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Analyst calls: ERIC, AMLN, DIS, IBM, CRM, FSLR, NOK, ALU ...

Analyst upgrades:
  • Ericsson (NASDAQ: ERIC) was upgraded to Add from Hold at WestLB.
  • JP Morgan upgraded Shire Plc (NASDAQ: SHPGY) to overweight from Neutral to reflect Vyvanse share gains and valuation.
  • Wachovia upgraded Jefferies (NYSE: JEF) to Market Perform from Underperform because they believe that the recent collapse of the large cap bank sector, Jefferies' cash equity business, and the company's partial privatization as a result of its Leucadia investment will shield shares.
  • Canaccord upgraded Amylin Pharma (NASDAQ: AMLN) to Hold from Sell.
  • ADC Telecomm (NASDAQ: ADCT) was upgraded to Buy from Hold at Kaufman Bros. on valuation following the recent weakness.
  • STEC Inc (NASDAQ: STEC) and Popular (NASDAQ: BPOP) were raised to Buy from Neutral at B. Riley.
Analyst downgrades:
  • Merrill downgraded Disney (NYSE: DIS) to Underperform from Neutral and cut its target to $27 from $34 citing the impact from the current economic climate on earnings.
  • Barclays downgraded IBM (NYSE: IBM) to Equal Weight from Overweight citing the impact from the weakening economy and the company's large exposure to the financial services industry. IBM's target was cut to $108 from $130.
  • Jefferies downgraded Salesforce.com (NYSE: CRM) to Underperform from Buy on increased risks of deteriorating payment terms and price pressure on renewals. The company's target was lowered to $36 from $75.
  • Goldman downgraded First Solar (NASDAQ: FSLR) and added shares to the Conviction Sell List.

Continue reading Analyst calls: ERIC, AMLN, DIS, IBM, CRM, FSLR, NOK, ALU ...

Before the bell: Stocks to recover; BAC, AMD, AA, FSLR, DIS, EMC, NOK ...

U.S. stock futures were higher Tuesday morning, after stocks on Monday plummeted to lows not seen since in years as the Dow closed below 10,000 for the first time in four years. After Australia's central bank cut interest rates by the largest amount speculation regarding an interest rate cuts from central banks around the world helped alleviate some worries. Meanwhile, oil rebounded to around $90 a barrel Tuesday in Asia after plunging to an 8-month low Monday, and Bank of America issued a profit warning. Alcoa will unofficially kick off earnings season today.

Bank of America (NYSE: BAC) shares are trading 9.6% lower in pre-market action after it said Monday its third-quarter profit slid 68% to 15 cents a shares, below analysts' estimates of 61 cents a share. BAC also announced a dividend cut and raise $10 billion in stock offering. Analysts from Robert W. Baird and Deutsche Bank proceeded to cut their own estimates.

Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (NYSE: AMD) shares are jumping 18% in pre-market trade after it confirmed plans to spin off its manufacturing operations to a new joint venture, Foundry Co., with an Abu Dhabi investment firm. The other part will be focused on designing microprocessors.

Continue reading Before the bell: Stocks to recover; BAC, AMD, AA, FSLR, DIS, EMC, NOK ...

Analyst calls: BIIB, ALU, LYG, MAR, HOT, JCP, MYL, CBS ...

Analyst upgrades:
  • JMP Securities upgraded Vertex Pharma (NASDAQ: VRTX) to Outperform from Market Perform following better-than-expected interim data for telaprevir.
  • Lazard Capital upgraded shares of Biogen Idec (NASDAQ: BIIB) to Buy from Hold on valuation after their physician survey indicated solid sales growth in the company's MS franchise.
  • Calyon upgraded Data Domain (NASDAQ: DDUP) to Add from Neutral based on positive channel checks and valuation.
  • Goldman added Buckeye GP (NYSE: BGH) to the Conviction Buy List.
  • Alcatel-Lucent (NYSE: ALU) was upgraded to Hold from Sell and Ericsson (NASDAQ: ERIC) was raised to Hold from Reduce at WestLB.
  • Keefe Bruyette upgraded Cowen Group (NASDAQ: COWN) to OUtperform from Market Perform.
Analyst downgrades:
  • Deutsche Bank downgraded shares of Lloyds TSB Group (NYSE: LYG) to Sell from Hold as they believe loan loss risk will outweigh synergies from the acquisition of HBOS (HBOOY).
  • Citigroup downgraded shares of National Financial Partners (NYSE: NFP) to Hold from Buy and removed the stock from the Top Picks Live List after the company announced July and August revenues and said pressure continues. The firm lowered their target to $20 from $28.

