Target Corp. (NYSE: TGT) has started selling a Blu-ray disc player for what is probably the lowest retail price you can find one at: $229. I've said many times in the past that this new format will not catch on with consumers until retail prices routinely get to less than $200, so this new price from Target is nearing that mark. Of course, panicked U.S. consumers probably won't be buying any Blu-ray players the remainder of this year as they watch what wealth they did have evaporate in the markets.

The Target model is an Olevia brand player (yes, that's an off-brand), which marks a $70 reduction from a recent Sony Blu-ray player that is being sold alongside the Olevia player for $299. Still, unless there is some breakthrough difference that Blu-ray manufacturers and retailers can market correctly, most U.S. consumers will stay with their progressive-scan DVD players that sell for $75 or less and have a perfectly fine picture (although not true high-definition).

So, perhaps sometime in late 2009 -- roughly a year from now -- the market will see $99 Blu-ray players and regular consumers may finally feel the urge to buy one and start re-purchasing their movie libraries in yet another format. That is, until super-duper, high-fidelity Purple-ray players hit the market sometime in 2014 and the cycle repeats yet again. Perhaps by then, we'll all be out of this economic funk and won't be protecting our cash hoards, however little they may be by then.

"In a period like this, the way you make money coming out of it is to own the things where the fundamentals have not been impaired." Such are the words of investment guru Jim Rogers.

In a quick yet effective interview with CNBC, Jim Rogers laid out his concerns about the way in which boiling financial troubles are being handled. Rogers lays responsibility directly at the feet of Ben Bernanke and crew, with a side plate of crow for some of the biggest Wall Street talking heads. Rogers warns that the practice of throwing cash at this problem, with the intention of providing liquidity from the top down, is an unquestionable recipe for inflationary disaster. I would hasten to agree with him.

Jim Rogers indicates his opinion that this entire economic disaster needs to be allowed to self adjust. In the mean time, he counsels investors to be carefully placing their money in positions which, while possibly being liquidated, remain fundamentally sound. He points at commodities, which are physical retainers of true value, as instruments of some protection. He does indicate though, that he has taken some losses in commodities. It is my opinion that commodities are currently swinging downward on profit taking and shall soon begin another upward phase.

Rogers also gave his opinion that the G7 needs to have a beer and leave this mess alone. He sees the artificial propping up of world banks as futile. "We had the worst excesses we had in credit markets in world history. We're going to have to take some pain," Rogers told CNBC.

It's like this, folks: If you built a dam, and after the dam was full you discovered that there was no mortar between the bricks, you wouldn't build a new dam in front of the old one, hoping it would hold when everything lets go. Instead, you would warn the people in the valley about what was coming and you'd let the dam collapse. Then, you'd try to control the carnage and you'd build a better dam ---- using different contractors.

But of course, that's just my opinion.

I remember when Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory (NASDAQ: RMCF) was a cool stock. Unfortunately, that was then and this is now. The economy is horrible, and it's getting worse. Rocky Mountain is not the company with which to ride the storm out.

The third-quarter earnings report, issued on Thursday, showed terrible data. Revenues declined well over 16% to $6.3 million. Earnings per diluted share took a big drop of 30%, coming in at $0.14. And it doesn't stop there. Comps for franchised outlets dipped over 2%. Same-store pounds of products bought by franchisees dropped 10%. Let's face it, people are cutting back on Rocky Mountain's confections. I'm sure they're delicious, but it just doesn't matter. Rocky Mountain is going to continue to struggle as we make our way through this macro mess. Management points out that the stock does pay a dividend of $0.10 per quarter. That gives a yield, as of Thursday's closing price, of just about 6%.

That's not bad, and I suppose if you're a long-term value investor who has extremely solid patience, you might want to take a look at Rocky Mountain's shares. I mean, we all know that equities are pretty irrationally priced these days. But, would I step in and buy the stock as any sort of defensive position for my portfolio? No way. I think it's headed lower. And besides, if I wanted to step in and buy something related to confectionery pleasures, I'd probably consider Hershey (NYSE: HSY) first. Not only am I a big fan of the Reese's peanut butter cup, but I perceive the portfolio controlled by Hershey to be a lot more valuable in these troubled times than Rocky Mountain's line of products. Let's hope all the Halloween trick-or-treaters out there are gearing up to help out the confection industry at the end of this month by demanding a whole lot of treats. Goodness knows, the market has already had its share of tricks this year.

