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Earnings highlights: Aetna, Allergan, E*Trade, Goodyear, RadioShack, SAP, Visa ...

Here are some highlights from last week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

Continue reading Earnings highlights: Aetna, Allergan, E*Trade, Goodyear, RadioShack, SAP, Visa ...

Pharma earnings recap: Mylan, Allergan, Novo-Nordisk

One would expect generic U.S. drugmaker Mylan (NYSE: MYL) to benefit from all this talk about increased generic competitions, but revenue only increased 5.2 percent to $1.26 billion on an operational basis, beating analyst revenue estimates of $1.23 billion. Still, revenue in North America, where most pharmas have been hurting, rose 9.2 percent to $502.5 million, helped by new product launches and increased volume.

On an adjusted basis, Mylan posted better-than-expected third-quarter results on Thursday, reporting an earnings per share of 32 cents -- 5 cents higher than the average estimate of analysts polled by Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S. It seems that just like branded pharmas, Mylan benefited from cost cuts. Still, the world's No. 3 generic drugmaker raised its full-year outlook and said it believes it can continue its current momentum into 2010.

Continue reading Pharma earnings recap: Mylan, Allergan, Novo-Nordisk

Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: BP, CMCSA, GLW, MAR, RIMM, TIF, TJX ...

Analyst upgrades:

  • UBS upgraded Corning (NYSE: GLW) to Buy from Neutral and raised its target to $19 from $18.50, citing the improved LCD supply-demand outlook and improved sell-through ahead of the holiday season in China.
  • Credit Suisse upgraded Newfield Exploration (NYSE: NFX) to Outperform from Neutral and raised its target to $48 from $44 citing valuation and improved asset quality.
  • Stifel upgraded Newfield Exploration and Ultra Petroleum (NYSE: UPL) shares to Buy from Hold based on strong fundamentals and a long-term positive view for the E&P sector. The firm has a $50 target on Newfield and a $58 target on Ultra Petroleum.
  • TJX Companies (NYSE: TJX) was upgraded to Conviction Buy from Buy at Goldman.
  • General Mills (NYSE: GIS) was upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley.
  • Coca-Cola Femsa (NYSE: KOF) was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at BofA/Merrill.

Continue reading Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: BP, CMCSA, GLW, MAR, RIMM, TIF, TJX ...

Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: BBY, DAI, FTE, LOGM, RIMM ...

Analyst upgrades:

  • Citigroup upgraded National Fuel (NYSE: NFG) to Hold from Sell to reflect better than expected drilling results for the company's Marcellus shale assets. Citi raised its target on shares to $43 from $42.
  • Baird upgraded Netezza (NYSE: NZ) to Outperform from Neutral and raised its target to $14 from $7 based on the company's new product announcement and potential revenue acceleration.
  • JPMorgan upgraded Liberty Interactive (NASDAQ: LINTA) to Overweight from Neutral. The firm finds the valuation attractive following Liberty's better than expected Q2 results and set a $13 price target on the stock.
  • Marlin Business (NASDAQ: MRLN) was upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at William Blair.
  • Paychex (NASDAQ: PAYX) was upgraded to Sell from Conviction Sell at Goldman.
  • Hewitt Associates (NYSE: HEW) was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at UBS.

Continue reading Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: BBY, DAI, FTE, LOGM, RIMM ...

Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: AGN, TXN, ELN, PALM, DOW

Analyst upgrades:
  • Citigroup upgraded Allergan (NYSE: AGN) to Buy from Hold to reflect increased estimates for Botox and its belief Latisse guidance looks conservative. The firm raised its target on shares to $57 from $45.
  • Jefferies upgraded Texas Instruments (TXN) to Hold from Underperform after channel checks indicated business is strengthening. Jefferies believes Texas Instruments' September quarter guidance will come in better than expected and raised its target on shares to 23 from $16.
  • FBR Capital upgraded Peabody Energy (BTU) to Outperform from Market Perform to reflect "strong" long-term steel and steam demand trends from China and India. The firm raised its target on shares to $44 from $36.
  • Elan Corp (ELN) was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at UBS.
  • Affymetrix (AFFX) was upgraded to Equal Weight from Underweight at Morgan Stanley.
  • ASML Holding (ASML) was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at BofA/Merrill.

Continue reading Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: AGN, TXN, ELN, PALM, DOW

Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: BP, DB, NUE, TLB, X, YHOO ...

Analyst upgrades:
  • Citigroup upgraded Emergency Medical Services (NYSE: EMS) to Hold from Sell as it believes earnings estimates and valuation multiples could expand should Congress extend insurance coverage to the currently uninsured. The firm raised its target on shares to $38 from $29.
  • JPMorgan upgraded Deutsche Bank (NYSE: DB) to Neutral from Underweight on expectations the company's fixed income business will drive earnings.
  • KeyBanc expects U.S. Steel (NYSE: X) to benefit from a global recovery in flat-rolled products and a potential stabilization in energy end markets. The firm upgraded shares to Buy from Hold.
  • Yahoo! (NASDAQ: YHOO) was upgraded to Buy from Hold at Soleil.
  • Pinnacle Financial (NASDAQ: PNFP) was upgraded to Equal Weight from Underweight at Stephens.
  • BP Plc (NYSE: BP) was raised to Buy from Hold at ING Group.

