FeedPosted Jun 19th 2008 12:57PM by Todd Harrison (RSS feed)
Filed under: General Electric (GE), Cypress Semiconductor (CY), Commodities, Trina Solar ADS (TSL), Suntech Power Hldgs ADS (STP), Zoltek Co (ZOLT), Green Stocks
Minyanville's Sean Udall dares to share the kind of keen insight and actionable information you won't find in any prospectus. Here he answers a reader's burning question about "green" stocks. For more original thought, visit www.minyanville.com.
Professor Udall,
Do you have any opinions on Zoltek Companies, Inc. (NASDAQ: ZOLT)? My wife wants me to buy everything "green". Her last "green" company idea was General Electric (NYSE: GE). I know, right? I bought a little just to quiet the noise level. I'm into a little SunPower (NASDAQ: SPWR) and Evergreen Solar (NASDAQ: ESLR). Does Zoltek have legs?
Thanks,
Minyan L.
Minyan L.,
First, that's hysterical. Second, a word of caution: Going all green, or all of any one thing, is something I'd never advocate. If you do, you do so at your own risk, as nothing in the market is ever as obvious as it seems, especially when it seems totally obvious.
Continue reading Mailbag: Using Green for Green Stocks
Posted May 11th 2008 12:10PM by Andrew Horowitz (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings reports, Apple Inc (AAPL), , Sirius Satellite Radio (SIRI), Netflix, Inc. (NFLX), Blockbuster Inc 'A' (BBI), Whole Foods Market (WFMI), Economic data, , Zoltek Co (ZOLT), Blackstone Group L.P (BX)

The earnings party of last week was full of fun and frolic. For the most part, if you followed my list of recommendations, you would have had your very own "Fiesta de Finance." (
See Week in Preview – May 5)
The earnings season is still in full swing and should provide a great deal of action for the companies that will be reporting. But these companies will have to fight through a few new economic barriers. With oil pushing past historic levels and questions beginning to surface concerning the ability of the investor to continue to support a market that has so many headwinds, the mood is likely to shift moving forward. It is time for discipline, short and simple. Now, more than ever investors need a plan. I cover this strategy in my book,
The Disciplined Investor.In the last installment of
The Week in Preview, I was looking for party opportunities in honor of Cinco de Mayo. This week,
Misery is the theme. That is the only word that comes to mind with oil at a level that you would have never expected, a massive and unrelenting credit and housing crisis and a banking system that is defunct.
Monday - May 12We start the week with a report from
IndyMac Bancorp (NYSE:
IMB). This bank is smack in the middle of the housing problem. It is primarily a lending company that facilitates loans for single-family homes. It's also involved in the origination and trading of mortgages. How does that sound to you as an investment? Shares have slid from $23 in October 2007 to an unbelievable level of $3.50 recently. Ouch... If you are a shareholder still holding on with hope and a prayer for something...anything, keep on dreaming. The good news is that the stock is sporting a yield of 29%. But, if you think that yield is going to be maintained, I have a bridge for sale. Estimates are for a loss of $1.92 per share for the quarter.
Continue reading The week in preview: Misery loves these companies (WFMI, SIRI, BBI and more)
Posted Apr 17th 2008 11:07AM by Eric Buscemi (RSS feed)
Filed under: Analyst reports, Analyst upgrades and downgrades, Procter and Gamble (PG), Zoltek Co (ZOLT)
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Procter & Gamble, Human Genome and Arcelor Mittal were today's noteworthy downgrades:
- Deutsche Bank downgraded shares of Procter & Gamble (NYSE:PG) to Hold from Buy on valuation and their expectation for slowing short-term industry growth, especially in beauty.
- Citigroup downgraded Human Genome (NASDAQ:HGSI) to Hold from Buy as they believe giving up Syncria's royalties removes an important value driver for the stock.
- HSBC downgraded shares of Arcelor Mittal (NYSE:MT) to Neutral from Overweight on valuation and believes the company needs to raise prices more than costs have risen for iron ore, coking coal and steel scrap.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:
Posted Feb 12th 2008 12:07PM by Brent Archer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Major movement, Earnings reports, Bad news, Options, Technical Analysis, Zoltek Co (ZOLT)
Zoltek Companies Inc. (NASDAQ:
ZOLT) stock is down big this morning after
the company posted a first-quarter profit of 8 cents per share, well below analysts' estimates of 24 cents per share. ZOLT's CEO blamed inventory buildup, which is probably due to the sagging economy. If you think this stock won't be rising too far in the coming months, then it could be a good time to look at a bearish hedged play on ZOLT.
