Before the bell: AIG, Citi pressure stock futures lower

Activision (NASDAQ: ATVI) late Thursday reported a fourth-quarter profit that handily beat expectations as video games sales nearly doubled with strong demand for Guitar Hero 3 and Call of Duty 4 games. ATVI shares are up over 4.5% in premarket trading.

This post is part of our Battle of the Brands feature. Let us know which brand you prefer, and check out other Battle of the Brands posts.

Going by ad campaigns alone, you would think that every person -- or, at least every cool person -- had abandoned their Windows PCs and hoisted themselves onto the Macintosh bandwagon. Not so. The truth is that PCs far outnumber Macs in the market. The big-business worlds of finance, law, medicine use predominantly PC, while the areas of video production, web design and art use Mac. These computers do most of the same things (play games and DVDs, word-process, create web pages, store and play music) but they are completely different operating systems. Even though Apple computers now include the Intel processor that makes it possible to use Windows-only applications, it can still be hard to compare products.

But what about the companies themselves? What does the Apple brand signify that the Dell brand does not? And vice versa.

Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL): Providing innovative products and a user-friendly interface, Apple has turned the whole computer thing into a fashion accessory. For someone who used Dell products for years and then switched to Mac, the difference is like night and day. A Mac is so easy to use. With a clean interface, a near-universal compatibility with external products and tools, these computers are a beautiful breeze. And now that Macs include Intel processors, one can switch back and forth between a Windows interface and a Mac interface, making previous incompatibilities (software, games, etc.) now perfectly compatible. And when it comes to customer service (see below) Apple really socks the house.

Before the bell: Futures lower ahead of data

News Corp (NYSE: NWS) is scheduled to report earning Wednesday and is estimated to post a profit of 31 cents a share in the fiscal third quarter.

In its attempt to answer consumer demand, Ford Motor Co. (NYSE: F) said Wednesday it plans to greatly increase the use of more fuel-efficient six-speed automatic transmissions. The six-speed automatic transmission, which offers 4-6% better fuel economy, will be in 98% of its North American vehicles by 2012.

Seems that after the recent dealing with Yahoo! Inc. (NASDAQ: YHOO), Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ: MSFT) Chairman Bill Gates has had enough. He said the company isn't pursuing other deals for now and that Microsoft and Yahoo! should pursue "independent paths." Microsoft still has to show shareholders improvement in Vista and its struggling internet business.

So The Wall Street Journal reports today -- according to its favorite "people familiar with the situation" sentence -- that wireless provider Sprint Nextel Corp. (NYSE: S) is considering spinning off or selling its Nextel unit. This is when I hear the screeching sound of a needle scraping a record. Say what? Should we play that again?

I guess I shouldn't really be that surprised since the $35 billion acquisition of Nextel Communications Inc. in 2005 has always seemed, to say it mildly, challenging. This would be, as the Journal puts it, "a dramatic acknowledgment" that the merger has actually been a failure.

Well, only Monday we heard that Deutsche Telekom AG (NYSE: DT) may be interested in Sprint. Could it be that either Deutsche Telekom demanded such an action, or that Sprint management decided such an action could entice DT to indeed go forward with an offer (despite the probable problems such a merger could face, as Jonathan Berr outlined in his post Monday)? Without Nextel, Sprint would rid itself of much debt. It is also considered to have better handsets and fewer dropped calls, making it a more attractive target.

Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) can't sell any Zunes, so it has come up with a plan so that it will continue to do badly in the business. According to The Wall Street Journal, Redmond "is introducing a new technology that will let users of its Zune portable devices legally share portions of their song libraries with other Zune users." To take full advantage of the new product users will have to buy a $14.99 a month service called Microsoft's Zune Pass.

None of that is going to help get share from the Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) iPod. Not only is it the largest music download service in the US, the iPod has almost 80% of the market. Zune owners can't share music with other Zune owners because there are so few of them. Perhaps Microsoft could start a "Zune-user location service" and charge money to help people find the two or three other Zune customers in their town.

There have been hopes that the Zune would do for Microsoft in the portable music device business what the Xbox did for it in gaming. But, Apple's footprint is too large and it is adding services, like video downloads and rentals, too quickly.

Microsoft should stick to trying to buy Yahoo! (NASDAQ: YHOO).

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com and author of the Ten Stocks Under $10 letter.

Before the bell: With high oil prices, FNM on deck, futures decline

D. R. Horton (NYSE: DHI) shares are down over 6% in premarket trading after the homebuilder has swung to a loss for its fiscal second quarter of $1.31 billion, or $4.14 per share. With the continued housing slump, the company took hefty charges to write down the value of its inventory. Revenue plunged to $1.62 billion from $2.62 billion a year ago.

