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Low cost carriers own 30% of domestic airline biz, growing fast

For years, it's been evident that smaller airlines have had an operating advantage, particularly when they use less expensive airports. They've been able to post better numbers as a result, and in the current travel slump, they've outperformed the larger carriers. Well, they've also picked up a considerable amount of market share.

According to a report by USA Today, low cost carriers now have 30% of the market in the United States. Price-sensitive consumers are turning to cheaper alternatives, even if it means (for fliers with elite status) giving up the perks they've earned through years of customer loyalty.

Continue reading Low cost carriers own 30% of domestic airline biz, growing fast

Earnings highlights: Amazon, Apple, Caterpillar, Hershey, McDonald's, UPS ...

Here are some highlights from last week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

Continue reading Earnings highlights: Amazon, Apple, Caterpillar, Hershey, McDonald's, UPS ...

Closing Bell: Mixing the indexes (AAI, COP, RPRX, VG, SIRI)

Today was one of those days where commodities and the dollar went all over. Gold still rose, yet oil fell on a very mixed inventory report. The markets started out with some strength, but the major indexes were mixed at the end of the day.

Here are today's unofficial closing bell levels:

Dow 9,725.80 -5.45 (-0.06%)
S&P 500 1,057.56 +2.84 (0.27%)
Nasdaq 2,110.33 +6.76 (0.32%)

Analysts: top upgrades and top downgrades
Top Rumors of the Day
Top Day Trader Alerts

Continue reading Closing Bell: Mixing the indexes (AAI, COP, RPRX, VG, SIRI)

The week in preview: Earnings crunch expected to reveal lots of lower profits

The earnings crunch begins in earnest this week, and analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters are expecting a parade of companies reporting profit declines in the just completed quarter. That includes more financials, such as American Express Co. (NYSE: AXP), Bank of New York Mellon Corp. (NYSE: BK), M&T Bank Corp. (NYSE: MTB), Northern Trust Corp. (NASDAQ: NTRS), State Street Corp. (NYSE: STT), US Bancorp (NYSE: USB), and Wells Fargo & Co. (NYSE: WFC). On the other hand, Capital One Financial Corp. (NYSE: COF), E*Trade Financial Corp. (NASDAQ: ETFC), Regions Financial Corp. (NYSE: RF), and Zions Bancorp. (NASDAQ: ZION) are expected to post losses.

This week's anticipated earnings decliners also include tech companies such as Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL), Lexmark International Inc. (NYSE: LXK), Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ: MSFT), Qualcomm Inc. (NASDAQ: QCOM), Texas Instruments Inc. (NYSE: TXN), and Yahoo! Inc. (NASDAQ: YHOO). Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (NYSE: AMD) is expected to post a loss.

Continue reading The week in preview: Earnings crunch expected to reveal lots of lower profits

Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: CS, CI, UNH, AMAT, NFLX

Analyst upgrades:
  • Jefferies upgraded MSC Industrial (NYSE:MSM) to Buy from Hold after meeting with management as they believe shares are attractive at current levels. The firm raised their target price to $44 from $32.
  • UBS upgraded DuPont Fabros (NYSE:DFT) to Buy from Neutral and raised their target to $7 from $2. The firm believes DuPont Fabros will receive a waiver on its CH1 Construction loan for at least a year.
  • Royal Bank of Scotland upgraded Credit Suisse (NYSE:CS) to Buy from Hold to reflect the company's derisking of its trading book.
  • Smith & Nephew (NYSE:SNN) was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman and added to the Conviction Buy List; Cigna (NYSE:CI) was also added to the Conviction Buy List.
  • Affymetrix (NASDAQ:AFFX) was raised to Equal Weight from Underweight at Morgan Stanley.
  • Airtran Holdings (NYSE:AAI) was upgraded to Buy from Hold at Jesup & Lamont.

Continue reading Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: CS, CI, UNH, AMAT, NFLX

Analyst calls: AAI, AMR, CAL, POT, AIG, DHI, PHM, GS, JPM, LOW ...