Continue reading Analyst calls: BIIB, ALU, LYG, MAR, HOT, JCP, MYL, CBS ...

Before the bell: Stocks to climb; LEH, GOOG, BA, AAPL, GM, LOW ...

U.S. stock futures were higher Tuesday morning as oil dropped $8 a barrel following little damage to oil rigs in the Gulf of Mexico from Gustav. Tuesday marks the return of many from the holiday weekend and the beginning of the school year. While oil will undoubtedly be the focus today, construction spending and ISM Index numbers are also due.

Korea Development Bank is in talks to buy a stake in Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. (NYSE: LEH), Bloomberg reports. LEH shares are climbing over 5.5% in pre-market trading after CEO of the Korean bank confirmed the discussions. According to the Sunday Telegraph, KDB could inject as much as $6 billion of additional capital into Lehman. No doubt, this is something Fuld has been hoping for following the massive writedowns Lehman took. But is it something Americans wants as more foreign government-backed firms buy into Wall Street companies.

Meanwhile, the internet is abuzz over Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG)'s introduction Tuesday of its own internet browser, Chrome, as it further butts heads with Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ: MSFT). While Microsoft has its Internet Explorer, other browsers exist, including the popular Mozilla's Firefox. Google claims its browser is designed better to show web applications and provide higher protection. GOOG shares are climbing over 1.5% in pre-market trading on the news.

Meanwhile, Alcatel-Lucent (NYSE: ALU) revamped its top management on Tuesday and named a former BT boss Ben Verwaayen as its new chief executive and Lagardere executive Philippe Camus as its new chairman. ALU shares are down about 1.5% in pre-market trading.

Continue reading Before the bell: Stocks to climb; LEH, GOOG, BA, AAPL, GM, LOW ...

The week in preview: Have consumers turned to comfort food and used cars?

While the earnings crunch for this quarter is all but over, there is still plenty of action in the earnings arena this coming week. For instance, analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial are expecting America's Car Mart Inc. (NASDAQ: CRMT) and Campbell Soup Co. (NYSE: CPB) to be among this week's top earnings gainers.

Bentonville, Ark.-based America's Car Mart is expected to post net income of 38 cents per share (up 52.6% from the same period a year ago) on revenue of $73.8 million (up 25.8%). The used car dealer chain has tended in recent quarters toward positive surprises -- by 21 cents per share, or 73.5%, in the previous quarter. The long-term EPS growth forecast is 15%, about the same as the S&P 500. The consensus recommendation of analysts is to buy CRMT.

Campell is tentatively scheduled to report this week, and the world's biggest soup maker is expected to post net income of 25 cents per share (up 44.0% from a year ago) on revenue of $1.7 billion (up 7.5%). The Camden, N.J.-based company has just missed earnings estimates in the past three quarters. Its long-term EPS growth forecast is 7.5%, which is less than the industry average, but about the same as rivals Kraft Foods (NYSE: KFT) and Heinz (NYSE: HNZ). The analysts' consensus recommendation is currently to buy Campbell.

Other anticipated double-digit earnings gainers scheduled to report this week include brand name apparel maker Guess Inc. (NYSE: GES), mining equipment maker Joy Global (NASDAQ: JOYG), and chip maker National Semiconductor (NYSE: NSM). And Take-Two Interactive Software (NASDAQ: TTWO) is expected to swing to a profit.

Continue reading The week in preview: Have consumers turned to comfort food and used cars?

Before the bell: YHOO, FNM, PG, ADM, ALU, AAPL, SBUX ...

U.S. stock futures were lower Tuesday morning as oil prices continued to decline, with crude falling below $120 a barrel on demand concerns due to the economic slowdown in the U.S. Commodities in general have been declining. Also today, the Federal Reserve will announce its decision regarding interest rates and it is widely expected they will remain unchanged. Similarly, the Fed's outlook statement about outlook and focus may also remain largely the same according to expectations. Meanwhile, overseas, both the ECB and BoE are expected to leave rates unchanged.

One of Yahoo! Inc. (NASDAQ: YHOO)'s largest shareholders, Capital Research Global Investors, had asked to review the vote in last week's re-election of the Internet giant's board. Specifically, I guess, it was surprising the vote showed strong support -- 85% -- for CEO Jerry Yang. There's no sense dancing around this issue; basically the shareholder implies suspicions of wrongdoings (or really really incompetent tallying of votes).