Fannie Mae (NYSE: FNM) shares are slumping over 9% this morning after the mortgage lender said it lost $2.2 billion or $2.57 a share in the first quarter due to mounting home-loan delinquencies as the housing slump continued. The results were below, far below that of estimates.

Vodafone Group (NYSE: VOD) said Tuesday that it's signed an agreement with Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) to sell the iPhone in ten of its markets including Australia, the Czech Republic, Italy and India.

Mobile TV is just getting launched in some parts of Europe and the US. AT&T (NYSE: T) will kick off its new offering in the US later this week. According to The New York Times, "Mobile operators across Europe and the United States are investing in new broadcasting towers, mobile devices, and television programming and promotions, even though it is not yet clear that profit will follow."

Just how many devices are people going to use to view video? There is the TV, powered by the Unbox, cable, telecom fiber, AppleTV (NASDAQ: AAPL) and digital recording devices. TV users can also get satellite TV. All of this costs a lot. Are people going to add another $25 a month for broadcasts to their cellphones?

People just walking around town can use their iPods or iPhones.

The PC is now a good place to watch movies. On a typical airline flight or train ride dozens of people are plugged into their computers watching the Scottish defeat the English in Brave Heart.

Cell TV has two problems. It is late to the video device game meaning it faces huge competition. And who wants to watch movies or the news on a one-inch square screen? The battle scenes are very hard to make out.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com and writes the Ten Stocks Under $10 letter.

While researching GPS maker Garmin Ltd (NASDAQ: GRMN) -- whose stock has lost two-thirds of its value in the last six months -- I can't help but pity those long-term shareholders who reject trend following and technical analysis in favor of investing for the long term. To them, it seemed like only yesterday that GPS was one of the hottest technologies around and this industry leader could do no wrong.

Well, that's usually the time to sell, just as I posted on Apple Inc (NASDAQ: AAPL) in January this year and on Google Inc (NASDAQ: GOOG) in November last year, both before they each dropped 40% in just a few months. Because the truth is these popular technology stocks are all expectations. We're not talking Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.A)-type value investing here.

Sure, GPS is still hot, somewhat, but due to intense competition, margins have been evaporating, forcing analysts to lower their earnings estimates. In their latest quarter, Garmin further strengthened the bear case with spiking inventories and accounts receivable. None of that looks to change anytime soon, and even though it's got a P/E of 10, book value is all the way down near $11 per share!

Before the bell: Futures lower after Microsoft's Yahoo deal fails

Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.A) reported a 64% drop in quarterly profit late Friday. At the company's annual meeting this past weekend, the legendary investor said that while a Berkshire unit has bought portfolios of subprime mortgages (and has frozen resets that were due to send interest rates on those loans higher) he warned investors that housing-market weakness isn't over yet and predicted more losses for banks. At the same time, Buffett said Sunday he will consider investing in the insurance business of U.K. banking giant Royal Bank of Scotland (NYSE: RBS) and is close to buying a medium-sized company in the country.

Hovnanian Enterprises Inc. (NYSE: HOV) estimated on Monday it would take $225 million to $275 million of land-related charges for the that fiscal second-quarter and said that home deliveries dropped 21% to 2,494 homes in the period. The company also turned cash-flow positive faster than it expected and tripled its full-year estimate of cash flow.

After being rejected by Continental Airlines Inc. (NYSE: CAL) last month, United Airlines parent UAL Corp. (NYSE: UAUA) is intensifying merger talks with US Airways Group Inc. (NYSE: LCC), according to The Wall Street Journal. A deal is said could emerge in as soon as 10 days. In light of rising fuel costs, the more than $1.5 billion in potential cost savings and revenue enhancements the companies see from joining forces is no doubt appealing more and more.

With the current challenging market conditions probably many of us are wondering which are those reliable stocks that could offer us a big profit in the next coming years. In the light of those questions, Gene Marcial's new book, 7 Commandments of Stock Investing, reveals his perspective over seven stocks that are considered to be worth buying and holding for the next seven years (check out BusinessWeek's slideshow of his seven picks).

Taking advantage of the experience he gained over the past 30 years, BusinessWeek's Gene Marcial shares his opinions related to investors' strategy to use market meltdowns for their own benefit, being able to turn the stock market panic into success.

This post is part of our Battle of the Brands feature. Let us know which brand you prefer, and check out other Battle of the Brands posts.