Disclosure: I don't own any company mentioned; positions can change at any time.

Nouriel Roubini, the once obscure New York University economics professor who two years ago predicted the current global financial crisis, now says leaders of the world's major industrialized economies and developing countries must implement an 'all fronts' approach to avert a financial calamity and a global depression.

"It will take a significant change in leadership of economic policy and very radical, coordinated policy actions among all advanced and emerging-market economies to avoid this economic and financial disaster," Roubini said on his web site, RGE Monitor.

Roubini urged that national policy makers take immediate action to end the crisis, which has dramatically tightened credit conditions worldwide, constraining the ability of corporations to undertake daily operations, which will hurt GDP growth rates in every region.

And, ironically or by coincidence, leaders will have an opportunity to dialogue and implement a common strategy: officials from the International Monetary Fund, World Bank, and Group of Seven (G-7) nations meet in Washington, D.C. this weekend for their previously-scheduled annual meeting.

Sprint Nextel Corp. (NYSE: S), even as it loses hundreds of thousands of customers, continues to pay its executives astonishingly high salaries and overall pay packages. This according to analyst group Glass Lewis & Company.

Top managers at the telecom company were awarded pay valued at $74 million in 2007, even as the company saw massive customer defections to the competition and was preparing to toss out former CEO Gary Forsee in the process. Sounds like some recent AIG shenanigans, doesn't it? No wonder Main Street no longer trusts Wall Street. Although corporate compensation abuses are almost the norm recently, it's amazing shareholders don't stand up and scream when companies not doing well are lavishly rewarding management.

Of course, Sprint spokesperson James Fisher defended his employer by stating "It's very important to consider that 2007 was a highly unusual year because of compensation that was paid to an exiting CEO, as well as sign-on compensation paid to a new CEO ... we had significant other severance charges for executive changes during the year." Severance charges -- for a management team that ran the company into the ground. I guess all those contracts signed by incompetent management were too hard to bypass since shareholders can't blow holes in those golden parachutes.

Shares of Exxon Mobil (NYSE: XOM) fell to set another fresh 52-week low today, as oil continues to fall.

Shares of Exxon have traded down as low as $58.30 earlier in the session, and headed into the afternoon session, the stock has rebounded a bit, but is still trading down 8.7% to $62.20, down $5.80 on the day.

It's been a tough week for the stock, which is now down around 21% from its close last Friday.

As recession fears continue to spread, oil has been moving steadily lower, and once again today the precious crude is down, falling another $5.82 a barrel to $80.77, and was under the psychological $80 earlier in the day, trading all the way to $78.61 earlier in the session.

As national policy makers strive to unfreeze credit markets and end a global financial crisis that threatens to severely damage economies worldwide, Saudi Arabia will not defend an $80 oil price, and instead will let the price of oil fall, to reduce a critical cost stress on the global economy, economists and energy traders say.

Further, despite today's more-diverse oil market characterized by dozens of suppliers, any Saudi decision to not cut production will lower oil prices, Energy Trader Jim Dietz told BloggingStocks Friday.

Saudi Arabia possesses the largest, proven oil reserves in the world. The kingdom also has the biggest, quickly-marketable spare production capacity in the world, estimated to be 1.5-5.0 million barrels of oil per day, depending on the analysis.

'Saudis will let oil price fall, a lot'

"The Saudis are fully aware of the grave situation facing global financial markets and economies. The Saudis are going to let the price of oil fall, a lot. Other OPEC members like Iran or Venezuela may call for a production cut and try to protect their interest, but it's a non-starter, an after thought," Dietz said. "The Saudis know that every stimulative tactic must be used to keep commerce moving and eliminate stress and a lower oil price is part of that solution." (Dietz added that he had no open energy trading positions, his normal stance for a Friday.)

