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This post was written by Minyanville contributor Jason Goepfert.
Regarding an observation I saw on the Dow's six straight losses, I show it's happened roughly every 20 years since 1896.
The last occurrence wasn't that long ago, September 2002, though a couple of those months were just barely negative and may actually show a positive return depending on who your data vendor is.
Anyway, what I think is interesting is that the Dow's performance after the others was mixed when looking out one to three months -- sometimes up, sometimes down. After six months, only two of the six were positive and the average risk during those six months was -11%, compared to an average reward of +8%.
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