Bloomberg reports that analysts now expect Fannie Mae (NYSE: FNM) and Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE) to report net losses through the first quarter of 2009 as home-loan delinquencies rise to the highest on record. The the biggest U.S. mortgage-finance companies report tomorrow and according to estimates will show a loss of 74 cents and 60 cents per share respectively. The losses may be greater than expected as we've seen before analysts underestimating the credit losses. It will not be pretty.

Continue reading Before the bell: YHOO, FNM, PG, ADM, ALU, AAPL, SBUX ...

Before the bell: MER, CL, BP, AAPL, SAP, ALU, AMGN, SBUX, SNE,

After a day that saw U.S. equity markets decline in the neighborhood of 2%, U.S. stock futures earlier this morning pointed to a rough start Tuesday as well. News late Monday the Merrill Lynch said it's selling a big slice of its asset-backed securities and $8.5 billion in stock, renewed concerns over the financial sector health. But futures have started creeping upward, ahead of the latest readings on house prices with the Case-Shiller home price index for May and Conference Board reading of consumer confidence for July.

Meanwhile, we're still in the middle of earnings season and today
The big story making headlines since late Monday is the bombshell Merrill Lynch (NYSE: MER) that it is taking an enormous $5.7 billion write-down on losses from mortgage-backed securities (MBSs) and plans to raise $8.5 billion. MER shares already dropped 11.6% Monday before the news was out, and while they're rebounding 2.75% this morning, many are very uncomfortable with Merrill's current situation and actions.

Alcatel-Lucent (NYSE: ALU), the French telecommunications giant, is finally getting rid of its CEO Patricia Russo and Chairman Serge Tchuruk who will both resign later this year. It's no surprise shares are rebounding over 6% in premarket trading. ALU also reported its sixth consecutive quarter of losses. Alcatel-Lucent reported a net loss of 1.1 billion euros ($1.73 billion) for the second quarter including an euro810 million ($1.3 billion) goodwill writedown.

Continue reading Before the bell: MER, CL, BP, AAPL, SAP, ALU, AMGN, SBUX, SNE,

Alcatel-Lucent (ALU) CEO departs, a year late

Alcatel-Lucent (NYSE: ALU) Chief Executive Patricia Russo held her job for so long and through so many periods of brutal earnings and staff reductions that it appeared that she had nine lives.

She went through the ninth one today. She and the company Chairman Serge Tchuruk will leave the company later this year. According to The Wall Street Journal, "With Alcatel-Lucent facing a sluggish market and fierce competitive pressures, the departures of the company's two figureheads does not come at an easy time." It does, however, come at the right time. Russo did everything in her power to scuttle the company.

Over the last year, shares in ALU have dropped from $14.55 to just above $5 in May. They have since recovered to about $6.

Supporters may say that the financial problems at Alcatel-Lucent were not of Russo's making. The market for telecom equipment has indeed been weak. But, the integration of the merger between the two companies was ill-conceived at the start and poorly executed moving forward.

It is time to let someone else have a turn at trying to fix the company.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Analyst downgrades: WB, AIG, BT, NOK, ERIC, ALU, TWTI, T

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Wachovia, American International Group and BT Group were today's noteworthy downgrades:
  • Oppenheimer downgraded shares of Wachovia (NYSE: WB) to Underperform from Perform as they believe the outlook is "bleak" for equity shareholders. The firm thinks Wachovia's expenses can't come down fast enough too offset earnings erosion.
  • Wachovia downgraded shares of American International Group (NYSE: AIG) to Market Perform from Outperform as they believe AIG's CDO valuations worsened in Q2, which could result in a $2B-$7B after tax "valuation adjustment." Wachovia expects the value of AIG's core insurance franchise to be obscured by its credit exposure.
  • Collins Stewart cut BT Group (NYSE: BT) to Hold from Buy on concerns surrounding the company's fiber network expansion.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:
  • Nokia (NYSE: NOK) was downgraded to Add from Buy at WestLB; the firm also lowered Ericsson (NASDAQ: ERIC) to Hold from Buy and Alcatel-Lucent (NYSE: ALU) to Sell from Hold.
  • Third Wave (NASDAQ: TWTI) was cut to Hold from Buy at Deutsche Bank.
  • AT&T (NYSE: T) was removed from Goldman's Conviction Buy List.