Oil fell $6.94 to $79.65 per barrel Friday at mid-day, as a near-panic atmosphere permeated markets as stocks plunged worldwide and U.S. stock markets declined for an eighth consecutive day. At 12:05 p.m. EDT, the Dow was down 313 points to 8,265 and the S&P 500 was down 38 points to 871.

"An $80 oil price is too high for this economy. It probably was too high for any economy, but that is a debate for another time. Right now, the oil market senses that the Saudis know the price of oil must go lower to reduce financial system stress," Dietz said. "And as the Saudis go, so goes the price of oil."

This post is part of a series in which TheStockAdvisors.com asked financial experts to name their top stock pick if McCain or if Obama wins the election.

"Obama's tax plan would give greater relief to the lower and middle classes; one retailer that would benefit from this is American Eagle Outfitters (NYSE: AEO)," says John Reese, editor of Validea, which follows the investment criteria of "legendary" investors such as Warren Buffett and Peter Lynch.

"Consumers have had to tighten their wallets and purses because of the slowing economy and rising food and fuel prices. Breaks for average Americans would be welcome news for retailers, which have sputtered amid the downturn.

"In the event of a retail surge, this teen-focused Pittsburgh-based clothing chain should be at the head of the line.

"American Eagle gets approval from two of my Guru Strategies -- computer models that are each based on the published approach of a different Wall Street great. What's more, the two strategies that like the firm are modeled after two of the greatest gurus, Warren Buffett and Peter Lynch.

"My conservative Buffett-inspired model looks for stocks with a lengthy history of steadily increasing earnings, as well as a conservative balance sheet.

"Eagle has grown earnings per share in eight of the past ten years, with EPS rising from $0.25 to $1.82 in that time, meeting the first criterion. In addition, the firm has no long-term debt, which my Buffett model loves.

Time Warner (NYSE: TWX) hit a new 52-week low today at $9.03. Until recently, it has performed better than most of the other media conglomerates, but it now faces two difficult questions.

Before current CEO Jeff Bewkes took over, it was assumed that Time Warner Cable (NYSE: TWC) would be spun out. Bewkes managed to get over $9 billion from the transaction. That may have been priced into the shares when he stepped into the top job. The other major assumption of shareholders was that AOL would be repaired or sold. The internet unit has been divided into two pieces. The ISP operations will probably be sold to another internet service company. The fate of AOL remains unknown. There are rumors that it could be sold to Yahoo! (NASDAQ: YHOO) or Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT).

Because internet display advertising is facing a downturn, sales at AOL will almost certainly suffer in the fourth quarter and into 2009. If Yahoo! is a reasonable proxy, the fact that it has lost half of its market cap this year and has been downgraded by several analysts cannot be good news for AOL.

Advertising weakness is bound to catch up to Time Warner's magazine unit. Print advertising may never recover entirely if the newspaper industry is any guide. Analysts have frequently said that the magazine unit should be sold. It is no longer a growth operation.

TWX cable units, like CNN, which rely on TV ads, are also certain to face an unpleasant if not vicious environment heading into the winter.

Investors in Time Warner are troubled for a simple reason: The company still looks too much like it did last year.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Market fear has been running rampant recently and with the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropping hundreds of points daily, it is easy to understand why. The CBOE Volatility Index know as the VIX has hit all time high levels that have exceed all previous readings since they started the index back in 1990.

Today the VIX hit 70.90; a month ago it closed at 24.52 ---an average level for the year. That is a 189% rise in the last month! In 2007 it averaged 17.3.

Before the current crisis the highest reading for the VIX was 45.74 recorded on 10/8/98. That means we have surpassed the previous high by 55%.

The VIX is based on call option premium scared investors are willing to pay for protection on their stocks.

Kevin Kersten is an Stock and Options Analyst with InvestorsObserver.com. Disclosure note: Mr. Kersten owns and/or controls a diversified portfolio of long and short positions that may include holdings in companies he writes about.

