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Henry Blodget of AlleyInsider.com was out with a report yesterday calling for one of the big portals to be acquired again.

"Amid all the speculation about Microsoft (MSFT) buying Yahoo (YHOO), Yahoo buying AOL (TWX), etc., one thing is nearly certain: One of these transactions will eventually take place -- and probably sooner rather than later. Why? Because Google has locked up the No. 1 spot in the sector, and market won't support more than three competitors."

He also gives scenarios where Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) or Yahoo! (NASDAQ: YHOO) would be a buyer of Time Warner Inc. (NYSE: TWX)'s AOL. Previously, Blodget has covered Yahoo! buying AOL and has given other scenarios where AOL could or should become part of a larger company via an acquisition.

But there are some additional issues here to consider. Let's pretend that Jeff Bewkes decided to just jettison AOL. The company still has some dial-up subscribers and it has invested much effort in its advertising platform, now renamed Platform A. Google (NASDAQ: GOOG) made a $1 billion strategic investment and the terms originally dictated that a monetizing event of some sort would come due in early 2008 (that is right around the corner).

Continue reading Time Warner shouldn't sell AOL, it should spin it off

Time Warner shouldn't sell AOL, it should spin it off originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 27 Nov 2007 12:11:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Permalink | Email this | Comments]]>AOLAOL spin-offAolSpin-offAsk.comGOOGGoogleMicrosoftMSFTMSN.comTime WarnerTimeWarnerYahoo!YHOOTue, 27 Nov 2007 12:11:00 EST<![CDATA[AOL to cut thousands of jobs starting on Tuesday]]>http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/10/15/aol-to-cut-thousands-of-jobs-starting-on-tuesday/http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/10/15/aol-to-cut-thousands-of-jobs-starting-on-tuesday/http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/10/15/aol-to-cut-thousands-of-jobs-starting-on-tuesday/#commentsFiled under: ,

According to a Reuters story based on an internal memo, AOL will trim some 2,000 positions starting tomorrow. Job cuts at the Time Warner Inc. (NYSE: TWX) unit have been rumored for some time.

If this number of cuts is accurate, it will represent roughly 20% of the unit's global workforce. Reuters is saying the cuts will be spread out over the United States and Europe. It also notes that spending will increase in higher growth areas, such as advertising.

It looks like AOL is trying to make its operations run much leaner ahead of what very well could be an independent, or partially independent, AOL stock. Time Warner already has a tracking stock for its cable unit, and a separate AOL tracking stock would give it a currency that could be used to make acquisitions or do strategic deals that wouldn't rely solely upon cash outlays. Part of AOL's year and a half old deal with Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG), in which the search giant bought a 5% stake for a $1 billion investment, requires some sort of liquidity event, but any amendments to original terms could change that.

AOL already switched to a free service a year ago, except for the old customers who just won't stop using their dial-up access. That move already resulted in job cuts. AOL is also in the process of moving its headquarters to New York City to be closer to advertising customers. We'll have to see where the actual cuts in this mega-round of layoffs come from before any verdict can be made.

Jon C. Ogg produces the Special Situation Investing Newsletter for 247WallSt.com; he does not own securities in the companies he covers.

AOL to cut thousands of jobs starting on Tuesday originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 15 Oct 2007 11:50:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Permalink | Email this | Comments]]>AOLAOL IPOAOL job cutsAOL Spin-offinthenewslayoffstime warnerTimeWarnerTWXMon, 15 Oct 2007 11:50:00 EST<![CDATA[AOL spin-off in the works?]]>http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2006/07/28/aol-spin-off-in-the-works/http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2006/07/28/aol-spin-off-in-the-works/http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2006/07/28/aol-spin-off-in-the-works/#commentsFiled under: , , ,

The New York Post reports that plans to make AOL email addresses free for high-speed customers are only the tip of the iceberg; in fact, they say, the Time Warner board is considering much more radical moves. Carl Icahn wanted to spin off underperforming units? Well, then, why not give shareholders what they want?!?

The plan the Post discusses seems much less radical than any Icahn could truly get excited about: they say Time Warner has been talking to the biggie media and internet companies about partnerships, and if that doesn't work out, the board might consider spinning off 20% of AOL to shareholders.

What is 20% of AOL worth? And which 20% might be released into the wilds? This seems an odd proposal, I'd be interested to hear any scuttlebutt you Time Warner watchers have heard on this rumored deal. But even more interesting is the balance of power between Time Warner president Jeffrey Bewkes -- perhaps heir to the Time Warner throne -- and AOL CEO Jon Miller, who the Post says is "playing second fiddle" to Bewkes in the upcoming board meeting discussions about AOL. Will Miller be given the axe, the Post intimates slyly? I hardly even dare ask the question.

AOL spin-off in the works? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 28 Jul 2006 10:49:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Read | Permalink | Email this | Comments]]>aolaol spin-offaol spinoffAolSpin-offAolSpinoffbewkesjeff bewkesJeffBewkesjeffrey bewkesJeffreyBewkesspin-offspin-outtime warnerTimeWarnertwxFri, 28 Jul 2006 10:49:00 EST