"I'm like Ma Bell, I got the ill communication." -- Beastie Boys

When considering these two particular companies, it is important to note their roots as offspring of the famous "Ma Bell" network. The Bell System, which has produced the most complex ongoing series of mergers and break-ups in the history of the United States, is the origin of the companies that are now AT&T Inc. (NYSE: T) and Verizon Communications Inc. (NYSE: VZ), as well as competitor Qwest Communications International (NYSE: Q). A lot has changed since those early times -- remember, after all, that the second "T" in AT&T stood for Telegraph. Now phones are the latest devices to be made supercomputers. AT&T has its exclusive deal with the Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) iPhone, while Verizon slings the Research in Motion Ltd. (NASDAQ: RIMM) BlackBerry.

Since wireless is the way of the future, the wireless divisions of these companies is the most hotly contested, and the focus of this "Battle of the Brands." It is important to note that despite Verizon Wireless bearing solely Verizon's name, it is not owned by just them, it is a 55%-45% joint venture between Verizon and Vodafone Group (NYSE: VOD). It is also important to note that AT&T Mobility is the service formerly known as Cingular, which was acquired by AT&T in 2006 when it bought BellSouth for $86B.

This month saw great improvement after last month's disaster. Having to conclude my findings on a specific month end day, or any day, depending on the news, sometimes distorts results. For example news on March 31 sent the market down and on April first my picks shot up an unusual amount; hopefully the trend will continue.

My riskiest stock pick Newcastle Investment Corp (NYSE: NCT) was down the most in March but recovered about 35% of the loss in April leaving Valero Energy Corp. (NYSE: VLO) the dubious honor of being my worst performer, down over 30% in the first four months of the year.

April showed improvement as many companies reported positive earnings reports or beat expectations.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained some ground in April as did the Standard & Poor's 500 Index, and the technology heavy NASDAQ Composite Index was up with stocks like Apple, Inc (NASDAQ: AAPL) and Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG) improving significantly on very strong reports. Google is up over 25%.

Most of my picks improved. Higher food prices no doubt helped Bunge Limited (NYSE: BG) which recaptured losses moving up 23% from its recent bottom. My two winners Raytheon Co. (NYSE: RTN), the high tech defense contractor, and Reliance Steel & Aluminum (NYSE: RS) were joined by a third, Anglo American plc (ADR) (NASDAQ: AAUK) which had a 10% swing entering positive territory.

Video is available on a number of small devices including the Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) iPod and several Verizon (NYSE: VZ) phones. Verizon even offers mobile TV.

AT&T (NYSE: T) doesn't want to miss out on the opportunity. It will launch its own mobile TV product. According to The Wall Street Journal, "The service, which will be available in 58 markets, including most big cities, will offer programs from several major TV networks, including CBS, Comedy Central, NBC and Fox." As the paper points out, the phones set up to carry TV are expensive and the service costs $15 a month.

Video is not doing too well on phones and other portable devices. The reasons are clear, even if the people at the phone companies do not want to hear them. Video is hard to watch on a one-inch square screen. Viewers may be able to hear the dialog but a video of "The Matrix" can't look good without the picture detail.

The other reason that cellular TV is unlikely to work is that cellular service in the US is still fairly poor. Dropped calls are a part of the life of the cellular phone consumer.

It is one thing to lose a call and have to redial. It is another to drop a signal in the middle of your favorite program. The cellular companies are just going to make people mad.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com and the author of the Ten Stocks Under $10 letter,

Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) shares are trading higher today as rumors swirled that partner AT&T (NYSE: T) will offer Apple's 3G, or next generation, iPhone for only $200, much cheaper than the retail cost of these phones. This discount would go straight onto Apple's bottom-line from the pockets of AT&T, who is hoping that these cheaper prices will lure more subscribers to their network. AAPL is also getting support from a Commerce Department report that GDP grew by 0.6 percent in the first quarter, ahead of the 0.5 percent growth expected by economists. If you think that the stock won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on AAPL.

After hitting a one-year low of $98.55 in May, the stock hit a one-year high of $202.96 in December. AAPL opened this morning at $176.19. So far today the stock has hit a low of $175.80 and a high of $180.00. As of 12:40, AAPL is trading at $177.45 up $2.40 (1.4%). The chart for AAPL looks bullish and steady, while S&P gives the stock a positive 4 STARS (out of 5) buy rating.

For a bullish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a June bull-put credit spread below the $140 range. A bull-put credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of put options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make a 4.3% return in just seven weeks as long as AAPL is above $140 at June expiration. Apple would have to fall by more than 21% before we would start to lose money. Learn more about this type of trade here.