U.S. stock futures declined Thursday morning, pointing to a lower start on Wall Street as investors started weighing the possibility that stocks have run up too far and too fast ahead of the economy -- the economic recovery may not be as robust. The retail sector is in focus with several retailers reporting earnings. The tech sector could also experience pressure.

On Wednesday, stocks ended lower with technology shares leading the decline, and the Nasdaq composite down nearly half a percent. Results from Salesforce.com (CRM) and Autodesk (ADSK) weighed on the sector as Hewlett-Packard (HPQ) and Microsoft (MSFT) were among the leading decliners in the Dow.

Analyst upgrades:

• FBR Capital upgraded M&T Bank (NYSE: MTB) to Market Perform from Underperform following the Q3 results to reflect the company's improved earnings outlook and better credit trends. The firm has a $70 price target on shares.
• Kaufman Bros. upgraded Autodesk (NASDAQ: ADSK) to Buy from Hold as it believes a bottom has been reached in the manufacturing and construction industries. The firm raised its target on shares to $30 from $26.
• Goldman upgraded Caterpillar (NYSE: CAT) to Neutral from Sell and raised its target to $64 from $48 citing improved cost controls and construction outlook.
• Pentair (NYSE: PNR) was upgraded to Buy from Hold at KeyBanc.
• Lexmark (NYSE: LXK) was upgraded to Neutral from Underweight at JPMorgan.
• Stryker (NYSE: SYK) was upgraded to Neutral from Underperform at BofA/Merrill.

Here are some highlights from last week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

• Applied Materials Inc. (NASDAQ: AMAT) posted better-than-expected Q3 results, sending shares higher.
• AutoDesk Inc. (NASDAQ: ADSK) reported better-than-expected Q2 earnings, sending shares higher.
• Blockbuster Inc. (NYSE: BBI) had another disappointing quarter as same-store sales declined.
• CIT Group Inc. (NYSE: CIT) delayed its Q3 report due to ongoing debt restructuring and a possible bankruptcy.
• Dr Pepper Snapple Group Inc. (NYSE: DPS) Q2 earnings came in well ahead of Wall Street expectations.

AutoDesk (NASDAQ: ADSK - option chain) shares are rising today after the company reported Q2 earnings of 0.05 per share and $10.5M. Excluding one-time items, this EPS was 0.24, above estimates of 0.19. If you think that the stock won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on ADSK.

ADSK opened this morning at $25.21. So far today the stock has hit a low of $25.08 and a high of $25.61. As of 11:10, ADSK is trading at $25.30, up 1.10 (4.6%). The chart for ADSK looks neutral and S&P gives ADSK a neutral 3 STARS (out of 5) hold ranking.

Analyst upgrades:

• Jefferies upgraded Autodesk (NASDAQ: ADSK) to Buy from Hold after the firm's channel checks indicated the company's business is stabilizing. Jefferies raised its target on shares to $27 from $20.
• Citigroup upgraded Veeco (NASDAQ: VECO) to Buy from Hold on expectations LED order momentum will continue and cost discipline will help margin leverage. Citi raised its target on shares to $24 from $8.
• Deutsche Bank upgraded Domtar (NYSE: UFS) to Buy from Hold on expectations earnings will improve meaningfully over the next year. The firm keeps a $24 price target on the stock.
• Varian (NASDAQ: VARI) was upgraded to Equal Weight from Underweight at Barclays.
• Air Products (NYSE: APD) was upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JPMorgan.
• U.S. Steel (NYSE: X) was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman.

Analyst upgrades:

• B. Riley upgraded Finish Line (NASDAQ: FINL) to Buy from Neutral to reflect the potential for improving trends in second half of 2009. The firm raised its target on shares to $10.50 from $9.
• Merriman upgraded OptionXpress (NASDAQ: OXPS) to Neutral from Sell following the company's better than expected Q2 results. The firm notes higher commissions per trade more than offset weak DARTs and the decline in customer additions in the quarter.
• RBC Capital upgraded Gardner Denver (NYSE: GDI) to Outperform from Sector Perform and raised its target to $34 from $28 citing the additional scale of restructuring, better tone to end-markets, and few downside catalysts. Baird upgraded Gardner Denver to Outperform from Neutral and raised its target to $35 from $32 based on a bottom in fundamentals and compelling valuation.
• BE Aerospace (NASDAQ: BEAV) was upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at FBR Capital.
• Shire (NASDAQ: SHPGY) was upgraded to Perform from Underperform at Oppenheimer.
• UnitedHealth (NYSE: UNH) was upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Credit Suisse.

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says these stocks have become too expensive without takeovers and a more robust economy.

One after another after another, these software charts are amazing. And, I might add, a bit scary. How did McAfee (NYSE: MFE) (Cramer's Take) make that kind of move just on security software? Didn't Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) (Cramer's Take) just say -- admittedly for the 4 millionth time -- that it was going to give away free anti-virus software? Or Citrix (NASDAQ: CTXS) (Cramer's Take)? What's that all about? How could it return to those levels?

