it.

But what happens when they seize it? The thing is so mammoth that it would overwhelm the FDIC. Although with this administration's magic-wand philosophy, maybe we can just get some stopgap funding. Or maybe we just say, "As long as there are no lines outside WM, we are fine." But at a certain point, no investors are going to want to buy any of this company's debt and the losses could be too great.

Stock futures are somewhat lower this morning, indicating another possible down start on Wall Street as investors await to hear Bernanke and Paulson explain the details of the $700 billion bailout plan. Meanwhile, after oil's record one-day gain Monday, it fell below $108 a barrel Tuesday. And yet another group, this time the National Retail Federation, said holiday sales are expected to grow at the slowest pace in six years for the obvious reasons from housing to job concerns.

Circuit City Stores Inc. (NYSE: CC) CEO Philip J. Schoonover is finally stepping down, no doubt to many releif sighs around the Street. James A. Marcum will replace the resigning CEO and Allen B. King will become Circuit City's new chairman. Shares are actually shooting up over 11% in pre-market trading.

Lennar Corp. (NYSE: LEN) reported a narrower third-quarter loss as it cut costs, but revenue fell by more than half amid a prolonged housing slump. The homebuilder's earnings were below estimates, while revenue beat analysts' number.

Bristol-Myers Squibb Co. (NYSE: BMY) sweetened its offer for ImClone Inc. (NASDAQ: IMCL) to $62 per share. Almost two weeks ago, though, Icahn said he had a $70 per share offer from an undisclosed company. If it wasn't an imaginary bid, it's hard to see why IMCL would go with BMY's offer. In the meantime, however, as the unidetified pharma examines IMCL, the latter keeps delaying giving an answer to BMY. IMCL shares are up over 6.5% to $63.25 in pre-market trading, indicating investors expect BMY's offer to be sweetened again.

Almost two months have passed since I posted Serious Money: Tempting fate with 10 financials - the results of buying into the following pool of financial stocks at a time when the "hate 'em" factor was at a peak, or so I thought. Now things are even worse, much worse, and a new market bottom was reached only last week.

Trying to predict where this market will go is not possible, but there are many ways to play it. I chose to buy into a pool of financial stocks, believing the survivors would post gains that would overshadow the losers.

When I last updated this story, the pool of stocks was up 26%. Things have gotten worse, but the group is still up 13.89% plus the dividends. This is better than any of the indices, although it is much more speculative.

There was plenty of big news since the last report. While Lehman Brothers Holdings (OTC: LEHMQ) went bankrupt, MBIA Inc (NYSE: MBI) made up for it by more than doubling. Meanwhile, Merrill Lynch (NYSE: MER) is in survival mode supported by a Bank of America (NYSE: BAC) buyout offer. Seven stocks are up, two are down and one is gone (returns from July 29 prices):

After a volatile, historic week on Wall Street that featured Lehman Brothers going bankrupt, Merrill Lynch being bought and the government bailing out AIG, culminating Sunday when the last large independent brokers were granted bank status. This morning futures are lower as investors seem to be taking a breath to take it all in with a cautious eye on the government's most recently announced plan -- a $700 billion proposal to buy a mountain of bad mortgage debt. But it is the dollar that may get crushed following the plan.

Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) and Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS) the last of the large independent brokers, have applied and were granted bank status Sunday. Both are down 1.7% and 1.8% respectively in pre-market trading.

According to MarketWatch, several companies left out of the short-selling ban list may ask to be added to the list. Companies like General Electric Co. (NYSE: GE) with its financial services unit making up 45% of its business, or American Express (NYSE: AXP) and CIT Group (NYSE: CIT) are a few examples.

Ambac (NYSE: ABK) shares are down another 12% in pre-market trading after closing down nearly 42% Friday as Moody's said it might downgrade the bond insurer's ratings.

The San Francisco Chronicle reports that not only is Wells Fargo & Co. (NYSE: WFC) surviving the chaos on Wall Street, but it just may be thriving. About the only reason that Wells Fargo has been in the news recently is as a potential buyer of Washington Mutual (NYSE: WM). In fact, as markets tumbled early in the week, Wells Fargo shares reached a new 52-week high of $44.69.

Industry observers say that Wells Fargo's stability is a consequence of its limited exposure to failing mortgages, particularly of the subprime variety. It hasn't escaped unscathed, however. It said it would take charges in the third quarter related to investments in Fannie Mae (NYSE: FNM), Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE), and Lehman Brothers, but much less than those taken by rivals Wachovia (NYSE: WB) and Washington Mutual.

Wells Fargo has been selectively acquiring assets, mostly in the western U.S., during the economic woes, and is expected to continue to do so. Chairman and former CEO, Richard Kovacevich, is rumored to me looking for one more deal before he retires later this year, according to Reuters. But both Wells Fargo and Washington Mutual have declined to comment on a possible deal. "There's going to be a lot of mergers and acquisitions for either good reasons or because people don't have choices," said Kovacevich, pointing out that Wells Fargo is not the only lender looking to buy.

Wells Fargo shares closed Friday at $39.80 and are up 31.8% year to date. Analysts surveyed by First Call recommend holding Wells Fargo.