Analyst upgrades:
  • UBS believes US airlines estimates are too low and will move higher. The firm upgraded AirTran (NYSE: AAI), AMR Corp (NYSE: AMR), Continental (NYSE: CAL), Delta (NYSE: DAL) and Northwest (NYSE: NWA) to Buy from Neutral and JetBlue (NASDAQ: JBLU) to Neutral from Sell.
  • JMP Securities upgraded DealerTrack (NASDAQ: TRAK) to OUtperform from Market Perform as they believe 2H08 guidance represents a floor and that 2009 estimates are achievable, among other reasons.
  • Potash (NYSE: POT) and Mosaic (NYSE: MOS) were raised to Buy from Hold at Soleil.
  • Argus upgraded Seagate (NYSE: STX) to Buy from Hold on Friday.
Analyst downgrades:
  • Jefferies downgraded Citrix Systems (NASDAQ: CTXS) to Underperform from Hold as they do not see a catalyst for the company to grow into 2009 consensus estimates. The firm lowered their target price to $25 from $32.
  • Citigroup said following Lehman's (NYSE: LEH) bankruptcy, they expect a distressed-sale of American International's (NYSE: AIG) MBS portfolio, resulting in the worst quarter yet for the company. Shares were cut to Hold from Buy.
  • D.R. Horton (NYSE: DHI) was downgraded to Sell from Hold and Pulte Homes (NYSE: PHM) was downgraded to Hold from Sell at Citigroup.
  • Merrill downgraded Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) to Neutral from Buy and JP Morgan (NYSE: JPM) to Underperform from Neutral.

Continue reading Analyst calls: AAI, AMR, CAL, POT, AIG, DHI, PHM, GS, JPM, LOW ...

Analyst upgrades: PETM, MMC and PNCL

MOST NOTEWORTHY: PetSmart, Marsh & McLennan and Pinnacle Airlines were today's noteworthy upgrades:
  • Banc of America upgraded PetSmart (NASDAQ:PETM) to Buy from Neutral on valuation, as they believe the market is overly negative on the company's cyclicality.
  • Keefe Bruyette upgraded shares of Marsh & McLennan (NYSE:MMC) to Outperform from Market Perform on increased confidence management will be able to improve margins.
  • JP Morgan upgraded Pinnacle Airlines (NASDAQ:PNCL) to Overweight from Underweight citing the company's FCF and contract certainty.
OTHER UPGRADES:
  • Hasbro (NYSE:HAS) was upgraded to Buy from Hold at Needham.
  • Calyon raised Airtran Holdings (AAI) to Add from Neutral.
  • Liberty Entertainment (LMDIA) was raised at Merrill to Buy from Neutral.

Analyst downgrades: Airline stocks, SI and INAP

MOST NOTEWORTHY: The airline sector, Siemens and Internap were today's noteworthy downgrades:
  • Lehman downgraded the airline sector to Neutral from Positive, citing higher fuel costs and the weakening economy. AirTran (NYSE: AAI) and U.S. Airways (NYSE: LCC) were downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight. UBS said it can no longer recommend airline stocks due to weakening economy, high fuel prices, and less likely industry consolidation. The firm downgraded Continental Airlines (NYSE: CAL), Delta Air Lines (NYSE: DAL), Northwest Airlines (NYSE: NWA) and U.S. Airways to Neutral from Buy.
  • Goldman removed shares of Siemens (NYSE: SI) from their Conviction Buy List as they believe the company may book additional charges of $1.2B this year.
  • Jefferies cut Internap (NASDAQ: INAP) to Underperform from Buy as they believe the 10-K filing delay and revenue quality questions reduce visibility into the health of the business.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:

Newspaper wrap-up: Fnac in talks to sell iPhone in France

MAJOR PAPERS:
  • The Wall Street Journal's "Heard on the Street" reported that VCG Special Opportunities Master Fund, a $58M asset hedge fund which is owned by an investment firm that also owns a Puerto Rican investment bank, is separately suing Citigroup Incorporated (NYSE: C) and Wachovia Corporation (NYSE: WB) for requiring it to pay money from "credit default swaps" as the value of mortgage backed bonds fell.
OTHER PAPERS:
  • In an attempt to cut back its growth plans due to higher fuel costs, AirTran Holdings Inc (NYSE: AAI) CEO Bob Fornaro said the Orlando-based airline will sell two jets next month. The Orlando Sentinel reported that record fuel costs could also impact AirTran's negotiations with its pilots union.
  • Fnac is in talks with Apple Inc (NASDAQ: AAPL) to sell the iPhone in France, Le Figaro reported. The head of PPR SA's Fnac Chain, Denis Olivennes, said France Telecom's (NYSE: FTE) exclusivity rights for the iPhone in France are "inadmissible."
WEB SITES:
  • Bloomberg reported that the head of Dubai International Capital, Sameer al-Ansari, said that as losses increase from the subprime mortgage market turmoil, Citigroup may need additional capital from outside investors.