I am the Global Editor at MoneyShow.com and each week I interview an investing expert. This week, I spoke with John Snowden, contributor to The IRS Report newsletter, who says the British economy will slide deeper into recession and the markets will move lower, too.

Q. What is your outlook for Great Britain's economy in the next 12 months?

A. We are on the cusp of a recession, but we have yet to feel the real crunch from a retailing viewpoint. The forthcoming all-important Christmas trading period will give more of a guideline by [the middle or end of] January. There is as yet no real sign of confidence returning, which would suggest we are in for a long haul. Borrowings are at an all-time high and will probably double again next year. This may mean higher taxes as well as labor unrest which would be detrimental for the economy.

Lower oil prices do help and commodity prices are falling, and will start to be reflected in government statistics by early next year. Hence, economy fears are turning towards deflation rather than inflation

Q: So, at what point do you expect to see actual recession in the UK?

A: My guess is that Christmas festivities may distort the reality, but I am sure that by February 2009, we in the UK will be feeling the full weight of recession.

One of Yahoo!'s (NASDAQ: YHOO) big shareholders wants the company to sell itself to Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) ASAP for $22. And, it has a plan to make the deal work.

Mithras Capital does not own a big piece of Yahoo!, but it wants to help the portal firm to get a price well above where it trades today. According to Reuters, "Microsoft would unload Yahoo's Asian assets and non-search businesses, extract $3 billion worth of cost savings and receive $2.8 billion of tax benefits, meaning the software giant would pay $10.3 billion for Yahoo's search business."

If wishes were horses all the beggars would ride. Microsoft understands that Yahoo! is in distress as its share of the search market keeps dropping and display advertising revenue growth slows sharply due to a rough economy. Yahoo!'s stock is at $12.65 and has been dropping rapidly.

If Yahoo! reports a weak third quarter and revises its guidance for the fourth quarter and 2009 down, its shares could quickly move well under $10. Microsoft knows that. If it still wants to buy Yahoo! it may only have to wait a few weeks to get a much better deal.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Analyst upgrades:

• William Blair upgraded Parexel (NASDAQ: PRXL) to Outperform from Market Perform on increased conviction in the company's earnings growth outlook following channel checks.
  
• Friedman Billings upgraded UDR Inc (NYSE: UDR) to Outperform from Market Perform and raised its target to $22 from $26 citing the company's approximate 8% implied cap rate on is vastly improved apartment portfolio.
  
• Citigroup upgraded Abercrombie & Fitch (NYSE: ANF) to Hold from Sell on valuation as they believe weak fundamentals are now priced into the stock.
• Goldman upgraded Portland General Electric (NYSE: POR) to Buy from Neutral and added shares to the Conviction Buy List.
  
• StellarOne (NASDAQ: STEL) and Union Bankshares (NASDAQ: UBSH) were upgraded to Neutral from Underperform at Baird.
  
• Bernstein upgraded DISH Network (NASDAQ: DISH) to Market Perform from Underperform.

Analyst downgrades:

• Deutsche Bank downgraded Align Tech (NASDAQ: ALGN) to Hold from Buy as they believe macroeconomic pressures will limit the company's ability to reach longer term growth expectations. Align's target was lowered to $8 from $14.
  
• Jefferies downgraded shares of Advanced Medical (NYSE: EYE) to Underperform from Buy and lowered its target to $9 from $28 following the company's lowered guidance as they believe macroeconomic pressures affecting LASIK volumes and the unanticipated slowdown in lens care should put continued pressure on the stock.
  
• ThinkPanmure expects the macro slowdown and credit crunch to slow Intel's (NASDAQ: INTC) growth and IT capex spending. The firm downgraded shares to Sell from Buy, lowered its 2009 EPS estimate to $1.01 from $1.35, vs. consensus of $1.46, and cut Intel's target to $12 from $24.
• MGM Mirage (NYSE: MGM) was lowered to Neutral from Positive at Susquehanna.
  
• Charles River Labs (NYSE: CRL) was downgraded at William Blair to Market Perform from Outperform.
  