After hitting a one-year high of $51.77 in August, the stock has hit a new one-year low today. This morning, ZOLT opened at $27.28. So far today the stock has hit a low of $26.16 and a high of $28.08. As of 11:15, ZOLT is trading at $27.64, down $4.99 (-15.3%). The chart for ZOLT looks bearish and steady.
For a bearish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a June
bear-call credit spread above the $40 range. A bear-call credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of call options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. This particular trade will make a 6.4% return in four and a half months as long as ZOLT is below $40 at June expiration. Zoltek would have to rise by more than 42% before we would start to lose money.
ZOLT hasn't been above $40 since early January and has shown resistance around $35 recently. This trade could be risky if the stock bounces back from today's drop, but even if that happens, this position could be protected by resistance ZOLT might find at its 200 day moving average, which is currently around $40 and falling.
Brent Archer is an options analyst and writer at Investors Observer. At publication time, Brent neither owns nor controls positions in ZOLT. Posted Oct 20th 2007 10:10AM by Steven Halpern (RSS feed)
Filed under: China, Newsletters, Oil, Suntech Power Hldgs ADS (STP), Zoltek Co (ZOLT), Stocks to Buy
"Alternative energies are not just a pie-in-the-sky dream," says Paul Tracy and Nathan Slaughter from the StreetAuthority Market Advisor. "Denmark generates as much as 30% of its power from wind, Iceland uses geothermal energy, and producers are bringing down the cost of solar power."
"Overall, companies involved in alternative power technologies, such as wind, solar, geothermal, and biomass, are getting plenty of attention from investors these days." Here, the advisors profile what they consider to the most attractive companies in the alternative energy space.
Suntech Power Holdings Co. (NYSE: STP), "which manufactures and sells photovoltaic (PV) solar cells, has two primary advantages: a low manufacturing cost base and highly efficient cells.
"For starters, Suntech is based in China, where labor costs (even for skilled research staff) are far lower than in the Western world. The Chinese government also subsidizes such research, further helping companies like Suntech.
"In addition, the firm's cells boast some of the highest conversion rates on the market, allowing the company to offer smaller panels that can produce as much electricity as far larger ones from competitors.
"Suntech has been ramping up its manufacturing capacity rapidly in recent years to keep pace with strong demand. Analysts are forecasting robust earnings growth of 45% annually over the next five years.
Continue reading Best energy ideas: Investing in alternative energy
Posted Sep 6th 2007 11:13AM by Eric Buscemi (RSS feed)
Filed under: Analyst reports, Microsoft (MSFT), Analyst initiations, salesforce.com inc (CRM), Zoltek Co (ZOLT)
MOST NOTEWORTHY: European pharmaceuticals, Microsoft, Salesforce.com, Taleo and McAfee were today's noteworthy initiations:
- UBS resumed coverage of Novartis AG (NYSE: NVS) with a Buy rating and AstraZeneca (NYSE: AZN), Roche Holding (OTC: RHHBY), Sanofi-Aventis (NYSE: SNY) and GlaxoSmithKline (NYSE: GSK) with Neutral ratings.
- Deutsche Bank believes new product leverage can bring upside to consensus operating margin expectations at Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ: MSFT) and they view shares as attractively valued given its growth profile. The firm started shares with a Buy rating and $33 target.
- Keybanc initiated shares of Salesforce.com (NYSE: CRM) with a Hold rating and sees slowing growth rates for revenue and net subscriber additions throughout the remainder of FY08 and beyond and thinks investor expectations are too high.
- Keybanc also started shares of Taleo Corporation (NASDAQ: TLEO) with a Buy rating and $27 target, as it is well-positioned to gain market share in the Human Capital Management space.
- Thomas Weisel believes McAfee Inc (NYSE: MFE) will benefit from PC market growth, enhanced awareness of the company's brand, and its renewed focus on product development for the midmarket corporate segment, and started shares with a Market Weight rating and $37 target.