There were rumors of a Cisco (NASDAQ: CSCO) (Cramer's Take) takeover a week or two ago, and, amazingly, when it didn't come true, the stock hung in.

Autodesk, Inc. (NASDAQ: ADSK) is scheduled to release its first-quarter earnings results after the closing bell today. Analysts, on average, are expecting the company to report a profit of 8 cents per share, down sharply from ADSK's profit of 50 cents per share in the year-ago period. Sales for the period are expected to arrive at $419 million.

Thomson First Call reports that the software concern has exceeded Wall Street's consensus earnings estimates in each of the previous four reporting periods, but pessimism is nevertheless running high ahead of tonight's announcement. On Wednesday, traders on the International Securities Exchange (ISE) bought to open 3,607 puts on ADSK, compared to just 84 calls. In other words, bearish bets were nearly 43 times more popular than their bullish counterparts.

The day's skeptically skewed option volume was simply the extension of a recent trend; ADSK boasts a hefty 10-day ISE put/call volume ratio of 9.56, indicating that traders have consistently preferred puts over calls during the two weeks preceding the earnings release. This ratio ranks in the 99th percentile, revealing that pessimistic options on the equity have rarely been in greater demand.

Analyst upgrades:

• Merriman upgraded shares of Google (NASDAQ: GOOG) to Buy from Neutral after its channel checks indicated a modest increase in ad spend per client in March. The upgrade is based on early indications that search pricing and ad spend are stabilizing, search volume continuing to grow at a double-digit rate, and Merriman's belief that consensus estimates are now at reasonable levels.
  
• Deutsche Bank upgraded shares of Alcoa (NYSE: AA) to Hold from Sell and raised its price target to $8 from $7.30 following the company's asset sales in March as it believes the financial overhang on the stock has been removed.
  
• Suntrust said Providence Service (NASDAQ: PRSC) has returned to profitability through demand stabilization for social services and cost controls. Shares were upgraded to Buy from Neutral.
• Telmex (NYSE: TMX) was upgraded to Neutral from Undeperform at Credit Suisse.
  
• Deutsche Telekom (NYSE: DT) was raised to Market Perform from Underperform at Bernstein.
  
• Autodesk (NASDAQ: ADSK) was lifted to Neutral from Sell at UBS.

Analyst upgrades:

• ING upgraded Roche (OTC: RHHBY) to Buy from Hold as it believes Roche will not pay more than $100/share for Genentech (NYSE: DNA) and that the Avastin adjuvant data due April 2009 provides significant upside potential.
  
• Oppenheimer upgraded Motorola (NYSE: MOT) to Outperform from Perform on valuation as it believes sentiment is at an all-time low and the stock has limited downside. The firm set a $5 target on shares.
  
• Morgan Stanley upgraded Comerica (NYSE: CMA) to Equal Weight from Underweight citing valuation that adequately reflects credit deterioration in its commercial-heavy loan portfolio and aggressive government action.
• Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ: CAKE) and Nucor (NYSE: NUE) were upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman.
  
• Pinnacle Entertainment (NYSE: PNK) was raised to Overweight from Equal Weight at Barclays.

The market was down almost all day, although it did make a few runs at going positive. The Q4 GDP data was even far worse than the revision estimates. While there is very little good news on the headlines, it does seem as though buyers are starting to nibble on positions. The end of day drop today looks like it was an index rebalance issue for month-end, although there could always be the fear of holding into the weekend. In that case, today almost felt like a win. Here are today's unofficial closing bell levels:

Dow 7,068.66 -113.42 (-1.58%)
S&P 500 735.50 -17.33 (-2.30%)
Nasdaq 1,377.84 -13.63 (-0.98%)

Top Analyst Downgrades
Top Analyst Upgrades

Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

• Alcoa Inc. (NYSE: AA) kicked off the new season with a larger-than-expected loss due to the economic slump.
• Allscripts-Misys Healthcare Solutions (NASDAQ: MDRX) reported better-than-expected Q2 earnings.
• Apollo Group Inc. (NASDAQ: APOL) share price soared after its strong Q1 earnings and guidance.
• Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) earnings prospects without CEO Steve Jobs led to an analyst's downgrade.
• Autodesk Inc. (NASDAQ: ADSK) lowered its guidance as business slows at an unprcedented rate.
• Bank of America Corp. (NYSE: BAC) reported terrible Q4 results and receivbed additional TARP money.
• Bunge Ltd. (NYSE: BG) lowered its 2008 earnings estimate due to soft soybean commodity markets.
• Citigroup Inc. (NYSE: C) posted a much bigger-than-expected loss and said it would split in two.
• Coventry Health Care Inc. (NYSE: CVH) offered full-year guidance that was less than analysts expectations.
• CSX Corp. (NYSE: CSX) forecast Q4 earnings would come in below analysts' expectations.
• CVS Caremark Corp. (NYSE: CVS) increased its quarterly dividend despite the recent lowered guidance.
• Deutsche Bank (NYSE: DB) reported a net loss for Q4 and the full year, dragging down the sector.
• Genentech Inc. (NASDAQ: DNA) revenue and earnings surged but were lower than analysts estimated.
• Intel Corp. (NASDAQ: INTC) Q4 results were in line with low expectations as the gross margin declined.
• JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE: JPM) reported a huge drop in Q4 earnings but it stayed in the black.
• Lexmark International Inc. (NYSE: LXK) slashed its Q4 outlook and announced job cuts.
• Pentair Inc. (NYSE: PNR) efforts to limit an earnings decline led to a buy recommendation.
• Precision Cast Corp. (NYSE: PCP) earnings prospects following the recent rally led to an analyst's downgrade.