Analyst downgrades: ING, INWK, KNXA, AAI and AMR

MOST NOTEWORTHY: ING Group, Innerworkings, Kenexa, AirTran Holdings and AMR Corp were today's noteworthy downgrades:
  • Bear Stearns downgraded shares of ING Group (NYSE: ING) to Peer Perform from Underperform after the company's Q3 results, given continued concerns regarding the US mortgage market.
  • Jefferies lowered its rating on Innerworkings (NASDAQ: INWK) to Hold from Buy on valuation, as they see limited upside after the in-line Q3 results.
  • Kenexa (NASDAQ: KNXA) was downgraded to Market Underperform from Market Perform at JMP Securities. The firm downgraded shares following the disappointing Q3 report and guidance as pressure on its business is likely to continue.
  • UBS downgraded AirTran Holdings (NYSE: AAI) to Neutral from Buy and AMR Corporation (NYSE: AMR) to Sell from Neutral. The firm cited weakening corporate demand for the downgrades.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:
  • NICE Systems (NASDAQ: NICE) was downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Banc of America.
  • Deutsche Bank downgraded Gol Linhas Aereas (NYSE: GOL) to Hold from Buy.
  • Wachovia downgraded the Broker Sector to Market Weight from Overweight, also downgrading Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) to Market Perform from Outperform.
  • Goldman removed Maxim (NASDAQ: MXIM) from its Conviction Buy List.

The cookies are safe ... for now

Midwest Air Group (NYSE: MEH) agreed last week to be acquired by TPG Capital, and CEO Tim Hoeksema relieved investors concerned about its independence by proclaiming, "The cookies stay." The move closed the door on AirTran's (NYSE: AAI) two-year hostile takeover attempt, but reports have now emerged that could allow Northwest (NYSE: NWA), the "passive investor" in the acquisition, to actually own Midwest outright one day.

TPG partner Richard Schifter is quoted by The Associated Press saying "The equity firm may want to cash out of the deal some day, and Minneapolis-based Northwest could become the sole owner." Schifter told the Kansas City Business Journal that a potential acquisition of Midwest by Northwest would be "several years out and isn't anything we expect in the near future."

The potential for Northwest to acquire Midwest one day has definitely ruffled some feathers in the region. The Milwaukee Journal Sentinel said in an editorial that TPG's recent conference call with reporters was "not encouraging" and that questions remain, including if Midwest could survive in the business. The Journal also questioned how "passive" Northwest's relationship with Midwest will be in the future, especially with its "spotty service record."

TPG Capital has a history of working with airlines. Since the main purpose for private-equity companies is to make a profit on their investments, it is only logical to think that Northwest could one day own Midwest outright. It's also possible that TPG could sell the company to AirTran years down the tarmac. Either way, the cookies are safe, for now.

Midwest CEO: 'The cookies stay'

Those were the words from Midwest Airlines (AMEX: MEH) CEO Tim Hoeksema after he announced late last night that Midwest has made a decision, according to the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. After four hostile attempts from AirTran Holdings (NYSE: AAI) and nearly two years of rejection, Midwest Airlines has finally agreed to be acquired -- by TPG Capital for $450 million.

Hoeksema is expected to remain at the CEO of Midwest. Under AirTran's ownership, he would have been forced to resign.

Midwest Airlines will get to keep its name, identity and independent status with the sale to TPG Capital, as well as the cookies.

Virgin America to introduce 'premium economy class'

USA Today's Ben Mutzabaugh had an interesting Q&A session with Richard Branson, founder of the Virgin Group and Virgin Atlantic Airways, on last week's inaugural flight from New York JFK Airport to San Francisco. Reading Branson's description of the new Virgin flights made me want to book a flight to San Fran immediately.