OTHER INITIATIONS:
Posted Aug 29th 2007 11:00AM by Victoria Erhart (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings reports, Good news, Zoltek Co (ZOLT), Initial public offerings
Carbon fiber manufacturer Zoltek Companies Inc. (NASDAQ: ZOLT) can no longer be considered a startup, as evidenced by the company's recent decision to sell 4,000,000 shares of stock to the general public at $38.76 per share. Some of these shares originally belonged to senior management who now have the right to sell the shares and collect their due after years of nurturing the company into profitability. The stock closed Tuesday at $37.60, down $2.15, but Zoltek makes much in-demand products like carbon fibers and other technical fibers, which are essential components in various technology components. The market will very soon catch up to the sale price. Tech investors will want to take a look at Zoltek in the near future.
The company reported third quarter 2007 on Aug 6. Net sales increased 50% to $40.3 million. Operating income was up 72% to $6.7 million and net income was $5 million or $0.17 per diluted share. This is certainly an improvement over a $21 million loss in 3Q 2006.
Zoltek is turning an important corner in which income from continuing operations no longer must be plowed straight back into expanding the business. Zoltek has grown its production capacity significantly, and recently signed a five-year , $142 million contract with a Spanish firm to provide carbon fibers for wind turbine generators. The company has reduced its long-term debt significantly, but has increased its short-term debt by a similar amount. Investors who enjoy a ride now and then may find Zoltek's public stock offering of interest.
Posted Aug 2nd 2007 3:05PM by Georges Yared (RSS feed)
Filed under: Forecasts, Deals, Chipotle Mexican Grill'A' (CMG), Books, , , 25 Stocks for Next 25 Years, , Zoltek Co (ZOLT)
In my book about Baby Boomer investing I highlight what I feel are the five major growth industries going forward. The industries are health care, alternative energy, technology, communications and lifestyle. I also mention 42 companies within those industries that could be the leaders, the game changers. Since the book has been published, five of the 42 stocks I wrote about are being acquired!
The latest one to go is Checkfree (NASDAQ: CKFR). Fiserve (NASDAQ: FISV) has announced its $4.4 billion bid. Checkfree made our banking-transactional life much easier. The other four that will be part of larger companies are Opsware (NASDAQ: OPSW), Color Kinetics (NASDAQ: CLRK), aQuantive (NASDAQ: AQNT) and Kyphon (NASDAQ: KYPH). Other than aQuantive, the other three were also part of my Top 25 stocks for the NEXT 25 years series.
As the 42 companies are down to 37, it causes some reflection for the future. Great, emerging companies will always be on the radar screen of larger, well-financed suitors. If growth cannot be internally generated through research and development efforts, larger companies will need to acquire growth and next generation products or technology. With interest rates still historically low, the borrowing necessary to buy these young, up-and-comers is not a significant issue. Investors will reward mature companies if they acquire intelligently and strategically.
Continue reading Checkfree, another one of my picks, gets bought out
Posted Jul 13th 2007 9:10AM by Eric Buscemi (RSS feed)
Filed under: Newspapers, Magazines, General Electric (GE), Morgan Stanley (MS), Zoltek Co (ZOLT)
MAJOR PAPERS:
- General Electric Company (NYSE: GE) has hired Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS) to find a buyer for its WMC Mortgage subprime mortgage unit, signaling its exit from the mortgage business, reported the Wall Street Journal (subscription required).
- GE's CNBC cable business news channel and the Financial Times Group are in discussions to share resources and shore up their Web business, reported the Wall Street Journal.
- VeriSign Inc (NASDAQ: VRSN), which oversees dot-com and dot-net domain names registry, has recorded an additional $160M in compensation expenses related to stock option grants made between 1998 and 2006, causing the CFO to resign, reported the Wall Street Journal.
- The Financial Times (subscription required) reported that Virgin Media Inc (NASDAQ: VMED) has hired financial services company UBS AG (NYSE: UBS) yesterday to pursue strategic buyers.
OTHER PAPERS:
- From BusinessWeek's "Inside Wall Street" column:
Posted Jun 21st 2007 12:24PM by Georges Yared (RSS feed)
Filed under: Forecasts, 25 Stocks for Next 25 Years, Zoltek Co (ZOLT)
In my series of the top 25 stocks for the NEXT 25 years I promised you that if anything relevant or game-changing were to come about, I would write it up for your reading pleasure. Well, I have some new news on Zoltek Co. (NASDAQ: ZOLT). I wrote up the initial Zoltek report just last week, but since that publishing, some relevant good news has come up.