Today's economic data came in largely as expected, but that failed to make much difference as the earnings front is a disaster and as more trouble is lurking at the major banking institutions. The good news is that shares were mixed rather than just down across the board. Here are today's unofficial closing bell levels:

DJIA: 8,212.49 (+12.35)
S&P500: 843.73 (+1.11)
NASDAQ: 1,511.84 (+22.20)
Top Analyst Upgrades
Top Analyst Downgrades

JPMorgan Chase (NYSE: JPM) had a dismal quarter with a huge drop in earnings, but it did manage to post $0.07 EPS when many were expecting breakeven numbers at best. Credit quality and the pull of other financial stocks weighed on it and shares were down almost 7% at $24.12 at the end of the day.

Citigroup, Inc. (NYSE: C) was again front and center in the news with another down day. The company denied rumors that there is a form of arranged nationalization with the government, but shares were still down almost another 20% at $3.65 late in the day.

Bank of America Corp. (NYSE: BAC) was under pressure all day on reports that it needs additional funds and guarantees to absorb more losses from the Merrill Lynch buyout. Shares were down 16% at $8.50 late in the day.

General Electric Co. (NYSE: GE) fell after reports that it was cutting 1,000 jobs from its aviation unit. This has been trading as though worse news is coming. Shares were down almost 3% at $13.70 late in the day.

Autodesk, Inc. (NASDAQ: ADSK) warned on earnings agin with a range of $0.18 to $0.24 EPS rather than $0.28 to $0.34 EPS. It also sees revenues in a range of $475 to $500 million. Business here continues to slolw at a fervent pace never seen before and shares were down 13% at $15.36 late in the day.

Analyst upgrades:

• Goldman upgraded Nokia (NYSE: NOK) to Neutral from Sell on valuation and believes the company's guidance is realistic.
  
• SMH Capital upgraded GMX Resources (NASDAQ: GMXR) to Accumulate from Neutral and is positive on the company's capex reduction.
  
• Wachovia raised Nationwide Health Services (NYSE: NHP) to Outperform from Market Perform to reflect the company's diversified portfolio and "solid" capital position.
• Portugal Telecom (NYSE: PT) was upgraded to Equal Weight from Underweight at Morgan Stanley.
  
• Omnicare (NYSE: OCR) was upgraded to Buy from Hold at Soleil.
  
• SKF AB (OTC: SKFRY) was upgraded at JP Morgan to Neutral from Underweight.

Analyst downgrades:

Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

• AnnTaylor Stores Corp. (NYSE: ANN) posted dismal Q3 results as same-store sales sank.
• Autodesk Inc. (NASDAQ: ADSK) declined to release an outlook for next year due to the economic turmoil.
• BASF AG (OTC: BASFY) profit warning resulted in analysts' upgrades and downgrades both.
• Dell Inc. (NASDAQ: DELL) handily beat Q3 expectations due in part to share buybacks.
• GameStop Corp. (NYSE: GME) missed Q3 earnings expectations and same-store sales declined.
• Hewlett-Packard Co. (NYSE: HPQ) forecast Q4 results above estimates on cost cutting and global reach.
• Home Depot Inc. (NYSE: HD) reported better-than-expected Q3 results though sales had declined.
• LDK Solar Co. Ltd. (NYSE: LDK) Q3 earnings more than doubled and revenued surged 70%.
• Lowe's Cos. Inc. (NYSE: LOW) posted better-than-expected Q3 results though same-store sales slipped.
• McDonald's Corp. (NYSE: MCD) 2009 earnings prospects resulted in an analyst's upgrade.
• Nokia Corp. (NYSE: NOK) earnings warning resulted in upgrades from a few analysts.
• PetSmart Inc. (NASDAQ: PETM) topped expectations and forecast full-year profits higher than estimates.
• Suntech Power Holdings Co. (NYSE: STP) fell short of earnings expectations and lowered its guidance.
• Trina Solar Ltd. (NYSE: TSL) Q3 earnings quadrupled and revenue more than tripled on increased demand.