• Deutsche Bank cut Heinz (NYSE: HNZ) and MasterCard (NYSE: MA) to Hold from Buy.

Analyst initiations:

• Old Second Bancorp (NASDAQ: OSBC) was initiated with a Market Perform rating and $17 target at Keefe Bruyette. The firm believes the company's exposure to strong markets should generate above-average returns.
  
• Susquehanna assumed Affiliated Computer (NYSE: ACS) with a Positive rating and $55 target and is positive on the company's low levels of customer concentration and high levels of geographic diversification.
  
• Cowen resumed coverage of AnnTaylor (NYSE: ANN) with a Neutral rating, citing the company's share loss to competitors and top-line weakness..
• MetLife (NYSE: MET) was assumed with an Overweight rating at Morgan Stanley.
  
• JMP Securities initiated HFF Inc (NYSE: HF) with a Market Perform rating.
  
• Genpact (NYSE: G) was initiated at Susquehanna with a Neutral rating.

There's no question that Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ), whose corporate colleagues include Merck (NYSE: MRK), Pfizer (NYSE: PFE), and Procter & Gamble (NYSE: PG), is a respected institution on Wall Street. It's a proud member of the Dow, and we all know the company's products: Band-Aid, Listerine, etc. J&J also makes diagnostic equipment and pharmaceuticals. It's truly a respected icon, as Steven Halpern found out.

Investors will be digging through J&J's third-quarter numbers next Tuesday, looking not only for signs about the economy but for signs about J&J itself. After all, everyone wants a defensive stock in their portfolios. A lot of companies aren't looking so defensive these days. Could J&J be the one?

According to Earnings.com, you shouldn't get too excited in terms of growth. The call for the bottom line is $1.11 per share. That would only represent low single-digit percentage growth. Of course, these days, that might be exciting enough. As to whether or not the bottom line will beat the analysts, I suppose the game is completely changed at this point, but I figure J&J will pull through on that count. It all depends on how much we can trust history given the brave new economic world we are suddenly faced with. According to this earnings analysis source at AOL Finance, J&J beat estimates the last four times at bat. Due to this strong recent trend, I'll assume J&J will deliver the goods.

So, let's assume J&J does please the Wall Street analysts. What then? Well, it's really going to be the outlook that's going to tell the ultimate tale. We'll have to see if management is going to give some positive thoughts during the conference call. What does management think about commodity costs and margins? What about the cash flows? Then there's the dividend and the share-repurchase program, two things which investors of J&J count on for long-term value. Management had a few things to say about these issues the last time around (please see the following transcript of the Q2 conference call). I think management is going to be cautious, but I don't feel that there will be any disastrous notes struck during the discussion with analysts.

Maybe the economy is not quite ready to fall off a cliff quite yet, though it appears to be heading in that direction. At least, that's the message this morning coming from Dow stalwart General Electric Co. (NYSE: GE).

General Electric, whose shares have been pounded lately because of concerns about its financing unit, today reported an in-line quarter.

In a press release, GE Chief Executive Jeffrey Immelt, whose job may be in jeopardy, pointed out that the conglomerate was "on track" to meet its revised -- reduced -- guidance issued September 25. He also pointed out, "We have taken a number of steps to protect investors from the downside risk in financial services, and we have ways to mitigate potential disruptions in infrastructure and media markets, but the environment remains challenging."

GE also plans to sustain its dividend through the end of next year.

"We have big backlogs, great products, stable service revenue, strong operating discipline, an unmatched global position and multiple revenue streams. As a result, the Company is well positioned to perform in a very difficult environment, and our Board has approved our plan to sustain the GE dividend through 2009," Immelt said.

Despite the positive spin, the results were pretty dreadful. Profit from continuing operations fell 12 percent to $4.48 billion, or 45 cents a share, from $5.11 billion, or 50 cents. Many businesses including Global Finance fell by double-digit percentage points. Cash flow from operations plunged 18 percent during the first nine months of the year.

How sad is it that meeting reduced expectations is seen as great news?