Zoltek is the worldwide leader in the manufacturing of carbon fiber material. Carbon fiber has hundreds of applications from sporting goods to aeronautical casings. The most popular application of carbon fiber is as the material of choice for rotor blades on huge energy-generating wind turbines. The carbon fiber is lighter, less prone to friction and therefore far more efficient and cheaper to operate than traditional materials. The Dewind Corporation (a subsidiary of Composite Technology Corp./OTC: CPTC) has contracted Zoltek for the next several years to supply it with enough carbon fiber material to satisfy its growing demand.
This comes on top of the commitment made to Zoltek by the large Danish wind generator company Vestas. Vestas is one of the leading European companies in the energy field and known for its cutting-edge choices in technology and materials.
Continue reading Top 25 Stocks for the NEXT 25 Years: Update -- Zoltek
Posted May 30th 2007 10:50AM by Victoria Erhart (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings reports, Deals, Good news, Press releases, Competitive strategy, Zoltek Co (ZOLT)
World leader in carbon fiber manufacturing, Zoltek Companies Inc. (Nasdaq: ZOLT) reported strong 2Q 2007 earnings [pdf] on May 4. Net sales increased 40% to $36.7 million. Operating income increased a whopping 87% to $5.9 million, and the company reported a $3 million increase in cash flow compared to the same quarter last year. Zoltek is on a tear, with this quarter's sales increasing 21% from last quarter's sales. The combination of 1Q + 2Q shows net sales increasing by 60% to $67 million, with operating income increasing from $1.4 million to $8.1 million. Zoltek has made tremendous strides in controlling costs and returning to profitability. 2Q 2007 net loss was breakeven per share compared to 2Q 2006 net loss of $27.7 million, or $1.31 per share.
Zoltek is looking forward and planning for much future growth. Two new production facilities in Hungary come into operation in 2Q 2007, with two more new production facilities scheduled to come into operation in 3Q and 4Q 2007. Thus Zoltek will be able to increase productivity at the same time as prices are continuing to increase, generally a happy situation for investors. The increased production capacity will come in handy as Zoltek just negotiated a deal with Vestas Wind Systems to supply $300 million worth of fiber materials over the next 5 years. Zoltek is scheduled to ramp up to annual production of more than 10,000 metric tons of carbon fiber by 2008, compared to 2,800 metric tons annual production currently.
This stock is thinly traded and thinly followed, but may repay investors willing to dig around doing their own due diligence. The stock closed at $35.94 recently, down $0.34.
Posted May 24th 2007 10:00AM by Steven Halpern (RSS feed)
Filed under: Newsletters, Allegheny Technologies (ATI), Zoltek Co (ZOLT)
"At first glance, the upcoming Airbus A380 and the Boeing 787 Dreamliner planes look much like existing commercial models – but nothing could be further from the truth," says energy and resource industry expert Elliott Gue.
In Personal Finance, the editor notes, "Both are 20% to 30% more fuel efficient than any planes currently flying, due largely to lightweight composite materials."
Composites, he notes, are formed from two dissimilar materials -- usually a reinforcing fiber and an adhesive epoxy or resin, with carbon-fiber composite being the most commonly used in aircraft construction.
And it's not just airplanes that use these advanced materials; Gue observes, "Wind-power blades, oil rigs and sporting equipment all use high-strength, space-age materials. That spells soaring demand and solid growth for a handful of companies involved in their manufacture."
For those looking to invest in the "composite" industry, the advisor offers a trio of ideas. First is Hexcel (NYSE: HXL), the world's largest producer of "prepregs" for the aerospace industry. Prepregs, he explains, are woven carbon-fiber sheets that when chilled remain flexible and can be bent to shape or pressed into molds.
Gue says, "Outside aerospace, the wind power industry is fast becoming Hexcel's most important source of revenues. In fact, wind power is the company's fastest-growing major source of revenue; Hexcel projects at least mid-teens growth from that line this year.
Continue reading Flying high: Investing in 'composite' metals