Analyst upgrades: NCR, MDVN, TEVA, MMC, RATE, ALU

MOST NOTEWORTHY: NCR Corp, Medivation and Teva Pharma were today's noteworthy upgrades:
  • Baird upgraded NCR Corp (NYSE: NCR) to Outperform from Neutral following its North American ATM managers survey that indicates a solid ATM environment and opportunity for margin improvement.
  • Rodman & Renshaw upgraded Medivation (NASDAQ: MDVN) to Outperform from Market Perform citing valuation of the firm's pipeline given recent catalyst of positive Phase II results in Huntington's disease with lead candidate, Dimebon.
  • Goldman added Teva Pharma (NASDAQ: TEVA) to its Conviction Buy List citing valuation, upcoming catalysts, and defensive characteristics.
OTHER UPGRADES:
  • Marsh & McLennan (NYSE: MMC) was raised to Buy from Hold at Citigroup.
  • RBC lifted Bankrate (NASDAQ: RATE) to Outperform from Sector Perform.
  • Alcatel-Lucent (NYSE: ALU) was upgraded at WestLB to Hold from Sell.

Analyst upgrades: SYMC, CFNL and BP

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Symantec, Cardinal Financial and BP Plc were today's noteworthy upgrades:
  • ThinkPanmure upgraded Symantec (NASDAQ:SYMC) to Buy from Accumulate based on improved execution, stable growth in core business, and ramping competitive position in some high-growth businesses.
  • Baird upgraded Cardinal Financial (NASDAQ:CFNL) to Outperform from Neutral based on valuation, the company's favorable credit risk profile in Northern Virginia, and its excess capital position.
  • Societe Generale raised BP Plc (NYSE: BP) to Hold from Sell as it believes the bad news is priced into shares and earnings could be better than expected.
OTHER UPGRADES:

Early analyst calls (ALU) (GOOG) (TWX)

Alcatel-Lucent (NYSE:ALU) was raised to "neutral" from "underperform" at Merrill Lynch, according to 24/7 Wall St. The financial website also reports that Whole Foods Market (NASDAQ:WFMI) was cut to "neutral" from "buy" at UBS.

Citigroup added Google (NASDAQ:GOOG) to its Top Picks Live list, according to Briefing.com. The news service reports that Time Warner (NYSE:TWX) was also added to the list.

Societe Generale raised its rating on BP (NYSE:BP) to "hold" from "sell" according to MarketWatch.

Douglas A. McIntyre

Pre-market movers (BCS) (ALU)

Barclays (NYSE:BCS) is up about 5% on news that interest rates are unlikely to rise in the UK.

Alcatel-Lucent (NYSE:ALU) is up about 4% on news it has gotten a $1 billion contract from China Mobile (NYSE:CHL).

Infinera (NASDAQ:INFN) is down 25% after revising its growth forecast down.

La-Z-Boy (NYSE:LZB) is down over 12% on a report of a quarterly loss.

Stocks may trade differently in the pre-market than they do in the regular session.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Pre-market movers: CMGI, ALU

CMGI (NASDAQ: CMGI) is off almost 15% after posting poor earnings.

ArcelorMittal (NYSE: MT) is down about 4% after news that it will open new mining operations.

Alcatel-Lucent (NYSE: ALU) is off 2% without any obvious news.

Petro-Hawk (NYSE: HK) is up almost 3% after positive comments from Jim Cramer.

Stocks may trade differently in the pre-market than they do in the regular session.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Alcatel-Lucent's deal from Hell

When Alcatel and Lucent agreed to merge in April 2006, there were the typical phrases in the press release: "new growth opportunities," "cost synergies," "global convergence," "increased scale," "global capabilities" and so on. Oh, and yes, it would "create enhanced value for shareholders."

Yet, there was something that was curious. The CEO of the new entity, Patricia Russo, said she would not learn French, even though Alcatel was based in France. Might this be a sign that there would be some cultural issues?

Alas, the fact remains that the benefits of the deal haven't materialized as Alcatel-Lucent's (NYSE: ALU) stock price has gone from $14.50 to $7.50.

Well, this week, Alcatel-Lucent had its annual meeting. No doubt, it wasn't fun as shareholders provided an earful. After all, the company had to write down $4.55 billion in asset value because of the merger (there were also thousands of layoffs).

Interestingly enough, shareholders passed a resolution that allows Alcatel-Lucent's board to rid its chairman/CEO with a majority vote instead of a two-thirds of a vote.

Unfortunately, I don't see this amounting to much. Keep in mind that -- with consolidation of wireless carriers -- its tough for equipment providers to get any leverage. Plus, the competition is still intense.

By the way, Russo apparently is learning to speak French now. And she even spoke some words at the meeting. However, she will need to learn a more important language: profits.

Tom Taulli is the author of various books, including The Complete M&A Handbook and The Edgar Online Guide to Decoding Financial Statements. He also operates MergerBook.com.

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Last updated: October 12, 2008: 05:42 PM

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