Continue reading Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: BP, DB, NUE, TLB, X, YHOO ...

Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: CAL, NETL, MAPP, DDUP, LMT ...

Analyst upgrades:
  • Jefferies upgraded MDS Inc. (NYSE: MDZ) to Buy from Hold on valuation as it believes shares are pricing in a "worst case" scenario at current levels. The firm keeps a $6.50 target on the stock.
  • JP Morgan upgraded Continental (NYSE: CAL) to Overweight from Neutral on valuation as it believes the recent sell-off is overdone. The firm keeps a $13 price target on the stock.
  • Thomas Weisel is positive on Allergan's (NYSE: AGN) diverse product portfolio, global infrastructure, vertical integration, and deep pipeline. The firm upgraded shares to Overweight from Market Weight and has a $54 target on the stock.
  • NetLogic (NASDAQ: NETL) was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Piper.
  • Dover (NYSE: DOV) was raised to Buy from Neutral at Banc of America/Merrill.
  • Map Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ: MAPP) was upgraded at Argus to Hold from Sell.

Continue reading Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: CAL, NETL, MAPP, DDUP, LMT ...

Allergan, Inc. option volume surges on buyout speculation

As Jon Ogg reported, Allergan, Inc. (NYSE: AGN - option chain) rallied sharply on Tuesday amid rumors that GlaxoSmithKline (NYSE: GSK) was mulling a takeover bid. Speculative investors jumped all over the news, as option volume on AGN skyrocketed well beyond normal levels yesterday. Interestingly enough, it seems that some traders took advantage of the stock's surge to initiate new bearish positions.

Specifically, AGN on Tuesday saw 15,850 puts cross the tape, which represents about 14.5 times its average daily put trading volume. Meanwhile, 59,943 call contracts changed hands, marking 11.5 times the norm.

Continue reading Allergan, Inc. option volume surges on buyout speculation

Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: ABMD, TI, DKS, SCHW ...

Analyst upgrades:
  • Jefferies upgraded Abiomed (NASDAQ: ABMD) to Hold from Underperform on valuation as it believes concerns over the company's Impella heart pump are priced in at current levels. The firm lowered its target price to $7 from $8.
  • Suntrust upgraded Somanetics (NASDAQ: SMTS) to Neutral from Reduce. The firm believes most of the risk is out of Somanetics shares and that the Q1 report could be a positive catalyst.
  • Banc of America/Merrill upgraded shares of Telecom Italia (NYSE: TI) to Buy from Neutral on valuation and believes the company's revenue trends are improving.
  • China Petroleum & Chemical (NYSE: SNP) was raised to Buy from Neutral at UBS.
  • Hexcel (NYSE: HXL) and Johnson Controls (NYSE: JCI) were upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman.

Continue reading Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: ABMD, TI, DKS, SCHW ...

Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: T, FSLR, CEPH, CB ...

Analyst upgrades:
  • Banc of America/Merrill upgraded DPL Inc (NYSE: DPL) to Neutral from Underperform following the settlement agreement with staff of the Public Utilities Commission of Ohio on Electric Security Plan.
  • Friedman Billings upgraded SeaBright Insurance (NYSE: SBX) to Outperform from Market Perform on valuation as they believe shares are oversold at current levels. Despite upgrading, the firm lowered its target price to $14 from $16.
  • JP Morgan upgraded AT&T (T) to Overweight from Neutral as it believes upside earnings revisions are likely in 2009 due to the company's conservative wireline margin outlook. The firm finds the stock's valuation attractive at current levels and raised their target on shares to $28 from $24.
  • Chubb (NYSE: CB) was upgraded to buy from Neutral at UBS.
  • Cascal B.V. (NYSE: HOO) was raised to Outperform from Neutral at Credit Suisse.
  • Healthcare Realty Trust (NYSE: HR) was upgraded at Keefe Bruyette to Outperform from Market Perform.

Continue reading Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: T, FSLR, CEPH, CB ...

Options Update: Merck volatility elevated into lower 2009 outlook; AGN, CELG

Merck (NYSE: MRK) is recently trading at $25.54 in pre-open trading, below its close of $26.46. MRK expects 2009 top-line growth will be offset by the effects of a volatile global economy. MRK December option implied volatility of 70 is above its 26-week average of 43 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.

Allergan (NYSE: AGN) discovers and develops specialty pharmaceutical products. AGN closed at $36.20. AGN's Latisse (Bimatoprost for eyelash growth) PDUFA date is expected in mid-year 2009. AGN December option implied volatility is at 76, July is at 55; above its 26-week average of 50 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.

