Investors frequently like to chase "hot stocks." While not based on fundamentals, momentum investing does sometimes work as stocks that are "working today" frequently "work tomorrow" as well.
So, as 2008 is 1/6th done, it's time to look back at the highfliers from 2007 and see where they're trading today. As usual, the analysts at Bespoke Investment Group have some good data and charts for us.
In a post, titled "How the Best Have Done," Bespoke analyzes the best performing U.S. stocks of 2007 and tracks them into 2008. The results:
While some solar stocks are down big in 2008 after a huge run-up in 2007, the big winners are heavily concentrated in materials, agriculture, and energy. BPZ Resources Inc. (AMEX: BZP) is the stock on the list that has done the best in 2008 -- rising another 44% so far this year.
Zack Miller is the managing editor of IsraelNewsletter.com and a former equity analyst for a leading multinational hedge fund.
Last week Forbes released its annual list of the fastest growing tech stocks, and it shouldn't be much of a surprise that Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG) topped the list, with nearly $15 billion in sales, representing five-year sales growth of 155%, and 30% EPS growth. To make the list, companies had to have significant sales growth over the past year and five years, as well as a good earnings forecast for the next three to five years. Companies with significant legal problems or corporate governance issues were excluded.
So if, like Aaron Katsman, Georges Yared, and Jim Cramer, you are bullish on tech stocks, then there's plenty on the Forbes lists worth taking a look at.
It's been a tough slog for professionals and individual investors during 2007 and the start of 2008. Those who did well either
took a big swing on commodities,
owned and sold tech into the 4th quarter,
prayed hard and were answered, or
were so-called Tiger Cubs.
Bloomberg reports on the 2007 returns of the Tiger Cubs, named because they all trained/worked under famed hedge fund guru, Julian Robertson of Tiger Asset Management.
When fellow BloggingStocks blogger Aaron "Buy Everything" Katsman and I recently looked into Robertson's portfolio over the years, it appears that he takes a very concentrated approach to investing. He picks a limited number of names he believes in and holds steady. The bulk of his holdings return average market returns, a couple are down big, but a couple see incredible outsized gains. Its these few holdings that Robertson lets run that contribute significantly to his success as a manager.