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Can Microsoft really Yahoooo?

In the mergers and acquisitions game, a buyer's math can be kind of strange -- that is, looking for a situation where 1+1 = 3. Unfortunately, the result is usually -3.

This is especially the case with mega deals, which involve mind-numbing complexities (especially with integration). In fact, the history of tech mega deals has been especially problematic.

Well, this doesn't seem to be an issue with the folks at Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ: MSFT). They are willing to pay a whopping $44.6 billion for Yahoo!, Inc. (NASDAQ: YHOO).

So, can Microsoft make this thing work? Actually, the company's shareholders are skeptical. After all, the stock price is down $2.15 to $30.45. Keep in mind that -- based on various studies -- Wall Street is usually spot-on about these things.


Continue reading Can Microsoft really Yahoooo?

Microsoft doesn't Yahoo!: Insider says big merger not forthcoming

Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ: MSFT) has been hungry for online advertising companies lately. Of course, the latest deal was a zinger: $6 billion for aQuantive (NASDAQ: AQNT).

In light of all this, it seems natural that Mr. Softy would buy Yahoo! Inc. (NASDAQ: YHOO). But Microsoft's chief advertising strategist, Yusuf Mehdi, threw cold water on this and said "[w]e have all of the pieces we need to move forward.''

What to make of this? I had a chance to interview Allan B. Krans, who is an analyst with Technology Business Research (TBR). According to him:

"I agree with the statement that Microsoft has all of the tools needed to be successful in the online business. However, a solid toolset alone will not spur an improvement in Microsoft's online business. Microsoft needs to drive online search traffic in order to attract advertisers to its toolset. For this reason, we believe a merger/acquisition with Yahoo! continues to make sense for Microsoft. Combining the two companies' respective shares of the online search market gives Microsoft the opportunity to drive search traffic and leverage its newly compiled advertising toolset."

I also got this from John Byrne, who is also an analyst with TBR:

"At this point I think maybe Yahoo is the stickler though - they've just implemented Project Panama and they probably feel like they're going to show real improvement over the next few quarters which would increase their value without an acquisition. Then maybe next year they're in a much stronger position."

Tom Taulli is the author of various books, including the Complete M&A Handbook and the EDGAR-Online Guide to Decoding Financial Statements.

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA+44.2910,291.26
NASDAQ+15.822,166.90
S&P 500+5.501,098.51

Last updated: November 11, 2009: 08:58 PM

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