Celgene (NASDAQ: CELG), a biopharmaceutical company, closed at $52.60. CELG's Revlimid's (non-Hodgkin's lymphoma treatment) incremental Phase 3 data on Revlimid in first line multiple myeloma is expected at the American Society of Hematology (ASH) meeting on December 6 to December 9. CELG December option implied volatility of 75 is above its 26-week average of 53 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.

Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com

Cramer on BloggingStocks: Europe is starting to eye U.S. gems

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says the exchange rate plus massive undervaluations make the great brands prime targets.

There's always been a groupthink in Europe about currencies. The companies that want to buy American companies have, at times, seemed to care more about the currency, or at least not buying a company in a country whose currency is in decline, than they care about the actual target.

That's what it looks like now that a large German company and now a large Italian company have decided to start splurging. It is no coincidence that Deutsche Tel (NYSE: DT) (Cramer's Take) and Finmeccanica are exploring Sprint (NYSE: S) (Cramer's Take) and DRS (NYSE: DRS) (Cramer's Take). These companies are selling for something like 40% off for those bearing euros, and neither potential acquirer has debt problems or subprime issues, so the deals don't have big borrowing problems.

That's what I am thinking about when I see the better-than-expected figures today from Unilever (NYSE: UL) (Cramer's Take) and the other day from Nestle. These companies are part of that same groupthink. They are looking, no doubt, at a Heinz (NYSE: HNZ) (Cramer's Take) and thinking, "Wait, that's about a $10 billion company that's a global leader."

Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: Europe is starting to eye U.S. gems

Trade idea for Allergan (AGN) downgrade

AGN logoAllergan (NYSE: AGN) is trading lower today after an analyst at Jeffries & Co. downgraded the stock to "Hold" from "Buy." AGN's price target was also cut to $62 from $78. If you think this stock won't be rising too far in the coming months, then it could be a good time to look at a bearish hedged play on AGN.

After hitting a one-year high of $70.40 in January, the stock hit a one-year low of $52.26 last week. This morning, AGN opened at $55.65. So far today the stock has hit a low of $54.32 and a high of $56.45. As of 12:10, AGN is trading at $55.24, down $2.32 (-4.0%). The chart for AGN looks bearish but improving slightly, while S&P gives the stock a neutral 3 STARS (out of 5) hold rating.

For a bearish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a May bear-call credit spread above the $60 range. A bear-call credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of call options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make a 4.2% return in two weeks as long as AGN is below $60 at May expiration. Allergan would have to rise by more than 8% before we would start to lose money. Learn more about this type of trade here.

AGN hasn't been above $60 since February and has shown resistance around $60 recently. This trade could be risky if the company's earnings (due out on 5/7) are a positive surprise, but even if that happens, this position could be protected by resistance AGN might find around $60, where it topped out in early April.

Brent Archer is an options analyst and writer at Investors Observer.

DISCLOSURE: Mr. Archer owns and/or controls diversified portfolios of long and short stock and option positions that may include holdings in companies he writes about. At publication time, Brent neither owns nor controls positions in AGN.

Analyst downgrades: BOOM, AGN and JAVA

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Dynamic Materials, Allergan and Sun Micro were among today's noteworthy downgrades:
  • Dynamic Materials (NASDAQ: BOOM) was downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at J.P. Morgan following the Q1 report based on margin risk from steel costs and availability.
  • Allergan (NYSE: AGN) was downgraded to Hold from Buy at Jefferies ahead of the Q1 report on May 7 based on potential deceleration in Botox and breast implants, which could result in multiple contractions.
  • Sun Microsystems (NASDAQ: JAVA) was downgraded to Peer Perform from Outperform at Bear, citing the disappointing earnings report for the downgrade.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:
  • ManTech (NASDAQ: MANT) was downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Cowen based on valuation and expectations for decelerating growth in 2H08.
  • Silver State Bancorp (NASDAQ: SSBX) was downgraded to Sell from Hold at Sandler O'Neil.

Allergan is part of the skin care revolution

The choppy/consolidating (or perhaps worse) market conditions sometimes give the impression that growth plays do not exist, but that is not the case, and one growth company worth reviewing is Allergan.

Allergan, Inc. (NYSE: AGN) is a leading producer of ophthalmic, neuromuscular and skin care pharmaceuticals, and, via its March 2006 acquisition of Inamed Corp., aesthetic products.

Analysts see 10-13% revenue growth in 2008, but with U.S. sales growth dampened by the slow-growth U.S. economy. International markets accounted for about 34% of sales.

Concerning Botox, so far there has been no slowdown for therapeutic of cosmetic use, but the latter may record slower growth if U.S. discretionary purchases decline, in the quarters ahead.

Continue reading Allergan is part of the skin care revolution

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Last updated: November 10, 2009: 02:35 AM

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