What interested me from the start of the interview was one of things that Branson said would set Virgin America apart from the other U.S. carriers, something he planned to introduce called "premium economy class." He described this as seating that would be "for people who want more legroom but can't afford first class." Mind you that the most expensive first-class tickets Virgin America has right now are approximately $650, but who wants to pay that for a flight when you can have "premium economy class?"

A quick check on Virgin Atlantic's website, because Virgin America has yet to initiate this service, and they show me that premium economy seating has 38 inches of leg room, compared to the standard 33 inches in economy seating, and a seat width of 21 inches. This is has to be a dream! Once this "premium economy class" comes to Virgin America, I'm certainly going to think of using them for my next flight. More space for less money, it's an amazing concept. I just hope they can last that long in the States with Northwest Airlines (NYSE: NWA), AirTran (NYSE: AAI), Southwest Airlines (NYSE: LUV), US Airways (NYSE: LCC), JetBlue Airways (NASDAQ: JBLU), United Airlines (NASDAQ: UAUA) and all the other U.S. carriers competing for the same ticket.

AirTran bids for Midwest, again

AirTran Holdings (NYSE: AAI) made another bid for Midwest Air Group (NYSE: MEH) today, pushing to total up to $445 million. The new cash-and-stock offer of $16.25 bid surpasses the $16-a-share cash offer made TPG Capital and Northwest Airlines (NYSE: NWA) on Sunday and is 50 cents higher than their previous last-ditch effort on Sunday, hours before the Midwest Board said it would pursue a rival bid.

This is the fourth time AirTran has raised its bid for Midwest since December. Despite AirTran receiving support from nearly 63% of Midwest shareholders, management refused to relinquish control to the Orlando-based discount airline. Midwest's Board said it would "take AirTran's revised offer under consideration."

While the Board deliberates, let's take a look at exactly what would happen to Midwest if they were to be acquired by either AirTran or TPG/Northwest:

  • AirTran wants to rebrand the airline under its own name and integrate Midwest's operations into its broader network.
  • Under the TPG offer, Midwest would maintain its brand name and its current management. Northwest, a company that has had nothing but problem after problem since it emerged from bankruptcy earlier this year, would not participate in the management or have any direct control over Midwest. Instead, Northwest hopes to explore cost reduction strategies like joint fuel purchasing.
AirTran President Bob Fornaro said the Midwest Board is required to not only consider the price of a takeover offer but also the effect on employees and the community, according to USA Today. But what about the shareholders? A total of 63% of Midwest shareholders were willing to side with AirTran after a $15.75 offer, and now the offer has been improved to $16.25. It seems pretty clear who the shareholders want to be with.

Northwest (NWA) would rather buy competition than improve

In another lap tray to the belly, customers of Milwaukee-based Midwest Air Group (NYSE: MEH), repeatedly named as one of the nation's best airlines for customer service and comfort, learned today that the airline will be purchased by a group led by TPG Capital. The investor group includes Midwest's competitor Northwest Airlines (NYSE: NWA), which is reviled by passengers for its cattle-car seating, lack of timeliness and failure to understand the concept of customer service

The acquisition offers little in the way of synergy to the two airlines. They duplicate many routes, and Midwest flies the Boing 717, while Northwest uses 747s and 757s. What the deal does accomplish is to block the expansion of a potential competitor in Northwest's upper midwest routes. While the deal secures the present management of Midwest, I suspect it's just a matter of time before the malaise reaches Milwaukee.

Midwest has been fighting off suitor Airtran Holdings' (NYSE: AAI) hostile takeover attempt, which reached $15.75 and $389 million before it folded its cards late last week. TPG, which grew out of the Continental Airlines (NYSE: CAL) takeover in 1993, is offering $16 per share, or over $400 million, to take the company private. The Midwest board voted Sunday to go forward with the TPG offer, and an agreement is expected by midweek.

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Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA+30.6910,464.40
NASDAQ+6.872,176.05
S&P 500+4.981,110.63

Last updated: November 27, 2009: 02:03 AM

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